Complete 2013 Projections

The default order for player projections is based on ESPN.com's recommended draft rankings, which take into account projected total points as well as upside and risk.

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PROJECTED 2013 SEASON STATS

16. Mike Nugent, Cin K

YEAR

1-39

40-49

50+

TOT

PTS

2012 Statistics

12/12

6/9

1/2

19/23

35/35

2013 Projections

17/19

11/14

0/1

28/34

35/35

124

2013 Outlook: Nugent was on his way to a decent season last year when he suffered a calf injury in Week 12 that forced him to injured reserve. A former second-round draft pick of the Jets (and a big reason why then-GM Terry Bradway lost his job), "the Noodge" has shaken off his disappointing career in Gotham and done a couple seasons' worth of acceptable work in Cincinnati. He doesn't have an elite thunder-leg, nor do the Bengals tend to get him an outrageous number of attempts. But in a deep league, there are worse options.

17. Mason Crosby, GB K

YEAR

1-39

40-49

50+

TOT

PTS

2012 Statistics

10/12

9/12

2/9

21/33

50/50

114

2013 Projections

14/16

5/8

2/5

21/29

57/57

121

2013 Outlook: Crosby was the worst kicker in the NFL last year. He went only 21-for-33 in field-goal attempts, and while that number is a bit skewed by his 2-for-9 performance from 50 yards and beyond, missing five kicks between 30 and 49 yards isn't good, either. When you're Aaron Rodgers' cleanup act and you can't get out of your own way, it might be time to worry about job security. And indeed, after rumors swirled that the Packers might replace Crosby late last year proved unfounded, the team has brought Giorgio Tavecchio into camp for competition this summer.

18. Connor Barth, TB K

YEAR

1-39

40-49

50+

TOT

PTS

2012 Statistics

10/11

12/13

6/9

28/33

39/39

142

2013 Projections

10/11

10/12

4/6

24/29

36/36

121

2013 Outlook: Barth got $4 million guaranteed this winter, so don't worry about any competition in Bucs camp this summer. This job is Barth's. A prototype big leg in the prime of his career, Barth's main fantasy hindrance comes down to volume: He's never finished above 10th in field-goal attempts in a single season. Perhaps as Josh Freeman, Doug Martin and Vincent Jackson settle into a groove in '13, Barth will see his workload jump to an elite level. But you can wait, and switch to him during the year as needed.

19. Adam Vinatieri, Ind K

YEAR

1-39

40-49

50+

TOT

PTS

2012 Statistics

13/16

9/10

4/7

26/33

37/37

125

2013 Projections

13/15

8/10

3/5

24/30

40/40

120

2013 Outlook: In the twilight of his career, Vinatieri has a chance to team up with Andrew Luck, but the hard truth is that the formerly heroic kicker was rarely a fantasy stud even when Peyton Manning was setting him up. He did have seven attempts of 50-plus yards in '12, more than he'd had in the previous four seasons combined, but Vinatieri is neither particularly big-legged nor overly accurate. Don't be fooled by name recognition: Vinatieri isn't a fantasy starter.

20. Alex Henery, Phi K

YEAR

1-39

40-49

50+

TOT

PTS

2012 Statistics

16/18

11/12

0/1

27/31

25/26

113

2013 Projections

18/20

7/8

1/2

26/30

34/34

117

2013 Outlook: Henery will rise and fall on the same factors as the entire Eagles offense. If Chip Kelly's up-tempo approach results in more Philly drives and a wearing down of opposing defenses, Henery will benefit. But there's reason to be suspicious, considering the offensive personnel is essentially unchanged. During the final season of Andy Reid's tenure, Henery saw his extra points dip from 46 to 25, which is a stark indicator of how infrequently Michael Vick found the end zone. Maybe things turn around quickly under Kelly. Maybe not.

21. Shaun Suisham, Pit K

YEAR

1-39

40-49

50+

TOT

PTS

2012 Statistics

15/16

12/12

1/3

28/31

34/34

129

2013 Projections

16/17

8/11

1/3

25/31

35/35

114

2013 Outlook: We try not to get carried away worrying about stadium environments when considering fantasy kickers. But we'll make exceptions, and booting in Heinz Field is one of those. As winter approaches, the Pittsburgh wind is just tough. For years, longtime Steelers kicker Jeff Reed was undervalued because his conversion rate tended to be low and he simply didn't get many long-distance attempts, and Suisham will likely receive the same fate. Seen through that light, Suisham's 90.3 percent success rate in '12 is impressive, but he only had three attempts of 50-plus, and only made one.

22. Rob Bironas, Ten K

YEAR

1-39

40-49

50+

TOT

PTS

2012 Statistics

19/19

5/10

1/2

25/31

35/35

111

2013 Projections

15/16

6/9

3/5

24/30

34/34

112

2013 Outlook: Last year Bironas had his worst season since '06, going 5-for-10 on kicks between 40 and 49 yards, which was surprising since his career success rate on such kicks coming into '12 was 81.1 percent. But we've been around long enough to know Bironas has one of the league's strongest legs, and that he regularly numbers among the NFL's more accurate bootsmen. Our problem is with the Titans offense. In a league where the most-used kickers see between 40 and 50 field-goal tries in a season, Bironas has topped 33 just once in his eight-year career.

23. Graham Gano, Car K

YEAR

1-39

40-49

50+

TOT

PTS

2012 Statistics

6/6

2/3

1/2

9/11

20/21

2013 Projections

14/16

6/9

2/5

22/30

44/44

112

2013 Outlook: Gano, the former Redskins whipping boy, jumped onto the Panthers roster after the team had seen enough of Justin Medlock last November. In the season's final six games, Gano converted 9-of-11 field-goal attempts. But we recall those tormented years in D.C., when the big-legged Gano was a special-teams boon on kickoffs, but couldn't hit the broad side of a barn when it came to the uprights. Assuming he keeps the job into September, he's got a promising young offense behind him. But we're skeptical that at age 26 Gano has finally found accuracy.

24. Kai Forbath, Wsh K

YEAR

1-39

40-49

50+

TOT

PTS

2012 Statistics

5/6

11/11

1/1

17/18

33/34

2013 Projections

14/16

5/7

1/3

20/26

48/48

109

2013 Outlook: Billy Cundiff booted away the Redskins kicking job by Week 5 last year, and Forbath replaced him. In 11 games, he missed only one of his 18 field-goal attempts and set an NFL record with 17 consecutive successful attempts to begin a career, a track record that certainly gives him a good chance to keep the job in '13. Our only hesitation in recommending him is inexperience. It's easy to get burned spending a pick on a one-year wonder kicker, only to see him bounced from the gig early.

25. Jay Feely, Ari K

YEAR

1-39

40-49

50+

TOT

PTS

2012 Statistics

15/16

8/10

2/2

25/28

25/25

109

2013 Projections

15/16

6/8

1/2

22/26

36/36

106

2013 Outlook: Remember that game in '10 when Feely kicked five field goals, four extra points, and also ran for a TD on a fake attempt? Yeah, that was awesome. Alas, his time in Arizona has been fallow, as Feely hasn't topped 28 field-goal attempts in any of this three seasons as a Cardinal. Nor do we imagine that the advent of Carson Palmer to the desert will result in a cornucopia of extra-point tries. Feely is a good guy entering his 13th season, but he should be on the outside of your fantasy team looking in.

26. Shayne Graham, Cle K

YEAR

1-39

40-49

50+

TOT

PTS

2012 Statistics

20/20

7/9

4/9

31/38

45/45

146

2013 Projections

14/15

6/7

3/5

23/27

29/29

106

2013 Outlook: Much has been made of the fact that Graham is among the five most accurate kickers in league history, but what's left out of that discussion is the fact that he's never been great from long range (just 13-of-27 from 50-plus yards). Yet the main reason to stay away from him in '13 is his team change. He goes from a Texans squad that fetched him 38 field-goal attempts (tied for third) to a Browns team that produced 31 for Phil Dawson (tied for 15th). Expecting accuracy this season is fair. Expecting volume is futile.

27. Ryan Succop, KC K

YEAR

1-39

40-49

50+

TOT

PTS

2012 Statistics

16/20

10/12

2/2

28/34

17/17

109

2013 Projections

15/17

9/12

1/2

25/31

26/26

106

2013 Outlook: Last year was the first time in his four NFL seasons Succop, "Mr. Irrelevant" from the '09 draft, topped 30 field-goal attempts. Unfortunately, at the same time, he had only 17 extra points in a 16-game season, which if you think about seems just about impossible. Could Andy Reid totally revamp the Chiefs offense and turn Kansas City into a juggernaut that trundles Succop out there so frequently he starts wearing out his kicking shoe leather? Sure. But it's likelier we'll merely see baby steps from an offense led by Alex Smith.

28. Nick Novak, SD K

YEAR

1-39

40-49

50+

TOT

PTS

2012 Statistics

12/12

4/4

2/4

18/20

33/33

2013 Projections

15/16

5/9

3/5

23/30

33/33

106

2013 Outlook: Novak got $1.5 million guaranteed from the Chargers this winter, meaning the team has finally made a long-term commitment to a kicker they've sporadically employed in back-to-back years. It's a great story considering Novak was out of pro football in '07, '09 and '10, but the cockles of our miserly hearts aren't warmed enough to consider him in a fantasy league. The once-proud San Diego offense has free-fallen, and we're skeptical new coach Mike McCoy will resurrect Philip Rivers' career.

29. Nick Folk, NYJ K

YEAR

1-39

40-49

50+

TOT

PTS

2012 Statistics

13/16

5/7

3/4

21/27

30/30

2013 Projections

13/15

6/7

3/5

22/27

32/32

105

2013 Outlook: We're stumped how Folk continues to have a full-time kicking gig. His performance just hasn't warranted it. The past four seasons (one with the Cowboys, three with the Jets), he's made only 88-of-119 field-goal attempts, which translates to a 73.9 percent rate. Plus he hasn't finished above 77.8 percent in any of those four campaigns. At press time, only Derek Dimke was on the Jets roster as a potential alternative, so it looks like the Jets will proceed with Folk yet again. But don't make Rex Ryan's blind spot your own.

30. Josh Scobee, Jac K

YEAR

1-39

40-49

50+

TOT

PTS

2012 Statistics

13/13

11/13

1/2

25/28

18/19

103

2013 Projections

12/12

7/10

3/4

22/26

25/25

100

2013 Outlook: Scobee has been kicking for the Jaguars since '04, but in those nine seasons he's never had more than 32 field-goal attempts and he hasn't even topped 28 tries since '06. You can trace that tiny workload to a perennially crummy Jacksonville offense. In fact, over the past two seasons combined, Scobee has 42 extra points in 32 games, second-lowest in the NFL behind only the Chiefs' Ryan Succop. News that Blaine Gabbert will get another chance as a first-stringer seals the deal: Don't draft Scobee.

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