Complete 2014 Projections

Position: All | All Skaters | C | LW | RW | D | G
     
PROJECTED 2014 SEASON STATS
16. Marian Gaborik, LA RWYEARGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPPATOISOGPTS
2013 Statistics47121527-314918:3115140.3
2014 Projections733035654252419:0025481.5
2014 Outlook: His checkered injury history with the Minnesota Wild feels like ancient history, but it is easy to remember Gaborik's struggles last season with the New York Rangers. Prior to being traded to the Blue Jackets, Gaborik managed a pedestrian nine goals and 19 points in 35 games for the Rangers. His eight points in 12 games for the Blue Jackets was an improvement, but still not anything up to his previous standard. Gaborik is still only one season removed from a 40-goal season, and has achieved that target in two of the past four campaigns and three of the past six. But with plenty of question marks surrounding the budding Blue Jackets offense, Gaborik has to be viewed as a bit of a risk. There is plenty of talent for Gaborik to work with on the roster, but almost all of it is unproven. He is one of the few draft selections you can probably make outside the first five rounds that has a legitimate shot at returning first-round value. However, he could just as easily underperform that draft value. Feeling lucky?
17. Joffrey Lupul*, Tor LW, RWYEARGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPPATOISOGPTS
2013 Statistics1611718812316:074231.5
2014 Projections722735626501817:0019179
2014 Outlook: First off, we can't trust Lupul to play in all 82 games based on recent history. Secondly, can we be sure he will be playing on the first line? We cannot. Despite having an absolutely beastly 2011-12 season alongside Phil Kessel, Lupul did not play much on a line with Kessel last season; instead, when his arm wasn't broken, Lupul was placed alongside breakout rookie Nazem Kadri. The result was still rock solid for Lupul in the 16 games he played last season, as he notched 11 goals and 18 points. But over the long haul, is he going to be that successful if he is not paired with Kessel? But risks aside, Lupul is firmly entrenched in a top-six role for the Maple Leafs that will be very dangerous with the addition of David Clarkson and Dave Bolland to the offense (though they might not be on a scoring line themselves). As long as you bank on some missed time for Lupul, you will be rewarded for taking him in your draft.
18. Thomas Vanek, Min LW, RWYEARGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPPATOISOGPTS
2013 Statistics38202141-1201418:2411955.2
2014 Projections74323971-3402718:0022091
2014 Outlook: Vanek had a blistering start to the lockout-shortened season, with a ridiculous 15 points in his first six games and 27 points in his first 20 games. But things slowed down considerably from there, and Vanek would end up missing 10 games as well. That said, it was a reminder that the former 40-goal threat may not be done turning heads yet. Now, that doesn't mean you necessarily want to draft Vanek as if he were a 40-goal scorer again. He did turn in three straight seasons of closer to a 30-goal pace, so that has to factor into your decision. Especially because longtime partner in crime, Jason Pominville, is no longer a member of the Sabres. The team is full of talent, but a lot of it is only a little proven in the NHL (and some is not proven at all). Vanek could have a big season as he helps lead a rejuvenated Sabres attack. Or, he could suffer as the team struggles to find an identity. Or, he could wind up on another team via trade, which would force us to re-examine his stock. The good news is that even a struggling Vanek will find a way to light the lamp about 30 times. As long as you don't jump the gun too early on Vanek, he is a great addition to your forward group, with decent upside.
19. Ryan Kesler, Ana C, RWYEARGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPPATOISOGPTS
2013 Statistics174913-512518:573619.5
2014 Projections822834626612420:0022983.1
2014 Outlook: Who knows who Kesler will play with now that John Tortorella is coaching the Canucks? Only Torts knows that, but the good news is that it should matter little to Kesler's fantasy outlook. Kesler is still the natural choice to join the Sedin twins on the power play, which is where a lot of his value will be. And, if you really think about it, it's not as if the Canucks depth is worse now than it was when Kesler scored 70 points in consecutive seasons. For example, Kesler played with Mason Raymond and Mikael Samuelsson during the 2010-11 season. Is that any worse than Chris Higgins and Zack Kassian? The answer is a firm no, and the resulting conclusion is that Kesler will find a way to get his points, especially with so much time off to recover from his many ailments at the beginning of last season. Heck, maybe Tortorella even makes Kesler play with the Sedin twins at even strength and he works on a career season? Crazier things have happened under Tortorella, after all.
20. Jarome Iginla, Col RWYEARGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPPATOISOGPTS
2013 Statistics44141933-5311218:4913450.4
2014 Projections79313667-8472320:0025179.2
2014 Outlook: Though he's no longer in his prime, Iginla is not beyond another spike in his output to push him toward another 40-goal campaign. But the question is whether or not that is likely now that he is wearing a Bruins uniform. While there is the question of whether he joins the line with David Krejci and Milan Lucic or the line with Patrice Bergeron and Brad Marchand, the good news for fantasy owners is that it likely doesn't matter much. Though the Krejci and Lucic line would likely lead to more offense, playing with Bergeron and Marchand would ensure Iginla churns out plus/minus that would likely equal the difference in scoring for fantasy value. Certainly it is safer to take Iginla as the 30-goal, 65-point pace player we have seen three out of the past four seasons. There is upside, to be sure, but don't draft him based on the potential. While he is by no means ancient at 36 seasons old, Iginla is not on the upswing anymore.
21. Jordan Eberle, Edm RWYEARGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPPATOISOGPTS
2013 Statistics48162137-416918:6013348.8
2014 Projections79293867-4211719:0020875.6
2014 Outlook: No one questions that the Oilers are chock-full of exciting young talent, and that Eberle is at the center of the revolution. Both Eberle and Taylor Hall are due for big steps forward here in their fourth NHL season. Of the 30-goal, 70-point players coming off the board in the middle rounds, Eberle is certainly near the top of the list for potential beyond that baseline. But is it safe to draft him for much more than what we've seen in the NHL so far? Well, Eberle didn't have a great campaign in the lockout-shortened season, despite staying hot ahead of the season by tearing up the AHL. That doesn't mean he took a step back, but it doesn't give strong reason to pick him up ahead of other proven fantasy players in your draft, either.
22. Alex Burrows, Van RWYEARGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPPATOISOGPTS
2013 Statistics471311241554318:5414047.1
2014 Projections792521461586618:0020465.1
2014 Outlook: Burrows has gained his fantasy notoriety on the coattails of the Sedin twins, but he can stand on his own for production just fine. As we saw last season when Burrows was shuffled away from the twins on occasion, the Sedins seem to rely on Burrows as much as he relies on them in this symbiotic relationship. However, there is no doubt the extra points gained from assisting on and finishing plays conjured up mainly by the twins goes a long way to making Burrows an attractive asset. Hopefully, new coach John Tortorella doesn't make too many waves with the Canucks' depth chart, but you can expect to see Burrows finding value in most scenarios that even Tortorella could imagine. In the end, Burrows' above-average penalty minutes and 50-plus points will be enough to find a home on any fantasy roster.
23. P.A. Parenteau, Mon RWYEARGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPPATOISOGPTS
2013 Statistics48182543-11381319:0910555.2
2014 Projections81294069-2502019:0017383
2014 Outlook: In 2013, Parenteau proved he was more than a one-trick pony as a linemate to John Tavares by leaving Long Island and having even more success as a linemate to Matt Duchene. To be fair, Duchene is a budding superstar in his own right, and can certainly hold a candle to Tavares. But the improvement from Parenteau is perhaps more impressive than Duchene's emerging talent. Parenteau scored 18 goals for the second season in a row in his debut with the Avalanche. That's an impressive feat because the lockout held the season to just 48 games instead of the 80 games Parenteau needed for 18 goals in 2011-12. With coach Patrick Roy already stating that Parenteau and Duchene will be joined by playmaker Ryan O'Reilly on the team's top line, there is no reason not to expect a strong repeat performance by Parenteau in 2013-14.
24. Jason Pominville, Min RWYEARGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPPATOISOGPTS
2013 Statistics4714203418920:1111849.4
2014 Projections80263763-1141920:0022177.4
2014 Outlook: There is some definite hope and some good signs at the end of last season, but at the end of the day, we can't draft Pominville like he will get to a point-per-game pace again in 2013-14. Though he does have history as an 80-point player, and looks very good alongside Zach Parise, the safe route is to look at Pominville as another 65-point guy with some upside. After all, the Wild have some players who will be nipping at his heels from the start of camp. Charlie Coyle and Mikael Granlund have more experience under their belt now, and both will be vying for top-line service. Pominville does have first right of refusal for the top line with Parise, though, and has the skill to stay there. If the Wild power play is as good as it should be, Pominville's numbers will be even better.
25. Justin Williams, LA RWYEARGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPPATOISOGPTS
2013 Statistics481122331522616:5914252.8
2014 Projections8020375718441417:0023477.4
2014 Outlook: There is nothing sexy about taking Williams in your fantasy draft. But he is going to play 17 minutes, score just fewer than 60 points, and contribute to your plus/minus and shots on goal totals. It's not pretty, but it's solid production from a reliable winger on the top line of a strong team. Williams is a great linemate to Anze Kopitar and Dustin Brown, and will remain at the top of the depth chart for the foreseeable future. The team consistently wins games, and there is no reason to change what works. While others struggle in the draft to try and find a player with a chance for 70 points, take Williams and walk away knowing you made the right choice.
26. Ryan Callahan, TB RWYEARGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPPATOISOGPTS
2013 Statistics45161531912821:3114470.7
2014 Projections803030603421421:0024980.7
2014 Outlook: Ryan Callahan will fight tooth and nail on the ice for the points his team needs to win. He finds a way to get those points whether he is on the ice with superstars like Rick Nash or away from the superstars in a supporting role. A steady producer of close to 30-30 seasons, Callahan has never actually hit the 60-point benchmark in his career. Expect that to change as coach Alain Vigneault rewards Callahan's diligence on the ice with plum assignments. Callahan has the tenacity to play a role like Alex Burrows did for Vigneault with the Canucks, where he plays setup man to the stars.
27. Bobby Ryan*, Ott RWYEARGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPPATOISOGPTS
2013 Statistics46111930317616:3510148.1
2014 Projections803034645441118:0022276.4
2014 Outlook: There is no way the move to Ottawa isn't a good thing for Ryan, whose progression in the NHL had stalled, and seemed to be slipping with the Anaheim Ducks. Ryan joins a team eager for a top-line winger that can score more than 30 goals a season to play with one of the league's better playmakers in Jason Spezza. Banking on a rebound from Ryan is absolutely fair, but don't take things too far in your draft. There are still a lot of barriers between Ryan and his peak of 35 goals and 70 points, not the least of which would be the checkered health history of his new star centerman. But betting on Ryan to earn a lot more fantasy value than last season or the season prior is a prudent move. Ryan should be counted on as one of the top scorers for the Ottawa offense, and will get more power-play time than he was getting with the Ducks. Those two factors alone make him a great candidate to return to form.
28. Joe Pavelski, SJ RW, CYEARGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPPATOISOGPTS
2013 Statistics481615312101118:5513052.7
2014 Projections802731589232120:0025475.3
2014 Outlook: Pavelski's game has been tweaked in different directions the past couple seasons, but he seems to have settled in now as a scoring threat on a top-six line that will walk away with 60-plus points. For a time, it seemed that those points might mostly come from assists, but Pavelski has been on a 30-goal pace for two seasons now. Mix in the fact that he is responsible defensively, plays with top talent and can score on the power play, and you have a real fantasy winner. However, it should be noted that we have probably witnessed Pavelski's peak, and that what you see is what you get at this point in time. There is nothing wrong with what he presents, just don't draft him expecting much more than that.
29. Wayne Simmonds, Phi RW, LWYEARGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPPATOISOGPTS
2013 Statistics45151732-7821615:3811057.5
2014 Projections80242448-71271415:0017564.2
2014 Outlook: He lost the great plus/minus attribute since being traded to the Flyers, but Simmonds remains a multiple threat in the fantasy realm thanks to his modest offense and penchant for earning time in the penalty box. Simmonds had an 82-game pace of 58 points during the lockout-shortened campaign, while his 82-game pace for PIMs was 149. That is a dual threat you are not going to find in many corners of the fantasy hockey world. The question is whether Simmonds will play an important role if fellow bruising forward Scott Hartnell is healthy this season. While we don't know for sure, we do know that Simmonds has found a way to at least offer decent offensive output from as deep as the third line in the past. There is little downside -- and plenty of upside -- to adding Simmonds to your team. Really, the only threat with Simmonds in standard ESPN leagues is that he is a drag on ice time, averaging only around 15 to 16 minutes per game.
30. Radim Vrbata, Van RWYEARGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPPATOISOGPTS
2013 Statistics341216286141218:1910645.4
2014 Projections823335687292419:0026692.4
2014 Outlook: No offense to Martin Hanzal, but the Coyotes -- and Vrbata in particular -- have been without a top-notch playmaker down the middle for a couple seasons now. Mike Ribeiro changes that fact, and no one should benefit more than Vrbata. Scoring 35 goals in 2011-12 was an absolute feat considering Vrbata hasn't played with a true setup man. Returning to form, and scoring another 35 goals, should be what we expect from Vrbata with Ribeiro as his new centerman. Don't bank on the crazy plus-24 rating that Vrbata managed in that magical 2011-12 season, but count on the scoring to return to the first line in the desert.