Complete Week 18 Projections

Position: ALL | QB | RB | WR | TE | D/ST | K | FLEX
     
PROJECTED 2014 SEASON STATS
1. Percy Harvin, NYJ WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics111717.000001
2014 Projections1067791611.9417811127
2014 Outlook: One point. That was Harvin's fantasy output in his first year in Seattle. After being hampered by a hip injury for most of the regular season, Harvin showed off his versatility in the Super Bowl with a kickoff-return TD and a game-leading 45 rushing yards. It remains to be seen whether he can play with consistency -- or stay on the field -- for 16 games. He's never posted 1,000 yards receiving or played 600 offensive snaps in a season, but there's a reason we have him ranked in our top 20. Harvin can break the game open at any moment; over the past two years, his 8.4 yards after the catch is tops among WRs with 50-plus targets.
2. Chris Johnson, NYJ RBYEARRUSHYDSAVGTDRECYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics27910773.96423454189
2014 Projections2018024.06383302157
2014 Outlook: It's not fair to say that CJ2K has lost his speed. There were moments in 2013, especially in the receiving game, when he broke a few long gainers in the open field. But Johnson finished 45th out of 47 qualified running backs in average yards after contact and lost much of his decisiveness at the line. With the Jets, he'll team up with Chris Ivory -- a younger, bigger player whose bruising style will be a contrast to Johnson's speed. As such, workload concerns are enough to push Johnson out of the ranks of fantasy studs. He'll be a feast-or-famine player who'll need long touchdowns to earn his keep.
3. Eric Decker, NYJ WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics13787128814.811000187
2014 Projections1276494714.86000128
2014 Outlook: Despite Eric & Jessie, his reality series with his country-singer wife, Decker was the least celebrated of Denver's receivers last season. But he bested Demaryius Thomas in vertical yards (842 to 744) and outgained Wes Welker on short passes (446 to 431). Sure, the Jets have an unsettled QB situation and unproven talent opposite Decker, but he'll get a ton of targets. That alone gives him a pretty solid fantasy floor, even if his ceiling is uncertain.
4. Chris Ivory, NYJ RBYEARRUSHYDSAVGTDRECYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics1828334.63210094
2014 Projections1216075.05211091
2014 Outlook: We still like Ivory, and we fondly imagine a world in which he finally gets to be a featured back for a good offense. A 220-pound thumper, Ivory was fourth among qualified RBs last season in average yards after contact. And his 50 career carries of 10-plus yards shows he's more than a one-trick pony. Unfortunately, he's also injury-prone, having battled quad, hamstring, knee and ankle troubles in 2013, which helps explain why the Jets gave Chris Johnson good cash this winter. No matter Ivory's potential, his time-share with Johnson hampers his fantasy upside.
5. Nick Folk, NYJ KYEAR1-3940-4950+TOTXPPTS
2013 Statistics18/1912/143/333/3627/27141
2014 Projections19/2110/123/432/3734/34141
2014 Outlook: Looking for a deep-sleeper pick? Folk might be your guy. He was tied for fourth last year in field goal fantasy points (117) and tied for 11th in overall points, despite playing for a Jets offense that scored on only 29.6 percent of drives. Will the Jets be lighting up scoreboards in 2014? Probably not. But with the additions of Michael Vick, Eric Decker and Chris Johnson, it seems that Folk could benefit from more chances. Of all the lower-rung kickers, Folk might have the biggest upside.
6. Geno Smith, NYJ QBYEARC/AYDSTDINTRUSHYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics247/44330461221723666179
2014 Projections195/32421831813592963174
2014 Outlook: Smith's rookie season was dizzying for Jets fans and fantasy owners. Going back to his college days at West Virginia, Smith has always had consistency issues, and his rocky 2013 season is why the Jets might consider Michael Vick -- an inconsistent player in his own right -- a more reliable starter. Overall, Smith ranked as the 20th-best fantasy QB in 2013, but he was impossible to trust on a weekly basis. Here were his point totals from the first 10 games of the season: 14, 3, 24, 7, 21, 4, 20, 2, 11, minus-4. Even if Smith beats out Vick for the starting job, his volatility should scare you away.
7. Bilal Powell, NYJ RBYEARRUSHYDSAVGTDRECYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics1766974.0136272089
2014 Projections602323.9120131042
8. Jeremy Kerley, NYJ WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics724352312.23411065
2014 Projections613845912.12415056
9. Jace Amaro, NYJ TEYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics------------------
2014 Projections543137612.1300053
2014 Outlook: Last year at Texas Tech, Amaro set a single-season FBS record for most receiving yards by a TE (1,352). The Jets snagged him in the second round in the spring, and he's expected to be the favorite for playing time, ahead of Jeff Cumberland and Zach Sudfeld. But will he be an every-down player? Amaro has good strength -- he benched 28 reps at the combine -- but wasn't asked to block much in his college career. That can be a hindrance to consistent rookie contributions at his position.
10. Daryl Richardson, NYJ RBYEARRUSHYDSAVGTDRECYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics692153.1014121025
2014 Projections000.000000
11. David Nelson, NYJ WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics603642311.8200050
2014 Projections0000.000000
12. Chris Owusu, NYJ WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics20131148.800009
2014 Projections0000.000000
13. Michael Vick, NYJ QBYEARC/AYDSTDINTRUSHYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics77/14112155336306297
2014 Projections104/18313828735227197
2014 Outlook: Vick may have ended up on Chip Kelly's bench last season, but it wasn't because he took too many risks. His 1.4 percent BDR was a career low and shows that Vick can protect the ball when he wants to. Now the ultimate question: Did the Jets bring him in to mentor Geno Smith or to beat him out? We won't know until August, but Vick's low BDR and top-tier rushing ability (5.4 fantasy points per game, ranked third) could propel him into the starting lineup sooner rather than later. It's not like Smith -- who threw for less than 200 ypg and had nine more interceptions than touchdowns last season -- is entrenched atop the depth chart.
14. Jeff Cumberland, NYJ TEYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics402639815.3400058
2014 Projections0000.000000
15. Jets D/ST D/STYEARSCKINTFRTDPAYAPTS
2013 Statistics411322387535982
2014 Projections371171383557583
2014 Outlook: If you gave us a choice of any 3-4 defensive line in the NFL, we might take the Jets' Muhammad Wilkerson, Damon Harrison and reigning defensive rookie of the year Sheldon Richardson. Unfortunately, the back eight looks like a mess. Former first-round CB Dee Milliner was benched multiple times in 2013; he'll need to take a big leap forward in year two to be a No. 1 corner. OLB Quinton Coples doesn't get to the QB enough, and Calvin Pace is terrible in run support. And the Jets will rely on rookie Calvin Pryor to instantly be their best safety. Rex Ryan is a magician with a defense, but there's a limit to what he can do.