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Complete 2013 Projections

ESPN's projections are the product of an analysis of a player's past performance, growth or regression potential and expected playing opportunity. While the overall ranking is based in large part on the player's projected performance, it also takes into account risk factors such as age, injury history and past statistical fluidity, the players' ceiling (upside), as well as positional and categorical scarcity.

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PROJECTED 2013 SEASON STATS

1. Jacoby Ellsbury, Bos OF	YEAR		AB	R	HR	RBI	BB	K	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
	2012 Statistics		303	43	4	26	19	43	14	.271	.313	.370	.682
	2013 Projections		523	86	17	64	38	76	27	.294	.345	.465	.810
2013 Outlook: If there were a fantasy baseball dictionary, Ellsbury's headshot should be listed next to "risk/reward player." His career fits: He has per-162-game averages of 16 homers, 53 stolen bases, 107 runs scored, 73 RBIs and a .297 batting average, but in the past three seasons alone he has made four trips to the DL for a grand total of 222 games missed. In Ellsbury's defense, some of those injuries were fluky, such as the rib injury he suffered crashing into Adrian Beltre in the field, but he also warrants criticism for being slow to recover from his ailments. Thankfully, Ellsbury's legs have yet to become a problem, a plus considering so much of his fantasy value is gleaned from his speed. He is the kind of player who makes a valid case to be one of the 10 most valuable players in fantasy baseball if healthy, but is among the most likely to miss time of the early-round targets. How lucky do you feel?

2. Shane Victorino, Bos OF	YEAR		AB	R	HR	RBI	BB	K	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
	2012 Statistics		595	72	11	55	53	80	39	.255	.321	.383	.704
	2013 Projections		568	82	11	61	53	72	28	.266	.334	.408	.742
2013 Outlook: Last season Victorino set career lows in average, on-base percentage and slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox are hoping this was just a down year, as they signed the "Flyin' Hawaiian" to patrol right field for the next three seasons. On the plus side, Victorino's contact rate is still stellar and the Green Monster could be just what a falling BABIP needs. In addition, Victorino did set a career high with 39 steals, so he still has good speed. With him hitting near the top of a revamped Boston order, the parts are in place for Victorino to have a bounce-back campaign across the board, with the exception of homers, as Fenway depresses power. If your preference is to get steals spread among several players, Victorino is an intriguing target, since his price is likely to be depressed coming off such a disappointing campaign.

3. Jonny Gomes, Bos OF, DH	YEAR		AB	R	HR	RBI	BB	K	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
	2012 Statistics		279	46	18	47	44	104	3	.262	.377	.491	.868
	2013 Projections		345	52	17	55	46	108	5	.249	.349	.443	.792
2013 Outlook: Even though he is best suited to be the righty portion of a platoon, Gomes will be afforded the chance to play regularly since there is no one in-house ready to claim the lion's share of lefty at-bats. Gomes fares much better facing southpaws, sporting a career .974 OPS as compared to just .715 against right-handers. If you're in a daily league, Gomes is a strong start when Boston is scheduled to face a left-hander. Otherwise, he should be on your bench, if not off your team.

4. Jackie Bradley Jr., Bos OF	YEAR		AB	R	HR	RBI	BB	K	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
	2012 Statistics		--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
	2013 Projections		238	32	5	25	30	54	7	.261	.349	.416	.765

5. Mike Carp, Bos OF, 1B	YEAR		AB	R	HR	RBI	BB	K	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
	2012 Statistics		164	17	5	20	21	46	1	.213	.312	.341	.654
	2013 Projections		174	19	6	23	15	45	1	.241	.306	.391	.697

6. Daniel Nava, Bos OF	YEAR		AB	R	HR	RBI	BB	K	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
	2012 Statistics		267	38	6	33	37	63	3	.243	.352	.390	.742
	2013 Projections		158	21	3	19	19	34	2	.253	.346	.392	.739

7. Ryan Kalish*, Bos OF	YEAR		AB	R	HR	RBI	BB	K	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
	2012 Statistics		96	12	0	5	6	26	3	.229	.272	.260	.532
	2013 Projections		105	14	2	11	9	26	4	.238	.296	.343	.639

8. Drew Sutton, Bos OF	YEAR		AB	R	HR	RBI	BB	K	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
	2012 Statistics		122	12	1	13	6	42	0	.254	.292	.393	.686
	2013 Projections		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	.000

9. Mitch Maier, Bos OF	YEAR		AB	R	HR	RBI	BB	K	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
	2012 Statistics		64	8	2	7	8	24	2	.172	.260	.313	.573
	2013 Projections		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	.000

10. Bryce Brentz, Bos OF	YEAR		AB	R	HR	RBI	BB	K	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
	2012 Statistics		--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
	2013 Projections		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	.000

11. Jeremy Hazelbaker, Bos OF	YEAR		AB	R	HR	RBI	BB	K	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
	2012 Statistics		--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
	2013 Projections		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	.000

12. Alex Hassan, Bos OF	YEAR		AB	R	HR	RBI	BB	K	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
	2012 Statistics		--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
	2013 Projections		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	.000

13. Keury De La Cruz, Bos OF	YEAR		AB	R	HR	RBI	BB	K	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
	2012 Statistics		--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
	2013 Projections		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	.000

14. Henry Ramos, Bos OF	YEAR		AB	R	HR	RBI	BB	K	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
	2012 Statistics		--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
	2013 Projections		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	.000

15. Kendrick Perkins, Bos OF	YEAR		AB	R	HR	RBI	BB	K	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
	2012 Statistics		--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
	2013 Projections		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	.000

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