Complete 2014 Projections

Position: All | Batters | Pitchers | C | 1B | 2B | 3B | SS | 2B/SS | 1B/3B | OF | DH | SP | RP
     
PROJECTED 2014 SEASON STATS
16. Will Middlebrooks*, Bos 3BYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2013 Statistics34841174920983.227.271.425.696
2014 Projections519622687321436.254.299.451.750
2014 Outlook: Middlebrooks' 2013 will surely be characterized as a disappointment for two specific reasons: (1) His batting average plummeted 61 points and (2) he took a seat in favor of Xander Bogaerts for substantial portions of last year's playoffs, casting some doubt upon his immediate future in Boston. When spring training camp opened, however, Middlebrooks stood alone as the Boston Red Sox's projected starting third baseman, with Bogaerts at shortstop, and that should classify him as a possible bargain pick. Middlebrooks is the type of free-swinging, decent-pop bat that has a place in rotisserie leagues, where his streakiness isn't as detrimental to a team. That said, do understand that he has limitations in points-based scoring as a result. He's a value selection if you can lock him into a corner-infield spot in the former.
17. Xander Bogaerts, Bos 3B, SSYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2013 Statistics447155131.250.320.364.684
2014 Projections495741566601408.279.361.451.811
2014 Outlook: Though he faced an uphill battle in his attempt to crack the Boston Red Sox's lineup last season, Bogaerts eventually succeeded: He moved off his natural shortstop position to third base, emerging in mid-August as an effective utility player, and then elevated himself to the team's hot-corner starter by the World Series. And as spring training dawned, 2013 starting shortstop Stephen Drew remained a free agent; Bogaerts appeared ticketed for regular duty there in 2014. As one of the most polished hitters in the minors -- he was Keith Law's No. 5 prospect overall entering last year -- Bogaerts could thrive in terms of batting average and on-base percentage, and, with a committed role, could also add significant runs, RBIs and a hint of pop. He's an initial third-base-eligible player who should quickly restore shortstop to his list, the dual eligibility another trait to boost his bargain-bet appeal. Don't let Bogaerts slip too far in redraft; plus, he's potentially one of the best youngsters to get in dynasty/keeper leagues.
18. Nolan Arenado, Col 3BYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2013 Statistics48649105223722.267.301.405.706
2014 Projections55566167532833.288.327.456.783
2014 Outlook: Everyone loves Colorado Rockies hitting prospects, right? Fortunately, Arenado's modest power numbers in Double-A and Triple-A (15 homers in 152 games combined at those levels from 2012-13) haven't caused fantasy owners to embrace outrageous expectations, though he possesses the kind of skills that minimize his downside and could lead to a big step forward in 2014. He's adept at making contact (14 percent strikeout rate last season) despite a tendency to swing at many pitches outside of the strike zone (his 39.2 percent rate was fourth-highest). Arenado batted .298 after the All-Star break, and at the very least should be a must-start in games as Coors Field, something to consider if your league affords a lot of transaction flexibility.
19. Todd Frazier, Cin 3BYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2013 Statistics531631973501256.234.314.407.721
2014 Projections487622071441178.251.324.439.763
2014 Outlook: In 2012, Frazier sported an above-average BABIP fully supported by a high line drive rate. The question coming into 2013 would be whether he could maintain an elevated line drive rate, and the answer turned out to be no. As such, Frazier's BABIP torpedoed, bringing his batting average along with it. Some positive regression should be expected, but even so, a high strikeout rate caps his average. Frazier has the pop to clear 20 homers, so if you can cover his average, he can be a decent source of power for those waiting on a corner infielder. Just realize that he hits lower in the order, so his run production will suffer a bit.
20. Chris Johnson, Atl 3BYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2013 Statistics514541268291160.321.358.457.816
2014 Projections580581474341422.281.324.424.748
2014 Outlook: We'll state the danger of reading too much into Johnson's 2013 success: His .321 batting average was fueled by a major league-leading .394 BABIP, which also ranked as the sixth-highest by any player since the turn of the century. In other words, he is almost assuredly going to experience some regression to the mean, and since his other numbers fall far from being termed "elite," that puts him in danger of being an NL-only option and little more. Given that he's a free swinger, Johnson might even have a steeper basement in leagues that give more weight to walks/on-base percentage, meaning that owners in points-based leagues should approach him with greater caution.
21. David Freese, LAA 3BYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2013 Statistics46253960471061.262.340.381.721
2014 Projections466591468471112.279.353.429.782
2014 Outlook: The Angels are hoping Freese can bounce back from an off year that saw his power and average both take a nosedive. Fueling the power decline was a career high 55 percent ground ball rate more conducive to a speedy middle infielder than a third baseman expected to be a run producer. Freese also incurred some regression to his BABIP, which was not unexpected after consecutive seasons over .350. Freese's history portends a better 2014, but unless he hits fewer grounders, his homer number is capped in the low teens.
22. Mike Moustakas, KC 3BYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2013 Statistics47242124232832.233.287.364.651
2014 Projections503511965351015.252.305.425.731
2014 Outlook: Moustakas' junior year in the majors was a disaster, as practically every one of his offensive rates suffered a steep decline. He gained in only one regard: His 16.1 percent strikeout rate was a healthy improvement from 2012's 20.2 percent. Unfortunately, that doesn't mount much of a case for a Moustakas rebound, and after a year of struggles against left-handers, he could fall into a straight platoon with winter acquisition Danny Valencia. Moustakas is still a power-oriented bat, and with proper adjustments, he could again post 20-plus home runs. But he's more of a speculative AL-only rotisserie pick than one to target in other scoring formats.
23. Trevor Plouffe, Min 3BYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2013 Statistics477441452341122.254.309.392.701
2014 Projections548632062441282.254.315.414.729
2014 Outlook: More placeholder than long-term chip -- the Minnesota Twins have the high-ceiling Miguel Sano ticketed as the latter -- Plouffe probably deserves a greater shake. Thanks to adjustments to his batting stance in 2012, he has developed modest power, as well as an ability to hit left-handers: He had .269/.353/.517 rates against them the past two seasons combined. He's also capable of playing three positions -- third base and both corner outfield spots -- giving fantasy owners in AL-only or deep mixed leagues an in-season possibility of additional position flexibility (he begins 2014 as third base-only). Plouffe should find his at-bats even if Sano graduates to the majors this season; he's a safe enough pick, though one whose value is maximized by mixing matchups.
24. Matt Dominguez, Hou 3BYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2013 Statistics54356217730960.241.286.403.690
2014 Projections52358187731890.258.304.413.717
2014 Outlook: Saddled with the no-hit, all-glove reputation as he progressed through the minors, Dominguez built upon his brief but promising 2012 debut to smack 21 surprising homers in regular play last year. His .241 average was barely replacement level, but it was depressed due to a BABIP a bit lower than expected. Repeating last season's power output will be tough, but a few more points in average should mitigate that. Dominguez's glove is going to keep him in the lineup, so he'll eventually work his way onto a mixed-league roster when injuries mount.
25. Juan Uribe, LAD 3BYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2013 Statistics38847125030815.278.331.438.769
2014 Projections480551361381035.250.308.394.702
2014 Outlook: After a miserable 2012 that made him look finished at this level, Uribe bounced back with one of the better years of his career in 2013, particularly on defense. His batting average/on-base contributions, however, were fueled by some good fortune; his BABIP was .322, 40 points higher than his career mark. Nevertheless, Uribe managed to score another deal with the Los Angeles Dodgers, who effectively lacked an alternative at third base and therefore will allow him to play there regularly again in 2014. His ratios are due to regress, but if you address his shortcomings elsewhere, he's a fine NL-only roster filler in the late rounds.
26. Mark Reynolds, Mil 1B, 3B, DHYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2013 Statistics445552167511543.220.306.393.699
2014 Projections288411747401022.229.327.448.775
2014 Outlook: Reynolds, the owner of baseball's single-season strikeout record (223, in 2009) and three of the six instances of 200-K campaigns in history (also 2008, 2010), finds himself in a fight for playing time this spring, a non-roster invitee battling for the Milwaukee Brewers' first-base role. He's plenty capable of swatting 30-plus homers, and hitter-friendly Miller Park would only help his cause, but his fly-ball rate and isolated power have slipped the past two years, to the point that he might find himself in a platoon. NL-only and deep-mixed owners can take a chance on his considerable power potential, but doing so requires them to address his batting-average shortcomings. Know the risks.
27. Cody Asche, Phi 3BYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2013 Statistics1621852215431.235.302.389.691
2014 Projections394431353341156.256.318.424.742
2014 Outlook: A .287/.343/.438 hitter who averaged 16 home runs and 11 stolen bases per 162 games played during his minor league career, Asche might not be a blue-chip prospect, but he's capable enough with the bat to have reached the majors in just two years as a pro, projecting as the Philadelphia Phillies' starting third baseman entering 2014. He managed an OPS 102 points higher against righties (.710) than lefties (.608) as a rookie, so there might be some matchup advantage to owning him, but as his ceiling isn't especially high, he's more NL-only than mixed material.
28. Lonnie Chisenhall, Cle 3BYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2013 Statistics28930113616561.225.270.398.668
2014 Projections32241124521702.264.317.444.761
2014 Outlook: Through his first three big league seasons, Chisenhall has looked more the part of third-base platoon man than a future above-average regular, which is why winter chatter that Carlos Santana might see time at the hot corner was taken so seriously. Chisenhall still appears the Cleveland Indians' likely starter, at least against righties, as he has an OPS 102 points higher against them than lefties. AL-only owners can plug him in as a corner infielder.
29. Casey McGehee, Mia 1B, 3BYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2013 Statistics----------------------
2014 Projections35538104833761.237.302.375.677
2014 Outlook: After a year in Japan, McGehee returns to the states on a one-year deal with the Miami Marlins, one of the few teams with a wide-open third-base job for the taking. Though his numbers plummeted in 2011-12, he managed .292-28-93 numbers in 144 games for Rakuten in 2013, including a 11.9 percent walk rate that offers the most encouragement for his bounce-back chances. NL-only owners can freely speculate with their corner-infield spot, but McGehee would need to open eyes during spring training in order to warrant greater fantasy consideration.
30. Marcus Semien, CWS 3B, 2BYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2013 Statistics697271222.261.268.406.673
2014 Projections2343872541619.261.373.427.800
2014 Outlook: Considered more of a fallback option at third base for the White Sox than a prime candidate to start, Semien nevertheless shouldn't receive the "ho-hum" approach in deeper fantasy leagues. He's capable of chipping in a few homers and steals, averaging 19 and 20 per 162 games played in his minor league career. At the very least, Semien should make the White Sox as a utility infielder, so consider him a back-of-your-roster option in those AL-only formats.