Complete 2016 Projections

Position: All | Batters | Pitchers | C | 1B | 2B | 3B | SS | IF | LF | CF | RF | OF | SP | RP
     
PROJECTED 2016 SEASON STATS
16. Hanley Ramirez, Bos LF, 1BYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPSPTS
2015 Statistics40159195321716.249.291.426.717281.5
2016 Projections456702067378111.283.341.471.813371.5
2016 Outlook: While the Red Sox were hopeful that Ramirez could make a smooth transition to handle left field upon signing him to a four-year deal last offseason, he struggled to handle the position from Day 1. At the plate, he started the season on a high note, posting a .283/.340/.609 line with 10 home runs and 22 RBI through his first 25 games with Boston. Things spiraled out of control from there, however, as a collision with an outfield wall during a May game led to a shoulder injury. Ramirez was unable to get back on track despite returning to the lineup a few days later. His numbers after the injury included a .239/.275/.372 line and nine homers over his final 80 games, a far cry from his early-season production. Moreover, shoulder fatigue prevented him from appearing in a game after Aug. 26. Ramirez told reporters that he was pain-free in early December, and he will head to spring training with the goal of learning a new position for the second consecutive year, this time shifting back to the infield to play first base.
17. Lucas Duda*, NYM 1BYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPSPTS
2015 Statistics471672773661380.244.352.486.838378
2016 Projections501723077721411.250.356.493.849410.5
2016 Outlook: After finally escaping from a platoon with Ike Davis in 2014, Duda has been consistently excellent. He followed up 2014's 30-homer campaign with 27 home runs in 2015, and remains a well-disciplined hitter with the patience to use that power to its fullest (including an 11.9 percent walk rate). Despite the previous concerns about his ability to hit lefties, Duda was actually far better against lefties (.285/.333/.545, seven home runs) than righties (.230/.358/.466, 20 home runs) in 2015. It's unlikely this will repeat itself in 2016 -- Duda's career OPS against righties is nearly 200 points higher than against lefties -- but now that Duda has gotten some experience swinging against southpaws, he's shown he can handle them better than earlier in his career. Expect more of the same type of solid power production we've seen from him during the past two seasons.
18. Mark Teixeira, NYY 1BYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPSPTS
2015 Statistics39257317959852.255.357.548.906377.5
2016 Projections451673078621072.248.345.497.841388.5
2016 Outlook: Well, it's about time to give up hope Teixeria will be the Triple Crown contender many thought he'd become when he was coming up through the Rangers farm system. Though, it was encouraging to see last year's power burst. Chances are he'll give some back, but if Teixeira can make a full recovery from last season's bone fracture, he'll enter the season healthy and in line to at least match 2014 in terms of playing time, with Greg Bird (shoulder) out for the year. It's interesting to note Teixeira hits better against the shift than when teams play it straight. The best approach with the veteran is to use him at corner and plan on good power when healthy, but be ready with an escape plan if he misses time (the most recent season in which he played 150-plus games was 2011).
19. Carlos Santana, Cle 1B, DHYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPSPTS
2015 Statistics55072198510812211.231.357.395.752443
2016 Projections5527820781081217.246.370.418.789448.5
2016 Outlook: Santana remains a remarkably consistent hitter, as he hit exactly .231, walked at least 100 times and clubbed at least 50 extra-base hits for the second straight season. Unfortunately, Santana also remains a consistent whiff machine, as he struck out 122 times in 2014 after striking out 124 times in 2015, and that places a hard ceiling on his batting average. The real problem for Santana owners is that he has lost his positional eligibility at both third base and catcher after exclusively playing first base and designated hitter in 2015. His warts were manageable at those weak positions, but his power is pedestrian by first base standards, unless he can turn some of his doubles and triples back into home runs in 2016.
20. Logan Forsythe, TB 2B, 1BYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPSPTS
2015 Statistics540691768551119.281.359.444.804404.5
2016 Projections553701777551189.264.340.418.758400
2016 Outlook: Opportunity knocked for Forsythe in 2015, not only the opportunity to play every day for the first time in his career, but also the chance to bat in the heart of a major league batting order. He answered the challenge in his age-28 season, finishing second on the Rays in home runs, runs, and RBI (behind Evan Longoria in all three categories), with a final line good enough to rank him 10th among all second basemen in earned 5x5 rotisserie value. His 8.9 percent walk rate was a career best, and the uptick in power did not come at the expense of contact as he maintained an above-average contact rate of 83.4 percent, a mark right around his career average. He also swiped nine bases in total, but was only 2-for-4 on the basepaths in the second half and it's hard to imagine he will get the green light to run more often this year. A dip in the power department could return him closer to fringe mixed-league status, but Forsythe has the second base job to himself and the projected lineup spot is fruitful for counting stats.
21. Mark Trumbo, Bal RF, 1B, DHYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPSPTS
2015 Statistics508622264361320.262.310.449.759324
2016 Projections502652571391302.257.309.460.769344
2016 Outlook: Trumbo changed teams for the third time in less than two years when the Mariners traded him to the Orioles in December. That came on the heels of a .284/.343/.472 second half for Trumbo, who matched his home run output from the first half (11 homers) in 50 fewer at-bats after the All-Star break. Now he goes from one of the toughest environments for hitters in baseball to one of the most favorable with the trade to Baltimore and can focus almost exclusively on hitting with the DH spot pretty much all to himself. Of course, Trumbo comes with his caveats. He makes contact just over 70 percent of the time, doesn't walk much, and is prone to some brutal dry spells. A return to the 30-homer levels from 2012-13 is not out of the question, but it's wiser to bet on closer to 20 homers, given his limitations. And keep in mind Trumbo gets dinged a bit in OBP leagues.
22. Stephen Vogt, Oak C, 1BYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPSPTS
2015 Statistics44558187156970.261.341.443.783333.5
2016 Projections42748146446820.265.333.426.760298
2016 Outlook: Vogt rewarded owners who bought into his 2014 numbers in limited playing time by easily returning a top-10 season at the position last year. The bar to clear to be a top-10 fantasy catcher obviously isn't very high these days, and that makes Vogt all the more appealing. Josh Phegley could cut a little more into Vogt's playing time this year, as Phegley grades out as a better defensive option while offering similar power, but Vogt had the fifth best OBP (.341) among starting catchers last year, so he will still be the primary option. He also played 25 games at first base last year, and with Yonder Alonso (career .732 OPS) slotted to be the starter there this season, Vogt should continue to get occasional starts even when he's not behind the dish in 2016. He had offseason elbow surgery, but that procedure is not expected to affect his availability for spring training.
23. Justin Bour*, Mia 1BYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPSPTS
2015 Statistics409422373341010.262.321.479.800296.5
2016 Projections500722386431021.258.318.444.762375
2016 Outlook: First base can thin out rather quickly, and for those who are unable to secure a proven producer at the position, Bour makes for a logical target in the later rounds of mixed-league drafts. There are a couple of things prospective owners absolutely must be aware of, though: His struggles against left-handed pitching and below-average contact skills. The 27-year-old managed just a .221 average with 22 strikeouts in 68 at-bats against lefties last year, with none of his 23 homers coming against same-handed pitching. His 75 percent contact rate makes a repeat of his modest .262 average from a year ago an uncertainty, and though he does pack a power punch against right-handers, his HR/FB rate seems likely to fall from its near-elite level (21.5 percent) if for no other reason than he plays half of his games in Marlins Park. Offseason addition Chris Johnson may very well play whenever a lefty is on the mound for the opposition, and Derek Dietrich has enough power to be an option at first if Bour slips up.
24. Ryan Zimmerman*, Wsh 1BYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPSPTS
2015 Statistics34643167333791.249.308.465.773273.5
2016 Projections41758187042942.273.335.480.815328
2016 Outlook: Limited throughout most of 2015 by a bout of plantar fasciitis, Zimmerman posted a career-worst .773 OPS in 95 games last season with his on-base percentage falling off a cliff to .308. He also missed time late due to an oblique injury, but between stints on the shelf, Zimmerman showed that he can still produce at a high level when his body is right. From July 28 to Sept. 7, over a span of 40 games, Zimmerman hit .311 (42-for-135) with 11 homers and 39 RBI. Of course, that kind of per-game production cannot be extrapolated over a full season, especially with a player like Zimmerman who has averaged 110 games over the last five seasons. But at 31, Zimmerman still has the plate skills -- despite the dip in OBP, he maintained a respectable walk rate last season -- and power to be a valuable contributor at first base.
25. Wil Myers, SD CF, 1BYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPSPTS
2015 Statistics2254082927555.253.336.427.763173.5
2016 Projections4937418695913411.254.333.422.755364
2016 Outlook: Minor-league studs that strike out a lot but mask that with a very high BABIP often take longer to reach their potential, if they do it at all. Myers fits that description with the jury still out on whether his career arc is more Brandon Belt or Jay Bruce. At least so far in his MLB career, Myers continues to fan at an accelerated rate while his BABIP is considerably lower than it was at the minor league level. His groundball mark is also not conducive to power, which is unfortunate, as he's flashed an HR/FB above league average. As presently constituted, the Padres can play Myers at first or the outfield; at worst case as the strong side of a platoon. His dual eligibility makes him a little more interesting -- there's just too many warts to make him a target without a backup plan in place.
26. Pedro Alvarez, Bal 1B, 3B, DHYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPSPTS
2015 Statistics437602777481312.243.318.469.787330.5
2016 Projections490672881461454.253.319.471.791362.5
2016 Outlook: Alvarez has entered Mark Reynolds territory as a three-true-outcomes player at the plate who is brutal in the field, and that reputation limited his employment opportunities this offseason. He finally found a home in Baltimore two weeks into spring training, and is likely to serve as the primary designated hitter for the Orioles, pushing Mark Trumbo to right field. The 29-year-old Alvarez has plenty of power, but also has large holes in his swing, and is downright terrible against lefties for his career (.203/.270/.332). If platooned properly, he could easily hit 20 homers with a higher batting average. Itís a good thing if he only sees 450-475 at bats in 2016, because if the average does indeed improve, that makes the power more rosterable.
27. John Jaso, Pit DH, 1BYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPSPTS
2015 Statistics1852352228391.286.380.459.839139.5
2016 Projections42671135561864.275.369.448.817346
2016 Outlook: Initially eligible at DH/UT only (National League only players should confirm with their commissioner), Jaso is slated to be the left-handed part of a first base platoon in the Steel City. And even then, if Josh Bell impresses at Triple-A, he could get summoned to take over full-time. Jaso's calling card is a discerning eye yielding a high on base percentage. If the Pirates hit Jaso near the top of the order, he has the potential to score some runs, but don't expect much else other than a good batting average. Granted, Jaso has only exceeded 400 plate appearances once (his rookie year), and he's only hit double-digit home runs once while never surpassing more than five steals. With outfield so thin in the Senior Circuit, Jaso is a sneaky end-game play in NL-only for utility, but that's about it.
28. Mitch Moreland, Tex 1BYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPSPTS
2015 Statistics471512385321121.278.330.482.812348
2016 Projections465542178341131.267.321.467.788334.5
2016 Outlook: It took five seasons in the majors, but Moreland finally had the "breakout" fantasy players had been waiting for. He matched his 2013 home run total while hitting 46 points higher in 2015 and becoming a run producer. Issues against lefties (and health in recent years) limits his upside, but he can smack righties while playing on the big side of a platoon situation. He hits too many grounders to project a 30-homer ceiling, as The Ballpark in Arlington is no longer the launching pad for lefties that it once was. The plate skills are stable, so any chances in his value are going to come from hit rate and home run-to-fly ball ratio variation, but as he is, he barely hits with enough power for first base and that's the only position he qualifies for on draft day. He may regain the outfield eligibility during the season.
29. A.J. Reed, Hou 1BYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPSPTS
2015 Statistics------------------------
2016 Projections26038114822660.269.324.465.789197
2016 Outlook: Reed wasn't the most highly-touted prospect heading into 2015, but he is on everyone's radar for 2016 after the performance he turned in last season. Splitting time between High-A Lancaster and Double-A Corpus Christi, the first baseman clobbered pitchers to the tune of a combined .340/.432/.612 slash line, with 34 home runs and 30 doubles. He also managed to do this while striking out under 20 percent of the time. The Astros non-tendered Chris Carter in the offseason, making way for Reed to compete for the starting first base job. He very well may have to spend some time with Triple-A Fresno first, but if he continues to crush minor-league pitching, the Astros will have no choice but to get his bat into the major-league lineup.
30. Chris Carter, Mil 1BYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPSPTS
2015 Statistics391502464571511.199.307.427.734268.5
2016 Projections418562874561542.222.319.469.788312
2016 Outlook: The hulking slugger walked a fine line in the batting average department prior to last season, hitting .223 and .227 over full seasons in 2013 and 2014, respectively. In 2015, however, he fell off that tight rope, hitting .199 in 460 plate appearances, prompting the Astros to non-tender him. The talent-hungry Brewers swooped in and quickly signed the 29-year-old to a one-year deal, noting that his strikeout rate remained steady and he posted a 12.4 percent walk rate (a three-year best), while languishing under a .244 BABIP -- well below his career .275 mark. It would not be surprising for Carter to rebound to his production levels from 2013 and 2014, when fantasy owners were willing to put up with a subpar average due to the promise of 30-homer power. Given Milwaukee's complete lack of other serviceable first base options, Carter should be given a relatively long leash. He will also get the opportunity to benefit from the fact that Miller Park is a noticeably better environment for right-handed power than Minute Maid Park. Given how cheap his price will be on draft day, owners in need of power should readily invest.