2015 Outlook: There's both statistical and physical volatility associated with Ramirez heading into 2015. Ramirez has played in at least 150 games just twice over the past six seasons, having missed time with oblique, hand and leg injuries. His batting average has ranged anywhere from .243 to .345 in recent seasons. He's hit 20 or more homers many times and stolen that many bases a number of times but has not done both in the same season since 2012. The move to Fenway Park provides Ramirez with the first friendly home ballpark in his career, but the ballparks are not what have hurt his fantasy production in recent seasons. This is a surefire first-round lock if health risks could be removed, but the fact that he's played just one full season in the past four is what keeps him out of the first round and possibly the second, depending on your comfort level.
2015 Outlook: The wrist that Pedroia first hurt in April eventually ended his season in early September and plagued him throughout en route to his worst season ever. The power was in free fall prior to 2014, though, so don't expect too much of a rebound even with full health. His batted-ball profile supports the dip, with a surge in groundballs and back-to-back seasons of sub-30 percent fly ball rates after he sat north of 35 percent in five of his first six seasons. Having stolen just six bases in 12 tries in 2014 and now being on the wrong side of 30, the speed has to be in question going forward, too. Volume is his key to success now. Health should bring the batting average back, but the rest of his value will be tied to staying atop what should be a potent order so he can score a ton of runs. Heed the declines and don't pay for the name value.
2015 Outlook: Sandoval avoided injuries last season, playing in a career-high 157 games and offering double-digit home runs for the sixth consecutive season. It should be noted, however, that his 6.1 percent walk rate was his lowest since becoming a full-season regular for the Giants in 2009. Even with the loss of a few free passes, Sandoval is still a good bad-ball hitter. During his time in San Francisco, Sandoval contributed to three World Series-winning clubs, and his postseason heroics are well documented, thanks to a career .344/.389/.545 line in the playoffs. A first-time free agent during the offseason, Sandoval landed in Boston, where he's expected to stabilize the Red Sox's third-base situation and provide run production in the heart of the order. Even if the move out of AT&T Park and into Fenway doesn't lead to a significant increase in home runs, the Boston lineup in 2015 should be stronger than any supporting cast Sandoval has played with in San Francisco, making him a threat to push 90 RBI for just the second time in his career.
2015 Outlook: Perhaps it was the small-sample success Bogaerts had during Boston's run through the World Series in 2013 that set such high expectations for the kid in 2014. He became the latest chapter in the book about overdrafting young players based on early success, as Bogaerts finished with a disappointing line overall. The double-digit homer total and 60 runs scored were respectable, but his batting average was below par and he struggled to get on base and drive the ball consistently. He also failed to show much statistical growth as the season went on, as his first- and second-half splits are near mirror images of one another from a rate level. Like Starlin Castro last year, the talent is there and could easily bubble back to the surface with more realistic expectations in 2015.
2015 Outlook: Napoli is difficult to project because of his ping-ponging playing time. He's consistently bothered by any number of nagging injuries, and who knows how much the finger and back ailments affected him late in the season. He posted a .186/.326/.354 line in August and September, though he was still doing damage in the rare instances when he made contact, netting five homers and 19 RBI in those final 141 plate appearances. At 33 years old, the injuries are obviously a mainstay for Napoli, but that has been built into his price, making him a relative bargain in the games he does play. Have a contingency plan in place for the 30 or 40 games that he'll miss.
2015 Outlook: Craig had a miserable 2014 season that was scuttled by a nagging foot injury that forced him to miss more than a month -- mostly after his surprising trade to the Red Sox as part of the John Lackey deal. Now he's in a situation in Boston where he's going to have to fight for playing time, following all the additions to the lineup this offseason. First base is occupied by Mike Napoli, DH is held down by David Ortiz, and the corner-outfield slots (where he's particularly ill-suited to play) are manned by Hanley Ramirez and Shane Victorino, not to mention Mookie Betts is looking for a place to play. Craig could end up behind all of them, subbing maybe once a week at each spot, but he's going to have to wait for a trade or an injury or two before he gets full-time at-bats. Assuming that his foot has fully recovered, he could be in a more favorable power situation in Fenway but will probably hit lower in the order than he did with the Cardinals. Getting any more than two or three stolen bases seems out of the question, so he's really going to need to improve those power stats to provide a lot of value.
2015 Outlook: Due to injuries and poor play by players ahead of him on the depth chart, Holt found his way to 279 plate appearances and a .327/.371/.463 slash line in the first half. He became something of a mythical figure among Red Sox fans and at the same time he developed into a small-sample-size punch line among the pessimistic sabermetric crowd. After hitting .219 in the second half, almost all of his midseason shine is gone, and he will enter 2015 as a strict utility option. Boston has amassed perhaps the best and deepest collection of hitters in the big leagues, leaving nowhere for Holt to play at the moment. In addition to the predictable regression to his batting average, Holt is even less appealing for fantasy purposes, as he figures to hit fewer than five home runs and steal fewer than 10 bases in even the most optimistic part-time role.