Complete 2010 Projections
PROJECTED 2010 SEASON STATS
| 1. Brandon Roy, Por SG, SF | YEAR | | GP | MIN | FG% | FT% | 3PM | REB | AST | A/TO | STL | BLK | TO | PTS |   | 2009 Statistics | | 78 | 37.2 | .480 | .824 | 1.1 | 4.7 | 5.1 | 2.63 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 22.6 | | 2010 Projections | | 77 | 37.0 | .471 | .811 | 1.1 | 5.3 | 4.2 | 2.18 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 21.9 | | 2010 Outlook: His ascendance has been impressive, from Rookie of the Year, to consistent seven-category player, to borderline superstar. His assists are sure to take a hit with Andre Miller around, but the rest of his numbers should continue to improve, as he morphs into a percentage darling with high frequency and efficiency from both the stripe and the 3-point line. Roy finished 16th on the Player Rater last season, and is inching toward being a late first-round pick in this year's draft. Roy's potential with regard to talent and athleticism has been achieved, but as he continues to master the art of capitalizing upon his basketball IQ and versatility, his production on the court should take yet another step forward. And those worried about him letting up after signing a contract extension clearly know nothing about Roy's character. Draft him early and feel secure that your fantasy clubhouse has a strong leader. |
| 2. LaMarcus Aldridge, Por PF | YEAR | | GP | MIN | FG% | FT% | 3PM | REB | AST | A/TO | STL | BLK | TO | PTS |  | 2009 Statistics | | 81 | 37.1 | .484 | .781 | 0.1 | 7.5 | 1.9 | 1.30 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 18.1 | | 2010 Projections | | 77 | 37.0 | .485 | .772 | 0.1 | 7.7 | 1.8 | 1.16 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 18.1 | | 2010 Outlook: Aldridge's value took a scare when it appeared the Blazers would add Paul Millsap, but since the Jazz matched the offer Aldridge again is the primary power forward in Portland. Despite his breakout, he still looked lost at times and hasn't fully capitalized upon his potential. The mental lapses should be more seldom this season, meaning that Aldridge's effectiveness on the court should increase. However, he already averaged 37 minutes per game last season, so expecting too much more from Aldridge is unrealistic. His 0.9 steals and blocks per game are nice, and 1.5 turnovers per game is low for an 18-point-per-game scorer. Expect a slight statistical increase for Aldridge across the board, especially with veteran playmaker Andre Miller running the show. |
| 3. Andre Miller, Por PG | YEAR | | GP | MIN | FG% | FT% | 3PM | REB | AST | A/TO | STL | BLK | TO | PTS |  | 2009 Statistics | | 82 | 36.3 | .473 | .826 | 0.2 | 4.5 | 6.5 | 2.68 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 16.3 | | 2010 Projections | | 80 | 32.8 | .478 | .801 | 0.1 | 3.9 | 6.1 | 2.71 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 14.4 | | 2010 Outlook: Miller's shot attempts are set to decline, but his field goal percentage should increase, and his turnovers should be better now that there are two other capable ballhandlers beside him in Steve Blake and Brandon Roy. Overall, Miller's consistency will continue in Portland, and he'll put up relatively similar per-minute stats despite the change in locales. Thus, draft him as you would in any season, which shouldn't be too early since he's a point guard who doesn't shoot 3s, which to some is unacceptable. |
| 4. Greg Oden*, Por C | YEAR | | GP | MIN | FG% | FT% | 3PM | REB | AST | A/TO | STL | BLK | TO | PTS |  | 2009 Statistics | | 61 | 21.5 | .564 | .637 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 0.5 | 0.36 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 8.9 | | 2010 Projections | | 62 | 25.0 | .565 | .637 | 0.0 | 8.1 | 0.6 | 0.36 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 10.3 | | 2010 Outlook: Oden's most impressive feat last season was being on the court for 61 games, and his health will again be the primary determinant of his value. But foul trouble (he led the league with 3.9 personal fouls per game) and injury questions make it impossible to draft him based upon what he could do in an ideal world; we must be realistic. In 25-plus minutes, nine boards and two blocks is easily within reach for Oden, plus he provides a boost in field goal percentage while contributing 0.4 steals per game, solid for a center. Solid doesn't cut it for the first overall pick. His per-minute stats will improve a bit as he grows more accustomed to the league, although his actual minutes are what matter most, and Oden averaging 30-plus per game undoubtedly falls under the 'I'll believe it when I see it' category. Oden has the potential to be a No. 1 fantasy center, but he has to overcome the hurdles in the way of starter's minutes before being worth reaching for in this year's fantasy drafts. |
| 5. Rudy Fernandez, Por SG | YEAR | | GP | MIN | FG% | FT% | 3PM | REB | AST | A/TO | STL | BLK | TO | PTS |  | 2009 Statistics | | 78 | 25.6 | .425 | .839 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 1.85 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 10.4 | | 2010 Projections | | 78 | 25.0 | .425 | .836 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 1.86 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 10.2 | | 2010 Outlook: Despite an impressive rookie campaign, Fernandez is essentially a 3-point fantasy specialist, who doesn't project to provide much anywhere else. The fact the Blazers wanted to give big money to Hedo Turkoglu indicates that the team still sees Fernandez as a role player and not a perennial starter. His 3-point acumen is perfectly suited for the fantasy game, but now that Martell Webster is back in the picture and the Blazers have at least seven players who can play shooting guard and small forward, he'll have fewer opportunities. His 43 percent mark from the floor is unfriendly, and if you choose to draft Fernandez, just know you're getting 3s and nothing more. |
| 6. Joel Przybilla*, Por C | YEAR | | GP | MIN | FG% | FT% | 3PM | REB | AST | A/TO | STL | BLK | TO | PTS |  | 2009 Statistics | | 82 | 23.8 | .625 | .663 | 0.0 | 8.7 | 0.3 | 0.35 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 5.5 | | 2010 Projections | | 72 | 22.8 | .605 | .659 | 0.0 | 8.1 | 0.3 | 0.32 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 4.9 | | 2010 Outlook: His numbers have benefited from Greg Oden missing time, but if Oden can stay on the court, Przybilla will see less of it. It doesn't get much more ""what you see is what you get"" than with Przybilla. He does the dirty work, posts good per-minute stats in rebounds and blocks, and is ready every time Oden's injuries crop up. He still blocks enough shots to be worth a roster spot in many formats, but can likely be added as a post-draft addition. He always has a chance to see his stock immediately improve given Oden's frailty, although banking on that happening isn't worth wasting a roster spot for somebody who'll get 15-20 minutes per game while Oden is around. |
| 7. Steve Blake, Por PG | YEAR | | GP | MIN | FG% | FT% | 3PM | REB | AST | A/TO | STL | BLK | TO | PTS |  | 2009 Statistics | | 69 | 31.7 | .428 | .840 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 3.22 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 11.0 | | 2010 Projections | | 70 | 20.0 | .420 | .795 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3.3 | 3.31 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.3 | | 2010 Outlook: The acquisition of Andre Miller slides Blake into a more suitable backup role, where he will battle for minutes with Jerryd Bayless. Even though Blake's talent and upside is dwarfed by Bayless, his playmaking ability, experience, knowledge of the system and intangibles make him a much more suitable backup playmaker. Blake's value will take a hit compared to last season, but it won't be completely nullified, as is widely perceived, due to Miller's presence. This makes him a nice late-round flier, as he'll still provide 3s, steals and assists while on the court. He's still worth a late-round pick if your point guards are shaping up to be shaky and you need a steadying presence. |
| 8. Nicolas Batum, Por SF | YEAR | | GP | MIN | FG% | FT% | 3PM | REB | AST | A/TO | STL | BLK | TO | PTS |  | 2009 Statistics | | 79 | 18.4 | .446 | .808 | 0.8 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 1.48 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 5.4 | | 2010 Projections | | 73 | 22.0 | .446 | .807 | 0.9 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 1.49 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 6.4 | | 2010 Outlook: Normally, a 19-year-old who started as a rookie finds himself in a more desirable situation the following season, but the return of Martell Webster will take just enough minutes away from him to prevent him from taking the next step. Batum rhymes with platoon, and that's precisely what he'll do this season with Rudy Fernandez, Travis Outlaw, Webster and even Brandon Roy when he shifts to small forward and Nate McMillan goes small. A promising future lies ahead for Batum, especially since he averaged 0.8 3s, 0.5 blocks and 0.6 steals in just 19 minutes per game as a rookie, but the minutes aren't there unless circumstances change, and it won't be worth selecting Batum come draft day. |
| 9. Travis Outlaw*, Por SF, PF | YEAR | | GP | MIN | FG% | FT% | 3PM | REB | AST | A/TO | STL | BLK | TO | PTS |  | 2009 Statistics | | 81 | 27.7 | .453 | .723 | 1.1 | 4.1 | 1.0 | 0.88 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 12.8 | | 2010 Projections | | 77 | 20.0 | .446 | .736 | 0.6 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.91 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 9.3 | | 2010 Outlook: Outlaw continually fools us into believing he might put up Gerald Wallace-esque defensive stats, as he possesses a special blend of length, skill and athleticism. His shooting has improved through the course of his career, especially in clutch situations, where Outlaw is frequently Nate McMillan's go-to-guy when a basket is necessary late. This makes him invaluable to the Blazers, but doesn't translate into the fantasy realm. His 3s should continue to improve, but until he is well above at least one block or one steal, his mediocre percentages and weak rebounding make him the type of player who has several incredible moments during the course of the season that simply don't translate into crazy stats or earn him 30 minutes per game. The fact his defense is suspect and primary competition Nicolas Batum's is stellar is a bad sign, and with Martell Webster back in the equation as well, Outlaw will have a hard time improving upon his 2009 numbers. |
| 10. Martell Webster, Por SF | YEAR | | GP | MIN | FG% | FT% | 3PM | REB | AST | A/TO | STL | BLK | TO | PTS |  | 2009 Statistics | | 1 | 5.0 | .000 | .000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2010 Projections | | 51 | 17.4 | .414 | .735 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.94 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 6.3 | | 2010 Outlook: Most have forgotten that Webster started 70 games for the Blazers in 2007-08, and he returns to a convoluted logjam of swingmen. He's a better shooter than Nicolas Batum and Travis Outlaw, the two players whose minutes he threatens the most. He's been off the radar for so long and has lost momentum -- the biggest fantasy impact he'll have is on the minutes of other Blazers players, as he'll see enough minutes to hurt the value of Batum, Outlaw and Rudy Fernandez -- so he won't see enough minutes to be worthy of considering on draft day. |
| 11. Jerryd Bayless, Por PG, SG | YEAR | | GP | MIN | FG% | FT% | 3PM | REB | AST | A/TO | STL | BLK | TO | PTS |  | 2009 Statistics | | 53 | 12.4 | .365 | .806 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.39 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 4.3 | | 2010 Projections | | 70 | 12.9 | .364 | .803 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.40 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 4.5 | | 2010 Outlook: Bayless isn't really a point guard, but is perhaps too small to play shooting guard regularly in the NBA, especially on defense. He's not a playmaker, but can get to the hoop and score, and also drive and dish. His value would multiply exponentially if he were deadly from long range, but he attempted just 27 3-pointers last season, a number that will increase, but not enough to matter. The addition of Andre Miller negates his value, but not his potential; Bayless has the tools to be a splendid fantasy player, and his best bet for value this season is stealing backup shooting guard minutes away from Rudy Fernandez. Ignore Bayless during the draft but not during the season. |
| 12. Juwan Howard, Por PF, C | YEAR | | GP | MIN | FG% | FT% | 3PM | REB | AST | A/TO | STL | BLK | TO | PTS |  | 2009 Statistics | | 42 | 11.2 | .510 | .676 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 1.00 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 4.1 | | 2010 Projections | | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 13. Dante Cunningham, Por PF | YEAR | | GP | MIN | FG% | FT% | 3PM | REB | AST | A/TO | STL | BLK | TO | PTS |  | 2009 Statistics | | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | | 2010 Projections | | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 14. Jeff Pendergraph, Por PF | YEAR | | GP | MIN | FG% | FT% | 3PM | REB | AST | A/TO | STL | BLK | TO | PTS |  | 2009 Statistics | | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | | 2010 Projections | | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 15. Patrick Mills, Por PG | YEAR | | GP | MIN | FG% | FT% | 3PM | REB | AST | A/TO | STL | BLK | TO | PTS |  | 2009 Statistics | | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | | 2010 Projections | | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
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