Complete 2015 Projections

Position: All | Batters | Pitchers | C | 1B | 2B | 3B | SS | 2B/SS | 1B/3B | OF | SP | RP
     
PROJECTED 2015 SEASON STATS
31. Marcell Ozuna, Mia OFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2014 Statistics565722385411643.269.317.455.772
2015 Projections593762186411596.261.309.432.741
2015 Outlook: A wrist injury sapped Ozuna's power in 2013, but with a return to full health last season, he was able to supply the type of home run production many were hoping he would after three 20-plus-homer campaigns in the minors. Ozuna set the tone early, smacking a solo shot in the Marlins' opener, and he went on to hit 22 more before a right ankle sprain ended his season a bit prematurely. He doesn't run much for a center fielder -- and likely won't do so while in a key run-producing spot in the lineup -- but Ozuna's contributions in three categories and ability to capably handle right-handed pitching make him worthy of serious fantasy consideration regardless of format. Be aware that a batting-average regression is possible -- and perhaps likely -- after Ozuna struck out in 26.8 percent of his plate appearances last season. His contact flaws (70.6 percent) were masked by a .337 BABIP, though he has had a relatively high BABIP at each stop in his career.
32. Brandon Moss, Cle 1B, OFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2014 Statistics500702581671531.234.334.438.772
2015 Projections459682778501393.255.338.481.819
2015 Outlook: Moss hit only four homers after the All-Star break, and the reason for that became pretty clear in September, when the A's announced he had been playing through a torn labrum in his hip that would ultimately require surgery. Moss had that surgery on Oct. 21 and later was traded to the Indians for second-base prospect Joe Wendle. Ideally, the Indians would like to use him at either first base or DH -- whichever position isn't occupied by Carlos Santana -- with Nick Swisher manning right field. But between Swisher's knee and Moss' hip, there's a lot of uncertainty about who is going to be available and at what capacity. Before the injury, Moss was great, hitting 21 homers with an .878 OPS prior to the All-Star break. If he fully recovers, he might even benefit from the change in ballparks, as he consistently was hurt by his home ballpark in Oakland during the past three years.
33. Mark Trumbo, Ari 1B, OFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2014 Statistics32837146128892.235.293.415.707
2015 Projections568733192481614.241.300.463.763
2015 Outlook: With back-to-back seasons of 30-plus homers in a pitcher-friendly ballpark, there was real excitement about what Trumbo might do in Arizona over a full season. Unfortunately, a fractured right foot limited him to just 88 games, and he hit just 14 homers in that time, thanks in large part to a career-worst HR/FB rate of 14.3 percent. He spent 2012 and 2013 at a lofty 21 percent, but suffered the big drop in 2014 despite posting a career-high 40 percent fly ball rate. Trumbo's still virtually the same guy, though, with bankable power and a batting-average deficiency. His inability to consistently walk holds that average down, as does his lofty strikeout rate. These skills have largely been static throughout his mid-20s, making it unlikely that we'll see a major shift at this point, which also means that his 40-homer potential may not quite materialize.
34. Brett Gardner, NYY OFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2014 Statistics5558717585613421.256.327.422.749
2015 Projections5488513535613022.263.336.414.750
2015 Outlook: A poor month of September (.167/.208/.278), the result of trying to play through a core-muscle injury, hurt Gardner's final numbers, but fantasy owners had little else to complain about with regard to his 2014 campaign. Gardner surprised everyone by blasting 17 home runs, more than double his previous career high and more than he had hit in his previous three seasons combined, while also reaching the 80-run, 20-steal and 50-RBI thresholds for a second straight year. Of course, a repeat of the power production can't be expected -- his HR/FB rate of 11 percent was nearly five points above his career mark of 6.5 percent -- but the 31-year-old Gardner should continue to provide quality numbers across the board while serving as the Yankees' leadoff hitter. That is, as long as he's able to maintain his health throughout the year. He underwent surgery to repair the core issue in the offseason, but it was reportedly a very minor procedure.
35. Ryan Zimmerman, Wsh 3B, 1B, OFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2014 Statistics2142653822370.280.342.449.790
2015 Projections523762083531074.277.342.465.807
2015 Outlook: Now that Adam LaRoche has departed via free agency to the White Sox, the Nats have opened up first base for Zimmerman to move across the diamond -- a move that was desperately needed, given his shoulder woes. Zimmerman has welcomed the move, saying it allows him to focus on his hitting. But it wasn't Zimmerman's shoulder that limited him to just 61 games in 2014 -- rather, he suffered a broken thumb and then a hamstring injury that limited him even once he returned in September. He appears to be fully healed now and will enjoy eligibility at third base and outfield for one more season. The risks with Zimmerman are obvious, but they're also going to be priced in on draft day. Your reward for taking a chance on him could be a 25-homer season.
36. Gregory Polanco, Pit OFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2014 Statistics27750733305914.235.307.343.650
2015 Projections508791168519825.250.317.370.687
2015 Outlook: Polanco seemed to be making a seamless transition from Triple-A to the majors following his June 10 promotion, as he hit safely in his first 11 games with the big club, going 19-for-52 (.365 average) with a homer and 10 runs scored over that span. Unfortunately for Polanco, the Pirates and excited fantasy owners, things went south in a hurry. He hit just .214/.269/.327 in July and ended August on a dismal 1-for-30 skid, resulting in a brief trip back to Triple-A Indianapolis at the end of the month. Manager Clint Hurdle then used Polanco sparingly in September (28 at-bats), instead turning to Travis Snider to man right field for the stretch run. All in all, it was a baffling turn of events for the top prospect, who hit .328/.390/.504 with Indianapolis prior to his call-up, but he maintained similar strikeout and walk rates between levels, and he clearly still has the faith of the Pirates' front office. Now with Snider shipped off to Baltimore, Polanco will once again be given the opportunity to show what he can do as an everyday player.
37. Jayson Werth, Wsh OFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2014 Statistics534851682831139.292.394.455.849
2015 Projections43169156262908.292.386.464.850
2015 Outlook: Some will look at Werth's dip in home runs last season and automatically assume that at 35, his power production is bound to decline again in 2015. Not so fast. His HR/FB rate was all the way down at 9.4 percent, nearly half of his 2013 mark (18.2 percent) and almost five percent lower than his career average of 14.2 percent. Granted, his ISO fell by more than 50 points, but Werth improved his contact rate to a career-best 83 percent and his average fly ball distance decreased by less than six feet. Power aside, Werth is still an on-base machine, having finished third in the NL in OBP behind only Andrew McCutchen and Giancarlo Stanton last season, and he remains a steady contributor in average, RBI and runs. He also has enough speed to approach double-digit steals, and the move to left field -- a slightly less demanding position than right -- may help him avoid the types of nagging injuries he fought through last season.
38. Charlie Blackmon, Col OFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2014 Statistics593821972319628.288.335.440.775
2015 Projections453721456277717.280.331.442.772
2015 Outlook: It's pretty easy to poke holes in Blackmon's offensive game relative to his overall numbers from 2014. He was much better at home; he was significantly worse against lefties; he underwhelmed after May 10; he posted an OPS below .800 despite playing in Coors Field. These are all facts. Still, the 28-year-old finally got a full season's worth of at-bats, and he exceeded everyone's expectations. Fortunately, most are aware of the cautionary signs, so his draft-day price will not be a direct reflection of his production last season. There's likely some regression coming for Blackmon now that opposing pitchers are aware of the fact that he swings at 55 percent of breaking balls and off-speed stuff out of the zone. However, valuable counting stats should still be there if he can hold the every-day job. Despite slashing just .268/.318/.389 after May 10, Blackmon still hit 11 homers with 20 steals in that span. Extrapolate those numbers out over a full season and a 15-homer, 25-steal campaign is not an unreasonable expectation.
39. Jorge Soler, ChC OFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2014 Statistics89115206241.292.330.573.903
2015 Projections544702377561292.265.330.476.806
2015 Outlook: After abusing minor league pitching to the tune of a .340/.432/.700 slash line with 15 home runs in 236 plate appearances across three levels, Soler was rewarded with a late-August promotion to the big leagues. The right-handed Cuban slugger continued to impress at the plate after settling into the middle of the Cubs lineup, posting a .281 ISO with a .292 batting average and five home runs in 97 plate appearances. However, Soler is not without flaws. His approach predictably took a step back against major league pitching, as he posted a 6.2 percent walk rate compared to 13.4 and 15.2 percent rates he posted at Double-A and Triple-A, respectively. Soler's muscular, 6-4 frame allows him to destroy inside pitching -- especially up in the zone -- but he's hopeless on stuff over the outer third of the plate. This season will be a year of adjustments for Soler now that the book is out, but he has the raw power and the arm to be the Cubs' starting right fielder for a long time.
40. A.J. Pollock, Ari OFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2014 Statistics26541724194614.302.353.498.851
2015 Projections558781052398921.274.325.418.742
2015 Outlook: Pollock was on his way to a breakout year in 2014 before a fractured hand cost him three months of the season. He had a .920 OPS at the time and was pacing toward a 20-20 season before the injury. You have to be careful extrapolating just two months of work, but Pollock showed some nice upside in 2013 as well. If his 2014 gains against righties prove to be legitimate and he is turning the tide on his sharp platoon split, he could be primed for a big breakout in 2015, with across-the-board production atop the lineup. If he still struggles against right-handers, he might find himself on the short side of a platoon, but the D-backs are in a position to give him a real opportunity.
41. J.D. Martinez, Det OFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2014 Statistics441572376301266.315.358.553.912
2015 Projections503582277331346.278.324.483.807
2015 Outlook: Martinez might have been the biggest surprise of 2014 -- both in fantasy and real terms -- as the Tigers signed him to a minor league deal in March, only to see him slash .315/.358/.553 with 23 home runs in 123 games in the big leagues. A part-time player upon being called up in late April, Martinez eventually locked down a prominent place in the order as the team's No. 5 hitter while taking over as the Tigers' starting left fielder. Boasting a career-high .238 ISO, a mark that ranked 12th among hitters with at least 450 plate appearances, Martinez topped the .300 batting average threshold by making consistent hard contact. Not surprisingly, he had a very high BABIP (.389), more than 50 points above his career norm. Strikeouts have always been an issue for Martinez, and despite last season's breakout, he still fanned in 26.3 percent of his plate appearances. Even with his improved ability to spray the ball all over the field, Martinez is more likely to trend back toward his career .272 batting average than repeat last season's .315, but he could prove to be a cheap source of power again in 2015 with an opportunity to reprise his role behind Miguel Cabrera and Victor Martinez in the Tigers lineup.
42. Josh Harrison, Pit OF, 3BYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2014 Statistics520771352228118.315.347.490.837
2015 Projections509741150217717.281.316.440.756
2015 Outlook: Prior to his breakout in 2014, Harrison appeared to be safely entrenched as a quality utility player with the versatility necessary to be an asset in NL-only leagues. For the first time as a professional at any level, Harrison delivered double-digit home runs last season, turning in one of the most surprising performances of 2014 and displacing Pedro Alvarez as the Pirates' starting third baseman in the process. With the move into an every-day role, his strikeout rate ticked up to a career-worst 14.7 percent, but that mark is hardly a concern. Of greater interest is the .353 BABIP that buoyed his .315 batting average, but part of that surge might have been the result of barreling up more pitches, as Harrison dropped his ground ball rate from 46.7 percent in 2013 to 37.3 percent last season while carrying a 24 percent line drive rate. He also wasted fewer at-bats, dropping his infield fly ball rate from 23.1 percent in 2013 to a much more reasonable 7.1 percent. There will be plenty of doubters, but Harrison could end up with a prominent spot in an underrated lineup, and he offers cheap speed as his floor after swiping 18 bags last season.
43. Joc Pederson, LAD OFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2014 Statistics281009110.143.351.143.494
2015 Projections3996620496113621.233.340.424.764
2015 Outlook: The Dodgers sent Matt Kemp packing this winter in part because Pederson proved himself ready to start his age-23 season with the big league club. Pacific Coast League pitchers certainly won't complain, after he slashed .303/.435/.582 with 33 homers and 30 steals in 553 plate appearances last season with Triple-A Albuquerque. However, expectations for the phenom should be tempered, as he was playing in extremely hitter-friendly environments at Triple-A, which led to a .385 BABIP. There are some questions about his approach, given he had a 26.9 percent strikeout rate at Triple-A, but he also had an 18.1 percent walk rate, which gives him a boost in both OBP and points leagues. Even with Kemp gone, the Dodgers have plenty of outfield depth, so the onus will be on Pederson to force manager Don Mattingly to keep his bat in the lineup. Playing time will be key for the young center fielder, as most of his value will come from counting stats, with his average likely lagging behind. A 20-20 rookie season is conceivable if he hits the ground running.
44. Melky Cabrera, CWS OFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2014 Statistics56881167343676.301.351.458.808
2015 Projections52676136044647.298.352.441.793
2015 Outlook: Cabrera was one of a handful of impressive offseason acquisitions by the White Sox, and, fortunately for fantasy owners, he goes from one great hitting environment (Rogers Centre) to another in U.S. Cellular Field. A plus-plus hit tool is Cabrera's meal ticket in both real life and fantasy. He has hit better than .300 in three of his past four seasons, and last year's .301 average was good for fifth among qualified hitters. Though he missed the final 22 games of the season with a broken pinky finger, he finished with 16 home runs and six steals. Similar counting stats should be present in the switch-hitter's age-30 season. Cabrera should also be a good source of runs, as he will play almost every day, likely hitting second in Chicago's lineup, right ahead of Jose Abreu.
45. Alex Rios*, KC OFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2014 Statistics49254454239317.280.311.398.709
2015 Projections530651061289424.275.312.415.727
2015 Outlook: Rios, coming off a top-15 finish among hitters in 2013, burned owners last season. He did hit .280 with 17 steals in 521 plate appearances, but that was where the fun ended. A double-digit home run contributor in each of his previous nine campaigns, Rios managed a mere four homers last season, and his RBI, run and steal totals fell off dramatically, as well. However, the low homer tally can be attributed in large part to an absurdly low 2.9 percent HR/FB rate (career 8.8 percent), and the counting stats suffered as a result of the numerous injuries that befell the Rangers. Rios battled a variety of injuries himself throughout the year (oblique, ankle, thumb), so there's reason for optimism heading into his first year with Kansas City. It's possible the move to Kauffman Stadium might offset the HR/FB return to a certain extent, but Rios is a relatively low batting-average risk and should benefit with an improved lineup around him. Further, he should get the green light on the basepaths plenty under manager Ned Yost.