Complete 2015 Projections

Position: ALL | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | G | F | UTIL
     
PROJECTED 2015 SEASON STATS
1. Stephen Curry, GS PG, SGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics7836.5.471.8853.34.38.52.271.60.23.824.0
2015 Projections7536.6.466.8833.34.27.92.251.60.23.523.2
2015 Outlook: Many will be surprised to learn that it was Curry, not LeBron James, who finished second on the Player Rater behind Kevin Durant last season. With his ankle injuries a thing of the past, Curry posted a versatile 24.0 points, 4.3 boards, 8.5 assists, 1.6 steals and 3.3 3-pointers while shooting 47.1 percent from the floor and 88.5 percent from the line. The addition of backup Shaun Livingston may allow Curry to play off the ball a little more this season, which could result in a decrease in assists but with a corresponding bump in scoring. Either way, he's one of the most well-rounded options in fantasy leagues and should easily provide top-5 value this season. --BM
2. James Harden, Hou SGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics7338.0.456.8662.44.76.11.681.60.43.625.4
2015 Projections7337.0.453.8602.34.65.71.631.60.43.524.2
2015 Outlook: Harden was masterful in his second season with the Rockets posting a versatile 25.4 points, 4.7 rebounds, 6.1 assists, 1.6 steals and 2.4 3-pointers on the season. Those numbers, along with his 86.6 percent shooting in 9.1 free throw attempts per game, were good enough to finish fifth on our Player Rater in 2013-14. With Chandler Parsons and Jeremy Lin gone, and Trevor Ariza brought in, Harden may be asked to do even more for the Rockets on the offensive end. He's an easy first-round selection, and an argument could be made to take him with a top-5 pick this season. --BM
3. Kawhi Leonard*, SA SF, SGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics6629.1.522.8021.06.22.01.661.70.81.212.8
2015 Projections7434.7.514.8121.27.22.21.702.00.81.315.9
2015 Outlook: Slowed by a fractured hand to start the season, Leonard delivered an absolutely brilliant second half culminating with his MVP performance in the NBA Finals. Despite his slow start, he was easily a top-10 fantasy player after the All-Star break with 14.7 points, 6.5 rebounds, 1.8 steals, 1.2 blocks and 1.4 3-pointers while shooting 53.1 percent from the floor and 86.2 percent from the line over his last 25 games. Now a full-blown superstar on an aging Spurs roster, Leonard is poised to deliver a full breakout in 2014-15. He's a borderline first-round draft pick in fantasy leagues thanks to his statistical diversity and upside. --BM
4. Damian Lillard, Por PG, SGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics8235.8.424.8712.73.55.62.370.80.32.420.7
2015 Projections8236.9.426.8622.53.45.92.270.80.32.620.0
2015 Outlook: There was no sophomore slump for the 2012-13 NBA Rookie of the Year as Lillard finished inside the top 20 on our Player Rater for the second straight season. With averages of 20.7 points, 5.6 assists, 0.8 steals and 2.7 3-pointers per game while shooting 87.1 percent from the free throw line in 5.2 attempts per game, Lillard is already a borderline elite point guard option in fantasy leagues. We'd like to see him improve his field goal percentage and increase his defensive intensity, but there's still plenty to love about the 24-year-old. Consistent and durable (he hasn't missed a game in his two-year career), Lillard is an extremely safe selection in this season's fantasy drafts. --BM
5. Nicolas Batum, Por SF, SGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics8236.0.465.8031.87.55.12.020.90.72.513.0
2015 Projections7836.1.452.8181.96.74.71.961.00.82.413.5
2015 Outlook: One of the most unique fantasy players in the game, Batum finished 17th on our Player Rater on the strength of his statistical diversity. Batum won't dominate any one particular category, but with 13.0 points, 7.5 rebounds, 5.1 assists, 0.9 steals, 0.7 blocks and 1.8 3-pointers with terrific percentages, the 25-year-old is one of the most well-rounded fantasy players in the game. We'd love to see him get back up over a steal and a block per game, but there's very little to complain about with Batum's fantasy game. He's a second-round talent who may fall into the third round due to his lack of scoring. --BM
6. Kyle Lowry, Tor PG, SGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics7936.2.423.8132.44.77.43.021.50.22.517.9
2015 Projections7136.5.418.8162.34.67.62.921.50.32.617.1
2015 Outlook: Lowry posted career-best numbers in nearly every category last season, including 17.9 PPG, 7.4 APG, 2.4 3s, 38.0 3-point percentage, 13.7 FGA and 4.9 FTA. He also played 79 games, the most since 2007-08. The catch? It was a contract season. So how much regression should we expect? Certainly it's hard to expect him to match or exceed last season's production. However, he is in his prime at 28, has little in the way of competition for minutes and the Raptors need him to run the offense and score. That means he will have every opportunity to remain a fantasy force. Just don't forget his shoddy FG percentage will hurt roto teams, and he is bound to spend some time in the infirmary. --TC
7. Kyrie Irving, Cle PG, SGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics7135.2.430.8611.73.66.12.281.50.32.720.8
2015 Projections7434.5.467.8581.93.36.02.401.60.32.518.9
2015 Outlook: The arrival of LeBron James and Kevin Love means Irving's volume will take a significant hit. He is not going to get 17-18 FGA each game like he did the past two seasons. While that will keep his scoring limited, it might actually benefit him and his fantasy game. His propensity for injury is well documented, and a lessened load should keep him healthier. We also should see a significant jump in his FG percentage since he won't have to chuck shots out of necessity. Of course, the downside of having a pair of superstars join his squad is that we won't see him rise near the top of the Player Rater, as he likely would have as the lone star in Cleveland. --TC
8. Goran Dragic, Pho PG, SGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics7635.1.505.7601.63.25.92.101.40.32.820.3
2015 Projections7733.5.487.7591.43.16.22.291.40.32.717.7
2015 Outlook: After underperforming in his first season with Phoenix, Dragic delivered a brilliant post-hype breakout season for the Suns in 2013-14. He finished the season as a top-20 fantasy player on the strength of 20.3 points, 5.9 assists, 1.4 steals and 1.6 3-pointers while shooting better than 50 percent from the floor. Part of his breakout was aided by Eric Bledsoe's inability to stay on the court, but make no mistake, Dragic was dominant all season long. With newcomers Isaiah Thomas and Tyler Ennis in town, the Suns have a freakishly deep and exciting backcourt, which may cut into Dragic's bottom line. That said, he should remain a top-30 fantasy candidate as he has separated himself as the clear leader of the group. --BM
9. Monta Ellis, Dal SG, PGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics8236.9.451.7880.83.65.71.781.70.33.219.0
2015 Projections7837.2.438.7871.03.75.91.841.80.33.219.3
2015 Outlook: Armed with top-notch quickness and speed, Ellis can be a dynamic fantasy player thanks to his ability to fill up the stat sheet in points, assists, steals and 3-pointers. He was terrific in his first season in Dallas, finishing 22nd on our Player Rater thanks to his 19.0 points, 5.7 assists, 1.7 steals and 0.8 3-pointers. Improved shot selection resulted in fewer 3-point attempts (2.5) but a corresponding bump in field goal percentage (45.1 percent). Chandler Parsons' arrival adds a bit more firepower to the Mavericks lineup, but there's still plenty of ball to go around for Ellis to remain a borderline elite option in fantasy leagues. --BM
10. Eric Bledsoe, Pho PG, SGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics4332.9.477.7721.24.75.51.641.60.33.317.7
2015 Projections7031.6.465.7760.94.55.11.651.50.63.115.5
2015 Outlook: Bledsoe's first season as a starter in Phoenix was marred by a knee injury that forced him to miss 39 games, but that didn't stop him from proving that he could be as productive as a starter as he was off the bench for the Clippers. With 17.7 points, 4.7 boards, 5.5 assists, 1.6 steals and 1.2 3-pointers in 32.9 minutes, Bledsoe was a top-25 fantasy player when healthy. He'll likely lose a few minutes with newcomer Isaiah Thomas in town, but Bledsoe is a rare talent who should be able to retain most of his production in the Suns' deep and exciting backcourt as long as he can keep himself healthy. --BM
11. Kobe Bryant, LAL SG, SFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics629.5.425.8570.54.36.31.121.20.25.713.8
2015 Projections5731.3.450.8411.24.54.71.471.10.33.221.6
2015 Outlook: Kobe returned from Achilles surgery to play in six games in December before a fractured knee forced him to miss the remainder of the season. The 36-year-old future Hall of Famer has put a lot of mileage on his body during the course of his 18-year career, but his competitive spirit should allow him to remain a force for a few more seasons if he can remain healthy. Remember, it was only two seasons ago when he posted 27.3 points, 5.6 rebounds, 6.0 assists, 1.4 steals and 1.7 3-pointers per game. Given his age and injury concerns, Kobe will be a high-risk/high-reward candidate with major upside potential this season. --BM
12. Klay Thompson, GS SG, SFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics8135.4.444.7952.83.12.21.340.90.51.718.4
2015 Projections8134.1.438.8122.63.22.21.290.90.51.717.1
2015 Outlook: The Warriors had an opportunity to trade for Kevin Love over the offseason, but balked once Thompson's name was included in the negotiations. It was a big vote of confidence for Thompson, who has shot over 40 percent from downtown in each of his first three seasons. We'd love to see him do more in rebounds, assists, and steals, but we won't complain with 18.4 points and 2.8 3-pointers per game for the 24-year old sharpshooter. Already a top-40 fantasy player for the past two seasons, Thompson should continue to improve as he enters his fourth season in the league. --BM
13. Gordon Hayward, Uta SG, SFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics7736.4.413.8161.15.15.21.891.40.52.816.2
2015 Projections7735.9.422.8191.25.24.81.921.30.62.516.0
2015 Outlook: Hayward parlayed his breakout season into a four-year, $63 million contract to remain in Utah. The Jazz may have been forced to overpay for Hayward, but the 24-year-old is extremely versatile with 16.2 points, 5.1 rebounds, 5.2 assists, 1.4 steals and 1.1 3-pointers last season. He shot only 41.3 percent from the floor, but his 81.6 percent from the line helped him finish 39th on our Player Rater. Hayward has improved massively in each of his first four seasons, and the Jazz will continue to rely heavily on him on the offensive end, even with Dante Exum in town. Given his ability to put up numbers in multiple categories, Hayward is a fantastic pick in the fourth or fifth round. --BM
14. Dwyane Wade, Mia SGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics5432.9.545.7330.24.54.71.571.50.53.019.0
2015 Projections5732.6.501.7400.24.44.81.711.40.72.818.5
2015 Outlook: D-Wade will turn 33 midseason, but with 26,331 minutes' worth of wear and tear on his knees, his body behaves a lot older than that. Wade said he'd like to play 75-plus games this season, but he hasn't reached that mark in his previous three tries (and only five times during his 11 campaigns in the Association). LeBron's absence will make things even tougher on Wade, even with Luol Deng as a capable contributor in James' stead. Still, Wade's stats were solid last season and will be this one, too, when he's not in the infirmary. Bottom line: Don't be the person who thinks he's drafting a Hall of Fame stud in the second round; be the person who snags a good value scorer if he drops into the middle rounds. --TC
15. DeMar DeRozan*, Tor SG, SFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics7938.2.429.8240.84.34.01.781.10.42.222.7
2015 Projections8037.6.433.8280.83.93.71.761.00.32.122.1
2015 Outlook: For a minute there (14 November games), it looked like DeRozan suddenly figured out how to shoot 3-pointers (1.5 per game that month). That turned out to be an aberration, as he never topped 0.8 per game in any other month. To his credit, he shot a career-high 30.5 percent from 3-point range, but that's nothing to write home about. Nonetheless, the Raps will continue to lean heavily on him as a scorer (22.7 PPG, 17.8 FGA), and he's a favorite for those of us who love volume free throw shooters (8.0 FGA per game at 82.4 percent). DeRozan also chipped in a career-high 4.0 APG. Even if he never delivers from beyond the arc, there's a lot to like in his fantasy game. --TC