Complete Week 18 Projections

Position: ALL | QB | RB | WR | TE | D/ST | K | FLEX
2012 Statistics785254010.4400072
2013 Projections795056411.3200066
2013 Outlook: A long, long time ago in a galaxy that very much resembles ours, Lewis scored 10 TDs and finished as fantasy's No. 4 TE. Oh, wait, that was only three years ago. Since then, however, the Jags have neglected Lewis something fierce, as he's caught only four scores the past two years combined. New coach Gus Bradley and new coordinator Jedd Fisch maintain that Lewis blocked too frequently last year, and that he'll be used more as a receiver in 2013. We'll see. Lewis' curse is that he's such a good blocker, he can cover up for a shaky Jacksonville O-line.
2012 Statistics382134416.4300046
2013 Projections643739410.6300055
2013 Outlook: Walker got $8.6 million guaranteed from the Titans, and figures to be their every-down tight end while second-year athletic freak Taylor Thompson adjusts to the NFL. Walker is a great blocker but hasn't always featured the best hands; in 2012, playing for the 49ers, he had seven drops to just 21 catches. And expecting Tennessee to suddenly make full use of the TE position after years of allowing Jared Cook to rot is probably folly. We're open-minded about Walker because this is his first chance as a true NFL starter. But we only view him as a fantasy backup for now.
2012 Statistics38282639.4300039
2013 Projections402928910.0400052
2013 Outlook: For years, Joel Dreessen tormented fantasy owners who started Owen Daniels, siphoning off just enough production to be maddening. Now playing that role in the Texans' offense: Garrett Graham! The reason Daniels has so many catches vultured by position-mates is that Houston runs more two-TE sets than any other NFL squad. Worst of all, Graham stole five red zone targets in 2012, all of which he caught and three of which produced TDs. Graham is a good young player with a bright future. But he probably generates real fantasy value only if Daniels can't play.
2012 Statistics854250412.0100051
2013 Projections593233210.4200043
2013 Outlook: In an attack that set an NFL record for pass attempts, even the ancillary weapons are worth a little something. Brandon Pettigrew is the every-down tight end in Detroit, but the Lions ran 624 plays with two TEs on the field last year, second-highest among all teams, and Scheffler ran 423 pass routes. So it's no wonder that he had 84 targets and posted his best yardage season since 2008. Alas, his fluky six TDs from '11 disappeared, and he found the end zone just once in '12. Scheffler really will only have legit fantasy value if Pettigrew gets hurt.
2012 Statistics271616510.3100019
2013 Projections59383589.4200047
2013 Outlook: Stocker has 25 career catches in 29 career games, but with Dallas Clark gone from Tampa, he's got a chance to be the starter. Coming out of Tennessee, Stocker was considered an every-down TE, but through two seasons his lack of speed and athleticism has shone through. He's an extremely strong player and a good blocker, but isn't a candidate to burn defenders while running a seam route. The Bucs signed Tom Crabtree this winter, but Crabtree will be sidelined to begin the season because of a high-ankle sprain.
2012 Statistics211212.000001
2013 Projections623942710.9200052
2013 Outlook: Winslow played one game for the Patriots last year, but his knees weren't right. He'll be 30 this season, but K2 reportedly looked spry in his Jets tryout, which landed him a deal in Gotham for 2013. Assuming he stays healthy, Winslow has a path to playing time. The man he's competing with, Jeff Cumberland, is better suited to be a blocker. But the same lack of Jets offensive talent that could land Winslow playing time will also severely limit his fantasy appeal. After all, he'd be catching passes either from Mark Sanchez or Geno Smith.
2012 Statistics69413328.1500057
2013 Projections483335610.8300051
2013 Outlook: Fasano had his moments over the past five years in Miami, catching a respectable 23 TDs. But the Dolphins primarily used him as a blocker, and that may be a big part of his job in KC. Tony Moeaki is out with a long-term shoulder injury and rookie Travis Kelce didn't impress in camp, so Fasano is definitely in line for a bunch of snaps, but he doesn't fit the profile of a high-usage target in an Andy Reid offense. It's true Fasano can be a red zone weapon after converting five short TDs last year. But overall the catches and yardage don't figure to be there.
2012 Statistics1279213.100007
2013 Projections432429812.4300047
2013 Outlook: Ausberry is a former USC wideout who's spent his first two NFL seasons learning how to play TE. In the process, he's caught just nine passes. But Brandon Myers has moved on from Oakland, and the Raiders didn't acquire an experienced option this offseason. That could lead Ausberry into the starting lineup, though he's battled a shoulder injury throughout training camp. Ausberry also doesn't project as much of a blocker, so he might have trouble staying on the field in certain situations. The Raiders will have a hard time scoring this year, and Ausberry figures to be no exception.
2012 Statistics331821211.8200029
2013 Projections372527811.1300043
2013 Outlook: Clay is an H-back who'll have to start at tight end because of a season-ending injury to Dustin Keller. A versatile prospect who is more athletic than Keller, Clay is nevertheless nowhere near as accomplished a pass-catcher or route-runner, and expecting anything close to Keller's potential production from Clay is folly. Still, in theory, a Joe Philbin offense needs a short-area TE who can serve as a safety valve, and perhaps Clay can be that guy. However, we're skeptical it amounts to enough consistent fantasy production.
2012 Statistics107517.300001
2013 Projections292125712.2200037
2013 Outlook: Paulson played mostly special teams as a rookie last year, though he did catch seven passes. But Heath Miller suffered a torn ACL, MCL and PCL in his right knee in Week 16, and it's unlikely that he'll be ready to go Week 1. For a few games, at least, that likely means Paulson is the starter. But Miller was able to avoid the PUP list, meaning the Steelers expect him to return within their first six games. Odds are that Paulson doesn't become a fantasy force in Miller's absence.
2012 Statistics855255510.7200060
2013 Projections402828610.2200040
2013 Outlook: Tamme has been Peyton Manning's security blanket for a couple of NFL seasons, but with Wes Welker coming to Denver and freak athlete Julius Thomas developing as a legit starting threat, Tamme's solid 2012 -- when he made 52 receptions -- is a distant memory. Never a good red zone threat and not a strong blocker, Tamme will really be an option this season only if Thomas doesn't pan out, and if Joel Dreessen's knee injury continues to sideline him.
2012 Statistics532935912.4300048
2013 Projections36272689.9200036
2013 Outlook: Cumberland is a slogging big guy best suited to be a sixth offensive lineman, though he did see a spike in targets once Dustin Keller got hurt in 2012. With the Jets signing Kellen Winslow, Cumberland likely takes a step back into blocking mode, though he still could easily wind up on the field for most of New York's offensive snaps. Winslow is more attractive as a potential fantasy factor, but Cumberland will probably score a couple of TDs. Unfortunately, there's really nothing to see here for fantasy.
2012 Statistics136467.700001
2013 Projections442327812.1100033
2013 Outlook: Thompson was a defensive end at SMU, but the Titans drafted him in 2012 to convert him to TE. It's still a work in progress; he barely played on offense last season after struggling with drops and fumbles throughout his first training camp. But Jared Cook is gone from Nashville, which makes the Tennessee depth chart interesting. Delanie Walker got a bunch of money in free agency this winter, so he'll probably get a crack at winning an every-down job, but Walker doesn't have Thompson's freak athleticism. If the light bulb goes on, Thompson has rare dominant upside as a physical specimen.
2012 Statistics45343309.7316044
2013 Projections402630011.5100036
2013 Outlook: The Texans didn't get much production out of Casey; as their starting H-back over the past two seasons, he had a combined 52 catches for 590 yards. Signing with Philly as a free agent seemed to be a path to more offensive touches, but then the Eagles drafted Zach Ertz this April. Yes, the Eagles will go with an array of formations and personnel groups, some of which could give Casey a chance as a downfield threat. Of course, that doesn't mean he's anything close to a standard-league fantasy option.
2012 Statistics58413568.7500059
2013 Projections21141289.1200024
2013 Outlook: Dreessen needed knee surgery this winter, and lasted only a few days of training camp before suffering a recurrence of his knee problems. He underwent another procedure, and will miss the remainder of camp. This is bad timing. Third-year man Julius Thomas has impressed the Broncos and has an inside track on a starting job, while Jacob Tamme is also on the roster. Dreessen has been a red zone contributor for years, but in reality he's a better blocker than he is a receiver. Given his knee troubles, you're better off looking elsewhere for a sleeper this year.