Complete 2015 Projections

Position: ALL | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | G | F | UTIL
     
PROJECTED 2015 SEASON STATS
16. Damian Lillard, Por PGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics8235.8.424.8712.73.55.62.370.80.32.420.71527
2015 Projections8236.9.426.8622.53.45.92.270.80.32.620.01485
2015 Outlook: There was no sophomore slump for the 2012-13 NBA Rookie of the Year as Lillard finished inside the top 20 on our Player Rater for the second straight season. With averages of 20.7 points, 5.6 assists, 0.8 steals and 2.7 3-pointers per game while shooting 87.1 percent from the free throw line in 5.2 attempts per game, Lillard is already a borderline elite point guard option in fantasy leagues. We'd like to see him improve his field goal percentage and increase his defensive intensity, but there's still plenty to love about the 24-year-old. Consistent and durable (he hasn't missed a game in his two-year career), Lillard is an extremely safe selection in this season's fantasy drafts. --BM
17. Chris Bosh, Mia C, PFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics7932.0.516.8200.96.61.10.701.01.01.616.21413
2015 Projections7436.1.492.8110.87.71.50.651.11.22.322.51639
2015 Outlook: The departure of LeBron James is great news for the fantasy value of Bosh. Those who have been playing fantasy hoops only while Bosh has been with the Heat should go take a look back at what he did when he was still north of the border to see his tremendous upside. He's only 30, and his limited role with the Heat also limited the wear and tear on his body. Look for Bosh to return to form, averaging more than 20 PPG with terrific percentages, especially free throws, where he likely will be among the league leaders in attempts. --TC
18. Ty Lawson, Den PGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics6235.8.431.7981.23.58.82.721.60.23.217.61217
2015 Projections7535.1.454.7901.13.37.92.721.50.12.916.21387
2015 Outlook: Minor injuries forced Lawson to miss 20 games, but that didn't stop him from posting career highs in points (17.6), assists (8.8), and steals (1.6). As the team's main scorer and playmaker, Lawson saw his counting stats skyrocket at the expense of his field goal percentage, which dipped to a career-low 43.1 percent. The career 47.4 percent shooter should see improvements in his efficiency with added firepower in the form of a healthy Danilo Gallinari along with newcomers Arron Afflalo and Gary Harris. Provided that the Nuggets can remain healthy, we should expect a slight dip in scoring, but a corresponding bump in assists and field goal percentage from Lawson this season. He's not quite an elite option, but he's a great high-end second-tier point guard and a top 25-30 fantasy player. --BM
19. Nicolas Batum*, Por SF, SGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics8236.0.465.8031.87.55.12.020.90.72.513.01547
2015 Projections7836.1.452.8181.96.74.71.961.00.82.413.51411
2015 Outlook: One of the most unique fantasy players in the game, Batum finished 17th on our Player Rater on the strength of his statistical diversity. Batum won't dominate any one particular category, but with 13.0 points, 7.5 rebounds, 5.1 assists, 0.9 steals, 0.7 blocks and 1.8 3-pointers with terrific percentages, the 25-year-old is one of the most well-rounded fantasy players in the game. We'd love to see him get back up over a steal and a block per game, but there's very little to complain about with Batum's fantasy game. He's a second-round talent who may fall into the third round due to his lack of scoring. --BM
20. Dirk Nowitzki, Dal PFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics8032.9.497.8991.66.22.71.850.90.61.521.71772
2015 Projections7631.0.488.8951.46.12.51.790.80.61.419.81550
2015 Outlook: Bouncing back from a down year in 2012-13, Nowitzki showed no signs of slowing down with 21.7 points, 6.2 boards, 0.9 steals and 1.6 3-pointers while shooting 49.7 percent from the floor and 89.9 percent from the line. He may be 36, but he's still a fantastic fantasy option thanks to his ability to contribute in multiple statistical categories while providing dominant field goal and free throw percentages. The addition of Chandler Parsons may cut into his scoring output, but there's certainly enough ball to go around for Nowitzki to remain a top-20 fantasy option this season. --BM
21. Kyle Lowry, Tor PGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics7936.2.423.8132.44.77.43.021.50.22.517.91619
2015 Projections7136.5.418.8162.34.67.62.921.50.32.617.11414
2015 Outlook: Lowry posted career-best numbers in nearly every category last season, including 17.9 PPG, 7.4 APG, 2.4 3s, 38.0 3-point percentage, 13.7 FGA and 4.9 FTA. He also played 79 games, the most since 2007-08. The catch? It was a contract season. So how much regression should we expect? Certainly it's hard to expect him to match or exceed last season's production. However, he is in his prime at 28, has little in the way of competition for minutes and the Raptors need him to run the offense and score. That means he will have every opportunity to remain a fantasy force. Just don't forget his shoddy FG percentage will hurt roto teams, and he is bound to spend some time in the infirmary. --TC
22. Kevin Durant*, OKC SFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics8138.5.503.8732.47.45.51.561.30.73.532.02572
2015 Projections5038.4.504.8792.17.65.01.431.30.93.530.41535
2015 Outlook: News that Durant will miss 6-8 weeks with a Jones fracture in his right foot has knocked Durant from the No. 1 spot in our rankings. He’ll likely miss the first 20-25 games of the season, but should resume his status as the No. 1 fantasy player upon his return. He’ll be a much more attractive option in head-to-head leagues, but can still be taken with a top-50 pick given his post-return upside. --BM
23. Marc Gasol, Mem CYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics5933.4.473.7680.07.23.61.941.01.31.914.61091
2015 Projections7034.4.479.7890.07.63.71.951.01.51.914.51360
2015 Outlook: After finishing the 2012-13 season ranked ninth on our Player Rater, Gasol struggled through the first half of the 2013-14 season with a knee injury before turning it on after the All-Star break. His season-end totals are slightly depressed after his slow start, but Gasol averaged 15.9 points, 8.0 rebounds, 3.8 assists, 1.0 steals and 1.5 blocks over his last 30 games. He won't dominate any one particular category, but he's a great building block for any fantasy team due to his across the board productivity. He'll be a great value pick in the third or fourth round in fantasy leagues this season. --BM
24. Kyrie Irving, Cle PGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics7135.2.430.8611.73.66.12.281.50.32.720.81359
2015 Projections7434.5.467.8581.93.36.02.401.60.32.518.91433
2015 Outlook: The arrival of LeBron James and Kevin Love means Irving's volume will take a significant hit. He is not going to get 17-18 FGA each game like he did the past two seasons. While that will keep his scoring limited, it might actually benefit him and his fantasy game. His propensity for injury is well documented, and a lessened load should keep him healthier. We also should see a significant jump in his FG percentage since he won't have to chuck shots out of necessity. Of course, the downside of having a pair of superstars join his squad is that we won't see him rise near the top of the Player Rater, as he likely would have as the lone star in Cleveland. --TC
25. Goran Dragic, Pho PG, SGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics7635.1.505.7601.63.25.92.101.40.32.820.31506
2015 Projections7733.5.487.7591.43.16.22.291.40.32.717.71398
2015 Outlook: After underperforming in his first season with Phoenix, Dragic delivered a brilliant post-hype breakout season for the Suns in 2013-14. He finished the season as a top-20 fantasy player on the strength of 20.3 points, 5.9 assists, 1.4 steals and 1.6 3-pointers while shooting better than 50 percent from the floor. Part of his breakout was aided by Eric Bledsoe's inability to stay on the court, but make no mistake, Dragic was dominant all season long. With newcomers Isaiah Thomas and Tyler Ennis in town, the Suns have a freakishly deep and exciting backcourt, which may cut into Dragic's bottom line. That said, he should remain a top-30 fantasy candidate as he has separated himself as the clear leader of the group. --BM
26. Mike Conley, Mem PGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics7333.5.450.8151.42.96.02.941.50.22.117.21265
2015 Projections7734.0.446.8231.42.86.12.901.80.22.116.01302
2015 Outlook: An underrated option in a deep crop of fantasy point guards, Conley posted career highs in points (17.2), field goal percentage (45.0) and 3-pointers (1.4) in 2013-14. His efforts were good enough to rank 37th on our Player Rater, despite the fact that his steal totals dropped from 2.2 per game to 1.5 per game last season. Conley can do a little bit of everything for fantasy owners, and he has top-20 potential if he can return to his dominant steal numbers. He's rarely injured, and is an extremely safe second-tier fantasy point guard. --BM
27. Joakim Noah, Chi CYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics8035.3.475.7370.011.35.42.221.21.52.412.61856
2015 Projections7434.8.503.7410.011.04.11.781.31.72.312.41662
2015 Outlook: Noah was outstanding last season, averaging 13.8 PPG, 7.0 APG, 10.8 RPG, 1.7 BPG, 1.5 SPG, 48.5 FG% and 76.7 FT% after the break. That likely was his career-best campaign, though. He's had injury problems in the past and turns 30 midseason. Plus, the addition of Pau Gasol and the return of Derrick Rose should bring his assist production down significantly. He will be a stud fantasy center; just don't overvalue him based on last season. --TC
28. Paul Millsap, Atl PFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics7433.5.461.7311.08.53.11.251.71.12.517.91540
2015 Projections7633.7.472.7401.08.43.21.391.81.22.318.11644
2015 Outlook: Millsap's production last season proved what all of us fantasy heads knew, which is that Millsap would be a statistical beast if given a full-time starter role. He never got that chance with the Utah Jazz. He's only 29 years old and still has several good years ahead of him. The big question now is how much of last season's production he will maintain with Al Horford back in the mix. Look for his overall value to remain the same; while his scoring may recede, he should make up for that with an improved FG% and, perhaps, career-high marks in steals and 3-pointers. --TC
29. Andre Drummond, Det C, PFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics8132.3.623.4180.013.20.40.321.21.61.413.51842
2015 Projections8235.3.620.4470.014.10.60.351.42.01.717.52114
2015 Outlook: It's mindblowing that a 20-year-old could average 13.5 PPG, 13.2 RPG, 1.6 BPG, 1.2 SPG and 62.3 percent FG. He further revealed his true upside when he averaged 18.4 PPG and 17.4 RPG on just 11.9 FGA during the final eight games. Of course, Drummond's big hang-up is his free throw shooting, which "improved" to 41.8 percent last season. Those final eight games were particularly rough, since he took 7.3 FTA per game at 43.1 percent. You don't need to be a statistician to know his free throws will be tough to overcome in roto leagues, a la Shaq and D12. That makes him a better play in points leagues, but just like Shaq and D12 before him, Drummond will be a beast in all formats if you can handle his woes at the stripe. --TC
30. Monta Ellis, Dal SG, PGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics8236.9.451.7880.83.65.71.781.70.33.219.01433
2015 Projections7837.2.438.7871.03.75.91.841.80.33.219.31362
2015 Outlook: Armed with top-notch quickness and speed, Ellis can be a dynamic fantasy player thanks to his ability to fill up the stat sheet in points, assists, steals and 3-pointers. He was terrific in his first season in Dallas, finishing 22nd on our Player Rater thanks to his 19.0 points, 5.7 assists, 1.7 steals and 0.8 3-pointers. Improved shot selection resulted in fewer 3-point attempts (2.5) but a corresponding bump in field goal percentage (45.1 percent). Chandler Parsons' arrival adds a bit more firepower to the Mavericks lineup, but there's still plenty of ball to go around for Ellis to remain a borderline elite option in fantasy leagues. --BM