Complete Week 3 Projections

Position: ALL | QB | RB | WR | TE | D/ST | K | FLEX
     
PROJECTED 2014 SEASON STATS
46. Toby Gerhart, Jac RBYEARRUSHYDSAVGTDRECYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics362837.921388038
2014 Projections2539313.76332530150
2014 Outlook: The Jaguars head into the season with Jordan Todman, Denard Robinson and rookie Storm Johnson as backfield backups, which means Gerhart could be looking at a seriously high workload. Why else would the Jags have given him starter money this winter? He's an accomplished pass blocker and has surprising slipperiness for a runner who weighs 231 pounds. But don't mistake slipperiness for quickness. Gerhart fits the profile of a pounding TD maker. The only problem? He finds himself in an offense with a recent history of being unable to get the ball into the red zone very often, and that won't change with either Chad Henne or rookie Blake Bortles at the helm.
47. Percy Harvin, Sea WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics111717.000001
2014 Projections1067791611.9417811127
2014 Outlook: One point. That was Harvin's fantasy output in his first year in Seattle. After being hampered by a hip injury for most of the regular season, Harvin showed off his versatility in the Super Bowl with a kickoff-return TD and a game-leading 45 rushing yards. It remains to be seen whether he can play with consistency -- or stay on the field -- for 16 games. He's never posted 1,000 yards receiving or played 600 offensive snaps in a season, but there's a reason we have him ranked in our top 20. Harvin can break the game open at any moment; over the past two years, his 8.4 yards after the catch is tops among WRs with 50-plus targets.
48. Cam Newton, Car QBYEARC/AYDSTDINTRUSHYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics292/473337924131115856282
2014 Projections259/433315419141115998275
2014 Outlook: A fractured rib could affect Newton's productivity, but despite taking his share of hits in his first three seasons, Cam has yet to miss a game. Newton has posted upper-tier numbers with less-than-stellar personnel around him, and he'll be asked to do it again this year. The Panthers added rookie Kelvin Benjamin through the draft but lost their top four WRs to free agency and saw longtime left tackle Jordan Gross hang up his cleats. While that could make passing numbers harder to come by, Newton led the league in fantasy QB points on rushing plays last season (88) despite ankle-injury woes. Offseason surgery should lead to a fully healthy set of wheels, and that could move Newton into triple-digit territory for fantasy rushing points, which is an achievement worthy of a Superman pose -- or three.
49. Michael Crabtree, SF WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics331928414.9100032
2014 Projections11480104313.061120141
2014 Outlook: After missing the first 11 games of 2013 with an Achilles tear, Crabtree showed some rust in the final five games of the regular season, averaging just 6.4 fantasy points. But he put on a show in the playoffs. His 11 catches of 10 or more yards -- and four gains of 20 or more -- prorate to top-10-caliber totals over the course of a 16-game season. It was further proof that when Crabtree is healthy, he's the primary target of QB Colin Kaepernick.
50. Vernon Davis, SF TEYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics845285016.313000156
2014 Projections885683514.9113330150
2014 Outlook: Big Vern was the No. 2 TE in fantasy last year, quite a rebound from his No. 15 ranking in 2012. It turns out all those theories suggesting Davis and Colin Kaepernick couldn't coexist were as ridiculous as they sounded. The duo seemed to like each other just fine inside the red zone, where Davis scored 9 of his 13 TDs. In a run-heavy offense with Michael Crabtree healthy and Stevie Johnson aboard, we'd argue that Davis won't be a top source of yardage or receptions. But the possibility of double-digit TDs keeps him elite.
51. Rashad Jennings, NYG RBYEARRUSHYDSAVGTDRECYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics1637334.56362920127
2014 Projections2179604.47312180155
2014 Outlook: At 6-foot-1 and 231 pounds, Jennings should fit into the Andre Brown role in the Giants' offense. He broke out with Oakland in the second half of 2013, flashing a bit of speed to go with hulking short-yardage talent. But the key variable in New York's backfield is David Wilson, a player with all-world quickness and sprinting ability. If Wilson can excel in his return from neck surgery, Jennings becomes an ancillary piece, more of a goal-line specialist. If not, Jennings is a candidate for 250 carries, though rookie Andre Williams will be in the mix as well. We're not sure Jennings is talented enough to be a long-term backfield solution, but he could find his way toward fantasy usefulness in 2014.
52. Ray Rice, FA RBYEARRUSHYDSAVGTDRECYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics2146603.14583210107
2014 Projections000.00000-4
2014 Outlook: Rice has been released by the Ravens.
53. Torrey Smith, Bal WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics13965112817.44000132
2014 Projections12161105617.362120142
2014 Outlook: Last season Smith averaged 17.4 yards per catch, behind only Josh Gordon (18.9) and Calvin Johnson (17.8) among players who caught 50-plus balls. Not bad company. The only thing that kept Smith from WR1 status? He faced so much double coverage that Joe Flacco targeted him only 130 times, tied for 20th. The addition of Steve Smith and the renewed health of Dennis Pitta should make the double-teams a little less frequent.
54. Andre Ellington, Ari RBYEARRUSHYDSAVGTDRECYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics1186525.53393711115
2014 Projections1266585.22424003133
2014 Outlook: If Bruce Arians would commit to Ellington, the second-year back could be a breakout star. But we're not convinced that's going to happen. Just as faded veteran Rashard Mendenhall siphoned off 200-plus carries in 2013, the unimpressive combination of Jonathan Dwyer and Stepfan Taylor will likely do the same this season. It wouldn't be a surprise if Ellington got only 12 to 15 touches per game, which would be a shame because this kid has open-field chops comparable to those of Gio Bernard and C.J. Spiller. If given the opportunity, he could add another dimension to Arizona's pass-heavy offense.
55. Trent Richardson, Ind RBYEARRUSHYDSAVGTDRECYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics1885633.0335316199
2014 Projections2348283.55433261148
2014 Outlook: Oy. Last season T-Rich cratered harder than The Lone Ranger at the box office. After finishing his rookie season as fantasy's No. 11 running back, Richardson wound up being traded to Indianapolis, where he averaged an atrocious 2.9 yards per carry and lost work to Donald Brown (yes, that Donald Brown). But his skills didn't just vanish. He's still big, he still has some wiggle and he still can catch. With Brown gone and only a combination of Vick Ballard and Ahmad Bradshaw in his way, Richardson has a chance to erase his miserable 2013 in a Pep Hamilton offense begging to emphasize the run game.
56. Michael Floyd, Ari WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics11265104116.05000128
2014 Projections11970107615.45000135
2014 Outlook: Floyd has flown mostly under the fantasy radar since being drafted 13th overall in 2012. But consider this: His 14.6 yards per catch the last two seasons is better than that of guys like A.J. Green, Dez Bryant and ' Larry Fitzgerald. In fact, it isn't a huge stretch to think this will be the season Floyd supplants Fitz as the Cards' No. 1 fantasy receiver. Floyd led Arizona in vertical targets (64) and vertical receiving yards (762), and his 34 vertical receptions was tied for eighth most among WRs. Fitzgerald will get drafted first, but Floyd has a very good chance of providing a better fantasy return on investment.
57. Chris Johnson, NYJ RBYEARRUSHYDSAVGTDRECYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics27910773.96423454189
2014 Projections2018024.06383302157
2014 Outlook: It's not fair to say that CJ2K has lost his speed. There were moments in 2013, especially in the receiving game, when he broke a few long gainers in the open field. But Johnson finished 45th out of 47 qualified running backs in average yards after contact and lost much of his decisiveness at the line. With the Jets, he'll team up with Chris Ivory -- a younger, bigger player whose bruising style will be a contrast to Johnson's speed. As such, workload concerns are enough to push Johnson out of the ranks of fantasy studs. He'll be a feast-or-famine player who'll need long touchdowns to earn his keep.
58. Joique Bell, Det RBYEARRUSHYDSAVGTDRECYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics1666503.98535470151
2014 Projections2028124.06434171160
2014 Outlook: This winter the Lions could've kept Bell for one year at the second-round tender but instead worked out a two-year extension guaranteeing him $4.3 million -- more than they gave Reggie Bush a year ago. That says everything you need to know about new coach Jim Caldwell's plans. Bell is no longer merely an adjunct to Bush; he's a more physical and consistent rusher who also catches passes, and he'll warrant slightly less than half the Lions' halfback snaps. Bush has the game-breaking quicks that can win you weeks, and as such he's still the better fantasy commodity. But Bell is an acceptable flex in standard leagues and is more like an RB2 in PPR leagues.
59. Cordarrelle Patterson, Min WRYEARTARRECYDSAVGTDRUSHYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics784546910.44121583107
2014 Projections1377381411.27151041137
2014 Outlook: After one season, Patterson's special-teams prowess is already legendary in NFL circles. He averaged more than 30 yards per kick return and took two the distance from 100-plus yards. But on offense, Patterson had only seven catches of at least 20 yards and averaged an underwhelming 10.4 yards per reception. The reason? His 1.53 vertical targets per game ranked 92nd in the NFL. That's an inexplicably low number for a guy with Patterson's speed. We're betting that changes in 2014 -- and when it does, watch out.
60. Shane Vereen, NE RBYEARRUSHYDSAVGTDRECYDSTDPTS
2013 Statistics442084.7147427380
2014 Projections954364.62726874145
2014 Outlook: Vereen's 2013 season was ruined by a broken wrist he suffered in Week 1. He missed eight games, and by the time he returned, the Pats had begun to transform into a power running offense. So why are we bullish on him this year? As long as Josh McDaniels and Tom Brady are around Foxborough, there will always be work for a pass-catching back like Vereen; even in a shortened season last year, he nearly eclipsed the 50-catch mark. A legit candidate for 90 to 100 grabs and 1,200-plus scrimmage yards, he's extremely valuable in PPR leagues.