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Complete 2013 Projections

The default order for player projections is based on ESPN.com's recommended draft rankings, which take into account projected total points as well as upside and risk.

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PROJECTED 2013 SEASON STATS

16. Jermichael Finley, GB TE	YEAR		TAR	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	RUSH	YDS	TD		PTS
	2012 Statistics		88	61	667	10.9	2	0	0	0		72
	2013 Projections		79	59	664	11.3	3	0	0	0		84
2013 Outlook: Finley never accumulated more than 72 yards receiving in a game last year, plus found the end zone only twice. In short, he was a massive fantasy disappointment. The beauty of playing with Aaron Rodgers is supposed to be a plethora of scoring opportunities, but a season after catching all eight of his TDs from inside an opponent's 12, he was a red-zone afterthought. To call Finley mercurial is an insult to Lindsay Lohan: His contract drama seemingly never ends, and he spent some of '12 criticizing Rodgers for not being a great leader. Any Packers pass catcher has a ton of upside and Finley is a talented player. But his seeming lack of maturity makes him a fantasy question mark.

17. Dustin Keller, Mia TE	YEAR		TAR	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	RUSH	YDS	TD		PTS
	2012 Statistics		36	28	317	11.3	2	0	0	0		39
	2013 Projections		78	50	557	11.1	4	0	0	0		79
2013 Outlook: The only thing Keller lacks is massiveness: He's 6-foot-2 and 250 pounds, which used to be big, but now for a TE seems quaint. But Keller did have a 65-catch season with Mark Sanchez in '11, and the Dolphins will use him in the red zone: Last year Anthony Fasano had 12 red-zone targets, and nine catches on those targets resulting in five TDs. Is Keller's situation good enough to instantly toss him into the top 10 at his position? Not yet, especially because Ryan Tannehill still has a ways to go under center. Keller belongs to the big TE middle class, the members of whom are possible weekly breakout candidates but also candidates to disappear in any given game.

18. Fred Davis, Wsh TE	YEAR		TAR	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	RUSH	YDS	TD		PTS
	2012 Statistics		31	24	325	13.5	0	1	1	0		30
	2013 Projections		60	45	605	13.4	3	0	0	0		78
2013 Outlook: Davis tested the free-agent waters this winter but found tepid league interest after his '11 season ended with a drug suspension, and his '12 season ended with a torn Achilles'. So he'll return to the Redskins on a one-year "prove it" deal. Washington reportedly expects both Davis and Robert Griffin III to be ready for Week 1, but there are many rehab hurdles between here and there. Plus the potential-laden Davis wasn't tearing it up with RGIII at the helm last year: Before his injury, Davis averaged 52 receiving yards per game and caught zero TDs. If Griffin really is ready to rock, we'd be foolish to argue Davis doesn't have upside. But his risk is even more significant.

19. Coby Fleener, Ind TE	YEAR		TAR	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	RUSH	YDS	TD		PTS
	2012 Statistics		48	26	281	10.8	2	0	0	0		36
	2013 Projections		57	40	467	11.7	4	0	0	0		68
2013 Outlook: Fleener missed a month with a shoulder injury last year, but was marginalized in the Colts offense before that: He averaged fewer than four targets per game even when healthy. As Indy's offensive line improves and its play calling grows more West-Coast-oriented, expect to see Fleener running out of the slot more. Allen proved NFL-readier in '12, but each guy will play and their target totals should get closer. Despite Andrew Luck's potential, we're still miles from considering Fleener and Allen a new Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez type of tandem.

20. Jordan Cameron, Cle TE	YEAR		TAR	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	RUSH	YDS	TD		PTS
	2012 Statistics		39	20	226	11.3	1	0	0	0		25
	2013 Projections		81	53	599	11.3	2	0	0	0		69
2013 Outlook: The Browns let TEs Ben Watson and Alex Smith walk this winter, and only signed blocker Kellen Davis to replace them, which is a pretty good indication that Cameron has an inside track to start in '13. That could go very well. He's a 6-foot-5, 245-pound athlete who runs a 4.59 40. But it would take a leap of faith to believe he's ready, because Cameron has caught 26 total passes in two pro seasons. Now, the fact that Rob Chudzinski and Norv Turner are designing Cleveland's offense is a good thing, because they historically emphasize the tight end. (See: Gates, Antonio.) But are Cameron and QB Brandon Weeden advanced enough to implement such a game plan?

21. Dwayne Allen, Ind TE	YEAR		TAR	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	RUSH	YDS	TD		PTS
	2012 Statistics		66	45	521	11.6	3	3	5	0		63
	2013 Projections		54	35	434	12.4	4	0	0	0		65
2013 Outlook: The rookie Colts tight end we were supposed to look for in '12 was Coby Fleener. But Allen proved to be the more complete and durable player. He's already an elite blocker, and while that can be a mixed blessing for a TE's fantasy value, it ensures that he stays on the field: Last year, Allen caught 45 passes to Fleener's 26. But Indy does run a plethora of two-TE formations, and new coordinator Pep Hamilton knows that Fleener needs to operate in space much more this year to be effective. We're worried these TEs will cannibalize each other's value.

22. Jermaine Gresham, Cin TE	YEAR		TAR	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	RUSH	YDS	TD		PTS
	2012 Statistics		94	64	737	11.5	5	0	0	0		94
	2013 Projections		72	46	533	11.6	3	0	0	0		69
2013 Outlook: We're not sure the breathtaking playmaker we remember from Oklahoma will ever return. Gresham tore up his right knee during his senior season, and while he's supposedly long since recovered from that injury, we've never seen him get consistent separation as a Bengal. Last year, he finished 31st among TEs in average yards at the catch, and considering he's a terrible blocker and Cincy drafted Tyler Eifert as a first-round pick in April, Gresham is on notice. As long as he stays on the roster, we'd expect Gresham to keep the starting job in '13, but Eifert will eat into his production.

23. Rob Housler, Ari TE	YEAR		TAR	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	RUSH	YDS	TD		PTS
	2012 Statistics		68	45	417	9.3	0	0	0	0		36
	2013 Projections		78	52	510	9.8	2	0	0	0		63
2013 Outlook: Housler fits the mold of so many young tight ends these days: He's big, he's athletic, and he hasn't done nearly enough on an NFL gridiron to prove he's ready to be a fantasy asset. That could change. The Cardinals will seek to improve their QB play in '13, relying on a late-career Carson Palmer to stir the echoes, but their offensive line is such a work in progress that it's foolish to make promises. Housler has yet to score a professional TD, but we don't think he's scratched the surface of what his downfield receiving numbers could look like.

24. Tyler Eifert, Cin TE	YEAR		TAR	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	RUSH	YDS	TD		PTS
	2012 Statistics		--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--		--
	2013 Projections		55	41	529	12.9	2	0	0	0		64
2013 Outlook: Eifert is a first-round pick from April's draft, a freak leaper and a scary downfield threat, but he landed in a tough spot for immediate fantasy value. Jermaine Gresham is a former first-round pick himself and caught 64 passes last season. And lest you imagine the Bengals could feature many formations with both TEs, the problem is that neither one can block. Maybe Cincy makes a habit of sending both men into pass patterns. We consider it likelier that Eifert and Gresham cannibalize one another's production. If Gresham were to get released, however, Eifert would be worth top-12 consideration.

25. Jacob Tamme, Den TE	YEAR		TAR	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	RUSH	YDS	TD		PTS
	2012 Statistics		85	52	555	10.7	2	0	0	0		60
	2013 Projections		74	48	507	10.6	2	0	0	0		62
2013 Outlook: Tamme has the benefit of playing with Peyton Manning. But his fantasy value suffers because he also plays with Joel Dreessen. In '12, Tamme came over with Manning from the Colts and caught a respectable 52 passes, which ranked him 17th among TEs. But he only got five red-zone targets compared to 14 for Dreessen, which partly explains why Dreessen had five TDs while Tamme had only two. This frustrating timeshare figures to continue in '13. The only way Tamme or Dreessen have a hope of become every-week fantasy options is if the other one gets injured.

26. Zach Miller, Sea TE	YEAR		TAR	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	RUSH	YDS	TD		PTS
	2012 Statistics		53	38	396	10.4	3	0	0	0		47
	2013 Projections		50	40	438	11.0	3	0	0	0		59
2013 Outlook: Last season, despite playing a full 16 games, Miller finished 33rd in targets among tight ends. Simply put, Seattle featured a run-heavy game plan, and Miller is a strong blocker. Frustratingly, Anthony McCoy stole 22 targets and three TDs last season, often when Miller was stuck in pass protection. But last year's playoffs gave a glimpse of what a more wide-open Seahawks offense could mean for Miller: He grabbed eight passes for 142 yards and a TD in the NFC semis. Who knows? If things really shift in Seattle, maybe Miller becomes a big-time threat again.

27. Brent Celek, Phi TE	YEAR		TAR	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	RUSH	YDS	TD		PTS
	2012 Statistics		87	57	684	12.0	1	0	0	0		65
	2013 Projections		68	47	590	12.6	1	0	0	0		63
2013 Outlook: Celek finished among the top 20 in TE targets last season but found the end zone only once, and in five of his six pro seasons he's been relatively TD-starved. Last year, Celek saw only 11 targets in an opponent's red zone, and only three targets in the end zone. Now Chip Kelly appears ready to change horses, having drafted Zach Ertz in the second round this April. Whereas Celek isn't a prototypical downfield player, Ertz runs a mean deep out-route, which could mean he's a better fit for Philly's new spread attack. We wouldn't be shocked to see Celek released this summer.

28. Marcedes Lewis, Jac TE	YEAR		TAR	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	RUSH	YDS	TD		PTS
	2012 Statistics		78	52	540	10.4	4	0	0	0		72
	2013 Projections		79	50	564	11.3	2	0	0	0		66
2013 Outlook: A long, long time ago in a galaxy that very much resembles ours, Lewis scored 10 TDs and finished as fantasy's No. 4 TE. Oh, wait, that was only three years ago. Since then, however, the Jags have neglected Lewis something fierce, as he's only caught four scores the past two years combined. New coach Gus Bradley and new coordinator Jedd Fisch maintain that Lewis blocked too frequently last year, and that he'll be used more as a receiver in '13. We'll see. Lewis' curse is that he's such a good blocker, he can cover up for a shaky Jags o-line.

29. Zach Ertz, Phi TE	YEAR		TAR	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	RUSH	YDS	TD		PTS
	2012 Statistics		--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--		--
	2013 Projections		47	34	413	12.1	2	0	0	0		53
2013 Outlook: The Eagles already had Brent Celek and James Casey, but spent the No. 35 overall pick in April's draft on Ertz. We know Chip Kelly likes to spread out defenses with creative formations, but there isn't a single decent in-line blocker among those three TEs, which makes us suspicious that Ertz and Celek can play together in many formations. In a vacuum, we'd prefer Ertz over Celekhe has better downfield skills and runs a mean out-routeand if Philly lets Celek go this summer, Ertz could morph into a fantasy starter. Until that happens, though, this looks like a mess.

30. Heath Miller, Pit TE	YEAR		TAR	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	RUSH	YDS	TD		PTS
	2012 Statistics		101	71	816	11.5	8	0	0	0		125
	2013 Projections		44	31	379	12.2	4	0	0	0		59
2013 Outlook: Under Todd Haley's quick-fire offensive system in '12, Miller put together the best statistical season of his eight-year career. But he badly injured his right knee in Week 16, tearing his ACL, MCL and PCL, and that means he's an obvious candidate to begin the upcoming season on the PUP list. Does that mean he can't contribute at all in '13? No, especially not when you consider how locked in he and Ben Roethlisberger were last season. But you probably don't need to draft Miller this summer. At best, he'll likely be a midseason free-agent acquisition in most fantasy leagues.

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