Complete 2016 Projections

The default order for player projections is based on's recommended draft rankings, which take into account projected total points as well as upside and risk.

Position: ALL | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | G | F | UTIL
2015 Statistics4435.4.460.7721.
2016 Projections7435.6.490.7861.
2016 Outlook: Bosh missed the second half of last season due to a completely fluky health situation (blood clots in his lungs), but he is expected to be full-go for the 2015-16 campaign. Hopefully, he will pick up where he left off last season, averaging 21.2 PPG sans LeBron James -- 4.9 PPG and 4.8 FGA more than the previous season. He should benefit from working pick-and-rolls with Goran Dragic, who joined the Heat immediately after Bosh was diagnosed last season, which may boost his shooting back up toward 50 percent. If that happens, he should prove to be a quality early-round pick in all formats.
2015 Statistics7533.8.434.8041.
2016 Projections7434.8.440.8062.
2016 Outlook: Sure, he finished 35th on the Player Rater by averaging 16.4 PPG, 9.7 RPG, 1.9 3-PPG and 80.4 FT%. But that's a far cry from what he did in Minnesota, and his 43.4 FG% put a hurting on roto squads. The good news is that it can't get any worse. The question is whether it can get better as a distant third offensive weapon, especially when Tristan Thompson, Timofey Mozgov and Anderson Varejao are hogging the rebounding -- plus, there is his lengthy injury history. However, if Kyrie Irving misses the first month or two while recovering from knee surgery, Love's scoring should skyrocket.
2015 Statistics7527.8.507.6910.
2016 Projections8031.5.524.6680.
2016 Outlook: Out from under the thumb of Brian Shaw, who was fired in early March, Faried turned back into the Manimal, averaging 16.4 PPG, 11.8 RPG, 1.1 SPG, 0.9 BPG, 54.0 FG% and 71.3 FT% in his final 20 games. With a thinned-out roster and new coach Mike Malone's up-paced system, we may finally see Faried rack up those kinds of stats all season long. In fact, there is room for improvement, especially in hustle stats, as he takes on a bigger role on the defensive side of things. Go ahead and pen him onto your list of breakout candidates and take him in the middle rounds.
2015 Statistics7430.8.525.6690.
2016 Projections7632.5.520.6720.
2016 Outlook: Remember back when Favors was supposed to be the next Dwight Howard? We can pretty safely put that comparison to rest -- he is not going to be a prolific rebounder and shot-blocker, especially playing alongside Rudy Gobert, who is exactly that. However, he is just 24 years old, has shown growth in his game the past two seasons and will have a larger offensive role in the paint with Enes Kanter out of the picture. His upside may not be tremendous, but a realistic stat line of 17 PPG, 8.5 RPG and 1.8 BPG is easily within reach and would make him a solid big man in any fantasy format.
2015 Statistics7630.5.538.7590.
2016 Projections7530.9.544.7460.
2016 Outlook: The Hawks have a team-centric approach under coach Mike Budenholzer, which means they don't need Horford to be a an impact scorer, nor do they need him to rack up double-digit rebounds with Paul Millsap tag-teaming with him in the paint. And since he isn't a prolific shot-blocker and is shoddy at the stripe, his overall upside is capped. Still, he sports a high assist rate for a center, which, combined with a terrific FG% and low turnover rate, make him a generally solid center in all formats. But for injuries that cost him most of two of his past four seasons, he would be one of the safer draft picks at his position.
2015 Statistics------------------------
2016 Projections7834.4.496.8000.
2016 Outlook: Kentucky's roster was so deep that it limited Towns' overall stats during his lone season there. We can get a taste for what he might do at the next level by examining his higher-usage games. In the nine contests during which he took double-digit shots, Towns averaged 16.9 PPG, 9.7 RPG and 2.3 BPG. Combine those stats with the 56.6 FG% and 81.3 FT% he posted on the season, and it's clear he has big-time fantasy potential. He will have plenty of room to operate within the Wolves system, but it will be interesting to see how many offensive touches he gets playing alongside reigning Rookie of the Year Andrew Wiggins. For the blocks alone, though, he should be the top rookie off of draft boards.
2015 Statistics6530.6.481.6550.
2016 Projections7232.0.492.6910.
2016 Outlook: Big Al has proved to be prone to injury in recent years -- a legitimate concern, considering that he is now 30 and had injury issues early in his 11-year career. Also, with Kemba Walker, Nicolas Batum (and perhaps rookie Frank Kaminsky) taking on more work on offense, Jefferson may not be leaned on as the Hornets' primary scorer. Furthermore, he really only contributes in three categories (points, boards, FG%), so his upside is limited in roto leagues. However, he is entering a contract year, so we can assume he will put all of his cards on the table. He should be a respectable center if you get him in the early mid-rounds.
2015 Statistics6931.0.496.7500.
2016 Projections7732.9.495.7150.
2016 Outlook: From a fantasy perspective, it's kind of a bummer that Moose didn't choose a team with a thinner roster that would give him a larger role on offense. With the young Bucks, it is unlikely that Monroe will take enough shots to rack up 20 PPG. That's probably all right, because his game isn't really built to be that guy. Instead, he is such an efficient player that he should be a safe bet for his usual 15-16 PPG, 9-10 RPG, 1.1 SPG and a nice FG%. He isn't a great free throw shooter and doesn't stand out at any one category, but every team needs some safe-and-steady players like Monroe, who should also benefit from moving to his more natural center position.
2015 Statistics6834.8.466.7881.
2016 Projections7035.0.477.7911.
2016 Outlook: Fantasy junkies were hoping that Harris would head to greener pastures -- not green like money, but green as in being a top offensive option on his team -- but he re-signed with the Magic during the offseason. It's far from a death knell for his fantasy game, but he may have difficulty maxing out his stats alongside Victor Oladipo and Nikola Vucevic, especially in Scott Skiles' slow-it-down approach to the game. Skiles should improve Harris' efficiency, though, which should be reflected in a FG% that approaches 50 percent and more 3s, especially if he spends most of his time on the wing. Also of note is that Harris has never topped 68 games in a season. Ideally, you'll draft him in the mid-rounds as an upside pick.
2015 Statistics7729.6.459.8821.
2016 Projections7428.7.467.8831.
2016 Outlook: Diggler has managed to remain fantasy-relevant thanks to one of the smoothest shots in hoops history coming off of his 7-foot frame, which makes it nearly unstoppable, even at age 37. However, because he contributes little in the way of boards, dimes or hustle stats, how big of an impact he makes this season depends on the volume of shots he takes. With Monta Ellis gone, and Wesley Matthews and Chandler Parsons recovering from surgery, Nowitzki may take enough shots early on to make his percentages pay off, especially in points leagues. However, as Ellis and Matthews get up to speed, we likely will see less from Dirk later in the season, so consider selling high.
2015 Statistics7728.9.512.7400.
2016 Projections7027.7.525.7470.
2016 Outlook: While hardwood elders like Kobe Bryant are falling apart physically, Duncan just keeps rolling along with no regard for Father Time. It's almost incomprehensible, but at age 38, he finished 14th on the Player Rater last season. The addition of LaMarcus Aldridge will push the big fella to center and probably result in fewer scoring and rebounding chances, but with defenses having to key on Aldridge in the paint it also will make things easier on Duncan. He should generate quality value in the middle rounds for teams looking for a solid big man to round out their fantasy frontcourt.
2015 Statistics5924.2.401.8951.
2016 Projections7132.3.419.8622.
2016 Outlook: A trio of games late last season show the promise Gallo brings to the hardwood: 47 points, 7 3s, 9 boards; 27 points, 7 3s, 7 boards; 40 points, 6 3s, 7 boards, 22-25 FTs. Of course, a frail body has betrayed him more times than we can count at this point. Balancing his statistical potential with his potential for injury is the rub. The good news is that he enters this season at full strength and should be in his physical prime at age 27. It seems like he is due for one season of good fortune and a genuine impact fantasy campaign. Roll the dice on him once the safe studs are off the board.
2015 Statistics7330.0.506.7830.
2016 Projections7331.2.505.7690.
2016 Outlook: Dieng was a revelation last season, busting out with a pretty steady 10 PPG, 8.3 RPG and 1.8 BPG on the season. The bad news for his fantasy value is that the Wolves drafted Karl-Anthony Towns. Towns will eat up most of the frontcourt offense and rack up loads of boards and blocks which will limit Dieng's upside. The good news is that Dieng should start at the four and proved to be efficient last season, posting the aforementioned numbers in about 30.0 MPG and with only about 7.0 FGA per game, usage rates that are entirely realistic this time around. So we should expect more of the same during the 2015-16 campaign.
2015 Statistics7132.5.487.7650.
2016 Projections7231.5.477.7570.
2016 Outlook: The big man may be pushing further into his 30s (turned 34 in July), but he has remained relentless as a scorer (16.1 PPG, 48.7 FG% last season) and on the glass (10.5 RPG). However, he missed 11 games last season, and with championship aspirations, the Grizzlies may rest him more to keep him fresh for the playoffs. Combine those concerns with the fact that he doesn't contribute much in other roto categories, and it's fair to wonder whether the limited upside is worth the aforementioned risks before latter middle rounds. By then, his solid double-double stats and FG% should give your team quality value.
2015 Statistics8220.2.405.8031.
2016 Projections8023.2.434.8161.
2016 Outlook: With a frontcourt packed with veterans Pau Gasol, Joakim Noah and Taj Gibson, Mirotic spent most of his rookie season in a very limited role off the bench. But when Derrick Rose and Jimmy Butler were sidelined in March, the Bulls gave Mirotic an expanded offensive role, and he responded with 20.8 PPG, 1.7 3-PPG and 7.6 RPG that month. His skill set should fit with new coach Fred Hoiberg's high-paced offense, so expect him to see more minutes this season, but he will need at least 25 MPG in order to make a real fantasy impact. His draft value will depend on the preseason buzz regarding the Bulls rotation, but he should be worth a later-round pick as a wildcard.