Complete 2016 Projections

Position: ALL | QB | RB | WR | TE | D/ST | K | FLEX
     
PROJECTED 2016 SEASON STATS
16. Keenan Allen, SD WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2015 Statistics896772510.8400090
2016 Projections154.81061205.411.46.4000158.8
2016 Outlook: Allen missed 10 games because of injury over the past two seasons, delaying what seemed like a surefire rise to the upper echelon of the wide receiver rankings. When healthy, Allen has been a tremendous asset. As a rookie in 2013, he finished 17th among wide receivers in fantasy points. Through eight weeks last season, Allen ranked seventh in standard leagues and fourth in PPR and posted top-11 outings four times. But after lacerating his kidney in Week 8, Allen missed the rest of the season. With Philip Rivers still under center, a healthy Allen should bounce back in a big way this season.
17. T.Y. Hilton, Ind WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2015 Statistics13569112416.35000135
2016 Projections129.973.41166.415.96.91.911.80158.3
2016 Outlook: Compare Hilton's 2014 and 2015 stats and you'll see how badly the Colts missed Andrew Luck. Hilton finished 15th among wide receivers in targets in both seasons. But last season, his receptions, yardage, TDs, catch rate, yards per reception and fantasy points all declined from 2014. Why? A whopping 28.5 percent of balls thrown in Hilton's direction were off target, more than double his 2014 rate of 13.3 percent. So with Luck back this year, you can bank on Hilton's resurgence. The 26-year-old deep threat should post WR2 numbers.
18. Kelvin Benjamin, Car WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2015 Statistics0000.000000
2016 Projections122.666.7896.813.58.5000139.9
2016 Outlook: The Carolina offense enjoyed a breakout 2015 campaign, but imagine how much better it could have been with its No. 1 receiver. After an impressive rookie campaign in which Benjamin posted 1,008 receiving yards, he tore his ACL last August. During his big rookie season, the 6-foot-5, 245-pound Benjamin scored nine TDs thanks to an NFL-high 24 end zone targets. Expect him to slide comfortably back into his role as Cam Newton's go-to wide receiver and become one of the few players in the league with the potential for 12-plus TDs.
19. Julian Edelman*, NE WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2015 Statistics886169211.373230107
2016 Projections144.394.41009.910.77.4849.60.2150.2
2016 Outlook: Edelman would be in the WR1 conversation if not for his injury issues. He has emerged as Tom Brady's favorite receiver, averaging 9.4 targets per game over the past three seasons. (Rob Gronkowski sits at 8.5 during the same span.) But Edelman has played a full 16-game slate just once in his career and appeared in only nine games last season. He scored seven times in that limited run, though, and finished as a top-13 WR during four of those weeks. Edelman is a high-floor WR2 target, especially in PPR.
20. Doug Baldwin, Sea WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2015 Statistics10478106913.714000184
2016 Projections106.775.41006.213.37.2000143
2016 Outlook: After scoring a total of 15 TDs in his first four seasons, Baldwin exploded for 14 in 2015, which tied for the league lead. Incredibly, through Week 11 Baldwin had scored only three times and ranked tied for 34th among WRs in fantasy points. Over the next six weeks, 11 of his 34 catches went for TDs, and he was fantasy's top performer at the position. Baldwin's TD pace is unsustainable, but his breakout was inevitable. A terrific blocker and efficient receiver, he has been one of the NFL's top all-around WRs for years but had struggled to find targets in Seattle's run-heavy offense. Consider Baldwin a fringe WR2.
21. Jarvis Landry, Mia WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2015 Statistics166111115910.44171111154
2016 Projections147.3102.110119.95.515.282.60.3144.3
2016 Outlook: Landry took a big step forward as Ryan Tannehill's top target in 2015. After catching 84 passes as a rookie, he bumped up that total to 110 last season, which ranked fourth in the league. The problem is that the bulk of those catches came close to the line of scrimmage: He posted a lowly 7.2-yard average depth of target and caught only four TD passes. New coach Adam Gase should help the Dolphins' talented offense become even more productive, though. And even if Landry continues to be used primarily on short routes, he is a safe pick as a WR3 and becomes a borderline WR1 in PPR formats.
22. Jeremy Maclin, KC WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2015 Statistics12487108812.583140148
2016 Projections122.681.91097.113.45.23.924.70.2142.3
2016 Outlook: Maclin signed with Kansas City last offseason, there were serious concerns that Alex Smith's conservative play would crush the veteran receiver's fantasy value. Instead, the underrated Smith force-fed the ball to Maclin, helping his new favorite target post nine top-30 weeks, including four top-10s. Maclin saw fewer deep shots than he did in the Philly offense, but he still managed to score eight TDs while eclipsing 1,000 receiving yards. At 28, Maclin remains in his prime, but durability is a slight concern. He has appeared in all 16 games only twice in his seven-year career. Maclin is a WR3, and his ceiling is low.
23. Randall Cobb, GB WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2015 Statistics1297982910.5613500120
2016 Projections119.279.2940.111.96.9161080.3148
2016 Outlook: Cobb looked like a lock for WR1 production last season after Jordy Nelson tore his ACL. Instead, he struggled with consistency like the rest of the Green Bay offense and took a big step backward in terms of efficiency: Cobb's catch rate fell from 73 percent to 62 percent, and his yards per reception dropped from 14.1 to 10.5. Nelson's return figures to give the Packers' offense a boost, but Cobb will be hard to trust after laying an egg when he was presented with such a great opportunity. Cobb is only 26 and has Aaron Rodgers under center, but he should still be viewed as a WR3.
24. Eric Decker, NYJ WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2015 Statistics13180102712.812000166
2016 Projections143.185.6112113.18.2000161.1
2016 Outlook: Decker has ranked among the top 10 wide receivers during three of the past four seasons, making him one of the most underrated players in fantasy. The definition of consistent, he posted a top-30 WR week in all 15 of his games last season. Decker ended up with 80 receptions, 1,027 yards and 12 TDs. There was nothing fluky about that TD total: He was targeted within 3 yards of the goal line a league-high 27 times and racked up 20 end zone targets, third most in the NFL. On draft day, consider Decker a safe WR3 target.
25. Golden Tate, Det WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2015 Statistics128908139.066410111
2016 Projections131.389.31059.211.95.57.245.80.2143.8
2016 Outlook: Calvin Johnson's shocking decision to retire should benefit Tate. Back in 2014, the Lions played five games in which Johnson was sidelined or limited. During those weeks, Tate totaled 39 receptions for 599 yards and three TDs. Only four wide receivers scored more fantasy points. Even with Johnson in the mix last season, Tate racked up 128 targets (18th among WRs) and 90 catches (ninth). Tate is primarily a short-area target, but high volume in Detroit's pass-heavy offense will allow WR3 production. Just don't expect him to score a lot of touchdowns.
26. Emmanuel Sanders, Den WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2015 Statistics13776113514.963290140
2016 Projections131.475.11045.713.94.44.427.70.1133.6
2016 Outlook: Sanders was the victim of poor QB play last season. He dropped from fourth in receptions among WRs in 2014 to 20th last season, fell from fifth to 14th in yardage and from tied for 12th to tied for 23rd in TDs, despite being targeted only six fewer times. The problem was that 26.7 percent of balls thrown his way were off target, compared with 19.1 percent in 2014. The Broncos' unsettled QB situation spells more trouble, and it's likely Gary Kubiak will revert to a run-first scheme without Peyton Manning. Target volume thus becomes a concern in addition to efficiency, leaving Sanders as a WR3.
27. Michael Floyd, Ari WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2015 Statistics895284916.36000115
2016 Projections105.659.8941.615.76.8000134.8
2016 Outlook: Injuries before and during the season--hamstring, knee, fingers--quelled optimism for a fourth-year breakout and led to another pedestrian campaign for Floyd. He ended up 32nd among WRs in fantasy points, but he did manage six top-25 finishes during his 15 games. At 26, Floyd now enters a contract year. He carries some risk and will compete for Carson Palmer's attention with Larry Fitzgerald and John Brown, but it's not out of the question for him to emerge as the No. 1 receiver in Arizona's high-scoring offense. He has the high ceiling you want in your third receiver.
28. DeVante Parker, Mia WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2015 Statistics512649419.0300064
2016 Projections122.264.9945.314.65.7000127.9
2016 Outlook: June foot surgery, coupled with Miami's deep wide receiver unit, almost led to a lost rookie season for Parker, but the 14th pick in the 2015 draft finished strong. During Weeks 12 to 17, Parker caught 22 of 40 targets for 445 yards and three scores, tying for 19th among WRs in fantasy points. On the season, he averaged 10.5 yards per target, which was sixth among WRs with at least 30 targets. Parker is extremely talented, stands 6-foot-3 and has 4.4 wheels. Durability concerns aside, Parker is a strong bet to break out as Miami's top perimeter threat this season.
29. Larry Fitzgerald, Ari WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2015 Statistics146109121511.19000164
2016 Projections122.382.8949.311.57000135.3
2016 Outlook: After failing to reach 1,000 yards for three straight seasons, Fitzgerald bounced back to finish 10th among WRs in fantasy points last year. Look closer, though, and 2015 resembles two distinct seasons for Fitz. Through the first five weeks, he ranked first among WRs in fantasy points on the strength of 35 receptions, 490 yards and six TDs. After, he had 74 catches for 725 yards and three TDs, which left him 34th. Fitzgerald is 33, and while he should remain a fantasy starter, he likely won't repeat his WR1 performance, with David Johnson, Michael Floyd and John Brown taking on increased work.
30. Donte Moncrief, Ind WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2015 Statistics1056473311.56000104
2016 Projections12472.6904.912.57.5000134.3
2016 Outlook: The 2015 season was a tale of two halves for Moncrief. After seven weeks, he ranked 21st among WRs in fantasy points and had 34 catches for 381 yards and five TDs. But over his final nine games, Moncrief caught only 30 passes for 352 yards and one score, making him fantasy's No. 68 wide receiver. Of course, he was playing without Andrew Luck for most of that stretch. The former third-round pick will be just 23 years old to start the season and should be the Colts' No. 2 WR opposite T.Y. Hilton. Now that Luck is back, Moncrief should vault into WR3 consideration.