Complete 2016 Projections

Position: All | All Skaters | F | C | LW | RW | D | G
     
PROJECTED 2016 SEASON STATS
16. Connor McDavid, Edm CYEARGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPPATOISOGPTS
2015 Statistics--------------------
2016 Projections80304373-7392319:20204304
17. Jason Spezza, Dal CYEARGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPPATOISOGPTS
2015 Statistics82174562-7282617:13204273
2016 Projections79204666-3362817:32222267
2016 Outlook: While the 90-plus point campaign is likely a relic of days gone by, Spezza still endures as an attractive fantasy commodity. Especially now that he will have either Patrick Sharp or a healthy Valeri Nichushkin to skate alongside. If he can forge consistent chemistry with his wingers, which would probably also include Ales Hemsky, the Stars' No. 2 line could be one of the most feared in the league. Plus, the former Senator has a shot at competing with the likes of Jamie Benn and Tyler Seguin on the top power play. Those ingredients could easily bring about a 70-plus point drive.
18. Matt Duchene, Col C, RWYEARGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPPATOISOGPTS
2015 Statistics82213455316718:34207292
2016 Projections822446707171918:54229277
2016 Outlook: Like his top-line wingers, Landeskog and MacKinnon, Duchene is due for a rebound campaign after last season's disappointing output. The speedy 24-year-old is better than his collection of 55 points in 2014-15 suggests. You'd be fortunate to have him as your own No. 2 fantasy center.
19. Henrik Sedin, Van CYEARGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPPATOISOGPTS
2015 Statistics8218557311222518:37101304
2016 Projections821856748302519:26113285
2016 Outlook: In leagues where assists carry as much weight as goals, Henrik plays second fiddle to his twin, and life-long linemate, only in the shots department. Altogether, Daniel's older brother fills out as a solid No. 2 centerman is most fantasy circles.
20. Pavel Datsyuk, Det CYEARGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPPATOISOGPTS
2015 Statistics632639651282419:03165304
2016 Projections6827406713142219:05163278
2016 Outlook: Counting on even 70 games from Pavel Datsyuk is a thing of the past, but -- and it's a big "but" -- he still posses the same impact and vision on the ice as his prime days. Datsyuk will play important minutes and remain an offensive catalyst whenever he is on the ice. Even if that means 60 games, he'll still remain a top-30 forward for points. The Detroit Red Wings are overflowing with scoring wingers to skate astride Datsyuk in the top six, regardless of how the final lines shape up. The team's power play, of which Datsyuk is a key cog, was one of the best in the NHL last season and only gets better with the addition of Mike Green on the blue line. Hedge your bets for Datsyuk's overall health, but when he's in your lineup, he'll be a superstar.
21. Jonathan Toews, Chi CYEARGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPPATOISOGPTS
2015 Statistics8128386630361719:34192297
2016 Projections7727376420251319:41184261
2016 Outlook: He's no Tavares/Crosby/Stamkos, but one of the NHL's elite two-way centermen remains a rock-solid fantasy asset. He would rank higher if there wasn't so much depth at the position. The 27-year-old projects to equal his basic output (28 goals, 38 assists, 17 power play points) from last year.
22. David Backes, StL CYEARGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPPATOISOGPTS
2015 Statistics8026325871041618:38183335
2016 Projections8021284991121317:42182203
2016 Outlook: The Blues' captain offers a little bit of everything in standard ESPN leagues: nearly 30 goals, more than 30 assists, solid number of shots and power play points, and an above-average tally of penalty minutes. His on-ice minutes and plus/minus reek of bland respectability. While he doesn't bring a great deal of flash, Backes is as well-rounded a fantasy asset you'll find in the NHL.
23. Kyle Turris*, Ott CYEARGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPPATOISOGPTS
2015 Statistics822440645361619:13215303
2016 Projections822644705341319:25219277
2016 Outlook: It's been a very slow and steady progression for Kyle Turris to turn into an everyday starter for fantasy teams, but he's been just that for two seasons now. And we may not have seen the ceiling on the 26-year-old's production as a No. 1 center in the NHL. Still, with the same personnel coming back for the 2015-16 campaign, Turris doesn't project to do much more than he did last season. He's a reliable fantasy center that will still be on the board if you concentrate on goaltenders, wingers and defensemen for the first five rounds of your draft. For Turris to repeat his success, Mark Stone will have to avoid a sophomore slump and Clarke MacArthur will have to stave off turning back into a pumpkin, but both requirements are achievable.
24. Patrice Bergeron, Bos CYEARGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPPATOISOGPTS
2015 Statistics812332552441418:08234291
2016 Projections812533586401518:38252242
2016 Outlook: With a return to the shooting proclivity of his early career, it's not out of line to think Bergeron could still have a 30-goal season in him on occasion. That is especially good news considering that the elite plus/minus that we counted on in recent seasons is no longer money in the bank with a declining goals differential for the Bruins. Bergeron's line has had to shoulder the load for the Bruins offense the past two seasons and the result has been closer to 250 shots on goal for Bergeron. The loss of Reilly Smith shouldn't have a major impact because it has been mostly about the connection Bergeron has with Brad Marchand anyway -- the other linemate is incidental. At 30 years old, the decline isn't ready to start setting in yet and Bergeron still makes an intelligent fantasy pick in the single-digit rounds of your draft - especially if you are in a league that factors in faceoff wins. He just isn't top-tier without better wingers at his disposal.
25. Joe Thornton, SJ CYEARGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPPATOISOGPTS
2015 Statistics78164965-4302218:25131275
2016 Projections821356690442518:44142259
2016 Outlook: Clearly, Jumbo Joe isn't one to let off-ice issues distract too much from his ability to perform: Thornton was the subject on ongoing trade rumors and had the 'C' loudly stripped from his sweater. Then there's the pressure stemming from the lack of postseason success, not to mention the vocal concerns about his advanced age. Yet Thornton continues to produce at a relatively impressive level. If healthy, the Sharks' top-line center still appears capable of a 70-point season (heavy on the assists).
26. Derick Brassard, NYR CYEARGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPPATOISOGPTS
2015 Statistics801941609341817:24168252
2016 Projections8118395716521816:57164225
2016 Outlook: Those who watched Derick Brassard come into the NHL have been waiting for a season like last year for close to a decade. A consummate playmaker, Brassard was the perfect complement for a rejuvenated Rick Nash last season. So long as Brassard remains on a top scoring line, 35 assists are his new baseline for helpers. His role on the Rangers top power play unit is also a big factor, as Brassard managed 18 power play points last season. While you can bank on the nice production, don't forget that Brassard is a playmaker and that profile isn't quite as valuable in ESPN standard leagues -- he doesn't score a lot of goals, take a lots of shots or provide penalty minutes.
27. Filip Forsberg, Nsh C, LWYEARGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPPATOISOGPTS
2015 Statistics8226376315241917:20237294
2016 Projections8224355911201717:34233242
2016 Outlook: Remember when the Capitals traded Forsberg to the Predators for Martin Erat and Michael Latta? We're not sure Nashville GM David Poile has received sufficient cred for pulling off that lopsided deal. In his first full season with the Preds, Forsberg scored 26 goals and 37 assists. He's looking to equal (or better) those totals, as a seasoned member of the club's top forward line and power play. Another encouraging stat, of the fancier variety: Forsberg's Corsi rating ranked eighth overall in the NHL last season (five on five, over 1000 minutes played).
28. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Edm CYEARGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPPATOISOGPTS
2015 Statistics76243256-12251420:38189273
2016 Projections78273865-7282020:23200269
2016 Outlook: Facing the prospect of losing his top-line gig to a generational standout, Nugent-Hopkins appears bound for the second scoring line, centering Benoit Pouliot and Nail Yakupov (or perhaps Jordan Eberle). Still, the former top overall draft pick (2011) could keep a hold of his power play role aside Taylor Hall, if coach Todd McLellan opts to shuffle his young stars around. It all adds up to a 55- to 60-point campaign from RNH by our arithmetic.
29. Eric Staal, NYR C, LWYEARGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPPATOISOGPTS
2015 Statistics77233154-13411718:51244256
2016 Projections77253560-15591719:12251250
2016 Outlook: As long as you approach Eric Staal as a very good fantasy player and not an elite one, you won't be disappointed. It's just a matter of putting the player that consistently brought 70-plus points to the table each season out of your mind. Instead, look at Staal as a 60-point player with a ton of power play time as the offensive catalyst on a team that doesn't have many other scoring options. The continued development of Elias Lindholm can only help Staal from a production standpoint, as the team simply can't afford to operate without him in the driver's seat. The Canes power play should continue to be quite good and Staal derived a lot of value from it last season. This is going to be a big season for the pending unrestricted free agent and will largely determine his future as the lynchpin of the Hurricanes franchise. Don't forget he's a pending UFA when the trade deadline is approaching either.
30. Derek Stepan, NYR CYEARGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPPATOISOGPTS
2015 Statistics6816395526221018:11155245
2016 Projections8218385623161318:27177219
2016 Outlook: Two of the past three seasons have Derek Stepan on pace for 65-plus points over an 82-game schedule. Of course, the only season of those three he actually played 82 games resulted in only 57 points. But forgive us for erring on the side of Stepan, who scored 44 points in 48 games during the lockout-shorted campaign and then 55 points in 68 games during an injury-shortened campaign last season. Stepan's partner in crime, Chris Kreider, is getting better with each season and the duo will get a different linemate this season following Martin St. Louis' retirement. The new linemate will arguably be an improvement, as St. Louis was a round peg in a square hole with the two power forwards. Stepan also plays a key role on the New York Rangers power play, which features offensive weapons like Rick Nash and Keith Yandle. The safe bet is to look for 55 points, but we think 65-plus is a reasonable request from Stepan this season.