Complete 2015 Projections

Position: ALL | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | UTIL
     
PROJECTED 2015 SEASON STATS
1. Stephen Curry, GS PG, SGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics7836.5.471.8853.34.38.52.271.60.23.824.0582
2015 Projections7536.6.466.8833.34.27.92.251.60.23.523.2441
2015 Outlook: Many will be surprised to learn that it was Curry, not LeBron James, who finished second on the Player Rater behind Kevin Durant last season. With his ankle injuries a thing of the past, Curry posted a versatile 24.0 points, 4.3 boards, 8.5 assists, 1.6 steals and 3.3 3-pointers while shooting 47.1 percent from the floor and 88.5 percent from the line. The addition of backup Shaun Livingston may allow Curry to play off the ball a little more this season, which could result in a decrease in assists but with a corresponding bump in scoring. Either way, he's one of the most well-rounded options in fantasy leagues and should easily provide top-5 value this season. --BM
2. Chris Paul, LAC PGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics6235.0.467.8551.34.310.74.572.50.12.319.1559.5
2015 Projections7434.6.471.8651.24.010.14.392.50.12.318.5564.5
2015 Outlook: Paul delivered yet another dominant season finishing 12th on our Player Rater on the strength of 19.1 points, 10.7 assists, 2.5 steals and 1.3 3-pointers with his usual terrific efficiency despite missing 20 games with a shoulder injury. Few can match Paul's dominance in assists and steals, and even less can do it while shooting 47 percent from the floor and 85 percent from the line. The point guard position may be as good and as deep as it's ever been, but Paul is clearly an elite option among his peers. Draft him accordingly. --BM
3. Russell Westbrook*, OKC PGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics4630.7.437.8261.55.76.91.801.90.23.821.8245.5
2015 Projections7636.5.442.8141.45.97.61.902.00.24.025.0249
2015 Outlook: Although knee injuries limited him to just 46 games in 2013-14, Westbrook quickly regained his athleticism and explosiveness with 21.8 points, 5.7 boards, 6.9 assists, 1.9 steals and 1.5 3-pointers in just 30.7 minutes per game, quite impressive given the concerns around his recovery. In fact, his per-minute numbers may have been the best of his six-year career. Last season's knee troubles may have some owners worried, but don't forget that this is a guy who hadn't missed a single game in his career prior to last season. With Kevin Durant sidelined for the next 6-8 weeks, Westbrook will be asked shoulder a heavy offensive load to start the season. Already a first round pick, Westbrook can be bumped up a spot or two on your draft sheets. --BM
4. John Wall, Wsh PGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics8236.3.433.8051.34.18.82.441.80.53.619.3359.5
2015 Projections7335.9.440.8021.34.09.12.521.70.63.620.0295.5
2015 Outlook: As is the case for most young ballers -- even the extremely talented ones -- it took Wall a few seasons for his body to adjust to the rigors of an 82-game campaign and pull his entire statistical arsenal together. The payoff last season was a full 82-game slate of high-end production, accented by career highs of 19.3 PPG, 16.3 FGA, 8.8 APG and 1.8 SPG. Furthermore, he added a 3-point shot to his game, averaging 1.3 per game and a respectable 35.1 percent. So long as he stays healthy, Wall will match or exceed those numbers this season. He has had nagging issues with his left knee, but he's heading into his physical prime at 25, so the upside is worth the risk of an early draft pick. --TC
5. Damian Lillard, Por PGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics8235.8.424.8712.73.55.62.370.80.32.420.7351.5
2015 Projections8236.9.426.8622.53.45.92.270.80.32.620.0260
2015 Outlook: There was no sophomore slump for the 2012-13 NBA Rookie of the Year as Lillard finished inside the top 20 on our Player Rater for the second straight season. With averages of 20.7 points, 5.6 assists, 0.8 steals and 2.7 3-pointers per game while shooting 87.1 percent from the free throw line in 5.2 attempts per game, Lillard is already a borderline elite point guard option in fantasy leagues. We'd like to see him improve his field goal percentage and increase his defensive intensity, but there's still plenty to love about the 24-year-old. Consistent and durable (he hasn't missed a game in his two-year career), Lillard is an extremely safe selection in this season's fantasy drafts. --BM
6. Ty Lawson, Den PGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics6235.8.431.7981.23.58.82.721.60.23.217.6328.5
2015 Projections7535.1.454.7901.13.37.92.721.50.12.916.2316
2015 Outlook: Minor injuries forced Lawson to miss 20 games, but that didn't stop him from posting career highs in points (17.6), assists (8.8), and steals (1.6). As the team's main scorer and playmaker, Lawson saw his counting stats skyrocket at the expense of his field goal percentage, which dipped to a career-low 43.1 percent. The career 47.4 percent shooter should see improvements in his efficiency with added firepower in the form of a healthy Danilo Gallinari along with newcomers Arron Afflalo and Gary Harris. Provided that the Nuggets can remain healthy, we should expect a slight dip in scoring, but a corresponding bump in assists and field goal percentage from Lawson this season. He's not quite an elite option, but he's a great high-end second-tier point guard and a top 25-30 fantasy player. --BM
7. Kyle Lowry, Tor PGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics7936.2.423.8132.44.77.43.021.50.22.517.9467
2015 Projections7136.5.418.8162.34.67.62.921.50.32.617.1310.5
2015 Outlook: Lowry posted career-best numbers in nearly every category last season, including 17.9 PPG, 7.4 APG, 2.4 3s, 38.0 3-point percentage, 13.7 FGA and 4.9 FTA. He also played 79 games, the most since 2007-08. The catch? It was a contract season. So how much regression should we expect? Certainly it's hard to expect him to match or exceed last season's production. However, he is in his prime at 28, has little in the way of competition for minutes and the Raptors need him to run the offense and score. That means he will have every opportunity to remain a fantasy force. Just don't forget his shoddy FG percentage will hurt roto teams, and he is bound to spend some time in the infirmary. --TC
8. Kyrie Irving, Cle PGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics7135.2.430.8611.73.66.12.281.50.32.720.8292
2015 Projections7434.5.467.8581.93.36.02.401.60.32.518.9348
2015 Outlook: The arrival of LeBron James and Kevin Love means Irving's volume will take a significant hit. He is not going to get 17-18 FGA each game like he did the past two seasons. While that will keep his scoring limited, it might actually benefit him and his fantasy game. His propensity for injury is well documented, and a lessened load should keep him healthier. We also should see a significant jump in his FG percentage since he won't have to chuck shots out of necessity. Of course, the downside of having a pair of superstars join his squad is that we won't see him rise near the top of the Player Rater, as he likely would have as the lone star in Cleveland. --TC
9. Goran Dragic, Pho PG, SGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics7635.1.505.7601.63.25.92.101.40.32.820.3420.5
2015 Projections7733.5.487.7591.43.16.22.291.40.32.717.7326
2015 Outlook: After underperforming in his first season with Phoenix, Dragic delivered a brilliant post-hype breakout season for the Suns in 2013-14. He finished the season as a top-20 fantasy player on the strength of 20.3 points, 5.9 assists, 1.4 steals and 1.6 3-pointers while shooting better than 50 percent from the floor. Part of his breakout was aided by Eric Bledsoe's inability to stay on the court, but make no mistake, Dragic was dominant all season long. With newcomers Isaiah Thomas and Tyler Ennis in town, the Suns have a freakishly deep and exciting backcourt, which may cut into Dragic's bottom line. That said, he should remain a top-30 fantasy candidate as he has separated himself as the clear leader of the group. --BM
10. Mike Conley, Mem PGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics7333.5.450.8151.42.96.02.941.50.22.117.2331.5
2015 Projections7734.0.446.8231.42.86.12.901.80.22.116.0304
2015 Outlook: An underrated option in a deep crop of fantasy point guards, Conley posted career highs in points (17.2), field goal percentage (45.0) and 3-pointers (1.4) in 2013-14. His efforts were good enough to rank 37th on our Player Rater, despite the fact that his steal totals dropped from 2.2 per game to 1.5 per game last season. Conley can do a little bit of everything for fantasy owners, and he has top-20 potential if he can return to his dominant steal numbers. He's rarely injured, and is an extremely safe second-tier fantasy point guard. --BM
11. Monta Ellis, Dal SG, PGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics8236.9.451.7880.83.65.71.781.70.33.219.0259
2015 Projections7837.2.438.7871.03.75.91.841.80.33.219.3159.5
2015 Outlook: Armed with top-notch quickness and speed, Ellis can be a dynamic fantasy player thanks to his ability to fill up the stat sheet in points, assists, steals and 3-pointers. He was terrific in his first season in Dallas, finishing 22nd on our Player Rater thanks to his 19.0 points, 5.7 assists, 1.7 steals and 0.8 3-pointers. Improved shot selection resulted in fewer 3-point attempts (2.5) but a corresponding bump in field goal percentage (45.1 percent). Chandler Parsons' arrival adds a bit more firepower to the Mavericks lineup, but there's still plenty of ball to go around for Ellis to remain a borderline elite option in fantasy leagues. --BM
12. Eric Bledsoe, Pho PG, SGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics4332.9.477.7721.24.75.51.641.60.33.317.7204
2015 Projections7031.6.465.7760.94.55.11.651.50.63.115.5180.5
2015 Outlook: Bledsoe's first season as a starter in Phoenix was marred by a knee injury that forced him to miss 39 games, but that didn't stop him from proving that he could be as productive as a starter as he was off the bench for the Clippers. With 17.7 points, 4.7 boards, 5.5 assists, 1.6 steals and 1.2 3-pointers in 32.9 minutes, Bledsoe was a top-25 fantasy player when healthy. He'll likely lose a few minutes with newcomer Isaiah Thomas in town, but Bledsoe is a rare talent who should be able to retain most of his production in the Suns' deep and exciting backcourt as long as he can keep himself healthy. --BM
13. Kemba Walker, Cha PGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics7335.8.393.8371.54.26.12.641.20.42.317.7242.5
2015 Projections7735.1.417.8221.34.05.62.441.50.42.317.4182.5
2015 Outlook: Walker is just 24 years old but already has proved capable of being the center point of an offense. Even better, that has been reflected in statistical production in every guard category; he can score, dish, swipe, drop 3s and even hit the glass. If he's going to take his game (both fantasy and NBA) to the next level, though, he will have to substantially increase his career 39.8 FG%. The addition of Lance Stephenson to the Hornets' backcourt could help by lessening the offensive pressure on Walker, thus improving his shot selection. Walker isn't likely to explode beyond what we've seen from him the past two seasons, but he is a safe draft target. --TC
14. Derrick Rose, Chi PGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics1031.1.354.8441.63.24.31.260.50.13.415.9-15
2015 Projections6534.4.449.8181.43.47.12.030.80.53.521.7161
2015 Outlook: There is a reason why you play the lotto for only $1: Because the risk of spending a buck on a big jackpot is reasonable. But you don't bet the house on the lotto, because you wouldn't risk losing your home for a longshot. You should address Rose in the same manner. Rose could be a top-five jackpot, but history (missed 197 of the past 246 games) suggests that he is a lotto-sized longshot to pay off. Let someone else take the risk in the first round or two of your drafts, but consider him if he slips into the third round when the investment is more practical. --TC
15. Jrue Holiday, Nor PGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics3433.6.447.8100.94.27.92.551.60.43.114.3131.5
2015 Projections6934.9.438.7741.04.07.22.321.60.43.115.4149
2015 Outlook: Holiday's first season in New Orleans was marred by a right tibia injury that forced him out of all but 34 games. He did manage 14.3 points, 4.2 rebounds, 7.9 assists, 1.6 steals, and 0.9 3-pointers prior to the injury. Reportedly healthy, Holiday should be a big part of the Pelicans' plans in 2014-15. His scoring has dipped from his days in Philadelphia, but he's an extremely well-rounded point guard option as long as he can keep himself on the court. Injuries haven't been a problem in the past, so Holiday looks like a good bounce-back candidate. --BM