Complete 2016 Projections

Position: All | Batters | Pitchers | C | 1B | 2B | 3B | SS | IF | LF | CF | RF | OF | SP | RP
     
PROJECTED 2016 SEASON STATS
16. Brett Gardner, NYY LF, CFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPSPTS
2015 Statistics5719416666813520.259.343.399.742429.5
2016 Projections5939416556314021.248.325.393.718418
2016 Outlook: Gardner's days as an elite burner appear to be over, as he is now four years removed from his last season with at least 40 stolen bases. Still, Gardner remains an extremely solid player, as he has adjusted his game to make the most out of deceptive power. Gardner hit 16 home runs in 2015 to notch his second straight season with at least 15 home runs and 20 stolen bases. What Gardner gets in power he gives up a bit in batting average -- he has struck out at least 20 percent of the time over the past three seasons and he hasn't hit better than .260 since 2013. But the tradeoff is worth it, as Gardner has become a five-category contributor even without stealing bases left and right.
17. Kevin Pillar, Tor CFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPSPTS
2015 Statistics586761256288525.278.314.399.713402.5
2016 Projections589741257268825.270.305.396.701395
2016 Outlook: Pillar might not be third-round material but he's probably better than most realize. His glove is one of the best in the league, which should keep him in the lineup full time. While the Blue Jays will be hard-pressed to score as many runs as last season, their lineup will still turn over plenty, yielding Pillar more at-bats than other bottom-of-the-order hitters. His contact rate is excellent and he hits a bunch of grounders, which renders a nice batting average floor. Now add in 20-something swipes and double-digit power and that's where the sneaky production emanates. Steals are tough to project -- especially on a team that lives off power -- but Pillar should keep running so long as he keeps the success rate above 75 percent. Last season's 86 percent clip suggests it shouldn't be much of an issue.
18. Ender Inciarte, Atl RF, LF, CFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPSPTS
2015 Statistics52473645265821.303.338.408.747365
2016 Projections59275546337430.285.325.370.695391
2016 Outlook: Inciarte is one of those better-in-fantasy players as he does a little bit of everything, but doesn't really excel in any one category. However, his 20-stolen base average the last two years is a solid carrying skill in the speed-deprived environment we saw in 2015. He didn't need a gaudy BABIP to achieve that .303 batting average, but the .278 we saw in 2014 is definitely in play. The biggest downgrade in him moving from Arizona to Atlanta is runs scored. He had a full-season pace of 90, but he is unlikely to come anywhere near that in Atlanta, even if he replicates his triple slash line from 2015. The speed keeps him relevant, but don't get too excited as it could be really light in the other four categories.
19. Billy Burns, Oak CFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPSPTS
2015 Statistics52070542268126.294.334.392.726351.5
2016 Projections60277451379839.262.309.341.650396
2016 Outlook: Burns' stellar rookie campaign was a bright spot for the A's in an otherwise dismal 2015 campaign. The 26-year-old provided solid multi-category production in 555 plate appearances after his May callup from Triple-A, and was a sparkplug on the base paths. He stole 26 bases in 35 attempts, and his outstanding speed helped him leg out nine triples, good for eighth best in the majors. Burns also displayed above-average plate discipline (particularly for a rookie), tallying a solid 14.6 percent strikeout rates. Although his five homers were a nominal total overall, they actually represented a power spike for Burns, who'd only launched two round-trippers during his four-plus seasons in the minors. Firmly entrenched as Oakland's center fielder to start the season, he will have the opportunity to build on his solid rookie numbers.
20. Ian Desmond, Tex SS, LF, CFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPSPTS
2015 Statistics5836919624518713.233.290.384.674330.5
2016 Projections5667220644616817.246.305.413.718365
2016 Outlook: After a disastrous start to the season that saw him hitting just .211 with seven home runs at the All-Star break, Desmond pulled it together in the second half, as he hit .262/.331/.446, comparable to his 2013 Silver Slugger campaign (.280/.331/.453), and mashed 12 homers in the season's final 74 games. Even in a down year, Desmond was a four-category contributor, as he also stole 13 bases, scored 69 times and knocked in 62 runs. Seeking an upgrade for the oft-injured Josh Hamilton, the Rangers signed Desmond to a one-year deal soon after the start of spring training in February, where he will take over as the team's starting left fielder.
21. Delino DeShields, Tex CF, LFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPSPTS
2015 Statistics425832375310125.261.344.374.718326.5
2016 Projections562865516513532.249.331.356.687396.5
2016 Outlook: DeShields gave the Rangers some energy at the top of their lineup, as he stole 25 bases and scored 83 runs in just 121 games. But it's hard to get a handle on what DeShields can do going forward. He struck out in 20.5 percent of plate appearances, right in line with his minor league performance, which threatens to put a hard ceiling on his batting average. And since he doesn't hit for power -- he hit just two home runs in 2015 and has never hit more than 11 bombs in a minor league campaign -- DeShields is at the mercy of bad bounces and opposing defenders to get on base. DeShields stole 101 bases between Low-A and High-A in 2012, but he'll have to show an ability to get on base far more regularly before he can be the kind of stolen-base threat whose total lack of power can be overlooked.
22. Denard Span, SF CFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPSPTS
2015 Statistics24638522252611.301.365.431.796201
2016 Projections53873442426122.286.338.392.731379.5
2016 Outlook: Don't let the grey goatee fool you; Span can still get on his horse when healthy and can still put bat to ball as his sixth straight season with a 90-plus percent contact rate would attest. That health caveat was the big problem last year, though, as he battled a variety of issues throughout 2015. Span missed the start of the season after undergoing core surgery in March, and the abdominal issues persisted upon his return. Back problems were his primary concern over the second half, with those issues seemingly related to the torn labrum in his left hip, which he then had surgically repaired in early September. The Giants didn't find anything in his January physical to lead them to rescind their three-year offer, so Span appears primed to serve as the table-setter in his first year as the team's center fielder. The power has always been negligible with Span, so the park doesn't really hurt him; it's primarily a matter of health, as he enters his age-32 season.
23. A.J. Pollock*, Ari CFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPSPTS
2015 Statistics6091112076538939.315.367.498.865571.5
2016 Projections28447733234316.296.347.447.794238.5
2016 Outlook: Pollock was well on his way to a true breakout back in 2014 when he was hit by a pitch that fractured his hand, so we'll forgive you if you're having a little bit of deja-vue. Coming off an elite 2015 performance, Pollock was a borderline first rounder but he fractured his elbow in an April 1 spring training game, and it was no joke. Pollock could be out half or even all of 2016, making him a risky bench pick/DL stash or keeper league gambit.
24. Brad Miller, TB SS, CFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPSPTS
2015 Statistics4384411464710113.258.329.402.730286.5
2016 Projections5056218654911412.265.329.444.773364
2016 Outlook: Miller is the Rays shortstop to own in fantasy, as he should open the year on the strong side of a platoon with Tim Beckham. Neither player was particularly valuable in real life last year, however, so there could be some fluidity if one emerges as the far superior defensive option. Miller proved last year that he can help a little in power and steals, though his likely spot at the bottom of the Rays lineup will limit his upside in runs and RBIs. A .248 career hitter, his batting average is unlikely to be much help, but it won't sink a fantasy team either. There is not much hype surrounding the 26-year-old, though he can be thought of as a serviceable middle infield option in mixed leagues; he could outperform that valuation if he achieves the skill growth that many players experience at his age.
25. Wil Myers, SD CF, 1BYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPSPTS
2015 Statistics2254082927555.253.336.427.763173.5
2016 Projections4937418695913411.254.333.422.755364
2016 Outlook: Minor-league studs that strike out a lot but mask that with a very high BABIP often take longer to reach their potential, if they do it at all. Myers fits that description with the jury still out on whether his career arc is more Brandon Belt or Jay Bruce. At least so far in his MLB career, Myers continues to fan at an accelerated rate while his BABIP is considerably lower than it was at the minor league level. His groundball mark is also not conducive to power, which is unfortunate, as he's flashed an HR/FB above league average. As presently constituted, the Padres can play Myers at first or the outfield; at worst case as the strong side of a platoon. His dual eligibility makes him a little more interesting -- there's just too many warts to make him a target without a backup plan in place.
26. Joc Pederson, LAD CFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPSPTS
2015 Statistics480672654921704.210.346.417.763338
2016 Projections4927525618616115.228.349.427.776380.5
2016 Outlook: It's hard not to be impressed with the numbers Pederson put up in his first major-league season, as he smashed 26 home runs, walked in 15.7 percent of his plate appearances and notched a squarely above-average .763 OPS. That said, there were plenty of warts. Pederson struck out an absurd 29.1 percent of the time, the main factor that limited him to a brutal .210 batting average. Opposing pitchers exploited his whiffing ways in the second half, as Pederson struck out 63 times in just 61 post-All Star break games and posted a horrific .178/.317/.300 line. Pederson will be just 24 in April, so there's plenty of room for him to grow and re-adjust to the new ways pitchers handled him in the second half, but he'll have to show he can make consistent contact to take the next step.
27. Kevin Kiermaier*, TB CFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPSPTS
2015 Statistics505621040249518.263.298.420.718323.5
2016 Projections5887011563411120.259.302.412.714383.5
2016 Outlook: Playing time will not be an issue for Kiermaier in 2016, as he spent all of 2015 establishing himself as the best defensive outfielder in the game. The hope is that more reps will allow him to improve on a .298 OBP that left a lot to be desired last season. His average has been remarkably stable, hitting .263 with a .306 BABIP in back-to-back seasons. Additionally, he should offer a nice base in counting stats, as he enters his age-26 season, having hit 10 home runs in back-to-back years and swiped 18 bases in 2015. Despite his low OBP, Kiermaier should occupy the leadoff spot against righties, which gives him a chance to set a career high in runs scored. This is not an exciting profile, but there is sneaky four-category production that won't cost much on draft day. His speed and athleticism also props the door open for a Kevin Pillar-esque breakout campaign in 2016.
28. Gerardo Parra*, Col RF, LF, CFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPSPTS
2015 Statistics547831451289214.291.328.452.780392
2016 Projections565761159348912.283.327.425.752387.5
2016 Outlook: Parra inked a three-year, $26 million deal with the Rockies in January, instantly brightening his prospects for 2016. His already solid offensive skill set, which includes an ability to spray balls to all fields, should play very well in the thin air of Coors Field. A notable bump in extra-base hits is certainly feasible, and would put Parra at a near-elite level in that category. He blasted 36 doubles and legged out five triples over 547 at-bats with the Brewers and Orioles last season. It was notably the third consecutive season for Parra with at least four three-baggers, and he also tallied a career-high 43 doubles over a career-high 601 at-bats in 2013, providing a glimpse of his non-Coors ceiling. The 28-year-old could easily blow past his career-high 14 homer mark as well if given enough at-bats, and build on his current stretch of double-digit stolen bases in three of the past four seasons.
29. Domingo Santana*, Mil RF, CFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPSPTS
2015 Statistics1602082620634.238.337.431.768115.5
2016 Projections470692075531646.245.329.426.754330
2016 Outlook: The 23-year-old slugger couldn't be in a better spot to get a chance to prove doubters wrong. Santana has shown pretty convincingly that he has extreme contact issues, posting a 37.6 percent K-rate in 205 career MLB plate appearances, but the Brewers will give him an extended opportunity to get that rate down to something more manageable. His center field defense is understandably suspect (he played primarily right field in the minors), but the Brewers won't care, as they are mining for a large sample size of plate appearances so they can evaluate whether Santana could be a long-term fit in a corner. There are some other options in the organization who could push Santana to the short side of a platoon if he fails against righties in the first half, but he has the power to cement himself in the middle of the Brewers' lineup all year if he gets off to a good start.
30. Dexter Fowler*, ChC CFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPSPTS
2015 Statistics59610217468415420.250.346.411.757438
2016 Projections5288113457713617.252.351.400.751378
2016 Outlook: Fowler remained a domino yet to fall until late February, as his options in free agency were somewhat limited by the draft pick compensation attached to him via the Cubs' qualifying offer. Fowler is coming off a very strong season, one in which he posted a career high in home runs and runs scored while reaching 20 steals for the first time since 2009. His on-base skills remain strong entering his age-30 season, and he pushed his contact rate back above 80 percent last year, but his 2016 fantasy outlook is a bit hazy after he spurned the Orioles in favor of a return to Chicago. Kyle Schwarber, Jason Heyward, and Jorge Soler are all currently in line for regular roles, but manager Joe Maddon provided some reassurance by saying that Fowler will continue to lead off when in the lineup.