Complete Week 18 Projections

Position: ALL | QB | RB | WR | TE | D/ST | K | FLEX
     
PROJECTED 2014 SEASON STATS
1. Arian Foster, Hou RBYEARRUSHYDSAVGTDRECYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics1215424.5122183181
2014 Projections22010344.78373071183
2014 Outlook: If we were going purely on skills, Foster would be ranked in the top five. He's the NFL's best current example of a one-cut stallion who can turn the faintest crack of daylight into a big gain. But it makes sense to use caution with a player who averaged 371.7 touches from 2010 to 2012 and is coming off serious back surgery. Word is that Foster will be healthy by training camp, and the Texans have good reason to emphasize the run. So perhaps a bounce-back season is in store, but the prospect of an injury-related decline is daunting.
2. Cecil Shorts III, Hou WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics1256677711.8300093
2014 Projections1106388214.05000118
2014 Outlook: In a season that was supposed to vault Shorts into the WR2 conversation, his numbers actually regressed even though he caught 11 more balls (66, up from 55). In 2012, he averaged 17.8 yards per catch, and nearly 20 percent of his receptions went for 25 yards or more. Last season his ypc plummeted to 11.8, and only 3 percent of his catches were for 25-plus. Subpar QB play and a nagging sports hernia injury doomed Shorts, so a clean bill of health should allow him to capitalize on more of his downfield opportunities -- if the QB can get him the ball.
3. DeAndre Hopkins, Hou WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics925280215.4200081
2014 Projections1136497015.24000119
2014 Outlook: Like most rookie wide receivers, Hopkins had a predictably inconsistent inaugural NFL season. He scored three fantasy points or fewer in seven games and caught only 2 TDs. But Hopkins showed two things you look for in fantasy sleepers: durability -- his 969 offensive snaps were seventh most among wide receivers -- and big-play potential (his 15.4 yards per catch ranked third among qualifying rookies). It's also worth noting that Hopkins had only four fewer stretch vertical targets than Andre Johnson. Sure, his penchant for dud performances cannot be overlooked, but all it will take is a few more big plays for Hopkins to move into the WR3 conversation.
4. Jonathan Grimes, Hou RBYEARRUSHYDSAVGTDRECYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics21733.51676018
2014 Projections1124143.711385055
5. Nate Washington, Hou WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics1045891915.83000104
2014 Projections783960015.4200072
6. Texans D/ST D/STYEARSCKINTFRTDPAYAPTS
2013 Statistics32742428508168
2014 Projections4213833665090106
2014 Outlook: Maybe we're too low on a defense that was a consensus top-five unit heading into last season and just drafted Jadeveon Clowney No. 1 overall. J.J. Watt (31 sacks the past two seasons) is the best defensive player in the NFL right now, and Brian Cushing is very good when he can stay healthy. But cracks in the Texans' secondary became chasms last year, and highly touted outside linebackers Brooks Reed and Whitney Mercilus failed to meet expectations. New DC Romeo Crennel has a long track record, but does anyone else find it concerning that the Chiefs' D/ST became a force after he left town? Make these guys prove it to you.
7. Alfred Blue, Hou RBYEARRUSHYDSAVGTDRECYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics----------------
2014 Projections321314.11428021
8. Garrett Graham, Hou TEYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics884954511.1500076
2014 Projections633942510.9400064
2014 Outlook: Graham didn't do much with his big chance last season when Owen Daniels was sidelined. Granted, the Texans were terrible, but Graham looked slow and unathletic. He converted 84 targets (12th among TEs) into just 49 catches (17th), and when he missed the season's final three games, rookie Ryan Griffin looked better. With Daniels gone, expect Graham and Griffin to play at the same time a lot as new coach Bill O'Brien reminisces about his days with Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez. Unfortunately, Tom Brady still plays in New England, so these Texans tight ends are best left undrafted.
9. Andre Brown, Hou RBYEARRUSHYDSAVGTDRECYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics1394923.5320103067
2014 Projections003.800000
2014 Outlook: In 2012, Brown scored a TD in five straight games, then broke his left leg. Last year he was in line to be the Giants' early-down back but broke the same leg in the preseason. New York upgraded to Rashad Jennings and let the brittle Brown go, so now he'll back up Arian Foster in Houston. Another injury-prone RB, Ben Tate, proved that being Foster's understudy can occasionally net results, but there will be no hint of a platoon until Foster gets hurt. And even then, Brown would be a bad bet to stay healthy. He's merely a mildly interesting handcuff in deeper leagues.
10. DeVier Posey, Hou WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics251515510.3000011
2014 Projections0000.000000
11. C.J. Fiedorowicz, Hou TEYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics------------------
2014 Projections483035111.7200047
12. Brian Hoyer, Hou QBYEARC/AYDSTDINTRUSHYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics57/9661553616038
2014 Projections98/1591049881749057
2014 Outlook: For two games, Hoyer looked like the answer to years of QB futility in Cleveland. In the second and third starts of his NFL career, his cumulative stat line read: 60 percent completion rate, 590 yards, 5 TDs and 36 total fantasy points. Perhaps best of all, his 2.0 percent BDR showed an ability to keep his errors to a minimum. Sure, the small sample size (96 attempts) makes him far from a proven commodity, but most backups don't have the luxury of throwing passes to Jordan Cameron and the now-suspended Josh Gordon. The potential is certainly there with Hoyer, although the upside is much lower with Gordon gone. The problem? Johnny Manziel is now in town -- and as long as he stays healthy, he's Cleveland's starter.
13. Ryan Griffin, Hou TEYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics281924412.8100027
2014 Projections352325911.3200037
2014 Outlook: An unheralded rookie out of UConn, Griffin took over the Texans' starting job in December after Owen Daniels and Garrett Graham suffered leg injuries. And though Houston's season was headed into the toilet, Griffin played well. Most important, he looked like a more attractive target than the lumbering Graham usually does. With Daniels out of the picture and Bill O'Brien in as coach, two-TE sets will become the norm in Houston. For the moment, that probably means a frustrating split of targets too, especially with rookie C.J. Fiedorowicz coming aboard. But Griffin is the guy we have our eyes on.
14. Randy Bullock, Hou KYEAR1-3940-4950+TOTXPPTS
2013 Statistics13/1312/171/526/3526/26109
2014 Projections13/1412/161/426/3428/28112
15. Ryan Mallett, Hou QBYEARC/AYDSTDINTRUSHYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics0/00000000
2014 Projections47/75495001550024