2013 Outlook: Ivory leaves a bad situation on a good offense, and lands in a good situation on a bad offense. Known for a couple seasons as the best No. 4 RB in football, this 220-pound power runner has 33 carries of 10-plus yards on his 256 career totes. He was underutilized in New Orleans -- though to be fair he's battled knee, hamstring, foot and concussion problems -- but he should get all the work he could want with the Jets, who traded for him in April. Mike Goodson will miss at least the season's first four games, leaving Bilal Powell as the backup. If Ivory stays healthy, he could be a fantasy star.
2013 Outlook: The Jets offense was terrible last year, finishing 30th in total yards and 28th in scoring. But Rex Ryan sure does like to run the ball: New York's 494 carries were sixth-most in the NFL. Chris Ivory figures to be first in line in '13, but he's been nicked up his entire pro career, and Mike Goodson will miss at least the first four games of '13. Next on the list should be Powell. A plodding runner who doesn't have size enough to move the pile, Powell did prove useful catching passes out of the backfield late last season.
2013 Outlook: Goodson spent three years in Carolina buried behind DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart, then one season in Oakland behind Darren McFadden. When the Jets acquired him this winter, the plan was to pair him with Chris Ivory, giving the team decent backfield upside but massive injury risk; Goodson has missed 24 games in his career with leg injuries while Ivory has regularly gotten hurt in limited action. However, Goodson will be suspended for four games to begin the year, and also has legal troubles. It sounds like he'll be on the Jets roster, and Ivory's health gives Goodson some upside. But he's nothing more than a deep lottery ticket.
2013 Outlook: Kerley easily led the Jets with 56 catches and 827 yards last year, running about 70 percent of his routes out of the slot. Considering the mess elsewhere in New York's receiving corps, a repeat (but not much more) is possible. Santonio Holmes and Stephen Hill figure to battle injuries heading into the season, and rookie Ryan Spadola is uninspiring. Also note that Kerley has seven fumbles in two seasons and is a valuable special-teams contributor. He's not a great fantasy pick outside of deeper PPR leagues.
2013 Outlook: It seems like a long time ago, but Holmes actually looked strong last September. Through four games, he was on pace for 80 grabs and 1,088 yards, but then he suffered a Lisfranc fracture that required multiple surgeries, at which time the Jets' offense drifted away. This is a tough rehab for a wideout; cutting speed and quickness are often slow to return. Holmes wasn't able to do weight-bearing activities entering August. It won't be a shock if Holmes isn't ready for Week 1.
2013 Outlook: Sudfeld is an undrafted rookie out of Nevada, a hulking 6-foot-7 mountain of a man who's impressed the Patriots so much that he looks like the team's top pass-catching tight end until Rob Gronkowski returns from back surgery. It's always difficult to trust that a
rookie TE's impressive camp will translate to regular-season excellence. Still, there's a not-insignificant chance that Sudfeld could remain a fantasy factor through the entire year. Realize, however, that his health was often a problem in college, so he might be as much of an injury risk as Gronk.
2013 Outlook: Hill blew up the fantasy waiver wire last year after catching five passes for 89 yards and two TDs in Week 1. After that, the rookie looked mostly lost, catching balls in only half his remaining games and missing time with a sprained LCL that ultimately required surgery. We're talking about a kid who runs 4.36 40-yard dash at 6-foot-4 and 215 pounds, so he's got the raw skills of an elite No. 1 WR. But he reportedly was still suffering knee problems even after surgery, and the mental side of his game is still lacking. Hill is a candidate to start for the Jets, but seems a long way from breaking out.
2013 Outlook: Smith has enough pocket awareness and mobility to extend plays, but he's not a read-option QB. As such, you can't expect him to provide elite rushing numbers in the NFL. And his throwing inconsistency makes keeping the Jets starting job an open question. But to begin the year, it now seems clear that New York will sink or swim with Geno, having seen enough of the Mark Sanchez era in Gotham. The ride figures to be extremely rough for Smith, as his weapons aren't very good. But he showed moxie in college, so we'll keep an open mind.
2013 Outlook: Winslow played one game for the Patriots last year, but his knees weren't right. He'll be 30 this season, but K2 reportedly looked spry in his Jets tryout, which landed him a deal in Gotham for 2013. Assuming he stays healthy, Winslow has a path to playing time. The man he's competing with, Jeff Cumberland, is better suited to be a blocker. But the same lack of Jets offensive talent that could land Winslow playing time will also severely limit his fantasy appeal. After all, he'd be catching passes either from Mark Sanchez or Geno Smith.
2013 Outlook: It's obvious why the Jets drafted Geno Smith: Sanchez is on his last legs with the Jets. He committed 26 turnovers in 15 games last year and has a career completion rate of 55.1 percent. To begin the year, Sanchez will ride pine as New York will see what they've got in Geno. We certainly don't rule out the possibility that Smith will spit the bit -- he looked entirely unready for prime time during the preseason -- and that the Sanchize could start some games this year. But you don't want any part of this QB mess.
2013 Outlook: Cumberland is a slogging big guy best suited to be a sixth offensive lineman, though he did see a spike in targets once Dustin Keller got hurt in 2012. With the Jets signing Kellen Winslow, Cumberland likely takes a step back into blocking mode, though he still could easily wind up on the field for most of New York's offensive snaps. Winslow is more attractive as a potential fantasy factor, but Cumberland will probably score a couple of TDs. Unfortunately, there's really nothing to see here for fantasy.
2013 Outlook: Losing Darrelle Revis last year was a big blow, but Antonio Cromartie stepped up and the pass defense turned out not to be the problem. It was the run D. Specifically, it was the departed Sione Pouha and Bart Scott and formerly great inside linebacker David Harris. Shockingly for a unit that just two years ago was among the NFL's elite run-stopping units, the Jets were 27th stuffing opposing RBs last season. Revis has been replaced by rookie Dee Milliner, and New York did draft Sheldon Richardson in April, though he'd be miscast as a nose tackle. We're skeptical this ground D is fixed.
2013 Outlook: We're stumped how Folk continues to have a full-time kicking gig. His performance just hasn't warranted it. The past four seasons (one with the Cowboys, three with the Jets), he's made only 88-of-119 field goal attempts, which translates to a 73.9 percent rate. Plus he hasn't finished above 77.8 percent in any of those four campaigns. New York keeps bringing in possible alternatives, from Derek Dimke to Billy Cundiff to Dan Carpenter, but so far Folk is hanging around. Don't let Rex Ryan's blind spot be your own.
2013 Outlook: On the one hand, you've got one of the NFL's truly elite offenses, with aerial weapons galore. On the other hand, you've got an understudy who's spent two years on the practice squad and one year at second string, and has thrown four career regular-season passes. Clearly, you're not interested in owning Harrell unless Aaron Rodgers goes down. The question is what happens if Harrell inherits the Green Bay gig? In such a case, we'd still be skeptical because the kid's so inexperienced. But there would certainly be a temptation to grab him off the wire.