Complete 2016 Projections

Position: All | Batters | Pitchers | C | 1B | 2B | 3B | SS | 2B/SS | 1B/3B | IF | LF | CF | RF | OF | DH | SP | RP
     
PROJECTED 2016 SEASON STATS
31. Hunter Pence*, SF OFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2015 Statistics2073094016484.275.327.478.806
2016 Projections6028321854712610.271.325.445.770
2016 Outlook: The floor that had defined Pence for so many seasons was shattered last year in spring training with the three-time All-Star suffering a broken forearm as a result of a HBP in just the Giants' third Cactus League game. Less than a month after his return in mid-May, wrist issues began to surface, forcing him back onto the DL, and an oblique injury ultimately ended Pence's season in September. When on the field, it was generally more of the same from Pence, though his contact rate declined again, matching a career-low at just 72.3 percent. The power was still there despite the lingering arm issues, with Pence's .203 ISO representing the second-best mark of his nine-year career, and he maintained a walk rate right around his career norm. With an offseason to get right, Pence could return to being the everyday rock in right field for San Francisco, but he is now without that bankable floor that he came with before 2015 and the ceiling is relatively modest for a corner bat.
32. Matt Kemp, SD OFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2015 Statistics59680231003914712.265.312.443.755
2016 Projections5778022864514810.272.325.456.781
2016 Outlook: Kemp's first season with the Padres was largely a success, although it is still unclear if there was any particular reason for his horrendous May (.186/.225/.212, 0 HR). From June 1 on, he swatted 22 home runs and his second-half line (.286/.339/.528) suggests that he still possesses the ability to be a quality run-producing power bat. While his contributions as a basestealer are unlikely to approach anything close to his peak levels, Kemp went 12-for-14 in stolen-base chances. Even as Petco Park continues to drift away from its reputation as an extreme pitcher-friendly park, it's surprising that Kemp's OPS at home (.822) was 137 points higher than his mark on the road (.685) last season. With back-to-back seasons of at least 150 games played, durability is less of a concern with Kemp heading into 2016, and he will once again be tasked with serving as a steady run producer in the heart of the San Diego lineup.
33. Kole Calhoun, LAA OFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2015 Statistics630782683451644.256.308.422.731
2016 Projections624802285471446.264.318.429.748
2016 Outlook: Calhoun found his power stroke in 2015 as he mashed a career-high 26 home runs as the Angels' full-time right fielder. The power came at some expense, however, as Calhoun struck out 60 more times than he had in 2014 and saw his average drop from .272 to .256. Overall, this is probably a good trade-off for Calhoun, as he also saw his RBI total jump from 58 to 83. Sharing a lineup with Mike Trout and Albert Pujols should lead to big counting stat totals for Calhoun. He isn't much of a runner -- nine stolen bases in the past two years -- but his plus power gives him a chance to be a big contributor for the Angels in 2016.
34. Corey Dickerson, TB OF, DHYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2015 Statistics22430103110560.304.333.536.869
2016 Projections503672269321345.276.318.497.815
2016 Outlook: "The sky is falling" sums up how Dickerson's prospective owners felt about the 26-year-old lefty slugger after he was dealt from Colorado to Tampa Bay in late January. However, there are reasons to pump the brakes on eulogizing his status as a mixed-league outfielder. Coors Field has been only a marginally better place for left-handed power than Tropicana Field over the past three years, and three AL East parks -- Camden Yards, Yankee Stadium and Rogers Centre -- are among the best places in MLB for lefties to hit homers. However, his batting average could see a noticeable dip, as few environments can match Coors Field in that regard. That said, now that he is in Tampa Bay where there are platoon partners at the ready, he will no longer be exposed to many southpaws. His career .261/.297/.442 road slash line against righties may represent a realistic floor, since the Coors Field factor negatively affects hitters on the road, as breaking balls break differently away from Colorado. After a year-long bout with plantar fasciitis, it is impossible to assume he'll be healthy for all of 2016, as that specific ailment can flare up at any moment, and the move from grass to the turf in Tampa Bay probably won't help matters. Assuming he gets platooned, and given the injury concerns, Dickerson has more value in shallower leagues with daily roster moves.
35. Yasiel Puig, LAD OFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2015 Statistics28230113826663.255.322.436.758
2016 Projections5296823765212211.272.346.480.826
2016 Outlook: Puig suffered a strained left hamstring in April, which ultimately cost him all of May, but he looked like the player many were expecting on draft day when he returned in June (.303/.384/.474) before his strikeout rate went through the roof in July (28.3% K%). Interestingly enough, there were no reported injuries for Puig that month, and his .198/.239/.372 line was easily his worst of any month last season. He rebounded in August before a right hamstring strain ended his season. In sum, he played 79 games for the Dodgers while swatting 11 homers, but he was limited to just three stolen bases, and it's reasonable to think that his effectiveness at the plate and on the basepaths was impacted by the injuries. A career .294/.371/.487 hitter, Puig is still just 25 years old, and still has the raw talent to become one of the game's premier offensive players. Major League Baseball announced in March that Puig will not be suspended for an incident involving his sister and an altercation with a bouncer at a Miami club in November.
36. Hanley Ramirez, Bos OF, 1BYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2015 Statistics40159195321716.249.291.426.717
2016 Projections456702067378111.283.341.471.813
2016 Outlook: While the Red Sox were hopeful that Ramirez could make a smooth transition to handle left field upon signing him to a four-year deal last offseason, he struggled to handle the position from Day 1. At the plate, he started the season on a high note, posting a .283/.340/.609 line with 10 home runs and 22 RBI through his first 25 games with Boston. Things spiraled out of control from there, however, as a collision with an outfield wall during a May game led to a shoulder injury. Ramirez was unable to get back on track despite returning to the lineup a few days later. His numbers after the injury included a .239/.275/.372 line and nine homers over his final 80 games, a far cry from his early-season production. Moreover, shoulder fatigue prevented him from appearing in a game after Aug. 26. Ramirez told reporters that he was pain-free in early December, and he will head to spring training with the goal of learning a new position for the second consecutive year, this time shifting back to the infield to play first base.
37. Randal Grichuk, StL OFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2015 Statistics323491747221104.276.329.548.877
2016 Projections565772379311578.257.302.473.775
2016 Outlook: Grichuk hammered 47 extra-base hits in just 350 plate appearances in 2015, showing why the Angels were enamored enough with him to draft him one slot before they took Mike Trout back in 2009. But Grichuk also showed why the Angels were willing to deal him away, as he struck out an absurd 110 times, a Russell Branyan-esque 31.4 percent strikeout rate. Grichuk made enough hard contact to post a .276 batting average in 2015, but it will be hard to match that again unless he can significantly improve his contact skills. There's a lot to like with anybody who can mash 17 home runs in just over a half-season's worth of plate appearances, but pitchers have seen him now and may be able to adjust to his whiff-happy ways. The power is worth a gamble, but don't be shocked if the bottom falls out of Grichuk's batting average.
38. Shin-Soo Choo, Tex OFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2015 Statistics555942282761474.276.375.463.838
2016 Projections550931971811447.262.371.433.804
2016 Outlook: Choo had a disastrous finish to his 2014 season and, after April 2015 (.427 OPS), there were some legitimate concerns that he might not rebound. But then he posed an .837 OPS or better in four of the final five months of the 2015 season, including a 1.016 mark in the second half. The running appears to be done with just a 7-for-13 success rate on the basepaths the last two seasons combined. At 33 years old, it is probably best to plan on it not returning. There is heightened injury risk at this age, but it is worth noting that Choo has played 149 to 155 games in three of the last four seasons (and still logged 529 plate appearances in that other season). As always, he gets a substantial boost in leagues that include on-base percentage .
39. Billy Hamilton, Cin OFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2015 Statistics41256428287557.226.274.289.563
2016 Projections50372541339757.243.288.328.616
2016 Outlook: Hamilton played in just 114 games in 2015 as he struggled mightily at the plate, posting a .226/.274/.289 slash line that made it tough for the Reds to keep his legs in the lineup. Still, that would be enough for Hamilton to steal 57 bases, most among outfielders and just one behind Dee Gordon for the league's crown. The best thing Hamilton showed last year was a more efficient approach on the bases -- after getting caught 23 times in 79 attempts in 2014, he was caught just eight times on 65 attempts last year. So if he can find a way on base, Hamilton should be able to blow past last year's stolen base total. Thus far, though, he's a .242/.287/.330 major league hitter, and that's going to make it tough to stay in the lineup and rack up those steals. That's why many fantasy owners will say no to this.
40. Ben Zobrist, ChC 2B, OFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2015 Statistics46776135662563.276.359.450.809
2016 Projections523891469727311.275.362.430.792
2016 Outlook: The 34-year-old super utility player may have finally found a lineup where his production will seem truly utilitarian. He will no longer be asked to carry an offense; rather, he will simply have to get on base so the thumpers behind him can drive him in. Zobrist is on a run of four straight seasons with double-digit homers, 75-plus runs and a batting average of .270 or better. That kind of production is hard to find, especially from someone who qualifies at second base. Hitting either first or second in the Cubs' lineup will allow him to easily clear 75 runs again, and he will also get the benefit of playing in the best hitter's park of his career. The only potential drawback is that Javier Baez may earn some starts at the keystone, but Zobrist's ability to play the outfield may keep him in the lineup even on those days. Of bigger concern may be losing his plum spot in the lineup to Addison Russell should the young shortstop get back on track at the dish this season.
41. Brett Gardner, NYY OFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2015 Statistics5719416666813520.259.343.399.742
2016 Projections5939416556314021.248.325.393.718
2016 Outlook: Gardner's days as an elite burner appear to be over, as he is now four years removed from his last season with at least 40 stolen bases. Still, Gardner remains an extremely solid player, as he has adjusted his game to make the most out of deceptive power. Gardner hit 16 home runs in 2015 to notch his second straight season with at least 15 home runs and 20 stolen bases. What Gardner gets in power he gives up a bit in batting average -- he has struck out at least 20 percent of the time over the past three seasons and he hasn't hit better than .260 since 2013. But the tradeoff is worth it, as Gardner has become a five-category contributor even without stealing bases left and right.
42. Kevin Pillar, Tor OFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2015 Statistics586761256288525.278.314.399.713
2016 Projections589741257268825.270.305.396.701
2016 Outlook: Pillar might not be third-round material but he's probably better than most realize. His glove is one of the best in the league, which should keep him in the lineup full time. While the Blue Jays will be hard-pressed to score as many runs as last season, their lineup will still turn over plenty, yielding Pillar more at-bats than other bottom-of-the-order hitters. His contact rate is excellent and he hits a bunch of grounders, which renders a nice batting average floor. Now add in 20-something swipes and double-digit power and that's where the sneaky production emanates. Steals are tough to project -- especially on a team that lives off power -- but Pillar should keep running so long as he keeps the success rate above 75 percent. Last season's 86 percent clip suggests it shouldn't be much of an issue.
43. Jay Bruce, Cin OFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2015 Statistics580722687581459.226.294.434.729
2016 Projections566762588591549.246.315.456.771
2016 Outlook: Bruce rebounded a bit from what was a disastrous 2014, as his power returned and he slugged 26 home runs and 35 doubles in 157 games in 2015. Unfortunately, Bruce's average only rose from .217 to .226 as he remained a strikeout machine. He whiffed 145 times (22.3 percent) and wasn't much better when making contact, as he mustered a .251 BABIP, his worst since 2009. Bruce is still a good bet for 20-plus home runs, around 10 stolen bases, and a solid RBI total, but it remains to be seen if he can get his batting average into the more respectable .250-.280 range it used to inhabit. Bruce could be a trade chip for the rebuilding Reds as well, and leaving Great American Ball Park could be a damper on his power numbers.
44. Ender Inciarte, Atl OFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2015 Statistics52473645265821.303.338.408.747
2016 Projections59275546337430.285.325.370.695
2016 Outlook: Inciarte is one of those better-in-fantasy players as he does a little bit of everything, but doesn't really excel in any one category. However, his 20-stolen base average the last two years is a solid carrying skill in the speed-deprived environment we saw in 2015. He didn't need a gaudy BABIP to achieve that .303 batting average, but the .278 we saw in 2014 is definitely in play. The biggest downgrade in him moving from Arizona to Atlanta is runs scored. He had a full-season pace of 90, but he is unlikely to come anywhere near that in Atlanta, even if he replicates his triple slash line from 2015. The speed keeps him relevant, but don't get too excited as it could be really light in the other four categories.
45. Billy Burns, Oak OFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2015 Statistics52070542268126.294.334.392.726
2016 Projections60277451379839.262.309.341.650
2016 Outlook: Burns' stellar rookie campaign was a bright spot for the A's in an otherwise dismal 2015 campaign. The 26-year-old provided solid multi-category production in 555 plate appearances after his May callup from Triple-A, and was a sparkplug on the base paths. He stole 26 bases in 35 attempts, and his outstanding speed helped him leg out nine triples, good for eighth best in the majors. Burns also displayed above-average plate discipline (particularly for a rookie), tallying a solid 14.6 percent strikeout rates. Although his five homers were a nominal total overall, they actually represented a power spike for Burns, who'd only launched two round-trippers during his four-plus seasons in the minors. Firmly entrenched as Oakland's center fielder to start the season, he will have the opportunity to build on his solid rookie numbers.