Complete Week 18 Projections

Position: ALL | QB | RB | WR | TE | D/ST | K | FLEX
2012 Statistics684568815.373200107
2013 Projections785368713.074250112
2013 Outlook: Tate is a playmaker who doesn't get to make many plays. His game has legit speed and open-field danger to it, but Tate tied for 63rd in WR targets last year. Even with Percy Harvin needing major hip surgery this summer, it's hard to imagine Tate is about to become a focal point of the Seattle offense. That would likely require another injury to now-No. 1 wideout Sidney Rice, which certainly is possible, but is difficult to count on. The likeliest scenario for Tate as he enters the final season of his rookie contract is some big plays, combined with some very quiet games.
2012 Statistics845681414.55000105
2013 Projections724369616.2500099
2013 Outlook: Floyd regularly goads fantasy owners every year with his raw talent, then suffers an injury that renders him useless. The 6-foot-5, 225-pound Floyd can be dangerious, but he's never topped 856 yards or six TDs in a season. Danario Alexander suffered a torn ACL in training camp, so the opportunity is there, but Floyd already sprained a knee in training camp and is considered questionable for Week 1. Expect some big plays from him, but third-year man Vincent Brown should be more consistent at WR for the Chargers.
2012 Statistics321929815.7300044
2013 Projections925477414.35000105
2013 Outlook: Randle is probably a tick too slow to ever be an elite NFL wideout, but Giants coaches like his hands and his ability to fight off press coverage. He flashed a few times in his rookie season, but it was disappointing that Randle could never fully get in the mix with Hakeem Nicks so limited; this year, Domenik Hixon and Ramses Barden are gone, so the No. 3 WR job is Randle's for the taking. With his size and leaping prowess, this kid has Dwayne Bowe upside. This year, however, he'll continue to learn behind Nicks and Victor Cruz.
2012 Statistics332231014.1200040
2013 Projections1067587911.74000107
2013 Outlook: As a senior at Oklahoma in 2011, Broyles broke the all-time FBS record for career receptions, then tore his left ACL. Last year, after the Lions spent a second-round pick on the rehabbing Broyles, he clawed his way back to full strength by Week 5, performing well in place of the injured Nate Burleson. Then he tore his right ACL. The Lions seem to believe Broyles will be ready for Week 1, and would love it if he could assume the role as Matthew Stafford's go-to man out of the slot. If healthy, he's got sleeper appeal in all leagues.
2012 Statistics104646269.8414077
2013 Projections1157084612.15000112
2013 Outlook: Sometimes we don't get the Titans' offense. Wright was 74th among all WRs in average yards at the catch last year, which ranked third-to-last among qualified receivers. In contrast, he put up huge numbers at Baylor, including eight games in his final season in which he had a gain of at least 36 yards. In short, he's not a player we'd relegate to screen and dump-off duty. Wright, Kenny Britt and rookie Justin Hunter would make an intimidating WR trio with open-field chops, though to achieve fantasy glory they'll all require Jake Locker to make a leap forward.
2012 Statistics------------------
2013 Projections704256213.4500086
2013 Outlook: The Texans have told us they've fixed the hole at their No. 2 WR spot a dozen times over the past decade. This time we might actually believe them. Hopkins is a first-round pick with terrific hands and the toughness to run any route. Draftniks compare this kid to Roddy White, which is high praise. It seems unlikely that Lestar Jean or Keshawn Martin would offer much impediment to Hopkins claiming a role in the starting lineup opposite Andre Johnson. Of course, Houston is so run-oriented, the fantasy upside of that role is shaky.
2012 Statistics1136475911.954290100
2013 Projections975767811.93321087
2013 Outlook: Roberts was respectable in the first half of 2012, but he vanished as the Cardinals' QBs got worse. This year, Carson Palmer gives all Arizona's aerial weapons a better chance, but Roberts has usage concerns. Larry Fitzgerald is the obvious No. 1 WR, and last year's first-round draft choice, Michael Floyd, will see an increase in playing time. Our guess is that Floyd will win the starting outside spot opposite Fitz, and Roberts will have to be content running in three-receiver sets and manning the slot. There's value in such a role, but he's probably the third-most draftable Cardinals WR.
2012 Statistics------------------
2013 Projections905358811.1300074
2013 Outlook: Thompkins is a nontraditional rookie; he played two seasons at the University of Cincinnati after transferring from community college, and went undrafted this spring. But the Patriots may have uncovered a gem; Thompkins has average size but above-average speed, and could be an answer as a sure-handed outside receiver. Fellow rookie Aaron Dobson comes with more hype, but Thompkins has apparently edged past him into the starting lineup to begin the year. Any starter catching passes for Tom Brady certainly deserves to be drafted in all leagues.
2012 Statistics12874108314.61000105
2013 Projections754665714.3300081
2013 Outlook: Last August, Hartline had to overcome a gangrenous appendix and a calf injury just to avoid the PUP list, yet somehow wound up becoming only the eighth man to record a 1,000-yard receiving season in Dolphins history. Given the fact that Mike Wallace got $30 million guaranteed from Miami this winter, Hartline's days as a No. 1 WR are probably done. But he has decent flanker size with good straight-ahead speed. If Ryan Tannehill makes a leap forward in 2013, Hartline is positioned nicely as one of his top receivers, especially in the end zone, where he saw 12 targets last year.
2012 Statistics1326486513.552230112
2013 Projections984760112.83220078
2013 Outlook: We questioned Blackmon as the No. 5 overall pick last year, and nothing we saw in 2012 makes us change that assessment. He did improve, especially when Chad Henne took over under center. But anyone expecting Blackmon to be a burner will be disappointed. He's good after the catch, but he was third in the NFL with 10 drops and more than a quarter of his yards came in one game. Worst of all, he'll be suspended for the first four games of '13 for violating the NFL's substance-abuse policy. Cecil Shorts is the Jacksonville WR to own this year.
2012 Statistics915364712.24215081
2013 Projections824956711.63216075
2013 Outlook: In 2011, Little finished second among rookies with 61 grabs, but he took a step back in his sophomore campaign. He had seven drops and irritated coaches with his after-the-catch antics. There's potential in the Browns' passing offense with Rob Chudzinski and Norv Turner running things, as we can expect Cleveland to be far more vertical in '13. Plus, Josh Gordon is suspended for this season's first two games, giving Little a chance to get a toehold. More consistency from Little and QB Brandon Weeden would help rescue some value out of a player who frustrated fantasy owners in '12.
2012 Statistics894674616.2400092
2013 Projections704155213.53112074
2013 Outlook: He's opportunistic, that's for sure. Washington grabbed two Super Bowl rings early in his career as a Steeler despite never breaking 40 catches in Pittsburgh, and Washington also has been Tennessee's leading receiver two years running despite the presence of the more talented Kenny Britt. Once again, thanks to a minor camp injury to Kendall Wright and rookie Justin Hunter's lack of readiness, Washington looks like a starter in Tennessee, but his upside is practically nil.
2012 Statistics614157314.08314099
2013 Projections624253312.73312070
2013 Outlook: Moss took a pay cut to return to D.C., and the reason is obvious: If RGIII is back healthy, Moss would be a part of the best offensive core he's had in eight seasons with the Redskins. In 2012, he posted a respectable top 40 fantasy season among WRs, but those results were skewed by eight touchdowns on just 41 total grabs. History tells us that ratio is unlikely to repeat. Assuming his TD total crashes back to earth and his yardage stays in the sub-600 range, Moss won't belong near many starting fantasy lineups.
2012 Statistics543040613.5116059
2013 Projections874862012.93318077
2013 Outlook: Last May, the Texans released Jones, a perennial fantasy bust. Within a week, the Ravens had signed him to a two-year, $7 million deal that seemed way above the going rate. Sure enough, Jones caught only 30 passes during the regular season. But he was stellar on kickoff returns and made two huge plays in Baltimore's Super Bowl run, and now he looks like the logical inheritor of the departed Anquan Boldin's role. But beware of trusting Jones too much; he's cratered in enticing situations before, and there are plenty of young, hungry options on the depth chart hoping to get fed.
2012 Statistics804160614.85216089
2013 Projections733753014.33218070
2013 Outlook: Heyward-Bey's unceremonious release by the Raiders seemed preordained back in 2009, when Oakland reached for the speedy receiver at No. 7 overall. Like so many other recent Raiders, DHB's on-field abilities never caught up to his velocity. However, he's only 26 and can still outrun almost anybody in the league with that 4.25 40-yard speed. He'll replace Donnie Avery in the Indy offense, and Avery saw 116 targets last year, so there's potential for some genuine usage here. But we trust the route-running of Reggie Wayne and T.Y. Hilton much more than we do DHB's.