Complete 2015 Projections

The default order for player projections is based on ESPN.com's recommended draft rankings, which take into account projected total points as well as upside and risk.

Position: ALL | QB | RB | WR | TE | D/ST | K | FLEX
     
PROJECTED 2015 SEASON STATS
31. Allen Robinson, Jac WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2014 Statistics814854811.4200065
2015 Projections123.27699713.15000127
2015 Outlook: Just two weeks into his NFL career, Robinson was forced into a significant offensive role after Cecil Shorts III went down. The rookie responded extremely well, hauling in 48 of 76 targets for 548 yards and a pair of touchdowns in 10 games. Prior to suffering a season-ending broken foot, Robinson ranked as fantasy's No. 27 wide receiver from Weeks 2 to 10, despite operating in the league's lowest-scoring offense. At 6-foot-2, Robinson has all the tools to be a fantasy star; he just needs better play from QB Blake Bortles.
32. Eric Decker, NYJ WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2014 Statistics1157496213.05000120
2015 Projections111.67293012.95000123
2015 Outlook: As expected, Decker's numbers dipped significantly in his first season with the Jets. After averaging 86 catches, 1,176 yards and 12 TDs in 2012 and '13 with the Broncos, Decker mustered just 74-962-5 in 2014. Still, he finished the year as a top-30 fantasy wide receiver, despite playing in a run-first scheme, having Geno Smith and Michael Vick as quarterbacks and suffering from a host of nagging injuries. Count on new offensive coordinator Chan Gailey to call a more balanced game and get plenty of looks for Decker, Brandon Marshall and rookie Devin Smith in his spread scheme.
33. Brandon LaFell, NE WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2014 Statistics1197495312.972130130
2015 Projections98.26686313.16000122
2015 Outlook: After four years of mediocrity in Carolina and a slow start to 2014 in New England, LaFell flourished as the Patriots' third option behind Rob Gronkowski and Julian Edelman, putting up career highs in receptions (74), yardage (953) and TDs (7). Last season's No. 22 fantasy wideout will play a near-every-down role again in 2015 and won't hurt for scoring opportunities. Five of LaFell's seven touchdowns last year came in the red zone, where his big frame (6-3, 210) and elite QB (Tom Brady) work to his advantage. LaFell isn't flashy -- and Brady's suspension hurts -- but he'll return decent production as long as he remains a starter.
34. Nelson Agholor, Phi WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2014 Statistics------------------
2015 Projections106.66688213.46000124
2015 Outlook: Agholor, the Eagles' first-rounder from this year's draft, doesn't jump off the board in the size (6-0, 198) department. But he's good after the catch (17 forced missed tackles, sixth most among FBS WRs) and has exceptional hands (76 percent catch rate, best among WRs with 105-plus targets). Despite working as a slot/possession receiver at USC, Agholor scored 12 TDs in 2014, which trailed only Amari Cooper among WR draftees. But because Philly projects to be a run-heavy offense that spreads around its targets, Agholor will likely fall short of being fantasy starter material.
35. Michael Floyd, Ari WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2014 Statistics994784117.96120111
2015 Projections103.26287714.16000121.1
2015 Outlook: Floyd was expected to take a big leap forward last year after a strong 2013 finish, but any chance of that happening was doomed when Carson Palmer missed all but six games. Floyd caught just 50.5 percent of his targets (104th out of 110 qualified WRs) as a result of the poor QB play. Despite all the roadblocks, he finished 34th among WRs in fantasy points. The Cardinals clearly want him to be their deep threat -- his average depth of target paced the entire league in 2014 -- and at 6-foot-3, 225 pounds, he has the size to deliver big plays. If Palmer can stay on the field, Floyd has fantasy upside.
36. Roddy White, Atl WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2014 Statistics1228092111.57000127
2015 Projections102.26886512.75000114.1
2015 Outlook: Despite missing a pair of games last year, White compiled his seventh career season with 80-plus catches, 900-plus yards and six-plus touchdowns. With Tony Gonzalez out of the picture, White actually saw an uptick in usage relative to the 2013 season. But that was in Dirk Koetter's pass-heavy offense. Kyle Shanahan, the Falcons' new playcaller, promises a more balanced attack, which means White's 124 targets from 2014 are sure to take a hit. With Julio Jones locked in as Matt Ryan's top target, White's upside is the lowest it's ever been.
37. Martavis Bryant, Pit WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2014 Statistics492654921.183120100
2015 Projections82.85176315.064260114
2015 Outlook: Bryant scored a touchdown once every six times he was targeted as a rookie last season. And while that's an extremely unsustainable rate, there's no denying that Bryant will be one of Ben Roethlisberger's favorite targets near the end zone for years to come. At 6-foot-4 and with 4.4 wheels, Bryant racked up 13 end zone targets in 10 games as a rookie; only five players saw more looks during that span. And consider: He finished third overall to A.J. Green and Demaryius Thomas in yards per route run (2.8). Bryant has all the tools to solidify himself as a solid second option opposite Antonio Brown.
38. Torrey Smith, SF WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2014 Statistics924976715.711000137
2015 Projections96.75692816.64000116
2015 Outlook: Following a dreadful start to the 2014 season (he caught just six balls for 85 yards and no TDs in his first three games), Smith exploded to the tune of 43-682-11 and was fantasy's No. 14 WR the rest of the way. His post-Ravens touchdown rate is all but guaranteed to regress, especially in a San Francisco offense that scored 13 fewer touchdowns than Baltimore last season. But Smith remains one of the game's most explosive deep threats, ranking in the top 10 in average depth of target in each of his first four NFL seasons. Even if he isn't a target hog, those big plays will again give him some fantasy appeal.
39. Breshad Perriman, Bal WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2014 Statistics------------------
2015 Projections101.65981513.86000117
2015 Outlook: Eyeing a replacement for Torrey Smith, Baltimore selected Perriman with the 26th overall pick of the 2015 draft. One of the speediest incoming rookies, Perriman ran the 40 in 4.24 and 4.27 seconds at his pro day, which is even more impressive when you consider his 6-foot-2, 212-pound frame. Despite the intriguing size/speed combo, Perriman isn't a fully polished WR. He dropped eight of his 97 targets in 2014 at UCF and lags behind as a route runner. He'll need to improve on the job, as Baltimore has little at WR behind Steve Smith. With big-armed Joe Flacco throwing him the ball, Perriman is a sleeper to haul in 8-plus TDs.
40. Charles Johnson, Min WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2014 Statistics593147515.321-11057
2015 Projections86.85275914.65000105
2015 Outlook: It took awhile, but Cordarrelle Patterson's sophomore-season struggles finally provided Johnson with an opportunity to emerge as an every-down wide receiver. Operating primarily as Minnesota's split end, Johnson racked up 415 receiving yards and 2 TDs from Week 11 on. That was solid production for Minnesota's struggling offense, but it didn't do much for his fantasy owners -- he ranked as fantasy's No. 26 WR during that span. At 26 years old, Johnson simply isn't going to improve much and likely won't live up to his midround average draft position.
41. Larry Fitzgerald, Ari WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2014 Statistics1036378412.4200084
2015 Projections94.56075312.65000105
2015 Outlook: With Michael Floyd and John Brown in the mix, the Cardinals could've easily cut ties with Fitzgerald this offseason. Instead, they guaranteed him $22 million over the next two years. This is a clear sign that the sure-handed Fitzgerald will remain an every-down player in an offense that will be better with Carson Palmer back to full health. Although Fitzgerald's share of the team's targets has progressively declined in each of the past four seasons, he remains the primary possession receiver. Fitz was a favorite target of Palmer's near the goal line in 2013, with 18 end zone targets, eight more than the next-closest Cardinal (Floyd).
42. Marques Colston, NO WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2014 Statistics995990215.35000113
2015 Projections79.95277214.85000107
2015 Outlook: After restructuring his contract this offseason, Colston returns to the Saints past his prime. The 10-year vet has spent the better part of his time in New Orleans helping owners cash in, never finishing worse than 33rd among WRs and ranking inside the top 20 six times. But his fantasy standing has declined as his age has increased; after finishing 11th among WRs in both 2011 and 2012, Colston regressed to 25th and 30th the past two seasons. With Jimmy Graham and Kenny Stills both traded this offseason, Drew Brees will certainly rely more on Colston. But the 32-year-old's days of being an every-week starter are over.
43. Percy Harvin, Buf WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2014 Statistics78514839.5133202169
2015 Projections87.65764411.33231471100
2015 Outlook: Plagued by injuries and off-field drama, Harvin has now missed at least one game in six of his seven NFL seasons. What's more, he's appeared in only 23 contests over the past four years. Harvin, 27, remains in his prime and figures to see a hefty share of the Bills' targets this year -- provided, of course, he can stay on the field. (Fun fact: Harvin has never played more than 61 percent of his team's offensive snaps in a season.) The Bills promise to run the ball as much as possible with Rex Ryan and LeSean McCoy in town, so the lack of TD opportunities will limit Harvin's fantasy upside.
44. Kendall Wright, Ten WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2014 Statistics935771512.564540104
2015 Projections113.17481010.93425099
2015 Outlook: Wright doubled his career TD total last year (from 6 to 12) -- and somehow still managed to turn in a subpar fantasy campaign. A season after catching 94 passes for 1,079 yards and 2 TDs, Wright missed a pair of games due to injury and finished with 57-715-6. The scary thing? It could've been a lot worse. He's lucky he scored six times, considering he saw just three end zone targets. Wright will once again be a poor source of touchdowns as he remains limited to a possession role with a rookie (albeit better) QB, Marcus Mariota. As such, his fantasy ceiling is too low to warrant starting-lineup consideration.
45. Davante Adams, GB WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2014 Statistics663844611.7300058
2015 Projections82.25272013.85000102
2015 Outlook: Adams hauled in 38 passes for 446 yards and 3 TDs during his 2014 rookie campaign as Green Bay's third WR. With Randall Cobb back in the fold, the 22-year-old's fantasy breakout figures to be delayed, but it's noteworthy that Green Bay threw 31 TD passes with three-plus WRs on the field, tied for most in the NFL. Like Cobb, Adams' strength is postcatch production, so expect him to see work as a short- to midrange possession WR. Adams might face competition for snaps from 2015 third-round pick Ty Montgomery, but he's the clear favorite for the No. 3 job in a high-scoring offense led by the league's top QB.