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Complete 2013 Projections

The default order for player projections is based on ESPN.com's recommended draft rankings, which take into account projected total points as well as upside and risk.

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PROJECTED 2013 SEASON STATS

31. Tavon Austin, StL WR	YEAR		TAR	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	RUSH	YDS	TD		PTS
	2012 Statistics		--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--		--
	2013 Projections		76	53	823	15.5	5	12	78	0		119
2013 Outlook: At 5-foot-9 and 174 pounds featuring 4.34 speed and unbelievable quicks, Austin is a matchup nightmare. St. Louis traded up to get him eighth overall in April's draft and will immediately install him as a featured player in their offense. You probably won't see Austin lined up out wide very much in his rookie year, but he'll be everywhere else, much like Randall Cobb in Green Bay. The Rams still must prove they've fixed the offensive line problems that have plagued them throughout Sam Bradford's tenure, but Austin looks like a good bet for 50-plus touches and several long catch-and-run TDs.

32. DeSean Jackson, Phi WR	YEAR		TAR	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	RUSH	YDS	TD		PTS
	2012 Statistics		85	45	700	15.6	2	3	-7	0		76
	2013 Projections		97	55	889	16.2	4	11	55	0		115
2013 Outlook: D-Jax is what he is, and we're not sure Chip Kelly's new Philly offense can change that. He's straight-ahead lightning, but Jackson doesn't go over the middle. There's a reason he averages just 3.9 catches per game over his career, and there's a reason his TD total has decreased four straight seasons. Defenses know that if they take away the homerun, they neutralize Jackson. We admit that if Kelly can creatively get the ball to his speedster in space more frequently, as he did at Oregon, Jackson would have some interesting value. But we're done making heavy draft-day investments in this guy.

33. Steve Johnson, Buf WR	YEAR		TAR	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	RUSH	YDS	TD		PTS
	2012 Statistics		148	79	1046	13.2	6	0	0	0		131
	2013 Projections		140	80	1008	12.6	5	0	0	0		128
2013 Outlook: Johnson's output the past three years has been solid. He regularly eclipsed 1,000 yards receiving and generated a handful of TDs, which is notable considering he was catching passes from Ryan Fitzpatrick. But with Kevin Kolb or rookie E.J. Manuel under center in '13, we're unconvinced the Bills will get markedly better QB play. New coach Doug Marrone plans on using Stevie out of the slot a bunch this year as rookie Robert Woods assumes the flanker role, and that should mean fine week-to-week consistency for Johnson. But claiming there's anything close to elite upside here is a hard sell.

34. T.Y. Hilton, Ind WR	YEAR		TAR	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	RUSH	YDS	TD		PTS
	2012 Statistics		91	50	861	17.2	7	5	29	0		133
	2013 Projections		101	56	902	16.1	6	6	21	0		126
2013 Outlook: Hilton has 4.34 speed and used it in his rookie year to create 11 plays of 25-plus yards. His 7.9 yards-after-catch average was second among all NFL wideouts, behind only Percy Harvin. As fantasy owners, we have to beware of players who are over-reliant on big plays, and it's true that Hilton only averaged slightly more than three grabs per game in '12. Plus the Colts brought in fellow speedster Darrius Heyward-Bey this spring. But Hilton's rookie campaign was arguably better than any of DHB's four pro seasons. We favor him in a major way, even if he'll be a bit up and down.

35. Danario Alexander, SD WR	YEAR		TAR	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	RUSH	YDS	TD		PTS
	2012 Statistics		62	37	658	17.8	7	0	0	0		104
	2013 Projections		89	57	1005	17.6	5	0	0	0		128
2013 Outlook: These words have regularly been said in NFL circles: "I'd love to see what Danario Alexander could do with healthy knees." And indeed, when DX shook up the fantasy world by walking in off the street and taking over the Chargers' No. 1 WR job, we advised caution, because Alexander has had five knee surgeries. But he kept it up for the final 10 games of '12, scoring seven TDs and using his height and speed to threaten defenses at every level. Entering '13, he looks like Philip Rivers' top target. But we still can't stop worrying about his knees.

36. Miles Austin, Dal WR	YEAR		TAR	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	RUSH	YDS	TD		PTS
	2012 Statistics		118	66	943	14.3	6	0	0	0		121
	2013 Projections		104	57	840	14.7	6	0	0	0		118
2013 Outlook: There used to be a legitimate debate over which Cowboys WR was a better fantasy asset, but that's been settled. While Dez Bryant exploded in the second half of '12, Austin's injuries thwarted his second straight campaign. He didn't miss games, but he did occasionally have to leave them earlybattling hamstring, hip and knee woesand had two catches or fewer in five separate contests. Still a big, powerful player who can scoot when he's healthy, Austin's perpetual durability issues make him tough to trust. A return to '09, when he produced 1,320 receiving yards and 11 scores, doesn't seem likely.

37. Mike Williams, TB WR	YEAR		TAR	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	RUSH	YDS	TD		PTS
	2012 Statistics		127	63	996	15.8	9	0	0	0		146
	2013 Projections		120	63	954	15.1	5	0	0	0		123
2013 Outlook: Here's hoping Williams isn't on the every-other-year plan. He was spectacular in his rookie season of '10, flamed out in '11, but was back again as an oft-used red-zone target in '12. Would you believe Williams is tied for ninth in WR TDs over the past three years combined? Nobody will mistake him for a burner, but it's heartening to see Williams produce even as flashier Vincent Jackson became the focal point of the Buccaneers passing offense. A pure flanker with enough physicality to do the receiving dirty work, Williams' yardage total won't blow you away. But the TDs should be there.

38. Jeremy Maclin, Phi WR	YEAR		TAR	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	RUSH	YDS	TD		PTS
	2012 Statistics		122	69	857	12.4	7	0	0	0		119
	2013 Projections		101	59	807	13.7	6	0	0	0		114
2013 Outlook: Maclin enters the final year of his rookie contract as a big-time tease. You look at his 4.45 speed and route-running, and you imagine he could become a true No. 1 wideout. But Maclin has never eclipsed 1,000 yards in a season. He hasn't missed many games, but it always seems he's battling a back problem, a groin injury, a hip flexor strain, a hamstring pull, or a mystery ailment. Chip Kelly wants Philly's new offense to go as fast as possible, and maybe Maclin puts together a great season in a push for big bucks. But we're not holding our breath.

39. Josh Gordon, Cle WR	YEAR		TAR	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	RUSH	YDS	TD		PTS
	2012 Statistics		96	50	805	16.1	5	0	0	0		100
	2013 Projections		110	58	901	15.5	5	0	0	0		118
2013 Outlook: The history of supplemental draft picks who made a major impact is a short one. The last great skill-position player taken in the supplemental draft was probably Rob Moore in 1990. But Gordon is off to a strong start. Despite testing positive for marijuana three times in college, Gordon was drama-free in '12 and led the Browns in receiving yards. A tall, lithe player with good (if not elite) speed, Gordon could benefit from Rob Chudzinski's aggressive passing attack. The constraining factor is QB Brandon Weeden, who has enough wing to make Gordon a star but whose accuracy and athleticism are questions.

40. Lance Moore, NO WR	YEAR		TAR	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	RUSH	YDS	TD		PTS
	2012 Statistics		104	65	1041	16.0	6	0	0	0		137
	2013 Projections		97	61	758	12.4	7	0	0	0		117
2013 Outlook: In '12, Moore produced his first 1,000-yard season and finished 19th in WR fantasy points, meaning we may be low on him here. Despite being 5-foot-9, Moore runs two-thirds of his routes from the outside (Marques Colston is more frequently the Saints' slot man), and his 13.5 average yards at the catch was second in the NFL last year. But that downfield performance was out of character for Moore; before '12, his career average was 7.9. Given his track record, we're anticipating Moore running deep less frequently in '13. While he should be a fine flex, we anticipate some statistical regression.

41. Kenny Britt, Ten WR	YEAR		TAR	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	RUSH	YDS	TD		PTS
	2012 Statistics		90	45	589	13.1	4	0	0	0		78
	2013 Projections		78	41	656	16.0	5	0	0	0		93
2013 Outlook: Britt has size and speed to burn, but now he's four years into his NFL career and he's yet to top 775 yards receiving. He tore his right ACL and MCL in '11, then last fall tore his left knee meniscus; the net result was a lost season in which Britt had a devil of a time gaining separation. Britt has talent enough to be a top-10 fantasy WR. But the Titans drafted Justin Hunter in the second round this April, officially putting the veteran on notice. If he doesn't break out in his contract year, Britt is likely gone from Tennessee.

42. Sidney Rice, Sea WR	YEAR		TAR	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	RUSH	YDS	TD		PTS
	2012 Statistics		80	50	748	15.0	7	2	6	0		111
	2013 Projections		82	51	810	15.9	6	2	16	0		118
2013 Outlook: First the good news: After two injury-decimated seasons, Rice made it through the full 16-slate game in '12. Now the bad news: Despite this relatively good health, Rice tied for 53rd in WR targets. As a team, the Seahawks were dead last in the NFL in pass attempts per game, so although Rice is an enticing target at 6-foot-4, he just wasn't used enough to make an every-week fantasy impact. Add Percy Harvin to the mix in Seattle, and you'll understand our skepticism about Rice in '13. He's still an injury risk, and his workload can disappear from game to game.

43. Emmanuel Sanders, Pit WR	YEAR		TAR	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	RUSH	YDS	TD		PTS
	2012 Statistics		73	44	626	14.2	1	1	4	0		60
	2013 Projections		105	67	877	13.1	4	3	14	0		110
2013 Outlook: Sanders' self-esteem has to be at an all-time high. When the Patriots signed him to an offer sheet this spring, Ben Roethlisberger convinced Pittsburgh management to match the offer, and so Sanders returns to Steel Town coming off his best season. With Mike Wallace gone, Sanders joins Antonio Brown as a starter in two-WR sets, though neither man has Wallace's big-play potential. Quicker than he is fast, Sanders can thrive in Todd Haley's short-passing offense, and hopes to make major strides in his yards-after-catch average. Still, he's never topped 44 grabs in a season, so keep those expectations in check.

44. Denarius Moore, Oak WR	YEAR		TAR	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	RUSH	YDS	TD		PTS
	2012 Statistics		115	51	741	14.5	7	1	-5	0		110
	2013 Projections		116	58	809	13.9	6	4	17	0		115
2013 Outlook: A year after averaging 14.3 yards at the catch, Moore averaged 9.3 last season during a campaign that took away some of his deep-speed luster. He never caught more than five passes in a game last year and eclipsed the 100-yard mark once, plus he had six drops on 50 catches. To some extent, we can explain away this sorrowful turn of events by blaming the entire disastrous Raiders offense. But really, is Matt Flynn going to be any better under center than Carson Palmer? If anything, Flynn at QB is even less likely to take advantage of Moore getting open deep.

45. Chris Givens, StL WR	YEAR		TAR	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	RUSH	YDS	TD		PTS
	2012 Statistics		80	42	698	16.6	3	3	12	0		85
	2013 Projections		107	57	934	16.4	4	4	24	0		117
2013 Outlook: A 4.41 burner whose skills remind us of Mike Wallace, Givens had a five-game stretch early in '12 where he made at least one catch that went for 50-plus yards. As the season wore on, Givens proved it was possible for him to do more than run "go" routes, but his game still needs refinement. The Rams will probably give rookie Tavon Austin their most WR touches, but Givens will remain a dangerous target as part of an offense developing an impressive amount of speed. If Sam Bradford gets protection, Austin and Givens can both produce for fantasy.

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