Complete 2015 Projections

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PROJECTED 2015 SEASON STATS
16. Thaddeus Young, Min SF, PFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics7934.4.454.7121.16.02.31.102.10.52.117.9
2015 Projections7833.6.476.6820.76.32.01.171.90.61.716.4
2015 Outlook: Coming off a career year that saw him post 17.9 points, 6.0 rebounds, 2.1 steals and 1.1 3-pointers for the rebuilding Sixers, Young joins the Timberwolves where he'll immediately become one of the top options on the offensive end. He thrived under similar conditions last season, and the Wolves will lean heavily on him as they look to rebuild around their new core. He makes for a terrific fourth-round fantasy selection, especially for those looking to secure a dominant steal artist. --BM
17. Derrick Favors, Uta PF, CYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics7330.2.522.6690.08.71.20.711.01.51.813.3
2015 Projections7533.1.512.6730.09.81.30.621.11.82.114.2
2015 Outlook: In a season that will be considered a disappointment by most, Favors underperformed compared to his high expectations, but still managed to finish 56th on our Player Rater after a strong second half. With averages of 14.0 points, 8.3 rebounds, 1.1 steals and 1.7 blocks while shooting 55.2 percent from the floor in just 29.7 minutes per game after the All-Star break, it's easy to see the 23-year-old's massive potential. Some owners may be wary after spending a high draft pick last season on Favors, but the big man is still improving, and is a perfect post-hype breakout candidate as he enters his fifth season in the league. --BM
18. Kenneth Faried, Den PFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics8027.2.545.6500.08.61.20.710.90.91.713.7
2015 Projections7531.0.549.6410.09.91.30.731.01.11.815.3
2015 Outlook: The "Manimal" may be undersized, but what he lacks in height, he more than makes up for with quickness, athleticism and energy in the paint. His skills translate well on paper too, as evidenced by his unbelievable second half with J.J. Hickson on the shelf: 18.8 points, 10.1 rebounds, 1.1 steals and 0.7 blocks while shooting 54.6 percent from the floor in just 31.2 minutes per game. Hickson is still working his way back from ACL surgery, but head coach Brian Shaw should still be able to find 30-plus minutes for Faried even if Hickson returns at full strength. Now entering his fourth professional season, Faried has superstar potential if he can continue to build of his brilliant second half last season. --BM
19. Jabari Parker*, Mil SF, PFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics------------------------
2015 Projections7832.1.465.7550.87.30.90.470.80.81.918.2
2015 Outlook: He may not be a freak athlete, but Parker has everything else you could want in a star NBA prospect. He has the size (6-foot-8, 241 pounds with 7-foot wingspan) to battle in the paint as a power forward, but he has enough range and quickness to hang at the 3. A good statistical comparison may be Carmelo Anthony: a versatile forward who can score, rebound and sport great percentages. Parker has the chance to add at least a block per game, too. The Bucks have a deep roster, but no players talented enough to take minutes away from the rookie. He's going to make an impact right out of the gate and should be the first rookie off the board. --TC
20. David Lee, GS PF, CYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics6933.2.523.7800.09.32.10.970.70.42.218.2
2015 Projections7033.5.519.7820.09.52.51.090.70.32.317.9
2015 Outlook: Always a dominant rebounder who has a nose for tracking down loose balls, Lee is more than just a double-double machine in fantasy leagues thanks to his impressive percentages. He's not a shot-blocker, but his owners don't complain when he's putting up 18-20 points and 9-11 rebounds per night. The 31-year-old may lose a minute or two per game if the Warriors play small with Draymond Green and Harrison Barnes, but he is still a quality top 40-50 fantasy pick as long as you can find your blocks elsewhere. --BM
21. Pau Gasol, Chi PF, CYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics6031.4.480.7360.19.73.41.430.51.52.417.4
2015 Projections6429.0.515.7740.18.43.11.550.41.22.015.6
2015 Outlook: Gasol proved last season that even on a pathetic Lakers team, he could churn out quality stats (especially dimes for a center) despite a relatively limited workload (career-low 31.4 MPG). His scoring surely will take a hit on the talented Bulls, but he'll rack up double-doubles with nice assists and percentages while scoring in the teens. He's a solid big man to target in the middle rounds. --TC
22. Josh Smith, Hou SF, PFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics7735.5.419.5320.96.83.31.271.41.42.616.4
2015 Projections7535.4.458.5420.67.63.41.361.52.02.517.2
2015 Outlook: If there is one thing we all know Smoove can't do, it is perform well as a 3-point-shooting small forward. So no one outside of the Pistons front office should have been surprised Smith failed miserably in that exact role last season. His 41.9 FG percentage was a career-low mark, and his 16.4 PPG was a five-season low (should we even mention the 26.4 3-point percentage?). New coach Stan Van Gundy should know how to use Smith better, but with Andre Drummond blossoming as a star and Greg Monroe back for one last run before unrestricted free agency, it's hard to imagine a big breakout from Smoove. However, don't be surprised if Van Gundy massages a bump in steals and blocks from Smith this season. --TC
23. Tim Duncan, SA PF, CYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics7429.2.490.7310.09.73.01.380.61.92.115.1
2015 Projections7027.9.494.7490.09.02.71.350.61.62.014.1
2015 Outlook: On the strength of some fantastic per-minute numbers, Duncan averaged 15.1 points, 9.7 rebounds and 1.9 blocks despite seeing only 29.1 minutes per game. His efforts were good enough to place the 38-year-old 33rd on our Player Rater by season's end. While it is clear that he still has a lot left in the tank, fantasy owners should still have some concerns about his lack of playing time in regular-season action. Duncan isn't getting any younger, so be aware that Gregg Popovich will continue to limit his minutes throughout the regular season in an effort to keep him fresh for the playoffs. --BM
24. Terrence Jones*, Hou PFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics7627.3.542.6050.46.91.11.230.71.30.912.1
2015 Projections5325.6.536.6150.46.51.11.210.71.30.911.2
2015 Outlook: After putting together a strong sophomore campaign, Jones enters the 2014-15 season with big expectations. With Jeremy Lin, Chandler Parsons, and Omer Asik gone, the Rockets will lean on the talented power forward to improve on his success from a year ago. He may have been inconsistent on a night-to-night basis, but Jones finished the season with a versatile 12.1 points, 6.9 rebounds, 0.7 steals and 1.3 blocks in just 27.3 minutes per game. With more minutes on the horizon, Jones is potential breakout candidate in 2014-15. --BM
25. Markieff Morris, Pho PF, CYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics8126.6.486.7920.46.01.80.980.80.61.813.8
2015 Projections7930.5.461.7800.66.81.90.951.00.82.014.2
2015 Outlook: Boasting quality per-minute production over the course of his three-year career, Morris impressed with 15.8 points, 6.4 rebounds and 0.9 blocks in 29.1 minutes per game after the All-Star break last season. A versatile forward, he will have an opportunity to earn more minutes in the Suns' frontcourt with Channing Frye headed to Orlando. With his prospects for increased minutes, Morris should be considered a moderate breakout candidate in 2014-15. --BM
26. David West, Ind PFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics8030.9.488.7890.16.82.81.680.80.91.714.0
2015 Projections7634.4.484.7850.07.53.01.580.90.81.917.2
2015 Outlook: West was supposed to be winding down his career with a relatively light workload on a championship contender. Instead, Paul George's season-long absence likely will force the Pacers to lean heavily on West as a scoring weapon. He's capable of averaging at least 17 PPG and 7.5 RPG with excellent percentages, making him an underrated fantasy frontcourt option. He has generally been durable, but there is inherent risk in counting on a 34-year-old with an extra-heavy workload. --TC
27. Nerlens Noel, Phi C, PFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics------------------------
2015 Projections7331.4.512.6020.08.31.00.501.12.42.015.3
2015 Outlook: The Sixers made a long-term investment when they drafted Noel in 2013, and they stuck to their guns and didn't play him at all last season. Now it's time for the payoff, as Noel is 100 percent over his torn ACL and will get all of the minutes he can handle on the super-young Sixers roster. We know that the blocks, steals and rebounds will come right away for the 20-year-old. His true upside will depend on how well he settles in as a scorer. The long-term potential could be something like 20 PPG, 11 RPG, 1.5 SPG, 3.0 BPG. And considering how many minutes and touches are available for Noel, it's not inconceivable that he could do at least 17 PPG, 9 RPG and 2.5 BPG right out of the gate. --TC
28. Ryan Anderson, Nor PFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics2236.1.438.9523.06.50.80.850.50.30.919.8
2015 Projections6630.5.431.8922.46.20.90.890.50.31.015.1
2015 Outlook: Anderson was rolling with 19.8 points, 6.5 rebounds and 3.0 3-pointers in 36.1 minutes per game before going down for the season with a scary neck injury. He played in just 22 games before the injury, but is expected to be ready to start the 2014-15 season. He may come off the bench with Tyreke Evans, Anthony Davis and Omer Asik in the frontcourt, but will still provide plenty of value if he can remain healthy. He'll be a high-risk/high-reward investment given the nature of his injury. --BM
29. Zach Randolph*, Mem PFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics7934.2.467.7420.010.12.51.090.70.32.317.4
2015 Projections7133.6.466.7420.010.22.21.000.70.32.216.4
2015 Outlook: Finishing fourth in the league in double-doubles with 47, Randolph turned in another fine season with 17.4 points and 10.1 rebounds per game for the Grizzlies. Since he doesn't block shots, and is only average from an efficiency perspective, Randolph's fantasy value is heavily tied to his scoring and rebounding. Memphis will continue to rely on his presence in the paint, but the 33-year-old remains a mid-round selection due to his defensive deficiencies in the fantasy game. --BM
30. Greg Monroe, Det PF, CYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics8232.8.497.6570.09.32.11.031.10.62.015.2
2015 Projections8231.5.496.6730.09.02.41.091.10.62.214.7
2015 Outlook: Monroe's plan to secure a big offer sheet as a restricted free agent was a complete flop, as he drummed up zero interest before slinking back to sign the Pistons' qualifying offer. Fantasy owners didn't win here, either, since this means Monroe rejoins Andre Drummond and Josh Smith in a packed frontcourt. Considering Drummond is ready to claim his spot as an NBA star and Smoove is under contract for three more seasons, this is almost certainly Monroe's last season in Motown, so Monroe might get the short end of the stick. That should leave him as a middling big man who can't block shots and doesn't shoot free throws well. There are better players to target in the middle rounds. --TC