Complete Week 18 Projections

Position: ALL | QB | RB | WR | TE | D/ST | K | FLEX
     
PROJECTED 2013 SEASON STATS
1. Alfred Morris, Wsh RBYEARRUSHYDSAVGTDRECYDSTDPTS
2012 Statistics33516134.81311770230
2013 Projections31814974.711141010219
2013 Outlook: As a sixth-round rookie out of Florida Atlantic, Morris made Mike Shanahan forget about his usual indecisive backfield ways. Morris was the man from Week 1 forward, getting 28 carries in the opener and never looking back. The real question is: Why don't we like him more than this? After all, he was fantasy's No. 5 RB in his rookie campaign while flashing tremendous feet, vision and patience. Our hesitation comes from how little Morris gives Washington in their passing game, and a worry that the offense will be restricted to begin the year if Robert Griffin III isn't his usual scrambling self. Yards should be there for Morris, but there's a chance TDs might not. Still, he deserves to be at least a top-20 fantasy pick.
2. Robert Griffin III, Wsh QBYEARC/AYDSTDINTRUSHYDSTDPTS
2012 Statistics258/39332002051198267304
2013 Projections237/3773067177946246268
2013 Outlook: A healthy RG III would be a lock for the top five QBs, but since Griffin tore his right ACL on January 6th, he's not certain to start Week 1. Before the injury, RG III was perhaps the fastest QB in league history. He scored seven rushing TDs, he eclipsed 60 rushing yards in seven of his 15 regular-season starts, and his 815 total rush yards were the fifth-most ever by a QB in a single season. As a passer, he was acceptable: Accurate in the short game, mostly untested throwing deeper stuff. As a runner, he was a fantasy superstar. Adrian Peterson's fast ACL recovery last year gives us hope. But will RG III's breakneck style be curtailed by injury concerns?
3. Pierre Garcon, Wsh WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2012 Statistics674463314.4429088
2013 Projections986388914.162180123
2013 Outlook: Garcon tore ligaments in his right foot in Week 1 last year and wound up missing six games and hobbling through several more, before finally getting healthy in December and making some sweet music with Robert Griffin III. Garcon didn't have surgery this winter, but has told reporters he's not sure he'll be 100 percent for Week 1. Still, even banged up, he's the deep threat in what occasionally looked like a super-elite Redskins offense, giving him the kind of upside many WRs only dream about. In a best-case scenario, Griffin-to-Garcon would become one of the NFL's elite deep connections.
4. DeSean Jackson, Wsh WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2012 Statistics854570015.623-7076
2013 Projections1106299516.0511550130
2013 Outlook: D-Jax is what he is, and we're not sure Chip Kelly's new Philly offense can change that. He's straight-ahead lightning, but Jackson doesn't go over the middle. There's a reason he's averaged just 3.9 catches per game over his career, and there's a reason his TD total has decreased four straight seasons. Defenses know that if they take away the home run, they neutralize Jackson. However, with Jeremy Maclin missing 2013 with torn knee ligaments, Jackson looks like the Eagles' only big-league wideout. Until they sign another, DeSean is a top-30 fantasy WR.
5. Roy Helu, Wsh RBYEARRUSHYDSAVGTDRECYDSTDPTS
2012 Statistics221.0074504
2013 Projections612844.7133319275
2013 Outlook: Entering '12, Helu looked like a potential top-20 fantasy back. He's got a tempting size/speed combo, catches the ball wonderfully, and produced a few big days at the end of his rookie year. But Helu battled two sore Achilles in training camp, then suffered a turf toe injury that required surgery. In the meantime, Alfred Morris left him in the dust. The Redskins say they still like Helu, and he appears to be the leader for backup and third-down duties behind Morris. That makes him an important handcuff for the Shanahans of D.C., but without an injury to Morris, it's probably not going to be a big fantasy year for Helu.
6. Andre Roberts, Wsh WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2012 Statistics1136475911.954290100
2013 Projections975767811.93321087
2013 Outlook: Roberts was respectable in the first half of 2012, but he vanished as the Cardinals' QBs got worse. This year, Carson Palmer gives all Arizona's aerial weapons a better chance, but Roberts has usage concerns. Larry Fitzgerald is the obvious No. 1 WR, and last year's first-round draft choice, Michael Floyd, will see an increase in playing time. Our guess is that Floyd will win the starting outside spot opposite Fitz, and Roberts will have to be content running in three-receiver sets and manning the slot. There's value in such a role, but he's probably the third-most draftable Cardinals WR.
7. Fred Davis, Wsh TEYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2012 Statistics312432513.5011030
2013 Projections604560513.4300078
2013 Outlook: Davis tested the free-agent waters this winter but found tepid league interest after his 2011 season ended with a drug suspension, and his '12 season ended with a torn Achilles. So he'll return to the Redskins on a one-year, "prove-it" deal. Washington reportedly expects both Davis and Robert Griffin III to be ready for Week 1, but there are many rehab hurdles to be overcome. Plus, the potential-laden Davis wasn't tearing it up with RGIII at the helm last year; before his injury, Davis averaged 52 receiving yards per game and caught zero TDs. If Griffin really is ready to rock, we'd be foolish to argue Davis doesn't have upside. But his risk is even more significant.
8. Santana Moss, Wsh WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2012 Statistics614157314.08314099
2013 Projections624253312.73312070
2013 Outlook: Moss took a pay cut to return to D.C., and the reason is obvious: If RGIII is back healthy, Moss would be a part of the best offensive core he's had in eight seasons with the Redskins. In 2012, he posted a respectable top 40 fantasy season among WRs, but those results were skewed by eight touchdowns on just 41 total grabs. History tells us that ratio is unlikely to repeat. Assuming his TD total crashes back to earth and his yardage stays in the sub-600 range, Moss won't belong near many starting fantasy lineups.
9. Josh Morgan, Wsh WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2012 Statistics734851010.62325064
2013 Projections644448811.11320056
2013 Outlook: In four seasons with the 49ers, Morgan established himself as a man with some big-play ability. But in his first season in D.C., he became a pedestrian threat: He had just five targets and zero catches on passes that traveled more than 20 yards in the air, and was perhaps most valuable to the Redskins as a blocker. This winter, Morgan had surgery on his right ankle and both hands, so perhaps he'll get healthy and have increased chances on longer attempts this year. But with Pierre Garcon around, it's hard to see a clear path to a major role for Morgan.
10. Leonard Hankerson, Wsh WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2012 Statistics573854314.3325066
2013 Projections523446013.51216053
2013 Outlook: Hankerson has a huge wingspan and giant hands, but he hasn't lived up to the 4.43 40-yard speed he displayed at the 2011 combine. He just can't get open consistently, which explains why he lost the Redskins' starting flanker job to Josh Morgan last summer. Hankerson did decent work during the '12 season, with eight catches of 20-plus yards. But his workload was so spotty -- he had seven games with zero or one catch, and four games with four-plus grabs -- that it makes Hankerson one of those tempting waiver-wire guys who's too inconsistent to roster in a standard-size fantasy league.
11. Evan Royster, Wsh RBYEARRUSHYDSAVGTDRECYDSTDPTS
2012 Statistics23883.8215109025
2013 Projections000.000000
12. Chris Thompson, Wsh RBYEARRUSHYDSAVGTDRECYDSTDPTS
2012 Statistics----------------
2013 Projections000.000000
13. Kai Forbath, Wsh KYEAR1-3940-4950+TOTXPPTS
2012 Statistics5/611/111/117/1833/3496
2013 Projections14/165/71/320/2648/48109
2013 Outlook: Billy Cundiff booted away the Redskins kicking job by Week 5 last year, and Forbath replaced him. In 11 games, he missed only one of his 18 field-goal attempts and set an NFL record with 17 consecutive successful attempts to begin a career, a track record that certainly gives him a good chance to keep the job in '13. Our only hesitation in recommending him is inexperience. It's easy to get burned spending a pick on a one-year wonder kicker, only to see him bounced from the gig early.
14. Aldrick Robinson, Wsh WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2012 Statistics191123721.53114040
2013 Projections201221417.8100027
15. Redskins D/ST D/STYEARSCKINTFRTDPAYAPTS
2012 Statistics322194388604392
2013 Projections341793408567588
2013 Outlook: The Redskins are in salary cap hell, so they couldn't spend freely this winter. Their linebacker corps is loaded: Brian Orakpo and Ryan Kerrigan are excellent building blocks and London Fletcher just keeps on cruising at age 38. But the cracks show elsewhere on this defense. We like Stephen Bowen as a run-stopping defensive end but the Skins get no real push from their front three, their safeties aren't good, and DeAngelo Hall might be the least-justified high-name-recognition player in the NFL. The fact that Washington won the NFC East while finishing 28th in yards allowed is mostly a testament to Robert Griffin III.