Complete 2015 Projections

Position: ALL | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | G | F | UTIL
     
PROJECTED 2015 SEASON STATS
16. Kemba Walker, Cha PGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics7335.8.393.8371.54.26.12.641.20.42.317.7
2015 Projections7735.1.417.8221.34.05.62.441.50.42.317.4
2015 Outlook: Walker is just 24 years old but already has proved capable of being the center point of an offense. Even better, that has been reflected in statistical production in every guard category; he can score, dish, swipe, drop 3s and even hit the glass. If he's going to take his game (both fantasy and NBA) to the next level, though, he will have to substantially increase his career 39.8 FG%. The addition of Lance Stephenson to the Hornets' backcourt could help by lessening the offensive pressure on Walker, thus improving his shot selection. Walker isn't likely to explode beyond what we've seen from him the past two seasons, but he is a safe draft target. --TC
17. Kobe Bryant*, LAL SG, SFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics629.5.425.8570.54.36.31.121.20.25.713.8
2015 Projections5731.3.450.8411.24.54.71.471.10.33.221.6
2015 Outlook: Kobe returned from Achilles surgery to play in six games in December before a fractured knee forced him to miss the remainder of the season. The 36-year-old future Hall of Famer has put a lot of mileage on his body during the course of his 18-year career, but his competitive spirit should allow him to remain a force for a few more seasons if he can remain healthy. Remember, it was only two seasons ago when he posted 27.3 points, 5.6 rebounds, 6.0 assists, 1.4 steals and 1.7 3-pointers per game. Given his age and injury concerns, Kobe will be a high-risk/high-reward candidate with major upside potential this season. --BM
18. Derrick Rose, Chi PGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics1031.1.354.8441.63.24.31.260.50.13.415.9
2015 Projections6534.4.449.8181.43.47.12.030.80.53.521.7
2015 Outlook: There is a reason why you play the lotto for only $1: Because the risk of spending a buck on a big jackpot is reasonable. But you don't bet the house on the lotto, because you wouldn't risk losing your home for a longshot. You should address Rose in the same manner. Rose could be a top-five jackpot, but history (missed 197 of the past 246 games) suggests that he is a lotto-sized longshot to pay off. Let someone else take the risk in the first round or two of your drafts, but consider him if he slips into the third round when the investment is more practical. --TC
19. Klay Thompson, GS SG, SFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics8135.4.444.7952.83.12.21.340.90.51.718.4
2015 Projections8134.1.438.8122.63.22.21.290.90.51.717.1
2015 Outlook: The Warriors had an opportunity to trade for Kevin Love over the offseason, but balked once Thompson's name was included in the negotiations. It was a big vote of confidence for Thompson, who has shot over 40 percent from downtown in each of his first three seasons. We'd love to see him do more in rebounds, assists, and steals, but we won't complain with 18.4 points and 2.8 3-pointers per game for the 24-year old sharpshooter. Already a top-40 fantasy player for the past two seasons, Thompson should continue to improve as he enters his fourth season in the league. --BM
20. Gordon Hayward*, Uta SG, SFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics7736.4.413.8161.15.15.21.891.40.52.816.2
2015 Projections7735.9.422.8191.25.24.81.921.30.62.516.0
2015 Outlook: Hayward parlayed his breakout season into a four-year, $63 million contract to remain in Utah. The Jazz may have been forced to overpay for Hayward, but the 24-year-old is extremely versatile with 16.2 points, 5.1 rebounds, 5.2 assists, 1.4 steals and 1.1 3-pointers last season. He shot only 41.3 percent from the floor, but his 81.6 percent from the line helped him finish 39th on our Player Rater. Hayward has improved massively in each of his first four seasons, and the Jazz will continue to rely heavily on him on the offensive end, even with Dante Exum in town. Given his ability to put up numbers in multiple categories, Hayward is a fantastic pick in the fourth or fifth round. --BM
21. Jrue Holiday, Nor PGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics3433.6.447.8100.94.27.92.551.60.43.114.3
2015 Projections6934.9.438.7741.04.07.22.321.60.43.115.4
2015 Outlook: Holiday's first season in New Orleans was marred by a right tibia injury that forced him out of all but 34 games. He did manage 14.3 points, 4.2 rebounds, 7.9 assists, 1.6 steals, and 0.9 3-pointers prior to the injury. Reportedly healthy, Holiday should be a big part of the Pelicans' plans in 2014-15. His scoring has dipped from his days in Philadelphia, but he's an extremely well-rounded point guard option as long as he can keep himself on the court. Injuries haven't been a problem in the past, so Holiday looks like a good bounce-back candidate. --BM
22. Ricky Rubio*, Min PGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics8232.2.381.8020.54.28.63.172.30.12.79.5
2015 Projections7332.7.374.8050.54.28.52.932.40.12.910.9
2015 Outlook: Now entering his fourth season in the NBA, Rubio has proven to be a dominant steal and assist man, but is a career 36.8 percent shooter from the floor while averaging just 10.1 points per game. Shooting challenges aside, Rubio is still a fine fantasy option thanks to his 8.6 assists, 2.3 steals, 4.2 rebounds and 80.2 percent shooting from the free throw line. He won't have the luxury of passing to Kevin Love this season, but he should still be able to rack up plenty of assists and steals. Look for him right after the elite point guards go off the board in fantasy drafts. --BM
23. Jeff Teague, Atl PGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics7932.2.438.8460.92.66.72.281.10.22.916.5
2015 Projections7832.6.453.8541.12.56.92.471.30.32.817.5
2015 Outlook: Teague has teased us with his all-around potential but hasn't quite put it all together in one season. His ceiling would look something like this: 18.5 PPG, 8.0 APG, 1.5 SPG, 1.3 3-PPG, 47 FG% and 88 FT%, all marks that he has reached or passed previously. That sort of well-rounded production makes him an intriguing upside play in any format. Teague was far more aggressive taking the ball to the rim last season, which resulted in 4.8 FTA (2.0 more than his previous career high) at an 84.6 FT% clip. Continued aggressiveness in that department and an improved FG% after a two-year decline could earn Teague his first All-Star bid and a breakout fantasy campaign. --TC
24. Dwyane Wade, Mia SGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics5432.9.545.7330.24.54.71.571.50.53.019.0
2015 Projections5732.6.501.7400.24.44.81.711.40.72.818.5
2015 Outlook: D-Wade will turn 33 midseason, but with 26,331 minutes' worth of wear and tear on his knees, his body behaves a lot older than that. Wade said he'd like to play 75-plus games this season, but he hasn't reached that mark in his previous three tries (and only five times during his 11 campaigns in the Association). LeBron's absence will make things even tougher on Wade, even with Luol Deng as a capable contributor in James' stead. Still, Wade's stats were solid last season and will be this one, too, when he's not in the infirmary. Bottom line: Don't be the person who thinks he's drafting a Hall of Fame stud in the second round; be the person who snags a good value scorer if he drops into the middle rounds. --TC
25. DeMar DeRozan, Tor SG, SFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics7938.2.429.8240.84.34.01.781.10.42.222.7
2015 Projections8037.6.433.8280.83.93.71.761.00.32.122.1
2015 Outlook: For a minute there (14 November games), it looked like DeRozan suddenly figured out how to shoot 3-pointers (1.5 per game that month). That turned out to be an aberration, as he never topped 0.8 per game in any other month. To his credit, he shot a career-high 30.5 percent from 3-point range, but that's nothing to write home about. Nonetheless, the Raps will continue to lean heavily on him as a scorer (22.7 PPG, 17.8 FGA), and he's a favorite for those of us who love volume free throw shooters (8.0 FGA per game at 82.4 percent). DeRozan also chipped in a career-high 4.0 APG. Even if he never delivers from beyond the arc, there's a lot to like in his fantasy game. --TC
26. Deron Williams, Bkn PGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics6432.2.450.8011.52.66.12.741.50.22.214.3
2015 Projections6735.8.443.8261.73.27.82.781.20.32.818.3
2015 Outlook: D-Will's production has been on a steady decline ever since he joined the Nets in 2011, and it bottomed out last season with an embarrassing stat line. To be fair, chronic ankle issues sapped his high-end athleticism the past couple of seasons and clearly impacted his statistical production. The Nets hope that offseason surgery on both joints will clear up the problem for the long term, but convincing fantasy owners to invest a first- or second-round pick on a 30-year-old point guard coming off surgery on both ankles is going to be a tough sell -- especially if you got hosed by Rose last year. A healthy D-Will should be a beast, but you'll have to determine at what price he is worth the risk. --TC
27. Michael Carter-Williams, Mil PG, SGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics7034.5.405.7030.86.26.31.791.90.63.516.7
2015 Projections6834.8.418.7111.06.36.71.862.00.63.618.0
2015 Outlook: Although his percentages were rough (40.5 FG%, 26.4 3-FG%, 70.3 FT%), nobody in Fantasyland was complaining about MCW, who averaged 16.7 PPG, 0.8 3-PPG, 6.3 APG, 6.2 RPG and 1.8 SPG on his way to ROY honors. It's debatable whether we will gain a respite from his shoddy percentages soon; in his final season at Syracuse, he averaged 39.3 FG%, 29.4 3-FG% and 69.4 FT%. It's something to factor into your fantasy expectations for MCW, though he should get every chance to expand on his offensive production as the Sixers' top weapon. He underwent offseason shoulder surgery and isn't slated to make his season debut until Nov. 13. -–TC
28. Wesley Matthews*, Por SG, SFYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics8233.9.441.8372.53.52.41.790.90.21.316.4
2015 Projections7634.3.436.8332.43.42.41.721.10.21.415.7
2015 Outlook: A prototypical fantasy shooting guard who can score, create steals and knock down 3-pointers in bunches, Matthews turned in his best professional season in 2013-14, finishing 44th on our Player Rater at the end of the season. With 16.4 points, 0.9 steals and 2.5 3-pointers while shooting 44.1 percent from the floor and 83.7 percent from the line, Matthews is as solid as they come at the shooting guard position. Select him with confidence as a top-50 player in this season's fantasy drafts. --BM
29. Rajon Rondo, Dal PGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics3033.3.403.6270.95.59.82.971.30.13.311.7
2015 Projections7237.1.457.6140.95.611.33.061.80.13.714.7
2015 Outlook: As Derrick Rose proved, you can never tell how a player will respond during his first season back after a torn ACL. Rondo played only 30 games but looked pretty good as the season wound down, averaging 12.6 PPG, 11.2 APG, 5.8 RPG, 1.3 SPG and 0.8 3-PPG in his final 20 contests, though his percentages were rough (39.4 FG%, 63.9 FT%). He should be full strength now and is entering a contract year on a team that has little else to offer. So if Rondo is ever going to put together a max stat line, this is the season to do so. Although he should be recovered from his ACL ailment, there is some general injury risk in Rondo, who has missed at least 13 games in each of his past four seasons. --TC
30. Tony Parker, SA PGYEARGPMINFG%FT%3PMREBASTA/TOSTLBLKTOPTS
2014 Statistics6829.4.499.8110.42.35.72.570.50.12.216.7
2015 Projections6830.8.502.8170.42.56.52.710.70.12.417.0
2015 Outlook: Parker had a bit of a down season in 2013-14, but still managed 16.7 points and 5.7 assists while shooting 49.9 percent from the floor and 81.1 percent from the line. He won't hit 3s, and his steals leave a lot to be desired, but he'll score and dish in bunches, and there are few point guards who can match him from an efficiency perspective. Head coach Gregg Popovich may limit Parker's minutes from time to time, but the Spurs will continue to rely heavily on Parker's leadership and playmaking abilities. He's a fine option after the elite point guards are off the board. --BM