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Complete 2013 Projections

ESPN's projections are the product of an analysis of a player's past performance, growth or regression potential and expected playing opportunity. While the overall ranking is based in large part on the player's projected performance, it also takes into account risk factors such as age, injury history and past statistical fluidity, the players' ceiling (upside), as well as positional and categorical scarcity.

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PROJECTED 2013 SEASON STATS

1. Alex Rios, CWS OF	YEAR		AB	R	HR	RBI	BB	K	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
	2012 Statistics		605	93	25	91	26	92	23	.304	.334	.516	.850
	2013 Projections		579	83	20	73	28	81	20	.276	.312	.451	.762
2013 Outlook: Rios has the reputation of being an every-other-year player, with 2013 slated to be a down year, but Rios' struggles in 2011 are more likely to be an outlier than the off year in a trend. Rios' contact and line-drive rates that year were in line with career norms; he was just snakebitten with a low BABIP that affected his overall production. That said, last season everything went right, as Rios set career highs in both BABIP and HR/FB, so normal regression should be anticipated. Still, this presents a buying opportunity since the market likely will depress Rios' value more than it should. If Rios sits atop your cheat sheet, don't be afraid to pull the trigger. The every-other-year label is unwarranted.

2. Alejandro De Aza, CWS OF	YEAR		AB	R	HR	RBI	BB	K	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
	2012 Statistics		524	81	9	50	47	109	26	.281	.349	.410	.760
	2013 Projections		546	79	10	53	47	109	26	.282	.346	.416	.761
2013 Outlook: If you prefer to avoid the one-trick ponies who only provide steals, keep an eye on De Aza. If he is the regular center fielder again, De Aza has the potential to match last season's total of 26 bags while also hitting low-double-digit homers. He showed last season that he is capable of holding the full-time gig and could be a sneaky play to fill in the back of your outfield.

3. Dayan Viciedo, CWS OF	YEAR		AB	R	HR	RBI	BB	K	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
	2012 Statistics		505	64	25	78	28	120	0	.255	.300	.444	.744
	2013 Projections		536	64	23	73	34	119	1	.261	.311	.435	.746
2013 Outlook: Viciedo's career arc is a bit reminiscent of fellow Cuban Kendrys Morales' as both came to the U.S. with high expectations, struggled early and then found their power stroke. Hopefully Viciedo doesn't emulate Morales' home run trot and continues to grow. In order to do so, he'll need to become more selective at the dish and make better contact. The opportunity is there for regular playing time and if he gets it, there is no reason why Viciedo cannot mature further with a 30-homer season in his future. For now, monitor his playing time situation; if Viciedo is awarded a full-time job, he's a nice source of cheap power.

4. Dewayne Wise, CWS OF	YEAR		AB	R	HR	RBI	BB	K	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
	2012 Statistics		224	31	8	30	11	52	19	.259	.293	.429	.721
	2013 Projections		201	27	6	23	9	46	10	.244	.277	.398	.675
2013 Outlook: Consider it a dangerous thing to regard Wise's 2012 as the hint of a career breakthrough; he hit five of his eight homers at Yankee Stadium and U.S. Cellular Field, two of the most homer-friendly venues, and 12 of his 19 steals came in 45 games from Aug. 1 and after, when he was called upon mostly to fill in for the injured Alejandro De Aza. Wise is a backup whose strengths are his defense and his speed, the latter the one thing AL-only owners can seek in their endgame.

5. Casper Wells, CWS OF	YEAR		AB	R	HR	RBI	BB	K	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
	2012 Statistics		285	42	10	36	26	80	3	.228	.302	.396	.698
	2013 Projections		263	37	10	32	26	75	3	.232	.313	.418	.731
2013 Outlook: A potential part-timer/platoon man for the Mariners, Wells might fit in paired with offseason acquisition Raul Ibanez. Wells, after all, is a lifetime .264/.349/.489 hitter against left-handers, compared to just .230/.287/.388 against right-handers, and those splits widened in 2012. Now 28, Wells probably doesn't have much more room for growth, but in AL-only leagues or deep-mixed formats with daily transactions, he might be a sneaky little sparkplug now that the Mariners have slightly reduced the outfield dimensions at Safeco Field.

6. Jordan Danks, CWS OF	YEAR		AB	R	HR	RBI	BB	K	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
	2012 Statistics		67	12	1	4	6	16	3	.224	.280	.284	.564
	2013 Projections		125	16	3	12	14	41	3	.232	.312	.360	.672

7. Jared Mitchell, CWS OF	YEAR		AB	R	HR	RBI	BB	K	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
	2012 Statistics		--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
	2013 Projections		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	.000

8. Blake Tekotte, CWS OF	YEAR		AB	R	HR	RBI	BB	K	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
	2012 Statistics		15	0	0	0	0	4	1	.133	.133	.133	.267
	2013 Projections		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	.000

9. Kosuke Fukudome, CWS OF	YEAR		AB	R	HR	RBI	BB	K	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
	2012 Statistics		41	2	0	4	8	9	0	.171	.294	.195	.489
	2013 Projections		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	.000

10. Stefan Gartrell, CWS OF	YEAR		AB	R	HR	RBI	BB	K	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
	2012 Statistics		--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
	2013 Projections		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	.000

11. Brandon Short, CWS OF	YEAR		AB	R	HR	RBI	BB	K	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
	2012 Statistics		--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
	2013 Projections		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	.000

12. Trayce Thompson, CWS OF	YEAR		AB	R	HR	RBI	BB	K	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
	2012 Statistics		--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
	2013 Projections		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	.000

13. Keenyn Walker, CWS OF	YEAR		AB	R	HR	RBI	BB	K	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
	2012 Statistics		--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
	2013 Projections		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	.000

14. Mark Haddow, CWS OF	YEAR		AB	R	HR	RBI	BB	K	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
	2012 Statistics		--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
	2013 Projections		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	.000

15. Brady Shoemaker, CWS OF	YEAR		AB	R	HR	RBI	BB	K	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
	2012 Statistics		--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
	2013 Projections		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	.000

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