Complete 2016 Projections

Position: All | All Skaters | C | LW | RW | D | G
     
PROJECTED 2016 SEASON STATS
16. Patrick Sharp, Dal LW, RWYEARGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPPATOISOGPTS
2015 Statistics68162743-8331416:4923068.2
2016 Projections78263561-1362117:2525987.6
2016 Outlook: Occasionally lost (read: relegated to the third line) within the wealth of forward talent shamelessly collected by Blackhawks GM Stan Bowman, Sharp is about to unleash a greater impact with his new squad. There's zero argument the 33-year-old veteran will either play on the top line with Benn and Seguin or on a second forward unit with center Jason Spezza. He's also a prime candidate to compete as a fourth forward on what should be an exceptionally dangerous top power play for the Stars. Exciting stuff.
17. Blake Wheeler, Wpg RWYEARGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPPATOISOGPTS
2015 Statistics7926356126731219:40244132.5
2016 Projections802537627601019:3221191
2016 Outlook: If displaced by up-and-comer Nikolaj Ehlers -- or even Drew Stafford -- on the top line alongside Andrew Ladd and Bryan Little, Wheeler would conceivably fall to the second forward unit, alongside Mark Scheifele and Mathieu Perreault. Still not a bad gig, especially in conjunction with a regular spot on the top power play. The speedy winger led his squad in shots last season with 244 (79 games), a personal high, and finished second in scoring to Andrew Ladd with 61 points. With the Winnipeg club on the rise, we don't expect a relapse from the just-turned-29-year-old.
18. Kyle Okposo, NYI RWYEARGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPPATOISOGPTS
2015 Statistics60183351-8121819:3319575.8
2016 Projections732339622391720:0521786.9
2016 Outlook: To understand Okposo's full fantasy value, you need to consider that he piled up those 33 assists and 18 power play points -- among other quality numbers -- while missing 22 games. Okposo's 82-game pace was season was 70 points and he has the ability to score 30 goals. A lot of the value comes from being the wingman for John Tavares, but that is a scenario that won't change. If health breaks in favor of Okposo, he's looking at breaking that 70-point barrier for the first time in his career as a basement for production. The top end could be closer to the pace he put up the year prior. In 2013-14, Okposo's 82-game pace was 80 points. However, there is something to be said for the fact that he has to refer to his potential in terms of an 82-game pace and not 82 games played.
19. Wayne Simmonds, Phi LW, RWYEARGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPPATOISOGPTS
2015 Statistics75282250-5662416:48188106.5
2016 Projections77272653-6862216:3318083.1
2016 Outlook: One of the most dangerous power play weapons in the NHL, there is no denying that the man advantage is what drives Simmonds' value in fantasy hockey. In four seasons with the Flyers, Simmonds has scored 100 goals. Of those 100 goals, 46 have come on the power play. Beyond his power play scoring, Simmonds will take a legitimate run at 100 penalty minutes and fire close to 200 shots on goal. He is a total package when it comes to fantasy value in standard leagues. While we sometimes warn about value that is driven so specifically by a situation, Simmonds has been doing this long enough that we don't fear a sudden drop off in production. The Flyers depend on Claude Giroux running a deadly power play and Simmonds will be right there to help pick up the scoring.
20. Bobby Ryan, Ott RWYEARGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPPATOISOGPTS
2015 Statistics781836545241417:2822194.2
2016 Projections792142637321417:3221687.2
2016 Outlook: There is absolutely nothing wrong with Bobby Ryan providing your fantasy team with 20 to 25 goals, 200 shots and a handful of power play points. He can be a quality starting winger for your fantasy squad. Just don't confuse him with the Bobby Ryan that scored 30 goals for the Anaheim Ducks for four consecutive seasons, once cracking the 70-point threshold. Though they share the same name, birthday and look a lot a like, they are two very different players. This one plays a quality offensive game for the Ottawa Senators and shouldn't be expected to do anything above what he's provided to fantasy owners the past two seasons.
21. Gustav Nyquist, Det RWYEARGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPPATOISOGPTS
2015 Statistics82272754-11262416:3919588
2016 Projections822730574262116:5620885.6
2016 Outlook: It's not often you look at 27 goals and 57 points for a player's true sophomore campaign as a disappointment. But after scoring 28 goals in only 57 games the season prior, Gustav Nyqvist's first full NHL season was a let down for fantasy owners. There is no doubt the high-end, goal-scoring talent is there; after all, only Alex Ovechkin and Joe Pavelski scored more than Nyquist's 14 power play goals. We were just expecting a lot more. This season will go a long way to determining whether Nyqvist is going to be a great fantasy forward in the future, or simply a good one. Don't look at his basement as a huge negative, as 50-plus points and 25-plus power play points are extremely valuable, but the hope will be to see him push his total production past 65 points. There is some risk here, though: If Nyquist doesn't start doing more at even strength, the Red Wings have wingers chomping at the bit for his quality ice time.
22. Radim Vrbata*, Van RWYEARGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPPATOISOGPTS
2015 Statistics793132636202316:37267108.9
2016 Projections802528533241916:4925978.9
2016 Outlook: Finding a comfort zone on the right side of the Sedins, Vrbata reigns as one of last season's standout performers. Amassing 31 goals and 32 assists, his collection of shots (267) and power play points (23) impresses most. We have no reason to expect anything different from the right-winger this time around. If anything, playing with an expiring contract should offer the 34-year-old additional incentive.
23. Ryan O'Reilly, Buf RW, CYEARGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPPATOISOGPTS
2015 Statistics82173855-5121219:4317179.8
2016 Projections82254065-3181820:3519288.8
2016 Outlook: These aren't your 2014-15 Buffalo Sabres and, however the lineup is deployed by coach Dan Bylsma, Ryan O'Reilly is going to find himself near the top of the depth chart. Of course, playing regularly with future star Jack Eichel and redemption seeking Evander Kane would be the ideal situation. But even if that doesn't come to be, the Sabres have excellent candidates to comprise a top six. The playmaking O'Reilly would be an exceptional complement to Kane's shoot-first-ask-questions-later tendencies, and Eichel is a sniper, as well. O'Reilly's 28-goal season was an aberration among his career numbers, but his career-high of 64-points could still be beaten through the virtue of more assists playing as the Sabres No. 1 center (or winger, as O'Reilly is flexible on offense). Don't count on 20 goals, but Kane and/or Eichel could help pull O'Reilly past 60 points if things go well for the new-look Sabres.
24. Jeff Carter, LA RW, CYEARGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPPATOISOGPTS
2015 Statistics822834627281517:58218107.7
2016 Projections802730573391517:5020785.4
2016 Outlook: Flanked by young wingers Tanner Pearson and Tyler Toffoli, Carter is capable of scoring 30 goals, along with 35 assists. Another plus? The 20-year-old has averaged 3.4 shots per game over his 10-year career, including playoffs. With that in mind, last season's 2.66 rate seems a bit atypical.
25. Jason Pominville, Min RWYEARGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPPATOISOGPTS
2015 Statistics82183654981418:1725286.9
2016 Projections8223325510121418:1323979.7
2016 Outlook: Netting the lowest shot percentage of his NHL career (7.1), Pominville saw his goal tally drop from 30 to 18 in 2014-15. Zach Parise's top linemate is better than that weird, low total. If healthy, the 32-year-old is good for 25-plus goals and 35-plus assists, easy.
26. Tomas Tatar, Det LW, RWYEARGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPPATOISOGPTS
2015 Statistics822927566281916:13211103.6
2016 Projections822925549241516:4021882.9
2016 Outlook: In terms of making a leap in production, Tomas Tatar was one of the best fantasy surprises last season. He was expected to have an opportunity to improve on his 39 points from 2013-14, but few expected a surge to 56 points last season. A very solid connection with Pavel Datsyuk and an ability to produce points both on and off the power play has established Tatar as a top-six winger going forward with the Red Wings. Datsyuk may be edging closer to 40 years old, but he hasn't lost a step, which should keep the Tatar-Datsyuk connection going strong for another season. Only Henrik Zetterberg fired more shots on goal for the Red Wings last season -- and Tatar averaged three minutes fewer per game in ice time. Sailing past 30 goals this season should be no issue for Tatar.
27. Jarome Iginla, Col RWYEARGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPPATOISOGPTS
2015 Statistics822930590421318:08189100.8
2016 Projections82273158-1521317:5919482.7
2016 Outlook: Who you calling old? Iginla put the Colorado kids to shame last year by scoring a club-leading 29 goals (30 assists), despite fighting through yet another slow start (it's like he develops amnesia every summer and forgets how good he is, come fall). With two years left on his contract, the 38-year-old is embarking on -- recent history implies -- another full campaign alongside long-time linemate (on and off) Alex Tanguay. Iggy's missed only eight regular-season games since 2006-07. Maybe he hits the 30-goal mark this time around. We wouldn't rule it out.
28. Brandon Saad, Cls LW, RWYEARGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPPATOISOGPTS
2015 Statistics822329527121017:1520387.4
2016 Projections822534597141417:4121783.4
2016 Outlook: A great player at the ripe age of 22, Brandon Saad definitely has some upside and is worth getting excited about. However, we can't help but feel the shine needs to be dulled just a little bit. Saad scored 23 goals and 52 points last season, which is very good but not elite for fantasy purposes. He also shared the ice with world class players Jonathan Toews and Marian Hossa both on and off the power play. No matter who he plays with on the Columbus Blue Jackets this season, the combination will fall a little short of what Toews and Hossa offered as linemates. And it's not even clear that Saad is a shoe-in for the top of the depth chart. Do you go with Nick Foligno and his chemistry with Ryan Johansen off the top line? Or do you demote Scott Hartnell to make room for Saad? We think Saad will have a career-year with the Blue Jackets and show he is a star outside of the deep Chicago Blackhawks team. But he's not quite ready for the point-per-game level of the truly elite.
29. James Neal, Nsh LW, RWYEARGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPPATOISOGPTS
2015 Statistics672314371257418:0522178.3
2016 Projections70242246854817:4721871.4
2016 Outlook: Adjusting to his first campaign in Nashville, the Predators top-line winger collected 23 goals and 14 assists (plus-14) in only 67 games. We want better stats in year two. While a variety of minor injuries have cost him games in his last two seasons, he appears fully-fit heading into camp. And does Neal ever like to shoot the puck -- averaging 3.76 shots per game over his last four regular seasons.
30. Tyler Toffoli, LA RWYEARGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPPATOISOGPTS
2015 Statistics762326492537514:35200101.9
2016 Projections772826541140715:0321087
2016 Outlook: After a torrid start to 2014-15, Toffoli settled in for what can be summed up as a solid sophomore campaign. Now in his full third season -- and skating with center Jeff Carter -- we're anticipating a more consistent effort from the 23-year-old. Don't rule out a 60-point drive, including greater production with the man-advantage.