Complete 2015 Projections

The default order for player projections is based on ESPN.com's recommended draft rankings, which take into account projected total points as well as upside and risk.

Position: ALL | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | G | F | UTIL
     
PROJECTED 2015 SEASON STATS
1. Kyle Lowry*, Tor PGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics7936.2.423.8132.44.77.43.021.50.22.517.9
2015 Projections7136.5.418.8162.34.67.62.921.50.32.617.1
2015 Outlook: Lowry posted career-best numbers in nearly every category last season, including 17.9 PPG, 7.4 APG, 2.4 3s, 38.0 3-point percentage, 13.7 FGA and 4.9 FTA. He also played 79 games, the most since 2007-08. The catch? It was a contract season. So how much regression should we expect? Certainly it's hard to expect him to match or exceed last season's production. However, he is in his prime at 28, has little in the way of competition for minutes and the Raptors need him to run the offense and score. That means he will have every opportunity to remain a fantasy force. Just don't forget his shoddy FG percentage will hurt roto teams, and he is bound to spend some time in the infirmary. --TC
2. DeMar DeRozan, Tor SG, SFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics7938.2.429.8240.84.34.01.781.10.42.222.7
2015 Projections8037.6.433.8280.83.93.71.761.00.32.122.1
2015 Outlook: For a minute there (14 November games), it looked like DeRozan suddenly figured out how to shoot 3-pointers (1.5 per game that month). That turned out to be an aberration, as he never topped 0.8 per game in any other month. To his credit, he shot a career-high 30.5 percent from 3-point range, but that's nothing to write home about. Nonetheless, the Raps will continue to lean heavily on him as a scorer (22.7 PPG, 17.8 FGA), and he's a favorite for those of us who love volume free throw shooters (8.0 FGA per game at 82.4 percent). DeRozan also chipped in a career-high 4.0 APG. Even if he never delivers from beyond the arc, there's a lot to like in his fantasy game. --TC
3. Jonas Valanciunas, Tor CYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics8128.2.531.7620.08.80.70.420.30.91.711.3
2015 Projections7730.9.546.7690.09.40.80.420.31.21.914.2
2015 Outlook: Valanciunas is going to break out at some point, and it's entirely possible it could be this season. We started to see some maturation from Valanciunas in the second half of last season, as his fouls per game dropped from 3.2 to 2.8 after the All-Star break, which allowed him to stay on the court more. He hinted at his real upside when he averaged 16.8 PPG, 11.0 RPG, 0.9 BPG, 57.6 percent FG and 76.6 percent FT in eight April games. His baseline this season will be as a nightly double-double threat with quality percentages, making him a quality option in points leagues. If things click, he could genuinely break out as a scorer, too. Roto leaguers should note that he is not a shot-blocking center. --TC
4. Amir Johnson, Tor PF, CYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics7728.8.562.6360.36.61.50.930.71.11.610.4
2015 Projections7628.2.561.6740.26.81.51.000.81.21.59.9
2015 Outlook: Johnson played through a bum ankle for the final few months of last season, and the injury clearly limited his overall output. He's healthy heading into the season and should continue his usual role as an underrated fantasy player who can round out your starting roster in just about any format. --TC
5. Terrence Ross, Tor SG, SFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics8126.7.423.8372.03.11.00.900.80.31.110.9
2015 Projections7829.2.420.7982.23.41.10.910.90.41.211.8
2015 Outlook: Although Ross' overall numbers don't stand out, his production in 61 starts at small forward is promising: 12.2 PPG, 2.3 3s, 42.7 FG percentage, 40.1 3-point percentage and 86.8 FT percentage. He is only 23 years old, so there is plenty of room for improvement. However, since he doesn't do much beyond bang down 3s, his value beyond that largely will be dependent upon how many shots he can get off. The Raptors have just enough offensive weapons that we shouldn't expect a big spike in field goal attempts this season for Ross, so keep your expectations in check. Consider him a latter-round pick as a 3-point specialist and with upside. --TC
6. Greivis Vasquez, Tor PGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics7922.5.421.8801.42.24.12.520.40.11.69.6
2015 Projections7521.9.432.8371.52.33.92.170.50.11.89.8
2015 Outlook: Remember when Vasquez led the NBA in assists during the 2012-13 campaign as a starter for New Orleans? Those were the good ol' days ... days not likely to be repeated after he re-signed with the Raptors this offseason to work as Kyle Lowry's backup. He won't have much value in that role outside of chipping in 3-4 APG and 1.0-1.5 3s for deeper leagues. He'll be a hot add, though, if/when the injury-prone Lowry gets hurt. --TC
7. Patrick Patterson, Tor PFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics6523.6.460.7040.85.31.21.200.80.61.08.5
2015 Projections6624.0.473.7120.75.01.11.240.70.60.99.0
2015 Outlook: Patterson fits the billing of a guy who is more helpful to his NBA team than to fantasy teams. Despite steadily earning 23-24 MPG wherever he plays, Patterson really only helps fantasy owners who are in need of some low-level points, boards and 3s in deep leagues. --TC
8. James Johnson, Tor SF, PFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics5218.4.464.8440.43.22.11.680.81.11.37.4
2015 Projections5419.0.451.7790.33.31.81.390.91.11.37.1
2015 Outlook: When he gets enough minutes, Johnson can chip in enough steals and blocks (22.1 MPG, 1.2 SPG, 1.6 BPG before the break last season) to help out deep leaguers. However, when those minutes are scaled back (13.7 MPG, 0.3 SPG, 0.5 BPG after the break), he's all but useless in fantasyland. Expect far more of the latter scenario this season. --TC
9. Landry Fields, Tor SGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics3010.7.403.6360.02.00.71.820.30.10.42.3
2015 Projections4116.0.442.5850.12.81.11.550.60.10.74.0
2015 Outlook: Whatever promise the former Knick showed during his rookie campaign has long since waned. His production has gotten worse each of the past three seasons and bottomed out last season, when he could barely even crack the rotation. Barring injuries, that won't likely change this season. --TC
10. Greg Stiemsma, Tor CYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics5518.3.574.5940.04.10.70.820.61.00.82.9
2015 Projections6815.2.477.7380.03.30.40.560.61.30.73.7
11. Tyler Hansbrough, Tor PFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics6415.3.474.6810.04.50.30.360.40.30.74.9
2015 Projections6916.6.441.7190.04.50.30.380.50.20.86.1
2015 Outlook: Despite being the 13th overall pick in the 2009 draft, Hansbrough clearly is best suited as a reserve who sees minutes only when the right matchups are available. He managed only 15.3 MPG during his first campaign with the Raptors last season, and his role isn't likely to expand this time around. --TC
12. Chuck Hayes, Tor PF, CYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics6112.3.431.8000.03.40.61.060.60.20.52.2
2015 Projections6314.4.437.6880.03.71.01.660.50.20.62.4
13. Louis Williams, Tor PG, SGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics6024.1.400.8491.32.13.52.280.80.11.510.4
2015 Projections7024.7.406.8441.42.13.32.200.80.11.511.2
2015 Outlook: Traded from the Hawks to the Raptors, Williams will continue to work as a reserve. He excelled in that role with the Hawks and Sixers, regularly chipping in 14-15 PPG, 1.3 3s and 3.5 APG. However, with Kyle Lowry, DeMar DeRozan and Greivis Vasquez in the backcourt, Williams may not touch the rock often enough to maintain his old pace in his new digs. Note: It's a contract season, so he could be trade bait. --TC
14. Jordan Hamilton, Tor SGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics6017.0.391.7841.23.20.91.130.70.30.86.7
2015 Projections------------------------
15. Dwight Buycks, Tor SGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics1410.4.313.8890.41.60.71.000.60.00.73.1
2015 Projections------------------------