Complete 2015 Projections

ESPN's projections are the product of an analysis of a player's past performance, growth or regression potential and expected playing opportunity. While the overall ranking is based in large part on the player's projected performance, it also takes into account risk factors such as age, injury history and past statistical fluidity, the players' ceiling (upside), as well as positional and categorical scarcity.

Position: All | Batters | Pitchers | C | 1B | 2B | 3B | SS | 2B/SS | 1B/3B | IF | LF | CF | RF | OF | DH | SP | RP
     
PROJECTED 2015 SEASON STATS
1. Pablo Sandoval, Bos 3BYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2014 Statistics58868167339850.279.324.415.739
2015 Projections52580168442760.291.344.455.800
2015 Outlook: Sandoval avoided injuries last season, playing in a career-high 157 games and offering double-digit home runs for the sixth consecutive season. It should be noted, however, that his 6.1 percent walk rate was his lowest since becoming a full-season regular for the Giants in 2009. Even with the loss of a few free passes, Sandoval is still a good bad-ball hitter. During his time in San Francisco, Sandoval contributed to three World Series-winning clubs, and his postseason heroics are well documented, thanks to a career .344/.389/.545 line in the playoffs. A first-time free agent during the offseason, Sandoval landed in Boston, where he's expected to stabilize the Red Sox's third-base situation and provide run production in the heart of the order. Even if the move out of AT&T Park and into Fenway doesn't lead to a significant increase in home runs, the Boston lineup in 2015 should be stronger than any supporting cast Sandoval has played with in San Francisco, making him a threat to push 90 RBI for just the second time in his career.
2. Xander Bogaerts, Bos 3B, SSYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2014 Statistics538601246391382.240.297.362.660
2015 Projections561641469461344.255.316.389.705
2015 Outlook: Perhaps it was the small-sample success Bogaerts had during Boston's run through the World Series in 2013 that set such high expectations for the kid in 2014. He became the latest chapter in the book about overdrafting young players based on early success, as Bogaerts finished with a disappointing line overall. The double-digit homer total and 60 runs scored were respectable, but his batting average was below par and he struggled to get on base and drive the ball consistently. He also failed to show much statistical growth as the season went on, as his first- and second-half splits are near mirror images of one another from a rate level. Like Starlin Castro last year, the talent is there and could easily bubble back to the surface with more realistic expectations in 2015.
3. Mike Napoli, Bos 1BYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2014 Statistics415491755781333.248.370.419.789
2015 Projections429592165741472.245.361.450.811
2015 Outlook: Napoli is difficult to project because of his ping-ponging playing time. He's consistently bothered by any number of nagging injuries, and who knows how much the finger and back ailments affected him late in the season. He posted a .186/.326/.354 line in August and September, though he was still doing damage in the rare instances when he made contact, netting five homers and 19 RBI in those final 141 plate appearances. At 33 years old, the injuries are obviously a mainstay for Napoli, but that has been built into his price, making him a relative bargain in the games he does play. Have a contingency plan in place for the 30 or 40 games that he'll miss.
4. Allen Craig, Bos 1B, OFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2014 Statistics46141846351132.215.279.315.594
2015 Projections39148115631872.269.329.414.744
2015 Outlook: Craig had a miserable 2014 season that was scuttled by a nagging foot injury that forced him to miss more than a month -- mostly after his surprising trade to the Red Sox as part of the John Lackey deal. Now he's in a situation in Boston where he's going to have to fight for playing time, following all the additions to the lineup this offseason. First base is occupied by Mike Napoli, DH is held down by David Ortiz, and the corner-outfield slots (where he's particularly ill-suited to play) are manned by Hanley Ramirez and Shane Victorino, not to mention Mookie Betts is looking for a place to play. Craig could end up behind all of them, subbing maybe once a week at each spot, but he's going to have to wait for a trade or an injury or two before he gets full-time at-bats. Assuming that his foot has fully recovered, he could be in a more favorable power situation in Fenway but will probably hit lower in the order than he did with the Cardinals. Getting any more than two or three stolen bases seems out of the question, so he's really going to need to improve those power stats to provide a lot of value.
5. Brock Holt, Bos 3B, OFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2014 Statistics44968429339812.281.331.381.711
2015 Projections1622221313305.278.335.395.730
2015 Outlook: Due to injuries and poor play by players ahead of him on the depth chart, Holt found his way to 279 plate appearances and a .327/.371/.463 slash line in the first half. He became something of a mythical figure among Red Sox fans and at the same time he developed into a small-sample-size punch line among the pessimistic sabermetric crowd. After hitting .219 in the second half, almost all of his midseason shine is gone, and he will enter 2015 as a strict utility option. Boston has amassed perhaps the best and deepest collection of hitters in the big leagues, leaving nowhere for Holt to play at the moment. In addition to the predictable regression to his batting average, Holt is even less appealing for fantasy purposes, as he figures to hit fewer than five home runs and steal fewer than 10 bases in even the most optimistic part-time role.
6. Garin Cecchini, Bos 3BYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2014 Statistics316143110.258.361.452.813
2015 Projections607176151.250.328.367.695
7. Jeff Bianchi, Bos 3BYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2014 Statistics704063170.171.203.186.388
2015 Projections31313261.226.265.355.620
8. David Chester, Bos 1BYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
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9. Travis Shaw, Bos 3BYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
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10. Brandon Snyder, Bos 3BYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
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11. Andrew Pinckney, Bos 3BYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
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12. Brett Harper, Bos 1BYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
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13. Jorge Jimenez, Bos 3BYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
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14. Mario Martinez, Bos 3BYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
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15. Michael Jones, Bos 1BYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
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