Complete 2015 Projections

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PROJECTED 2015 SEASON STATS
1. Anthony Davis, Nor PF, CYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics6735.2.519.7910.010.01.60.961.32.81.620.8
2015 Projections7036.6.519.7810.010.41.50.881.42.71.720.1
2015 Outlook: After just two seasons in the league, Davis has already proven to be one of the more dynamic fantasy players that we've seen in a long time. Averaging 20.8 points, 10.0 rebounds, 1.3 steals, and 2.8 blocks while shooting 51.9 percent from the floor and 79.1 percent from the line, Davis was scary-good as a sophomore. Those numbers were enough to place him 7th on our Player Rater despite missing 15 games with minor injuries throughout the season. Injuries are a slight concern after he's played in just 64 and 67 games in his first two seasons, but Davis is so talented that he's still a top-5 pick, and a strong argument could be made for taking him third overall after Kevin Durant and LeBron James. --BM
2. DeMarcus Cousins, Sac C, PFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics7132.4.496.7260.011.72.90.821.51.33.522.7
2015 Projections7432.6.483.7260.011.52.70.791.51.23.421.2
2015 Outlook: Cousins put it all together in his fourth professional season, posting 22.7 points, 11.7 boards, 1.5 steals, and 1.3 blocks per game and finishing 18th on our Player Rater despite missing 11 games. Boogie has had some issues with consistency and maturity early in his career, but his talent is undeniable and he's already turned himself into a borderline first-round fantasy selection as one of the few elite centers on the draft board. The Kings will rely heavily on Cousins again this season, and fantasy owners should feel confident taking him in the late first/early second rounds. --BM
3. Serge Ibaka, OKC PF, CYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics8132.9.536.7840.38.81.00.690.52.71.515.1
2015 Projections7934.0.544.7580.38.90.90.560.53.11.615.6
2015 Outlook: Ibaka followed up an impressive 2012-13 campaign by finishing ninth on our Player Rater in 2013-14 on the strength of his dominant shot-blocking and improved efficiency on the offensive end. Many have criticized Ibaka's somewhat pedestrian offensive totals, but Serge still had a fantastic season posting career-highs in minutes (32.9), points (15.1), rebounds (8.8), and free throw percentage (78.4 percent). He led the league in blocks for the third straight season with 219, and his all-around game has steadily improved during his first five years in the league. Given his strengths, he makes for a terrific second-round selection in fantasy leagues. --BM
4. LaMarcus Aldridge, Por PF, CYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics6936.2.458.8220.011.12.61.450.91.01.823.2
2015 Projections7436.7.461.8200.010.22.61.360.91.01.922.2
2015 Outlook: On the strength of his scoring and efficiency, Aldridge finished the season ranked 31st on our Player Rater despite missing 13 games. With 23.2 points, 11.1 rebounds, 0.9 steals and 1.0 blocks, Aldridge is as solid as they come, though we'd love to see a few more blocks out of our big men. He makes up for his relative lack of blocks by being one of the few big men who can hit his free throws at an 80 percent clip. Fantasy owners should note that his field goal percentage is trending down as he has relied more on midrange jumpers in recent seasons. Still, he's been a perennial top 20-30 player for four years running now, and is an extremely safe fantasy investment. --BM
5. Kevin Love, Cle PF, CYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics7736.3.457.8212.512.54.41.750.80.52.526.1
2015 Projections7835.8.471.8132.212.23.41.420.80.62.422.2
2015 Outlook: It's going to be an interesting transition for Love as he goes from being the sole offensive weapon on his team to one part of a superstar triumvirate. Even in that role, he will be a high-end fantasy beast, but the question is to what extent his overall production will wane. He'll take fewer shots each game, and his teammates will help keep opposing defenses from keying solely on him, which should lead to a significant bump in FG percentage. He'll still hit the boards, but the presence of LeBron James and Anderson Varejao will put a cap on how many he can grab. Expect his FTAs and 3-point production to remain big, too. He might not be top five, but he will remain an impact fantasy option in all formats. --TC
6. Al Jefferson, Cha CYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics7335.0.509.6900.010.82.11.250.91.11.721.8
2015 Projections7634.6.503.7230.010.32.11.400.91.21.522.7
2015 Outlook: Big Albus is either injured or dominating the paint. His first season with Charlotte was no exception, as a preseason ankle injury slowed him early on before he settled in to average 24.5 PPG, 11.4 RPG, 2.2 APG and 53.3 FG% after the All-Star break. However, his season ended in the playoffs with plantar fasciitis. He should be fine when the regular season gets underway this season, and it's safe to pen him in for at least 20 PPG, 10 RPG and 50 FG%. Health-permitting, Jefferson can be a top-five fantasy center and is particularly helpful in points leagues. --TC
7. Chris Bosh, Mia C, PFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics7932.0.516.8200.96.61.10.701.01.01.616.2
2015 Projections7436.1.492.8110.87.71.50.651.11.22.322.5
2015 Outlook: The departure of LeBron James is great news for the fantasy value of Bosh. Those who have been playing fantasy hoops only while Bosh has been with the Heat should go take a look back at what he did when he was still north of the border to see his tremendous upside. He's only 30, and his limited role with the Heat also limited the wear and tear on his body. Look for Bosh to return to form, averaging more than 20 PPG with terrific percentages, especially free throws, where he likely will be among the league leaders in attempts. --TC
8. Marc Gasol, Mem CYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics5933.4.473.7680.07.23.61.941.01.31.914.6
2015 Projections7034.4.479.7890.07.63.71.951.01.51.914.5
2015 Outlook: After finishing the 2012-13 season ranked ninth on our Player Rater, Gasol struggled through the first half of the 2013-14 season with a knee injury before turning it on after the All-Star break. His season-end totals are slightly depressed after his slow start, but Gasol averaged 15.9 points, 8.0 rebounds, 3.8 assists, 1.0 steals and 1.5 blocks over his last 30 games. He won't dominate any one particular category, but he's a great building block for any fantasy team due to his across the board productivity. He'll be a great value pick in the third or fourth round in fantasy leagues this season. --BM
9. Joakim Noah, Chi CYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics8035.3.475.7370.011.35.42.221.21.52.412.6
2015 Projections7434.8.503.7410.011.04.11.781.31.72.312.4
2015 Outlook: Noah was outstanding last season, averaging 13.8 PPG, 7.0 APG, 10.8 RPG, 1.7 BPG, 1.5 SPG, 48.5 FG% and 76.7 FT% after the break. That likely was his career-best campaign, though. He's had injury problems in the past and turns 30 midseason. Plus, the addition of Pau Gasol and the return of Derrick Rose should bring his assist production down significantly. He will be a stud fantasy center; just don't overvalue him based on last season. --TC
10. Andre Drummond, Det C, PFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics8132.3.623.4180.013.20.40.321.21.61.413.5
2015 Projections8235.3.620.4470.014.10.60.351.42.01.717.5
2015 Outlook: It's mindblowing that a 20-year-old could average 13.5 PPG, 13.2 RPG, 1.6 BPG, 1.2 SPG and 62.3 percent FG. He further revealed his true upside when he averaged 18.4 PPG and 17.4 RPG on just 11.9 FGA during the final eight games. Of course, Drummond's big hang-up is his free throw shooting, which "improved" to 41.8 percent last season. Those final eight games were particularly rough, since he took 7.3 FTA per game at 43.1 percent. You don't need to be a statistician to know his free throws will be tough to overcome in roto leagues, a la Shaq and D12. That makes him a better play in points leagues, but just like Shaq and D12 before him, Drummond will be a beast in all formats if you can handle his woes at the stripe. --TC
11. Al Horford, Atl C, PFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics2933.0.567.6820.18.42.61.190.91.52.218.6
2015 Projections6934.6.561.6920.19.12.91.381.01.42.118.7
2015 Outlook: You've got to ask yourself a question: "Do I feel lucky?" Well, do ya, punk? Even Dirty Harry could have been punked twice by Horford's torn pecs, which essentially cost him two of his past three seasons. That's because we've seen 20 PPG, 10 PPG, 55 FG% potential from him when healthy. Before he got hurt last season, Horford was averaging 18.6 PPG, 8.4 RPG and 1.5 BPG. The arrival of Paul Millsap left fewer rebounds for Horford, but he made up for that with a bump in BPG. If you believe tearing each pectoral muscle was a fluke and are feeling lucky, draft Horford early (especially in points leagues) then cross your fingers and hope you don't get punked. --TC
12. DeAndre Jordan, LAC CYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics8235.0.676.4280.013.60.90.601.02.51.510.4
2015 Projections8033.7.663.4260.012.10.70.470.92.31.510.4
2015 Outlook: After showing both promise and inconsistency for his first five seasons, Jordan finally put everything together in his sixth, posting career highs in almost every major fantasy category. With 10.4 points, 13.6 rebounds, 1.0 steals and 2.5 blocks per game, Jordan finished as the league's top rebounder and ranked third in blocks per game behind only Anthony Davis and Serge Ibaka. Despite his defensive prowess, he's still a work in process offensively, particularly from the free throw line at just 42.8 percent in 4.6 attempts per game. Still, as he's the lone rim protector on this Clippers roster, owners shouldn't worry much about the arrival of Spencer Hawes. Draft Jordan for his dominance in boards and blocks, but make sure you have a strategy to account for his free throw issues. --BM
13. Dwight Howard*, Hou C, PFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics7133.7.591.5470.012.21.80.570.81.83.218.3
2015 Projections7034.7.587.5240.012.51.70.551.02.03.118.1
2015 Outlook: Howard posted 18.3 points, 12.2 rebounds, 0.8 steals and 1.8 blocks in what was mostly a successful first season with the Rockets. Unfortunately, it was his lowest shot-blocking total since his second year in the league, and he still shot just 54.7 percent from the free throw line in 9.0 attempts per game. Fantasy owners tolerated his poor free throw shooting in the past because of his dominance in scoring, rebounding and field goal percentage. But is it still worth punting the free throw category now that we have more and more rebounding and shot-blocking options in the league? He can still be a valuable fantasy asset, but only if you have a plan to protect against his free throw shooting. --BM
14. Brook Lopez, Bkn CYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics1731.4.563.8170.06.00.90.570.51.81.620.7
2015 Projections7031.1.536.7790.06.61.00.590.51.91.720.0
2015 Outlook: At 26, Lopez should be stepping into his prime years as a stud fantasy center, capable of averaging 20 PPG, 8 RPG, 2 BPG, 50 FG% and 80 FT%. Instead, he joins Derrick Rose as the ultimate fantasy wild cards this season due to his inability to stay healthy, plus he still can't seem to hit the glass at a respectable rate. Lopez has played a total of only 79 games the past three seasons and has had three foot surgeries. The hope is that his latest procedure will fix the problem permanently, but only time will tell. If Lopez can get back to full speed, new coach Lionel Hollins should get the most out of him. Consider drafting Lopez after all of the safe studs are gone. --TC
15. Nikola Vucevic, Orl C, PFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics5731.8.507.7660.011.01.80.931.10.82.014.2
2015 Projections7232.3.509.7290.011.32.01.051.00.91.915.1
2015 Outlook: 2013-14 was a disappointment for those who thought that Vucevic would build upon his breakout 2012-13 campaign. Injuries limited him to just 57 games and his production pretty much leveled off to where it was the previous season. Keep in mind, though, that Vuce doesn't turn 24 until just prior to this season, so there is plenty of room for growth on offense. In fact, he averaged 15.8 PPG on just 13.5 FGA (52.1 FG%) after the break last season, and he was much improved at the free throw line (76.6 FT% on the season), which hints at more upside beyond his high-end rebounding. The masses may be down on him after last season, which should allow you to get him at a good value on draft day. --TC