Complete Week 16 Projections

Position: ALL | QB | RB | WR | TE | D/ST | K | FLEX
2013 Statistics1828334.63210094
2014 Projections1216075.05211091
2014 Outlook: We still like Ivory, and we fondly imagine a world in which he finally gets to be a featured back for a good offense. A 220-pound thumper, Ivory was fourth among qualified RBs last season in average yards after contact. And his 50 career carries of 10-plus yards shows he's more than a one-trick pony. Unfortunately, he's also injury-prone, having battled quad, hamstring, knee and ankle troubles in 2013, which helps explain why the Jets gave Chris Johnson good cash this winter. No matter Ivory's potential, his time-share with Johnson hampers his fantasy upside.
2013 Statistics1064294.02766056132
2014 Projections1023853.81675345123
2014 Outlook: Life isn't fair for Woody. His first season in San Diego, he did everything the Chargers asked. He became the league's No. 2 receiving RB with 76 grabs. Early in the year, he took over for a sputtering Ryan Mathews in short yardage. And all told, he found the end zone eight times. Then this winter, his team spent sizable free agent dollars on Donald Brown. Where does that leave this mighty mite? Presumably he's still the main pass catcher in this backfield, but will he come close to 106 carries again? Nobody knows for sure. As it stands now, it seems Woodhead will have to wait for the inevitable Mathews injury before he'll be worth more than a flex in standard leagues.
2013 Statistics24110384.310605483220
2014 Projections1807103.95312401129
2014 Outlook: Moreno was fantasy's No. 5 RB last season. But that was in Denver, where Peyton Manning scares defenses into spreading out. Incredibly, 192 of Moreno's 241 carries in 2013 came with six men or fewer in the box. That won't be the case in Miami, where the offensive line has been rebuilt and Ryan Tannehill is under center. Moreno is a tough guy with good pass-blocking instincts, but knee injuries have sapped his explosiveness, and it's hard to trust his ability to consistently make yardage on his own. Though he's penciled in as the Dolphins' starter, Moreno is no better than a fantasy flex.
2013 Statistics844783517.880180128
2014 Projections905081616.35000111
2014 Outlook: Cooper had his share of statistical highlights last season. Most notably, his 17.8 yards per catch ranked second among WRs with 40 or more receptions. He also tied for fifth with four stretch vertical scores and ranked 13th in offensive snaps by a wide receiver (937). He's the Eagles' leading returning wideout in terms of targets (85), receptions (47) and yards (835). Jeremy Maclin's return is a slight concern, but there will be plenty of targets to go around, making it likely that Cooper replicates his catch and yardage totals from 2013. His fantasy upside will be tied to his touchdown total.
2013 Statistics835463311.7211070
2014 Projections1006576711.8400098
2014 Outlook: To no one's surprise, injuries got in the way of Amendola's making a huge impact in his first year with the Pats. After sitting out four games last season with a recurring groin injury and a concussion, he's now missed more than 30 percent of his NFL contests. And when he did play, Amendola's fantasy production was merely OK. He ranked 37th in short-pass fantasy points per game (3.1) and scored only 2 TDs all season. If he can stay on the field and carve out a niche in New England's crowded WR corps, Amendola has the chops to be a decent fantasy player. But those are some big ifs.
2013 Statistics1178091711.57000127
2014 Projections1157487911.97000127
2014 Outlook: Through the first eight weeks of 2013, Cameron was fantasy's No. 2 TE behind Jimmy Graham. He had 49 grabs and 6 TDs and was only 34 receiving yards behind the prolific Graham. Defenses got wise to Cameron thereafter, and his second half featured only 31 catches and one score. Now that Rob Chudzinski no longer coaches in Cleveland, it's fair to wonder whether the offense will revolve around the TE position as much. Cameron is still a tough matchup and a fantasy starter, but last year's early-season dominance was probably a bit of an outlier.
2013 Statistics1066880411.8400097
2014 Projections1016675211.4400099
2014 Outlook: You think Jennings misses Aaron Rodgers? In his inaugural season with the Vikings, Jennings had nine games with 50 yards or less. And he wasn't getting into the end zone much either. Outside of the three games in which he scored touchdowns, Jennings averaged 3.4 fantasy points per week. Jerome Simpson, who was re-signed by the Vikings in the offseason, had more vertical targets last year (52 to 36), and Cordarrelle Patterson will vie to move ahead of Jennings in that category in 2014. With Minnesota's QB situation in flux, Jennings is a late-round pick up at best.
2013 Statistics44281142314378195
2014 Projections41261452584340203
2014 Outlook: Ho-hum. All the Super Bowl champs did in 2013 was allow the fewest total yards (4,378), fewest passing yards (2,752), fewest yards per play (4.4), lowest red zone efficiency (36 percent) and lowest QBR in the NFL (29). There have been a few defections: Red Bryant and Chris Clemons from the D-line and Brandon Browner and Walter Thurmond from the secondary. But DE Michael Bennett, who had 8' sacks and 39 hurries in 2013, gave Seattle a hometown discount to stay, and Richard Sherman, Kam Chancellor, Earl Thomas, Cliff Avril, Brandon Mebane, Malcolm Smith and Bobby Wagner are also still around to re-create the league's best defense.
2013 Statistics257/4073357269965391256
2014 Projections257/40032642510924973269
2014 Outlook: What you're about to read might sound ominous for a fantasy quarterback, but keep reading. Over the past two seasons, no team has run more often (1,045 rushes) or thrown less often (825 passes) than the Seahawks. Amazingly, that trend hasn't stopped Wilson from placing 10th in fantasy QB points during that time (515). The takeaway for fantasy owners? His first two NFL seasons represent Wilson's fantasy-points floor. If Seattle gets its wish and establishes more rush-pass balance in its offense (maybe via 100-plus targets for Percy Harvin), Wilson will have the biggest upside of any top-10 quarterback.
2013 Statistics439/6514515261717550239
2014 Projections419/6274377281424860261
2014 Outlook: Just about everything that could go wrong for Ryan did go wrong last year. He lost a top receiver, Julio Jones, for much of the season and dealt with massive offensive line issues (44 sacks, tied for worst in the NFC). Yet Ryan still ranked seventh with 12.3 vertical yards per attempt and 14th in overall fantasy points among QBs thanks to 151 total points on short passes. His consistency and durability -- only two games missed in six NFL seasons -- make him a fringe QB1 and a great QB2.
2013 Statistics1096474511.6400094
2014 Projections975667612.1500095
2014 Outlook: Last season Baltimore had the worst vertical passing offense in the NFL, ranking dead last in vertical yards per attempt (8.68) and completion rate (35.8 percent) and 30th in vertical TDs (6). Let's hope the Ravens weren't counting on Smith to solve that problem. At this point in his career, Smith is no longer a legit deep threat; his 424 vertical receiving yards ranked 37th in the league. He'll certainly help the Ravens' offense, but it'd be a surprise if he exceeded his totals from last season.
2013 Statistics772953.84639052
2014 Projections1405193.75641083
2014 Outlook: With Chris Johnson gone from Nashville, a whole lot of carries are available in the Titans' backfield. Greene's first season with the Titans was a bust, as he needed a knee scope after Week 1 and missed five games. (He also required another knee surgery this spring.) But even when healthy, Greene is simply a slap-in-the-face, straight-ahead mauler. He won't do much of anything on his own except get tackled. He relies on big holes to gain yardage and volume to wear you down. His competition will be second-round rookie Bishop Sankey, whose college profile indicates he's more likely to be a big-play fantasy asset.
2013 Statistics1143793.3517108071
2014 Projections1084434.1417123078
2014 Outlook: No. Thanks. McFadden returns to Oakland on short money, and sure, in theory he's entering his age-27 season and still possesses a raw size/speed/moves combo that's tough to match. But after six seasons in the league, he's still never played more than 13 games and has missed 19 contests over the past three years. We suppose that everything could break right for Run DMC and he could emerge off fantasy benches to finally become the game changer everyone has been hoping for. But with Maurice Jones-Drew and Latavius Murray on hand, there's also a chance he's on the street come September. McFadden is pure flier material now.
2013 Statistics1097381611.26000110
2014 Projections1007084212.05000114
2014 Outlook: It's fair to be concerned that Carolina's inexperienced WR corps will allow defenses to focus on Olsen. But it's not exactly like Panthers wideouts set the world ablaze last year either. Regardless of the supporting cast, Olsen's past two seasons in Carolina have been remarkably consistent: around 70 grabs for 800 yards and 5 TDs. A mountain of a man with good hands, Olsen sits atop the above-average TE tier. There's no reason to reach for him in a draft, but you'll be fine if you end up with him.
2013 Statistics1524362.9220104055
2014 Projections1475263.6322110081