Complete 2015 Projections

Season:

The default order for player projections is based on ESPN.com's recommended draft rankings, which take into account projected total points as well as upside and risk.

Position: ALL | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | G | F | UTIL
     
PROJECTED 2015 SEASON STATS
1. LeBron James, Cle SF, PFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics7737.7.567.7501.56.96.41.811.60.33.527.12256
2015 Projections7535.5.572.7551.35.95.61.751.80.93.223.41979
2015 Outlook: LeBron's production was already sliding down a bit as he headed toward his 30s, and now that he'll turn 30 this season on a team with a couple of young stars, his minutes and workload will decrease further. Of course, this is all relative, because he's still the best player in the world and "fell" only to third on the Player Rater last season. Still, his reign as King of Fantasy has likely passed. Still, don't be surprised if his FG percentage rises once again, plus, we could also see an uptick in steals and blocks as he takes advantage of having less on his plate offensively. James will also benefit long term from a scaled-back role, so dynasty leaguers can expect him to be a fantasy force for many years to come. --TC
2. Carmelo Anthony, NY SF, PFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics7738.7.452.8482.28.13.11.221.20.72.627.41942
2015 Projections7538.2.463.8382.07.73.41.311.30.62.628.31943
2015 Outlook: Melo has been a fantasy beast for a decade, as he combined his tremendous offensive skill set with a ball-hog mentality. Now the Knicks are turning to the triangle offense, which stresses team-ball movement, pretty much the opposite of what's worked for Melo in the past. Can the Zen Master teach the old dog new tricks from the front office? Melo shed weight during the offseason and has said the right things, so it's at least possible. Ideally, he'll remain in the scoring-title race and we'll see an increase in FG% and APG, creating a much better all-around fantasy player. His biggest obstacle may be a talent-thin roster that lacks a “Robin” to his “Batman” a la Pippen-Jordan, Kobe-Shaq, Pau-Kobe. --TC
3. Kawhi Leonard*, SA SF, SGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics6629.1.522.8021.06.22.01.661.70.81.212.81140
2015 Projections7434.7.514.8121.27.22.21.702.00.81.315.91503
2015 Outlook: Slowed by a fractured hand to start the season, Leonard delivered an absolutely brilliant second half culminating with his MVP performance in the NBA Finals. Despite his slow start, he was easily a top-10 fantasy player after the All-Star break with 14.7 points, 6.5 rebounds, 1.8 steals, 1.2 blocks and 1.4 3-pointers while shooting 53.1 percent from the floor and 86.2 percent from the line over his last 25 games. Now a full-blown superstar on an aging Spurs roster, Leonard is poised to deliver a full breakout in 2014-15. He's a borderline first-round draft pick in fantasy leagues thanks to his statistical diversity and upside. --BM
4. Nicolas Batum, Por SF, SGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics8236.0.465.8031.87.55.12.020.90.72.513.01547
2015 Projections7836.1.452.8181.96.74.71.961.00.82.413.51411
2015 Outlook: One of the most unique fantasy players in the game, Batum finished 17th on our Player Rater on the strength of his statistical diversity. Batum won't dominate any one particular category, but with 13.0 points, 7.5 rebounds, 5.1 assists, 0.9 steals, 0.7 blocks and 1.8 3-pointers with terrific percentages, the 25-year-old is one of the most well-rounded fantasy players in the game. We'd love to see him get back up over a steal and a block per game, but there's very little to complain about with Batum's fantasy game. He's a second-round talent who may fall into the third round due to his lack of scoring. --BM
5. Kevin Durant*, OKC SFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics8138.5.503.8732.47.45.51.561.30.73.532.02572
2015 Projections5038.4.504.8792.17.65.01.431.30.93.530.41535
2015 Outlook: News that Durant will miss 6-8 weeks with a Jones fracture in his right foot has knocked Durant from the No. 1 spot in our rankings. He’ll likely miss the first 20-25 games of the season, but should resume his status as the No. 1 fantasy player upon his return. He’ll be a much more attractive option in head-to-head leagues, but can still be taken with a top-50 pick given his post-return upside. --BM
6. Rudy Gay, Sac SFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics7334.7.455.8220.96.02.90.931.30.83.120.01319
2015 Projections7635.5.445.8160.96.12.80.971.40.82.919.51346
2015 Outlook: A top-40 fantasy player for much of his eight-year career, Gay fit in nicely after an early-season trade to Sacramento. With 20.1 points, 5.5 rebounds, 3.1 assists, 1.2 steals and 0.8 3-pointers to go along with terrific percentages in 55 games for the Kings, Gay is a proven multicategory producer for fantasy leaguers. With almost no competition for minutes and touches in Sacramento, Gay figures to have yet another fine season. He'll remain a safe and consistent top-40 fantasy play in 2014-15. --BM
7. Kobe Bryant, LAL SG, SFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics629.5.425.8570.54.36.31.121.20.25.713.876
2015 Projections5731.3.450.8411.24.54.71.471.10.33.221.61071
2015 Outlook: Kobe returned from Achilles surgery to play in six games in December before a fractured knee forced him to miss the remainder of the season. The 36-year-old future Hall of Famer has put a lot of mileage on his body during the course of his 18-year career, but his competitive spirit should allow him to remain a force for a few more seasons if he can remain healthy. Remember, it was only two seasons ago when he posted 27.3 points, 5.6 rebounds, 6.0 assists, 1.4 steals and 1.7 3-pointers per game. Given his age and injury concerns, Kobe will be a high-risk/high-reward candidate with major upside potential this season. --BM
8. Klay Thompson, GS SG, SFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics8135.4.444.7952.83.12.21.340.90.51.718.41156
2015 Projections8134.1.438.8122.63.22.21.290.90.51.717.11101
2015 Outlook: The Warriors had an opportunity to trade for Kevin Love over the offseason, but balked once Thompson's name was included in the negotiations. It was a big vote of confidence for Thompson, who has shot over 40 percent from downtown in each of his first three seasons. We'd love to see him do more in rebounds, assists, and steals, but we won't complain with 18.4 points and 2.8 3-pointers per game for the 24-year old sharpshooter. Already a top-40 fantasy player for the past two seasons, Thompson should continue to improve as he enters his fourth season in the league. --BM
9. Thaddeus Young, Min SF, PFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics7934.4.454.7121.16.02.31.102.10.52.117.91346
2015 Projections7833.6.476.6820.76.32.01.171.90.61.716.41327
2015 Outlook: Coming off a career year that saw him post 17.9 points, 6.0 rebounds, 2.1 steals and 1.1 3-pointers for the rebuilding Sixers, Young joins the Timberwolves where he'll immediately become one of the top options on the offensive end. He thrived under similar conditions last season, and the Wolves will lean heavily on him as they look to rebuild around their new core. He makes for a terrific fourth-round fantasy selection, especially for those looking to secure a dominant steal artist. --BM
10. Chandler Parsons, Dal SFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics7437.6.472.7421.85.54.02.071.20.41.916.61328
2015 Projections7636.0.475.7261.75.43.62.001.10.41.815.31276
2015 Outlook: A severely underrated fantasy option over the past two seasons, Parsons parlayed his fantastic play in Houston into a three-year, $46 million contract with the Mavericks. Parsons will fit into the Mavericks' plans similarly to the way that he fit in with the Rockets as the third scoring option now behind Dirk Nowitzki and Monta Ellis. With averages of 16.6 points, 5.5 rebounds, 4.0 assists, 1.2 steals and 1.8 3-pointers last season, Parsons should be able to duplicate or improve on his numbers from a year ago. He's a third-round talent that can likely be found in the fourth round in drafts this season. --BM
11. Gordon Hayward, Uta SG, SFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics7736.4.413.8161.15.15.21.891.40.52.816.21301
2015 Projections7735.9.422.8191.25.24.81.921.30.62.516.01316
2015 Outlook: Hayward parlayed his breakout season into a four-year, $63 million contract to remain in Utah. The Jazz may have been forced to overpay for Hayward, but the 24-year-old is extremely versatile with 16.2 points, 5.1 rebounds, 5.2 assists, 1.4 steals and 1.1 3-pointers last season. He shot only 41.3 percent from the floor, but his 81.6 percent from the line helped him finish 39th on our Player Rater. Hayward has improved massively in each of his first four seasons, and the Jazz will continue to rely heavily on him on the offensive end, even with Dante Exum in town. Given his ability to put up numbers in multiple categories, Hayward is a fantastic pick in the fourth or fifth round. --BM
12. DeMar DeRozan, Tor SG, SFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics7938.2.429.8240.84.34.01.781.10.42.222.71471
2015 Projections8037.6.433.8280.83.93.71.761.00.32.122.11430
2015 Outlook: For a minute there (14 November games), it looked like DeRozan suddenly figured out how to shoot 3-pointers (1.5 per game that month). That turned out to be an aberration, as he never topped 0.8 per game in any other month. To his credit, he shot a career-high 30.5 percent from 3-point range, but that's nothing to write home about. Nonetheless, the Raps will continue to lean heavily on him as a scorer (22.7 PPG, 17.8 FGA), and he's a favorite for those of us who love volume free throw shooters (8.0 FGA per game at 82.4 percent). DeRozan also chipped in a career-high 4.0 APG. Even if he never delivers from beyond the arc, there's a lot to like in his fantasy game. --TC
13. Wesley Matthews, Por SG, SFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics8233.9.441.8372.53.52.41.790.90.21.316.41196
2015 Projections7634.3.436.8332.43.42.41.721.10.21.415.71065
2015 Outlook: A prototypical fantasy shooting guard who can score, create steals and knock down 3-pointers in bunches, Matthews turned in his best professional season in 2013-14, finishing 44th on our Player Rater at the end of the season. With 16.4 points, 0.9 steals and 2.5 3-pointers while shooting 44.1 percent from the floor and 83.7 percent from the line, Matthews is as solid as they come at the shooting guard position. Select him with confidence as a top-50 player in this season's fantasy drafts. --BM
14. Jabari Parker, Mil SFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics--------------------------
2015 Projections7832.1.465.7550.87.30.90.470.80.81.918.21314
2015 Outlook: He may not be a freak athlete, but Parker has everything else you could want in a star NBA prospect. He has the size (6-foot-8, 241 pounds with 7-foot wingspan) to battle in the paint as a power forward, but he has enough range and quickness to hang at the 3. A good statistical comparison may be Carmelo Anthony: a versatile forward who can score, rebound and sport great percentages. Parker has the chance to add at least a block per game, too. The Bucks have a deep roster, but no players talented enough to take minutes away from the rookie. He's going to make an impact right out of the gate and should be the first rookie off the board. --TC
15. Josh Smith, Det SF, PFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTSPTS
2014 Statistics7735.5.419.5320.96.83.31.271.41.42.616.41195
2015 Projections7535.4.458.5420.67.63.41.361.52.02.517.21408
2015 Outlook: If there is one thing we all know Smoove can't do, it is perform well as a 3-point-shooting small forward. So no one outside of the Pistons front office should have been surprised Smith failed miserably in that exact role last season. His 41.9 FG percentage was a career-low mark, and his 16.4 PPG was a five-season low (should we even mention the 26.4 3-point percentage?). New coach Stan Van Gundy should know how to use Smith better, but with Andre Drummond blossoming as a star and Greg Monroe back for one last run before unrestricted free agency, it's hard to imagine a big breakout from Smoove. However, don't be surprised if Van Gundy massages a bump in steals and blocks from Smith this season. --TC