Complete 2014 Projections

The default order for player projections is based on ESPN.com's recommended draft rankings, which take into account projected total points as well as upside and risk.

Position: ALL | QB | RB | WR | TE | D/ST | K | FLEX
     
PROJECTED 2014 SEASON STATS
16. Ladarius Green, SD TEYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics301737622.1300053
2014 Projections603858415.4400082
2014 Outlook: Through Week 11 last season, Green hadn't played more than 21 snaps in a game. The rest of the season he averaged 36.5. He had only six catches for 147 yards in those games, but you could see his rawness wearing off. Now that Green has learned the finer points of route-running from Antonio Gates, his physical freakiness can take over. At 6-foot-6, 240 pounds, he runs a 4.53 40. (Yes, you read that right.) He won't completely supplant Gates right away, but if we were drafting one Chargers tight end for upside, it would be Green.
17. Coby Fleener, Ind TEYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics885260811.7400081
2014 Projections653743311.7500073
2014 Outlook: Fleener should've been better in 2013. His TE running mate in Indy, Dwayne Allen, suffered a season-ending hip injury in Week 1, and later Reggie Wayne tore his ACL. Yet Fleener topped 77 yards and five receptions in a game exactly once and found the end zone only four times. A fast player for his size, he doesn't make the open-field plays you'd expect and isn't physical at all. With Allen returning, Wayne healthy and Hakeem Nicks aboard, Fleener's slice of Indy's offense probably gets smaller in 2014. Don't trust him as your fantasy starter.
18. Eric Ebron, Det TEYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics------------------
2014 Projections553347614.4400071
2014 Outlook: To validate Ebron as the No. 10 overall pick in May's draft, some folks invoked Vernon Davis' name. But let's be clear: Ebron is not Davis. He's not as fast or as fluid an athlete. Big Vern is truly one of a kind. Ebron might eventually be a stud, but for now he'll share time with Brandon Pettigrew (who received $8 million guaranteed over the winter) and last year's red zone sensation Joseph Fauria. So while dynasty-leaguers are entitled to dream about the future, folks drafting for this year should approach Ebron with caution.
19. Heath Miller, Pit TEYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics785859310.2100056
2014 Projections806163210.4200075
2014 Outlook: We shouldn't punish Miller for his poor output last season. The fact that he played 14 games after tearing his ACL, MCL and PCL in Week 16 of 2012 is crazy. He'll be healthier this year, and in Todd Haley's quick-passing offense, Miller could even approach his career-best campaign from two seasons ago. Realize, however, that because he's such a good all-around player -- including his strong ability to run-block -- Miller's fantasy value has limitations. He hasn't eclipsed 816 receiving yards or scored double-digit TDs in any of his nine pro seasons. And it's hard to envision a statistical surge beginning in year 10.
20. Dwayne Allen, Ind TEYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics212020.010008
2014 Projections493541111.7300057
2014 Outlook: For someone who's averaged 31.8 receiving yards in 17 career games, Allen is awfully important to the Colts' attack. It's no coincidence Indy's rushing offense sputtered after Allen suffered a season-ending hip injury in Week 1. A road-grading run blocker, he also has only two career drops on 67 targets. Overall, he's just more consistent than Coby Fleener. Of course, with Fleener as the "move" tight end, you'll continue to see Allen blocking a bunch. But we expect him to be a big red zone weapon, making him somewhat of a boom or bust start.
21. Tyler Eifert, Cin TEYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics593944511.4200049
2014 Projections704550511.2300068
2014 Outlook: Eifert was the 21st overall pick in last year's draft, and his speed and leaping ability make him a keeper in dynasty leagues. But as long as Jermaine Gresham also toils in Cincinnati, there's not much fantasy value to be had here. Now, we wouldn't be shocked if the Bengals parted ways with Gresham, who hasn't lived up to his first-round billing in his four pro seasons. Neither Eifert nor Gresham blocks well, so Cincy has a hard time playing them at the same time. Until Gresham is gone, don't invest in Eifert in redraft leagues.
22. Owen Daniels, Bal TEYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics402425210.5300041
2014 Projections523334110.3300052
2014 Outlook: Limited to five games in 2013 by a broken leg, Daniels follows his former Texans coach Gary Kubiak to Baltimore, where Kubiak is the new offensive coordinator. The problem for Daniels? Dennis Pitta plays in Baltimore too. Kubiak likes two-TE sets, so Daniels will see the field, but he'll be 32 in November and has been injury-prone for years. He's more likely to be a drain on Pitta's value as a No. 1 TE than an actual fantasy factor himself.
23. Jermichael Finley, GB TEYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics342530012.0300046
2014 Projections472831311.2200043
2014 Outlook: It's difficult to evaluate Finley's 2014 prospects because he hadn't been cleared for contact as of this writing and had failed his only known NFL physical. Finley suffered a scary bruised spinal cord injury in Week 7 last season and underwent spinal fusion surgery in his neck. When at full health, he's talented enough to be an NFL starter. But will there be a full-time job available by the time he's ready to sign? It goes without saying that fantasy evaluations aren't anywhere near as important as Finley's long-term health, but you should probably avoid him until it's established that he can resume his career.
24. Austin Seferian-Jenkins, TB TEYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics------------------
2014 Projections502934511.9500064
2014 Outlook: How about this basketball frontcourt the Bucs are building with their receiving corps? Vincent Jackson, Mike Evans and Seferian-Jenkins are all 6-foot-5 power forwards who could make the jump ball a staple of the Tampa offense. ASJ might never be a Jimmy Graham or Rob Gronkowski type, because his hips are tight and he doesn't elude defenders coming out of breaks. But there's reason to believe this rookie can make noise in the red zone as early as 2014. That makes him a potentially interesting midseason pickup.
25. Jace Amaro, NYJ TEYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics------------------
2014 Projections543137612.1300055
2014 Outlook: Last year at Texas Tech, Amaro set a single-season FBS record for most receiving yards by a TE (1,352). The Jets snagged him in the second round in the spring, and he's expected to be the favorite for playing time, ahead of Jeff Cumberland and Zach Sudfeld. But will he be an every-down player? Amaro has good strength -- he benched 28 reps at the combine -- but wasn't asked to block much in his college career. That can be a hindrance to consistent rookie contributions at his position.
26. Jared Cook, StL TEYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics835167113.2500088
2014 Projections754753711.4300071
2014 Outlook: Oh, for one week it was glorious. The first game of Cook's Rams career was an all-timer: seven catches for 141 yards and 2 red zone TDs. Those 24 fantasy points were the most Cook had ever scored in a single game. You know how many he nabbed in the subsequent seven weeks combined? Twenty-one. Despite his freakish wingspan and 4.5 speed, Cook seems to have a difficult time getting open, and his hands just aren't good. In 2013, St. Louis gave him a five-year deal for $19 million guaranteed, but we have real doubts about whether Cook can ever be a consistent producer.
27. Ryan Griffin, Hou TEYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics281924412.8100027
2014 Projections603944011.3300062
2014 Outlook: An unheralded rookie out of UConn, Griffin took over the Texans' starting job in December after Owen Daniels and Garrett Graham suffered leg injuries. And though Houston's season was headed into the toilet, Griffin played well. Most important, he looked like a more attractive target than the lumbering Graham usually does. With Daniels out of the picture and Bill O'Brien in as coach, two-TE sets will become the norm in Houston. For the moment, that probably means a frustrating split of targets too, especially with rookie C.J. Fiedorowicz coming aboard. But Griffin is the guy we have our eyes on.
28. Garrett Graham, Hou TEYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics884954511.1500076
2014 Projections503133810.9300051
2014 Outlook: Graham didn't do much with his big chance last season when Owen Daniels was sidelined. Granted, the Texans were terrible, but Graham looked slow and unathletic. He converted 84 targets (12th among TEs) into just 49 catches (17th), and when he missed the season's final three games, rookie Ryan Griffin looked better. With Daniels gone, expect Graham and Griffin to play at the same time a lot as new coach Bill O'Brien reminisces about his days with Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez. Unfortunately, Tom Brady still plays in New England, so these Texans tight ends are best left undrafted.
29. Andrew Quarless, GB TEYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics54323129.8200037
2014 Projections613838710.2200050
2014 Outlook: Now that Jermichael Finley is gone, one of Green Bay's tight ends could pop this season. We're just not sure which one. Quarless is a natural candidate; despite his having just 56 career catches, the Packers paid him decent money this winter. Brandon Bostick and rookie Richard Rodgers could also be in the mix, but between them they have only seven pro grabs. Quarless is an interesting flier pick -- if only because he has the most experience catching passes from Aaron Rodgers -- but he's best cast as a waiver-wire addition.
30. Jermaine Gresham, Cin TEYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics664646110.0400058
2014 Projections513232410.1300050
2014 Outlook: Gresham was dreadful in 2013. He finished dead last in average yards at the catch among qualified tight ends, was useless as a run blocker and didn't do much in pass protection. He was also called for a mind-boggling nine penalties, most among non-QB skill players. Tyler Eifert was a first-rounder last year, and if the Bengals are being honest, they'd like to see Eifert improve so they can release Gresham. If both men stick on the roster, they'll endure another frustrating platoon season and have little individual fantasy value.