Complete 2015 Projections

Season:

The default order for player projections is based on ESPN.com's recommended draft rankings, which take into account projected total points as well as upside and risk.

Position: ALL | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | UTIL
     
PROJECTED 2015 SEASON STATS
16. Derrick Favors, Uta PF, CYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics7330.2.522.6690.08.71.20.711.01.51.813.3426.5
2015 Projections7533.1.512.6730.09.81.30.621.11.82.114.2117.5
2015 Outlook: In a season that will be considered a disappointment by most, Favors underperformed compared to his high expectations, but still managed to finish 56th on our Player Rater after a strong second half. With averages of 14.0 points, 8.3 rebounds, 1.1 steals and 1.7 blocks while shooting 55.2 percent from the floor in just 29.7 minutes per game after the All-Star break, it's easy to see the 23-year-old's massive potential. Some owners may be wary after spending a high draft pick last season on Favors, but the big man is still improving, and is a perfect post-hype breakout candidate as he enters his fifth season in the league. --BM
17. David Lee, GS PF, CYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics6933.2.523.7800.09.32.10.970.70.42.218.2420
2015 Projections7033.5.519.7820.09.52.51.090.70.32.317.9106
2015 Outlook: Always a dominant rebounder who has a nose for tracking down loose balls, Lee is more than just a double-double machine in fantasy leagues thanks to his impressive percentages. He's not a shot-blocker, but his owners don't complain when he's putting up 18-20 points and 9-11 rebounds per night. The 31-year-old may lose a minute or two per game if the Warriors play small with Draymond Green and Harrison Barnes, but he is still a quality top 40-50 fantasy pick as long as you can find your blocks elsewhere. --BM
18. Pau Gasol, Chi PF, CYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics6031.4.480.7360.19.73.41.430.51.52.417.4351.5
2015 Projections6429.0.515.7740.18.43.11.550.41.22.015.6127.5
2015 Outlook: Gasol proved last season that even on a pathetic Lakers team, he could churn out quality stats (especially dimes for a center) despite a relatively limited workload (career-low 31.4 MPG). His scoring surely will take a hit on the talented Bulls, but he'll rack up double-doubles with nice assists and percentages while scoring in the teens. He's a solid big man to target in the middle rounds. --TC
19. Marcin Gortat, Wsh CYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics8132.8.542.6860.09.51.71.100.51.51.613.2542
2015 Projections7432.1.541.6810.09.71.51.000.61.51.513.9184.5
2015 Outlook: The Wizards liked what they saw from Gortat during his first season with the team and rewarded the unrestricted free agent with a five-year, $60 million deal. His offensive role expanded last season when Nene got hurt -- 9.6 FGA/11.9 PPG pre-All-Star break; 11.8 FGA, 15.4 PPG post-break -- and Gortat should be up in that range throughout the '14-15 campaign. --TC
20. Tim Duncan, SA PF, CYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics7429.2.490.7310.09.73.01.380.61.92.115.1491
2015 Projections7027.9.494.7490.09.02.71.350.61.62.014.1115
2015 Outlook: On the strength of some fantastic per-minute numbers, Duncan averaged 15.1 points, 9.7 rebounds and 1.9 blocks despite seeing only 29.1 minutes per game. His efforts were good enough to place the 38-year-old 33rd on our Player Rater by season's end. While it is clear that he still has a lot left in the tank, fantasy owners should still have some concerns about his lack of playing time in regular-season action. Duncan isn't getting any younger, so be aware that Gregg Popovich will continue to limit his minutes throughout the regular season in an effort to keep him fresh for the playoffs. --BM
21. Markieff Morris, Pho PF, CYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics8126.6.486.7920.46.01.80.980.80.61.813.8321
2015 Projections7930.5.461.7800.66.81.90.951.00.82.014.285.5
2015 Outlook: Boasting quality per-minute production over the course of his three-year career, Morris impressed with 15.8 points, 6.4 rebounds and 0.9 blocks in 29.1 minutes per game after the All-Star break last season. A versatile forward, he will have an opportunity to earn more minutes in the Suns' frontcourt with Channing Frye headed to Orlando. With his prospects for increased minutes, Morris should be considered a moderate breakout candidate in 2014-15. --BM
22. Jonas Valanciunas, Tor CYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics8128.2.531.7620.08.80.70.420.30.91.711.3407.5
2015 Projections7730.9.546.7690.09.40.80.420.31.21.914.2110
2015 Outlook: Valanciunas is going to break out at some point, and it's entirely possible it could be this season. We started to see some maturation from Valanciunas in the second half of last season, as his fouls per game dropped from 3.2 to 2.8 after the All-Star break, which allowed him to stay on the court more. He hinted at his real upside when he averaged 16.8 PPG, 11.0 RPG, 0.9 BPG, 57.6 percent FG and 76.6 percent FT in eight April games. His baseline this season will be as a nightly double-double threat with quality percentages, making him a quality option in points leagues. If things click, he could genuinely break out as a scorer, too. Roto leaguers should note that he is not a shot-blocking center. --TC
23. Robin Lopez, Por CYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics8231.8.551.8180.08.50.90.870.31.71.011.1604.5
2015 Projections7930.2.540.7970.07.70.90.820.41.71.111.3170
2015 Outlook: An underrated fantasy center, Lopez impressed in his first season with the Blazers with 11.1 points, 8.5 boards and 1.7 blocks in 31.2 minutes while starting all 82 games. Shot-blocking is his most redeeming quality, but don't discount his terrific percentages: 55.1 percent from the floor and 81.8 percent from the line. The Blazers rely heavily on Lopez's ability to protect the rim, so the arrival of backup Chris Kaman shouldn't hurt his bottom line much if at all. --BM
24. Nerlens Noel, Phi CYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics--------------------------
2015 Projections7331.4.512.6020.08.31.00.501.12.42.015.3113.5
2015 Outlook: The Sixers made a long-term investment when they drafted Noel in 2013, and they stuck to their guns and didn't play him at all last season. Now it's time for the payoff, as Noel is 100 percent over his torn ACL and will get all of the minutes he can handle on the super-young Sixers roster. We know that the blocks, steals and rebounds will come right away for the 20-year-old. His true upside will depend on how well he settles in as a scorer. The long-term potential could be something like 20 PPG, 11 RPG, 1.5 SPG, 3.0 BPG. And considering how many minutes and touches are available for Noel, it's not inconceivable that he could do at least 17 PPG, 9 RPG and 2.5 BPG right out of the gate. --TC
25. Greg Monroe, Det PF, CYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics8232.8.497.6570.09.32.11.031.10.62.015.2490
2015 Projections8231.5.496.6730.09.02.41.091.10.62.214.787.5
2015 Outlook: Monroe's plan to secure a big offer sheet as a restricted free agent was a complete flop, as he drummed up zero interest before slinking back to sign the Pistons' qualifying offer. Fantasy owners didn't win here, either, since this means Monroe rejoins Andre Drummond and Josh Smith in a packed frontcourt. Considering Drummond is ready to claim his spot as an NBA star and Smoove is under contract for three more seasons, this is almost certainly Monroe's last season in Motown, so Monroe might get the short end of the stick. That should leave him as a middling big man who can't block shots and doesn't shoot free throws well. There are better players to target in the middle rounds. --TC
26. Jordan Hill, LAL PF, CYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics7220.8.549.6850.07.40.80.720.40.91.09.7376
2015 Projections7224.6.540.6790.08.70.90.690.51.11.311.1100.5
2015 Outlook: Hill's per-minute production over the course of his five-year career indicates a player that's fully capable of breaking out if an opportunity for expanded minutes presents itself. Penciled in as the starting center in L.A., Hill just might get his opportunity this season after posting a productive 12.8 points, 8.6 rebounds, and 1.3 blocks in only 24.3 minutes per game after the All-Star break. The 27-year-old will need to find a way to keep himself on the court for 25-30 minutes per game, but he should be viewed as a quality sleeper candidate after his impressive second half. --BM
27. Nikola Pekovic, Min CYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics5430.8.540.7470.08.70.90.600.60.41.617.4372.5
2015 Projections6930.5.536.7500.08.50.90.560.60.61.616.6123.5
2015 Outlook: Ankle injuries marred an otherwise fine season for Pekovic, as the big man averaged 17.4 points and 8.7 rebounds but saw action in just 54 games. Pek can score in the paint, and he's one of the league's best offensive rebounders with 3.8 per game, but his 0.6 steals and 0.4 blocks per contest puts a cap on his fantasy upside. There are some red flags here -- like his injury history and the presence of Gorgui Dieng -- but Pek will be a big contributor in points and boards when he's on the court. Look for him in the mid-to-late rounds and cross your fingers that he'll stay healthy. --BM
28. Roy Hibbert, Ind CYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics8129.7.439.7700.06.61.10.610.42.21.810.8235.5
2015 Projections8031.0.450.7540.08.11.30.650.52.42.012.79
2015 Outlook: He may be the most perplexing player in the NBA and fantasyland. Hibbert is 7-foot-2, 290 pounds, yet he averaged only 6.6 RPG while hitting a meager 43.9 percent of his field-goal attempts and an incomprehensible 32.0 percent of shots within three feet of the rim last season. Ironically, he shot a career-high 77.0 FT%, for whatever that's worth. It's hard to believe in him right now, but at 27 he's entering his prime and will be given every chance to prove worthy of major role on both ends of the court with Paul George and Lance Stephenson out of the picture. Despite the requisite skepticism, there is plenty of potential here, if you can get him on the cheap on draft day. --TC
29. Nene Hilario, Wsh PF, CYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics5329.4.503.5830.05.52.91.311.20.92.214.2171.5
2015 Projections4828.6.501.6300.05.92.81.261.10.82.213.065
2015 Outlook: There are no secrets to Nene's fantasy value. He will post helpful numbers in just about every category besides FT percentage and 3s -- and he will get hurt and miss a large chunk of the season. He's 33 now, which means he will become even more prone to injury in the coming years. If you draft him, keep your IR spot open. --TC
30. Tyson Chandler, Dal CYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics5530.2.593.6320.09.61.10.830.71.11.38.7378
2015 Projections6431.3.619.6650.09.91.00.710.71.21.49.6152.5
2015 Outlook: Still one of the league's best interior defenders, Chandler returns to Dallas after injuries limited him to just 55 games in New York last season. Chandler has never been an offensive force, and he doesn't block as many shots as we'd like from a defensive specialist (1.1), but he's still a monster in the paint as a rebounder. Injuries are always a concern, but Chandler can offer solid value late in standard league drafts if he can remain healthy in 2014-15. --BM