Complete 2015 Projections

ESPN's projections are the product of an analysis of a player's past performance, growth or regression potential and expected playing opportunity. While the overall ranking is based in large part on the player's projected performance, it also takes into account risk factors such as age, injury history and past statistical fluidity, the players' ceiling (upside), as well as positional and categorical scarcity.

Position: All | Batters | Pitchers | C | 1B | 2B | 3B | SS | 2B/SS | 1B/3B | IF | LF | CF | RF | OF | DH | SP | RP
     

PROJECTED 2015 SEASON STATS
1. Allen Craig, Bos 1B, OFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2014 Statistics46141846351132.215.279.315.594
2015 Projections39148115631872.269.329.414.744
2015 Outlook: Craig had a miserable 2014 season that was scuttled by a nagging foot injury that forced him to miss more than a month -- mostly after his surprising trade to the Red Sox as part of the John Lackey deal. Now he's in a situation in Boston where he's going to have to fight for playing time, following all the additions to the lineup this offseason. First base is occupied by Mike Napoli, DH is held down by David Ortiz, and the corner-outfield slots (where he's particularly ill-suited to play) are manned by Hanley Ramirez and Shane Victorino, not to mention Mookie Betts is looking for a place to play. Craig could end up behind all of them, subbing maybe once a week at each spot, but he's going to have to wait for a trade or an injury or two before he gets full-time at-bats. Assuming that his foot has fully recovered, he could be in a more favorable power situation in Fenway but will probably hit lower in the order than he did with the Cardinals. Getting any more than two or three stolen bases seems out of the question, so he's really going to need to improve those power stats to provide a lot of value.
2. Shane Victorino, Bos OFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2014 Statistics123142126212.268.303.382.685
2015 Projections34949735215415.269.322.401.723
2015 Outlook: An injury-plagued 2014 resulted in a lost season for Victorino, who hit .268 in just 30 games for the Red Sox before undergoing back surgery in August. While the 34-year-old is expected to be healthy for the start of spring training, Mookie Betts' emergence last season, along with Boston's recent additions of Hanley Ramirez, Rusney Castillo and Allen Craig, appear to have left the Flyin' Hawaiian without a starting job. That's just an assumption at this point, as management in Boston has not expressed how they intend to utilize Victorino if he's healthy, but drafting him is a risky proposition -- if not for his lengthy injury history, then for the current state of the Boston roster.
3. Brock Holt, Bos 3B, OFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2014 Statistics44968429339812.281.331.381.711
2015 Projections1622221313305.278.335.395.730
2015 Outlook: Due to injuries and poor play by players ahead of him on the depth chart, Holt found his way to 279 plate appearances and a .327/.371/.463 slash line in the first half. He became something of a mythical figure among Red Sox fans and at the same time he developed into a small-sample-size punch line among the pessimistic sabermetric crowd. After hitting .219 in the second half, almost all of his midseason shine is gone, and he will enter 2015 as a strict utility option. Boston has amassed perhaps the best and deepest collection of hitters in the big leagues, leaving nowhere for Holt to play at the moment. In addition to the predictable regression to his batting average, Holt is even less appealing for fantasy purposes, as he figures to hit fewer than five home runs and steal fewer than 10 bases in even the most optimistic part-time role.
4. Daniel Nava, Bos OFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2014 Statistics3634143733814.270.346.361.706
2015 Projections2062742421462.262.345.379.723
2015 Outlook: It was generally assumed that Nava's tremendous 2013 campaign would afford him a relatively long leash as the primary right fielder in Boston, but he was sent down less than a month into the season after slashing just .149/.240/.269 in his first 17 games. He continued to struggle upon his return in late May, going hitless in his first five games back, but Nava batted .331 over the following two months, albeit with just six extra-base hits and 10 RBIs. Nava posted a .830 OPS with two homers and 17 RBIs in September, but finished with just four homers and a .706 OPS, 125 points below his 2013 mark. While he improved his contact rate to a career-best 86.7 percent, he had a mere .399 OPS from the right side of the plate, leaving him to consider giving up switch-hitting. It would probably be for the best, but Nava's ability from the left side alone might not be enough to earn him regular time to start the year unless Shane Victorino experiences more health issues.
5. Henry Ramos, Bos OFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
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6. Kendrick Perkins, Bos OFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
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7. Jose Colorado, Bos OFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
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8. Billy Bell, Bos OFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
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9. Mickey Hall, Bos OFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
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10. Matt Sheely, Bos OFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
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11. Reid Engel, Bos OFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
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12. Mitch Dening, Bos OFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
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13. Shannon Wilkerson, Bos OFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
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14. Drew Turocy, Bos OFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
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15. Forrestt Allday, Bos OFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
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