Complete 2015 Projections

Position: ALL | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | G | F | UTIL
     
PROJECTED 2015 SEASON STATS
16. Trevor Ariza, Hou SFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics7735.4.456.7722.36.22.51.451.60.31.714.4
2015 Projections6634.4.448.7852.16.02.51.471.60.31.713.5
2015 Outlook: Thanks to his high steal and 3-point totals, Ariza finished the year as a top-30 fantasy player with 14.4 points, 6.2 rebounds, 1.6 steals and 2.3 3-pointers for the Wizards last season. Joining the Rockets over the offseason to replace Chandler Parsons, Ariza finds himself with a great opportunity to be the third scoring option behind James Harden and Dwight Howard. He's been successful in similar roles in the past, but fantasy owners should keep in mind that he's struggled with inconsistency over the years. Look for him in the fourth round in your fantasy drafts this season. --BM
17. Kyle Korver, Atl SG, SFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics7133.9.475.9262.64.02.92.041.00.31.412.0
2015 Projections7232.9.470.8942.63.72.61.991.00.41.311.6
2015 Outlook: The veteran is a one-trick pony in Fantasyland, but he works that trick like magic from beyond the arc when given the opportunity. During his two seasons with the Hawks, Korver has averaged 5.55 3-point attempts per game. Working primarily as a SG last season, he sported a career-high 47.2 3-point FG% and an eight-year best 12.0 PPG. So long as he remains in that role, you can pen him in for 2.6 3-PPG. --TC
18. Jimmy Butler, Chi SG, SFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics6738.7.397.7691.04.92.61.721.90.51.513.1
2015 Projections7636.6.451.7771.05.02.31.772.20.51.313.5
2015 Outlook: Butler got off to a slow start due to an early-season toe injury, but once the swingman got up to speed he posted some very intriguing fantasy stats after the All-Star break: 14.1 PPG, 1.1 3-PPG, 4.8 RPG, 3.2 APG and 1.8 SPG. Rose is back, so we shouldn't expect Butler's scoring to increase, but that could benefit his overall fantasy game as better shots = better FG%. Eligible at both SG and SF, Butler will provide terrific rebounding for a SG and even better steals for a SF. In fact, it's not outrageous to think Butler could lead the NBA in swipes this season. He's exactly the kind of under-the-radar stat-stuffer who can help you secure a championship in your league. --TC
19. Joe Johnson, Bkn SG, SFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics7932.6.454.8152.13.42.71.800.60.11.515.8
2015 Projections7634.1.446.8182.13.43.11.930.70.11.616.4
2015 Outlook: Hypothetically, the Nets could lean more heavily on JJ, since Paul Pierce left as a free agent. However, Pierce took only 9.5 FGA per game last season, so there isn't really much slack to pick up from his absence. Furthermore, new coach Lionel Hollins was prone to having low-scoring systems when he was coaching the Grizz, which ranked lower and lower on offense each year he was coach (seventh, 12th, 20th and 26th, respectively), so we should expect a low-scoring Nets team in 2014-15. Realistically, a healthy Brook Lopez will pick up the slack and Johnson should replicate the stat line we've seen from him during his two seasons as a Net. That makes him a solid 3-point contributor who won't hurt you in any other categories. --TC
20. Tyreke Evans, Nor SF, SGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics7228.2.436.7710.34.75.02.071.20.32.414.5
2015 Projections6930.6.448.7730.44.84.81.991.30.42.415.4
2015 Outlook: Evans was terrific in his first season with the Pelicans, particularly after the All-Star break when he averaged 17.4 points, 5.4 rebounds, 6.3 assists, and 1.2 steals in 33.5 minutes per game. He certainly benefited from the absence of both Jrue Holiday and Ryan Anderson last season, but the Pelicans don't have much depth and will again rely heavily on Tyreke's play-making ability on the offensive end. He makes for a fine selection in the late fourth, early fifth rounds. --BM
21. Luol Deng, Mia SFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics6335.1.431.7910.95.72.91.611.00.11.816.0
2015 Projections7337.6.447.7871.16.63.01.581.00.31.917.4
2015 Outlook: Things couldn't have worked out much better for Deng as a free agent, landing in South Beach as LeBron James' replacement. He should return to form as one of the league leaders in minutes played, and is a terrific source of rebounds and dimes for a small forward. If Dwyane Wade continues to struggle with his health, the Heat will lean more heavily on Deng for scoring and ball movement. In other words, we should expect his floor to be about 17 PPG, but he probably will top 20 for a month or two during the season. The only downside for Deng is his propensity for missing 10-15 games each season. --TC
22. Arron Afflalo, Den SG, SFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics7335.0.459.8151.83.63.41.700.50.02.018.2
2015 Projections6935.1.455.8221.63.63.21.600.50.12.017.5
2015 Outlook: Coming off his best season as a pro in Orlando, Afflalo returns to the Nuggets where he'll take over as the starting shooting guard. Afflalo posted career highs in both points and 3-pointers last year for the offensively challenged Magic, but he may have a hard time duplicating his 18.2 points and 1.8 3-pointers in a much deeper Nuggets lineup. He'll still have plenty of value in points, 3-pointers and free throw percentage, but his upside is capped due to his lack of steals and Denver's frontcourt depth. --BM
23. Jeff Green, Bos SF, PFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics8234.2.412.7951.64.61.70.840.70.62.016.9
2015 Projections8034.9.429.8021.74.71.80.860.70.62.117.4
2015 Outlook: Those of us who were skeptical about what Green really had to offer as a fantasy asset weren't surprised by his generally empty production last season beyond career-highs 16.9 PPG and 1.6 3-PPG. The trouble is that he's a “tweener” forward who isn't really big enough to bang in the paint and not proficient enough a shooter to handle a heavy load outside. No surprise, then, that his shooting dipped from 46.8 FG% in a limited role behind the Big 3 -- while splitting time evenly between SF/PF in 2012-13 -- to only 41.2 FG% as an offensive focus working almost entirely at the 3 last season. He should benefit from a healthy Rondo, but we shouldn't expect anything new from Green. --TC
24. Tobias Harris, Orl PF, SFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics6130.3.464.8070.57.01.31.050.70.41.314.6
2015 Projections6831.4.465.8050.67.41.51.000.80.51.515.3
2015 Outlook: In the 36 games that Harris started last season, he averaged 15.7 PPG, 7.5 RPG, 45.8 FG% (12.4 FGA), 81.7 FT% (4.6 FTA); that's pretty sharp production for a then-21-year-old. The trouble was that coach Jacque Vaughn played Harris off of the bench for the Magic's final 19 games, and his production dipped. He still had good value as a reserve, but his upside will remain capped if he isn't a full-time starter. In a starting role, Harris would be in position for a genuine breakout. Note that since he doesn't block shots and hasn't developed a steady 3-point shot, Harris is a better play in points leagues, but he's worth a roll of the dice in any format, so long as he is healthy. --TC
25. Danilo Gallinari, Den SF, PFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics------------------------
2015 Projections6032.1.417.8371.75.02.51.560.90.51.615.7
2015 Outlook: After missing the entire 2013-14 season with a knee injury, Gallinari hopes to regain his pre-injury form by the time training camp rolls around. The Rooster has proven to be a solid fantasy option for points, 3-pointers and free throw percentage when healthy, but he's been a major injury risk throughout his five-year career. Still, there's plenty of upside here if he can manage to keep himself on the court; remember, he averaged 16.2 points, 5.2 boards, 0.9 steals and 1.9 3-pointers in 2012-13. --BM
26. J.J. Redick, LAC SG, SFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics3528.2.455.9152.12.12.21.860.80.11.215.2
2015 Projections7029.0.440.9052.02.22.92.070.60.11.414.1
2015 Outlook: A deadly sharpshooter from downtown, Redick started his first season in L.A. strong before suffering an assortment of injuries that forced him to miss 47 games. He was terrific prior to the injuries, with 15.7 points, 0.8 steals and 2.1 3-pointers while shooting over 90 percent from the free throw line before the All-Star break. He won't be able to provide much outside of scoring, 3-point shooting and free throw percentage, but Redick will be an underrated fantasy option for the Clippers if he can keep himself on the court this year. --BM
27. Giannis Antetokounmpo, Mil SF, SGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics7724.6.414.6830.54.41.91.230.80.81.66.8
2015 Projections7929.7.425.7151.05.33.31.501.01.02.210.6
2015 Outlook: The Greek Freak got a little freakier during the past calendar year, as the 19-year-old sprouted from 6-foot-9, 205 pounds, to 6-foot-11 and 217 pounds. He worked at SG and SF last season, but new coach Jason Kidd has mentioned using him at the point this season, too. At his current size, it's not hard to imagine him being eligible at any spot on the floor and chipping in stats in every category someday. In the meantime, he has a lot of learning to do; and the arc of that learning curve will determine just how quickly he can make a significant fantasy impact. Target him in the latter rounds as a sleeper, but bump him up your charts if he is generating preseason buzz on the hardwood. --TC
28. DeMarre Carroll, Atl SFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics7332.1.470.7731.35.51.81.701.50.31.111.1
2015 Projections7530.1.467.7621.35.21.71.711.60.31.010.5
2015 Outlook: It took the journeyman small forward five seasons and five teams to finally settle into consistent minutes, but as a starter averaging 32.1 MPG for the Hawks last season, Carroll ended up being a sneaky-good fantasy helper with post-All-Star break averages of 12.2 PPG, 1.5 3-PPG, 5.6 RPG, 1.8 APG, 1.5 SPG, 46.6 FG% and 78.9 FT%. Coach Mike Budenholzer will have to decide how to work the SF position, because he has four journeymen (Korver, Sefolosha, Bazemore, Carroll) capable of working there. If Carroll can get close to 30 MPG, he will give a nice all-around bump to any fantasy team. --TC
29. Draymond Green, GS SFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics8221.9.407.6670.75.01.91.671.20.91.16.2
2015 Projections8118.6.386.7010.54.31.41.551.00.70.95.0
2015 Outlook: A versatile forward who plays tough defense, Green came on strong in the second half with 8.1 points, 5.7 rebounds, 1.6 steals, 0.9 blocks and 0.8 3-pointers in 25.4 minutes per game after the All-Star break. He was even more impressive in the Warriors' seven-game playoff series against the Clippers with 11.9 points, 8.3 boards, 1.7 steals, 1.7 blocks and 1.1 3-pointers in 32.6 minutes per game. With numbers like those, it's clear that Green can fill up the stat sheet for fantasy owners with ample playing time. But will he be able to earn enough minutes in Golden State this year? Given his statistical diversity, he's worth a late-round gamble to find out. --BM
30. J.R. Smith, NY SG, SFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics7432.7.415.6522.64.03.02.030.90.31.514.5
2015 Projections7431.4.423.7062.24.22.71.801.20.31.514.9
2015 Outlook: Smith said during the offseason that he wants to become a leader. That sounds laughable, considering his history, but he wouldn't be the first baller to grow up as he nears his 30s. Until he proves otherwise, though, we have to assume J.R. is J.R. and we will see streaks of prolific 3-point shooting separated by streaks where he's on the waiver wire. His upside should be capped by the presence of Carmelo Anthony (better scorer), Iman Shumpert (better defender) and Tim Hardaway Jr. (younger), who will suck up a good chunk of the minutes and touches available at the 2 and 3 spots. Also assume that Phil Jackson and Derek Fisher will have no patience for any of his typical on- or off-court antics. --TC