Complete 2015 Projections


ESPN's projections are the product of an analysis of a player's past performance, growth or regression potential and expected playing opportunity. While the overall ranking is based in large part on the player's projected performance, it also takes into account risk factors such as age, injury history and past statistical fluidity, the players' ceiling (upside), as well as positional and categorical scarcity.

Position: All | Batters | Pitchers | C | 1B | 2B | 3B | SS | OF | SP | RP
2014 Statistics5365313426867.276.308.356.664203
2015 Projections5435124228968.265.300.341.641217
2015 Outlook: The Marlins were busy this offseason, upgrading noticeable weaknesses at first base, second base and third base. Did they forget about Hechavarria? Perhaps they are just willing to punt the No. 8 hole in the lineup, knowing he is a cheap option at shortstop who should offer close to league-average defense. Fantasy owners only care about his bat and his speed, however, and he leaves a lot to be desired in both areas. Hechavarria hit .273 in 2014, adding just one home run, seven steals and 26 walks in 574 plate appearances. His .323 BABIP was also well above his .299 career mark, so that average, which accounted for almost all of his value last season, should regress in 2015.
2014 Statistics4763373943601.258.324.340.664197
2015 Projections4944674541623.265.325.352.677255
2015 Outlook: Escobar has never been a major fantasy contributor, but at least you know what to expect from the 32-year-old shortstop. He lacks power and speed, but his defensive abilities keep him locked into the lineup at a shallow position, and he offers modest contributions in the runs and RBI categories without draining your batting average. Knee and shoulder injuries limited Escobar to 137 games with the Rays last season, but the expectation is he will be healthy entering spring training. He figures to open the season as the Nationals' starting second baseman, after being traded from Tampa Bay to Oakland and then from Oakland to Washington in January.
2014 Statistics119144128301.176.227.319.54642
2015 Projections3533783421772.227.271.368.639154
2015 Outlook: In the wake of Jimmy Rollins' departure, Galvis should have the opportunity to appear in more than 70 games in 2015 for the first time in his career, and he's in line to be tabbed as the team's starting shortstop on Opening Day. With only three career errors, the 25-year-old plays a strong defensive game, but the problem for potential fantasy owners is his bat. Galvis owns a career slash line of .218/.259/.362 and an OPS of .621. Given further development and more playing time, whether it's getting regular starts or being utilized as the top reserve infielder, those numbers figure to only go up from there, but it's unlikely that there would be a dramatic enough increase to warrant consideration in the majority of fantasy formats.
2014 Statistics------------------------
2015 Projections70103114131.271.320.457.77744
2015 Outlook: Russell is one of the top prospects in baseball, but those in single-season leagues would be wise to target a player who is closer to the majors and does not have a logjam at his position on the major league roster. By 2016, Russell could be the Cubs' everyday shortstop, and at that point the excitement surrounding the five-tool phenom will have reached a fever pitch. However, he has just 262 plate appearances under his belt at Double-A, and Starlin Castro remains entrenched as the Cubs' shortstop for the time being. Russell hit 12 home runs with two steals and a .294/.332/.536 slash line in 205 plate appearances in the Southern League after being traded from Oakland midway through the season. An early-season hamstring injury likely contributed to his lack of steals, but he stole 21 bases in 504 plate appearances at High-A in 2013, so he should be able to contribute across the board while he is young and fully healthy. Fellow Cubs prospect Kris Bryant completely dominated Triple-A pitching over 297 plate appearances in 2014 and was not rewarded with a September call-up, so while he may be a fantasy star at shortstop a few years from now, it would be illogical to expect Russell to be pushed aggressively through the minors this season.
2014 Statistics3553053450731.237.342.310.652157
2015 Projections1992121420342.251.329.327.65692
2015 Outlook: After another disappointing offensive campaign in 2014, Tejada will likely lose time to Wilmer Flores atop the Mets' depth chart at short. Last season was an improvement over 2013, but he still slashed just .237/.342/.310. With a career line of .254/.328/.317 and just seven home runs, five of which came last season, there isn't reason to be excited about his bat, but the 25-year-old does have a good glove at shortstop. With the defensively challenged Flores ahead of him, Tejada could be a candidate for late-inning replacement duties, but he'll likely have to earn more playing time with his bat if he wants to get a firm grasp on the starter's role. Until then, he could serve as a utility infielder, also helping back up Daniel Murphy at second.
2014 Statistics709143100.
2015 Projections2572922216389.245.293.331.624123
2015 Outlook: The Diamondbacks acquired Ahmed from the Braves in January 2013 as part of the Justin Upton trade, and he has been a steady riser in the system ever since. Ahmed made the jump to Triple-A as a 24-year-old to begin the 2014 season and hit 324/.390/.431 with 10 stolen bases in his first 79 games with Reno, earning a promotion to the major league roster by late June. He didn't fare well in his first exposure to big league pitching (.504 OPS), but the former second-round pick was able to maintain a similar strikeout rate between levels (12.2 percent at Triple-A, 13.3 percent with Arizona) and was relatively unlucky with a .220 BABIP and 4.2 percent HR/FB during his time in the majors. Heading into spring training, Ahmed's role is uncertain, but he should at least see additional reps early on with Chris Owings (shoulder) expected to be limited, and he'd likely be the top candidate for playing time at short if Owings were to miss regular-season action.
2014 Statistics533002182.
2015 Projections18202241.222.300.278.5788
2014 Statistics------------------------
2015 Projections139131127294.237.277.302.57949
2015 Outlook: Herrera had a strong 2014 campaign, spending time at both the High-A and Double-A levels in the Rangers organization and slashing .315/.383/.388 while stealing 21 bases in 125 games. The 23-year-old was selected by the Phillies in the Rule 5 draft, which will give him a chance to spend 2015 in the majors despite never playing above the Double-A level. One of the primary concerns with his game is his lack of power, as Herrera has hit just 13 total homers in six minor league seasons, but he showed some improvement in that area over the offseason by hitting six home runs in 58 games en route to being named the MVP of the Venezuelan Winter League. Herrera will struggle to see regular at-bats at one position, but he can play both the infield and the outfield, and the Phillies figure to give him every opportunity to stick around so as to not be forced to offer him back to the Rangers.
2014 Statistics------------------------
2015 Projections140213207391.264.295.436.73172
2015 Outlook: Seager posted great numbers at High-A Rancho Cucamonga last season, smashing 18 homers and posting a .352/.411/.633 slash line in 80 games to earn a promotion to Double-A, where he continued his strong offensive showing by slashing .345/.381/.534 in 38 games. The youngster has been rising quickly through the organizational ranks, as he'll be just 20 years old to start the 2015 season, and should get a shot with the Triple-A club this year. He has been working almost exclusively at shortstop in the minors, but his 6-foot-4 build could eventually make him better suited for a shift to third base. Seager could potentially earn a late season call-up to the major league team in 2015, but he likely won’t make a true fantasy impact until 2016 given the Dodgers’ infield depth at the top level.
2014 Statistics11512085215.261.303.313.61640
2015 Projections123140104214.
2014 Statistics2443342322673.242.316.336.65284
2015 Projections109133129293.229.294.358.65247
2015 Outlook: Even with a full major league season under his belt, including 71 starts at short, Suarez could see the majority of his 2015 campaign take place back in the minors. His development was accelerated as he filled in for the injured Jose Iglesias in 2014, hitting .242/.316/.336 with four homers in 244 at-bats. The 23-year-old was traded to the Reds in December, but the left side of their infield is well accounted for between Todd Frazier, Zack Cozart, and Kristopher Negron, so playing time could be limited for Suarez if he sticks at the major league level. He had some success in the minors in 2014 before being called up, hitting .288/.360/.510 with eight homers in 54 games between Double-A and Triple-A, so he could spend some time back there before getting another opportunity.
2014 Statistics2101732412622.
2015 Projections180213228424.244.285.361.64679
2014 Statistics1772121020366.254.340.350.69081
2015 Projections1661921016344.241.315.343.65973
2015 Outlook: The book on the 30-year-old Pennington is pretty much written, as he combines strong defense and positional versatility with a passable bat to make for one of the game's more dependable utility infielders. He isn't going to provide much in the way of batting average, home runs or stolen bases, but a strong plate approach and bit of gap power typically keep him from being a complete zero at the plate. Pennington did struggle a bit in 2012 and 2013, but he then bounced back for a respectable .254/.310/.350 slash line last season, with two home runs and six stolen bases in 177 at-bats. His role doesn't figure to change much, as he'll likely get just a couple of starts per week with an opportunity for added playing time if injuries strike the Arizona infield.
2014 Statistics10215079181.245.328.294.62245
2015 Projections1941831511450.216.270.304.57466
2015 Outlook: Barmes logged only 102 at-bats for the Pirates in 2014, with his seven-week absence because of a groin injury serving to further limit a quiet season. Long one of the game's top defensive shortstops, Barmes hasn't posted a batting average above .245 since 2008, and he hasn't hit double-digit home runs since 2011. Unlike many other defense-minded middle infielders, Barmes provides next to nothing in terms of stolen bases, with only one over the past three years. That's unlikely to change in his age-36 season, and he'll be moving from one pitcher's paradise to another. While he'll likely compete for significant playing time at shortstop in San Diego, Barmes offers minimal offensive upside. He'll be competing with Alexi Amarista, who is similarly challenged at the plate.
2014 Statistics------------------------
2015 Projections707181153.243.260.343.60330