Complete 2015 Projections

Position: ALL | PG | SG | SF | PF | C
     
PROJECTED 2015 SEASON STATS
1. LeBron James, Cle SF, PFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics7737.7.567.7501.56.96.41.811.60.33.527.12883
2015 Projections7535.5.572.7551.35.95.61.751.80.93.223.42454
2015 Outlook: LeBron's production was already sliding down a bit as he headed toward his 30s, and now that he'll turn 30 this season on a team with a couple of young stars, his minutes and workload will decrease further. Of course, this is all relative, because he's still the best player in the world and "fell" only to third on the Player Rater last season. Still, his reign as King of Fantasy has likely passed. Still, don't be surprised if his FG percentage rises once again, plus, we could also see an uptick in steals and blocks as he takes advantage of having less on his plate offensively. James will also benefit long term from a scaled-back role, so dynasty leaguers can expect him to be a fantasy force for many years to come. --TC
2. Anthony Davis, Nor PF, CYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics6735.2.519.7910.010.01.60.961.32.81.620.82357
2015 Projections7036.6.519.7810.010.41.50.881.42.71.720.12314
2015 Outlook: After just two seasons in the league, Davis has already proven to be one of the more dynamic fantasy players that we've seen in a long time. Averaging 20.8 points, 10.0 rebounds, 1.3 steals, and 2.8 blocks while shooting 51.9 percent from the floor and 79.1 percent from the line, Davis was scary-good as a sophomore. Those numbers were enough to place him 7th on our Player Rater despite missing 15 games with minor injuries throughout the season. Injuries are a slight concern after he's played in just 64 and 67 games in his first two seasons, but Davis is so talented that he's still a top-5 pick, and a strong argument could be made for taking him third overall after Kevin Durant and LeBron James. --BM
3. Stephen Curry, GS PG, SGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics7836.5.471.8853.34.38.52.271.60.23.824.02784
2015 Projections7536.6.466.8833.34.27.92.251.60.23.523.22483
2015 Outlook: Many will be surprised to learn that it was Curry, not LeBron James, who finished second on the Player Rater behind Kevin Durant last season. With his ankle injuries a thing of the past, Curry posted a versatile 24.0 points, 4.3 boards, 8.5 assists, 1.6 steals and 3.3 3-pointers while shooting 47.1 percent from the floor and 88.5 percent from the line. The addition of backup Shaun Livingston may allow Curry to play off the ball a little more this season, which could result in a decrease in assists but with a corresponding bump in scoring. Either way, he's one of the most well-rounded options in fantasy leagues and should easily provide top-5 value this season. --BM
4. Chris Paul, LAC PGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics6235.0.467.8551.34.310.74.572.50.12.319.12196
2015 Projections7434.6.471.8651.24.010.14.392.50.12.318.52384
2015 Outlook: Paul delivered yet another dominant season finishing 12th on our Player Rater on the strength of 19.1 points, 10.7 assists, 2.5 steals and 1.3 3-pointers with his usual terrific efficiency despite missing 20 games with a shoulder injury. Few can match Paul's dominance in assists and steals, and even less can do it while shooting 47 percent from the floor and 85 percent from the line. The point guard position may be as good and as deep as it's ever been, but Paul is clearly an elite option among his peers. Draft him accordingly. --BM
5. James Harden, Hou SGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics7338.0.456.8662.44.76.11.681.60.43.625.42478
2015 Projections7337.0.453.8602.34.65.71.631.60.43.524.22321
2015 Outlook: Harden was masterful in his second season with the Rockets posting a versatile 25.4 points, 4.7 rebounds, 6.1 assists, 1.6 steals and 2.4 3-pointers on the season. Those numbers, along with his 86.6 percent shooting in 9.1 free throw attempts per game, were good enough to finish fifth on our Player Rater in 2013-14. With Chandler Parsons and Jeremy Lin gone, and Trevor Ariza brought in, Harden may be asked to do even more for the Rockets on the offensive end. He's an easy first-round selection, and an argument could be made to take him with a top-5 pick this season. --BM
6. Russell Westbrook, OKC PGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics4630.7.437.8261.55.76.91.801.90.23.821.81494
2015 Projections7636.5.442.8141.45.97.61.902.00.24.025.02688
2015 Outlook: Although knee injuries limited him to just 46 games in 2013-14, Westbrook quickly regained his athleticism and explosiveness with 21.8 points, 5.7 boards, 6.9 assists, 1.9 steals and 1.5 3-pointers in just 30.7 minutes per game, quite impressive given the concerns around his recovery. In fact, his per-minute numbers may have been the best of his six-year career. Last season's knee troubles may have some owners worried, but don't forget that this is a guy who hadn't missed a single game in his career prior to last season. With Kevin Durant sidelined for the next 6-8 weeks, Westbrook will be asked shoulder a heavy offensive load to start the season. Already a first round pick, Westbrook can be bumped up a spot or two on your draft sheets. --BM
7. John Wall, Wsh PGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics8236.3.433.8051.34.18.82.441.80.53.619.32551
2015 Projections7335.9.440.8021.34.09.12.521.70.63.620.02240
2015 Outlook: As is the case for most young ballers -- even the extremely talented ones -- it took Wall a few seasons for his body to adjust to the rigors of an 82-game campaign and pull his entire statistical arsenal together. The payoff last season was a full 82-game slate of high-end production, accented by career highs of 19.3 PPG, 16.3 FGA, 8.8 APG and 1.8 SPG. Furthermore, he added a 3-point shot to his game, averaging 1.3 per game and a respectable 35.1 percent. So long as he stays healthy, Wall will match or exceed those numbers this season. He has had nagging issues with his left knee, but he's heading into his physical prime at 25, so the upside is worth the risk of an early draft pick. --TC
8. Carmelo Anthony, NY SF, PFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics7738.7.452.8482.28.13.11.221.20.72.627.42908
2015 Projections7538.2.463.8382.07.73.41.311.30.62.628.32809
2015 Outlook: Melo has been a fantasy beast for a decade, as he combined his tremendous offensive skill set with a ball-hog mentality. Now the Knicks are turning to the triangle offense, which stresses team-ball movement, pretty much the opposite of what's worked for Melo in the past. Can the Zen Master teach the old dog new tricks from the front office? Melo shed weight during the offseason and has said the right things, so it's at least possible. Ideally, he'll remain in the scoring-title race and we'll see an increase in FG% and APG, creating a much better all-around fantasy player. His biggest obstacle may be a talent-thin roster that lacks a “Robin” to his “Batman” a la Pippen-Jordan, Kobe-Shaq, Pau-Kobe. --TC
9. DeMarcus Cousins, Sac C, PFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics7132.4.496.7260.011.72.90.821.51.33.522.72597
2015 Projections7432.6.483.7260.011.52.70.791.51.23.421.22417
2015 Outlook: Cousins put it all together in his fourth professional season, posting 22.7 points, 11.7 boards, 1.5 steals, and 1.3 blocks per game and finishing 18th on our Player Rater despite missing 11 games. Boogie has had some issues with consistency and maturity early in his career, but his talent is undeniable and he's already turned himself into a borderline first-round fantasy selection as one of the few elite centers on the draft board. The Kings will rely heavily on Cousins again this season, and fantasy owners should feel confident taking him in the late first/early second rounds. --BM
10. Serge Ibaka, OKC PF, CYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics8132.9.536.7840.38.81.00.690.52.71.515.12200
2015 Projections7934.0.544.7580.38.90.90.560.53.11.615.62114
2015 Outlook: Ibaka followed up an impressive 2012-13 campaign by finishing ninth on our Player Rater in 2013-14 on the strength of his dominant shot-blocking and improved efficiency on the offensive end. Many have criticized Ibaka's somewhat pedestrian offensive totals, but Serge still had a fantastic season posting career-highs in minutes (32.9), points (15.1), rebounds (8.8), and free throw percentage (78.4 percent). He led the league in blocks for the third straight season with 219, and his all-around game has steadily improved during his first five years in the league. Given his strengths, he makes for a terrific second-round selection in fantasy leagues. --BM
11. Blake Griffin, LAC PFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics8035.8.528.7150.29.53.91.381.20.62.824.12857
2015 Projections7934.9.533.7110.19.33.71.421.10.62.621.22459
2015 Outlook: Griffin has always been a dominant scorer and rebounder, but it was his improvement at the free throw line that allowed him to turn in the best fantasy season of his career. With 24.1 points, 9.5 boards, 3.9 assists, and 1.2 steals while shooting 52.8 percent from the floor, Griffin is a top-20 fantasy player if his 71.5 percent shooting from the line is for real. And why wouldn't it be? He's improved his free throw percentage in each of the past two seasons, and had a pretty good sample size of 674 attempts last season. He doesn't block as many shots as we'd like from our big men and the arrival of Spencer Hawes may cut into his scoring slightly, but he's still a quality second-round pick in fantasy drafts. --BM
12. Kawhi Leonard*, SA SF, SGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics6629.1.522.8021.06.22.01.661.70.81.212.81469
2015 Projections7434.7.514.8121.27.22.21.702.00.81.315.91953
2015 Outlook: Slowed by a fractured hand to start the season, Leonard delivered an absolutely brilliant second half culminating with his MVP performance in the NBA Finals. Despite his slow start, he was easily a top-10 fantasy player after the All-Star break with 14.7 points, 6.5 rebounds, 1.8 steals, 1.2 blocks and 1.4 3-pointers while shooting 53.1 percent from the floor and 86.2 percent from the line over his last 25 games. Now a full-blown superstar on an aging Spurs roster, Leonard is poised to deliver a full breakout in 2014-15. He's a borderline first-round draft pick in fantasy leagues thanks to his statistical diversity and upside. --BM
13. LaMarcus Aldridge, Por PF, CYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics6936.2.458.8220.011.12.61.450.91.01.823.22611
2015 Projections7436.7.461.8200.010.22.61.360.91.01.922.22521
2015 Outlook: On the strength of his scoring and efficiency, Aldridge finished the season ranked 31st on our Player Rater despite missing 13 games. With 23.2 points, 11.1 rebounds, 0.9 steals and 1.0 blocks, Aldridge is as solid as they come, though we'd love to see a few more blocks out of our big men. He makes up for his relative lack of blocks by being one of the few big men who can hit his free throws at an 80 percent clip. Fantasy owners should note that his field goal percentage is trending down as he has relied more on midrange jumpers in recent seasons. Still, he's been a perennial top 20-30 player for four years running now, and is an extremely safe fantasy investment. --BM
14. Kevin Love, Cle PF, CYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics7736.3.457.8212.512.54.41.750.80.52.526.13310
2015 Projections7835.8.471.8132.212.23.41.420.80.62.422.22766
2015 Outlook: It's going to be an interesting transition for Love as he goes from being the sole offensive weapon on his team to one part of a superstar triumvirate. Even in that role, he will be a high-end fantasy beast, but the question is to what extent his overall production will wane. He'll take fewer shots each game, and his teammates will help keep opposing defenses from keying solely on him, which should lead to a significant bump in FG percentage. He'll still hit the boards, but the presence of LeBron James and Anderson Varejao will put a cap on how many he can grab. Expect his FTAs and 3-point production to remain big, too. He might not be top five, but he will remain an impact fantasy option in all formats. --TC
15. Al Jefferson, Cha CYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics7335.0.509.6900.010.82.11.250.91.11.721.82603
2015 Projections7634.6.503.7230.010.32.11.400.91.21.522.72633
2015 Outlook: Big Albus is either injured or dominating the paint. His first season with Charlotte was no exception, as a preseason ankle injury slowed him early on before he settled in to average 24.5 PPG, 11.4 RPG, 2.2 APG and 53.3 FG% after the All-Star break. However, his season ended in the playoffs with plantar fasciitis. He should be fine when the regular season gets underway this season, and it's safe to pen him in for at least 20 PPG, 10 RPG and 50 FG%. Health-permitting, Jefferson can be a top-five fantasy center and is particularly helpful in points leagues. --TC