2014 Outlook: Remember way back in Week 1 when Thompkins' 14 targets seemed to spell fantasy superstardom? Or back in Week 3, when his 2 red zone TDs seemed to make him a double-digit threat? Or back in Week 4, when his six catches for 127 yards and a touchdown meant Tom Brady had finally found a reliable pass catcher outside of Gronk? Well, yeah, we may have overreacted a bit. Thompkins crashed hard. After being a healthy scratch in Week 9, he scored just 12 fantasy points the rest of the season. It's hard to imagine that Thompkins will re-establish his fantasy relevance in 2014, but if he does, we'll temper our future projections.
2014 Outlook: Pittsburgh signed Moore with the hope that he can return to 2012 form. That was his only 1,000-yard season and one of only two in which he's had 100-plus targets. In total, he scored 6 TDs and registered a top-25 fantasy year (9.1 points per game). The 2013 version of Moore saw his targets cut in half (52) and his fantasy points per game drop by 57 percent (3.9). The Steelers have a history of getting quality production out of older players, but the 31-year-old Moore won't likely rise to fantasy relevance.
2014 Outlook: Jones suffered a broken foot in camp and is expected to miss the Bengals' first three games and return in Week 5, following the team's bye week. It's disappointing news, following an impressive year-two bump. A fifth-rounder in 2012, Jones had minimal impact as a rookie, catching 18 balls and scoring only once. Last year he made it into the end zone 10 times, including nine scores inside the red zone. The only player with more? Dez Bryant. For some context, Jones caught 86 percent of targets inside the 20; his Bengals counterpart A.J. Green snagged only 43 percent for 4 TDs. New playcaller Hue Jackson promises a more run-centric attack, so it wouldn't be a huge surprise if Jones' TDs were cut in half this season.
2014 Outlook: Simpson showed off his big-play ability early last season, posting 22 of his 32 fantasy points on vertical throws. Things went south after that, as he compiled only 22 such points over the season's final 12 games. Cordarrelle Patterson is partly to blame for the decline; his emergence as a rookie moved Simpson into a backup role, which he still occupies. New O-coordinator Norv Turner is a master at using vertical pass catchers, but keep in mind that Simpson could be facing a suspension after his Nov. 9 arrest on a drunken driving charge.
2014 Outlook: As of this writing, Holmes had yet to find a suitor on the free agent market. It turns out 30-year-old wideouts who've missed more games than they've played the past two seasons aren't hot commodities. Who knew? Even if Holmes does find a team, steer clear of him as a fantasy option. He's posted only one career season with more than 1,000 yards. He's never eclipsed 80 catches. And touchdowns? He's scored only two in 15 games since 2012. Stay away. Stay far away.
2014 Outlook: Austin has missed 11 games the past three seasons, so it's difficult to count on him to be his old, productive self anymore. That said, the Browns have very few exciting options at wide receiver, so if you're looking for a late-round flier, you can do worse than a player who scored at least six TDs in four straight seasons prior to being shut out in 2013.
2014 Outlook: While rookies rarely shine, at least Latimer has the right QB to make him relevant, even if only in rare instances this season. Wes Welker's four-game suspension to start the season should give Latimer a chance to get on the field more than he would have. He's worth a late-round flier in deeper leagues, but just remember rookie wideouts rarely shine right away.
2014 Outlook: Caldwell could see more targets than initially planned, due to Wes Welker's four-game suspension. He's averaged just 9.9 yards per catch during his career, so he's not a big-play option, but Caldwell could hold some value in deeper PPR formats, at least while Welker is out.