2014 Outlook: Andy Reid's arrival in KC -- along with the signing of Alex Smith -- was supposed to make Bowe fantasy sleeper material. But outside of an eight-catch, 150-yard performance against the Colts in the playoffs, the new regime resulted in Bowe's numbers falling through the floor. He posted his second-lowest single-season totals in targets (103), receptions (57) and yards (673). More disturbing is the 34 vertical targets, a mark that ranked 49th among wide receivers. Don't count on anything much better this year.
2014 Outlook: While West's small-school competition at Towson wasn't the best, his size (225 pounds), speed (4.54 40) and multicut ability should serve him well in the NFL as he seeks to earn the No. 2 job behind Ben Tate in Cleveland. And considering that his competition will consist of an underwhelming group -- Isaiah Crowell, Chris Ogbonnaya, Edwin Baker and Dion Lewis -- we give West a great chance to do just that. Given Tate's injury history, that could make West one heck of an intriguing handcuff this summer.
2014 Outlook: Josh Gordon is suspended for the entire season, and Miles Austin is prone to injuries, so Hawkins could carry his share of fantasy value as a starter who can do damage out of the slot. That sounds great in theory, but in his breakout 2012 campaign, Hawkins' 10.5 yards per reception ranked 73rd among wide receivers. The lack of big-play ability translated to a mediocre 71 fantasy points in standard leagues in that campaign, but Hawkins did tally 8.7 points per game in a PPR environment, a total worthy of WR6 status.
2014 Outlook: McCown looked nothing like a backup last season in Chicago. In fact, he bested Jay Cutler in vertical yards per attempt (12.0 versus 11.8), completion percentage (66.5, 63.1) and winning percentage (.600, .455). He also had the league's second-highest Total QBR on vertical throws (99.0). So it makes sense that first-year coach Lovie Smith named McCown his starter shortly after the 35-year-old was signed this winter. And with the 6-foot-5 WR tandem of Vincent Jackson and rookie Mike Evans, McCown could very well replicate those numbers this season. But for now, concern over his 2013 season being a fluke keeps him from being ranked higher.
2014 Outlook: Let's go Johnny Arithmetic on Johnny Football. Manziel averaged 83 rushing yards per game in college. If he can post half that total in the pros, it would equal roughly 664 yards. Add in, say, four carries to the end zone and he's sitting at around 90 fantasy points. If he puts up 10 more points per game through the air, his season total will reach 250. That's fringe QB1 material. But realize this: That's also the best-case scenario, and rookie seasons hardly ever follow such a serendipitous script. At 5-foot-11 and 207 pounds, Manziel rivals Russell Wilson (5-11, 206) as the smallest QB in the NFL, and we'd be surprised if he made it through his rookie season unscathed. For now, he's a lottery ticket in redraft leagues.
2014 Outlook: For the second consecutive year, Hartline posted more than 70 catches and 1,000 yards. He also bested highly touted teammate Mike Wallace in catches and yards despite being targeted eight fewer times. His 130 targets tied for 19th among WRs and placed him just ahead of Anquan Boldin, DeSean Jackson, Jordy Nelson and Victor Cruz. So why isn't Hartline ranked higher? Since 2012, he's been held under 100 yards in 27 of his 32 games and has only 5 TDs.
2014 Outlook: Come on, Browns defense. It's time! This unit has flirted with fantasy goodness for years but has never consistently delivered. It finished 2013 in the top 10 in yards per carry allowed (3.9) and net yards per pass attempt allowed (5.9) but ranked 23rd in points allowed (25.4). NT Phil Taylor, LB Barkevious Mingo and CB Joe Haden, all former first-rounders, give Cleveland fans hope that this year will be different, as does 2014 first-rounder CB Justin Gilbert. And although the loss of safety T.J. Ward hurts, the Browns had a fruitful winter, signing LB Karlos Dansby and S Donte Whitner. It's so tempting to believe the results will finally match the talent, but we've been burned before.
2014 Outlook: At this point last year, Lewis -- a 2010 undrafted free agent out of Duke -- wasn't on anyone's fantasy radar. But after injuries to EJ Manuel, he started five games for the Bills and put up better-than-expected numbers: 218 yards per game, 4 TDs and a nearly 60 percent completion rate. Lewis fared quite well in fantasy points per game on vertical passes (6.8) and was superb at protecting the ball (zero bad decisions), but he struggled when flushed out of the pocket (1.3 Total QBR). It's unlikely the Bills will play him over their 2013 first-round pick, but Manuel's injury history gives Lewis' fantasy value a slight boost.