Complete 2014 Projections

Position: All | Batters | Pitchers | C | 1B | 2B | 3B | SS | IF | LF | CF | RF | OF | SP | RP
     
PROJECTED 2014 SEASON STATS
16. Carl Crawford, LAD LFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPSPTS
2013 Statistics43562631286615.283.329.407.736294
2014 Projections52477947318723.277.320.408.729369.5
2014 Outlook: Injuries continue to haunt Crawford, as he missed time due to a hamstring issue in June, then scuffled late with a sore back. He's supposed to be healthy entering this season, but for how long? While on the field, a jump in contact rate is encouraging, especially since Crawford's more likely path back to fantasy relevance is via his legs. He's capable of popping double-digit dingers, but a solid stolen base success rate portends to more opportunities. The key is going to be health, but if you prefer to play it safe early and take chances later, Crawford could be your guy.
17. Christian Yelich, Mia LFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPSPTS
2013 Statistics24034416316610.288.370.396.766164
2014 Projections5658114587015818.280.359.441.800407
2014 Outlook: Although delayed, first by the Miami Marlins' conservative approach to his advancement and then by injuries (plantar fasciitis and abdominal ailments), Yelich's arrival in the majors was positive in 2013. Just as he had in the minors, he hit for average with a healthy-enough walk rate to drive his on-base percentage, and he maintained the double-digit speed he had showed over his entire minor league career. The latter is his route to fantasy superstardom; Yelich is capable of 20-plus steals, and adding any batting average points or homers to his totals would drive him up the Player Rater. Still, he's not without weakness: He batted a miserable .165/.245/.231 against left-handers despite playing regularly against both sides, and had a similarly large platoon split in the minors. Yelich must make those adjustments. For the immediate future, that makes him more of a mid- to late-round draft pick in mixed leagues, with greater value in formats with more transaction flexibility. For the long term, though, he could be a five-category stud well worth a greater investment today.
18. Brett Gardner, NYY CF, LFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPSPTS
2013 Statistics539818525212724.273.344.416.759393.5
2014 Projections514777445211730.259.334.391.726374.5
2014 Outlook: Gardner's 2013 batting average was in line with his history, but it took some luck with his hit rate to make up for a marked rise in strikeouts. Even more concerning was the fact that Gardner did not run as much as in the past. This could have been an attempt to keep him healthy, but if he isn't running, he isn't an asset, fantasy or otherwise. Gardner is slated to open the season with a regular job, but his playing time is always a mystery since he could easily fall into a platoon or be banished to the bottom of the order. It's fine to use Gardner to embellish your speed, he's just no longer suited to be a primary source.
19. Khris Davis, Mil LFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPSPTS
2013 Statistics13627112711343.279.353.596.949140
2014 Projections454662569541396.262.353.489.842359.5
2014 Outlook: Fun fact: Among players with at least 150 plate appearances in 2013, the only two with .300-plus isolated power had identically pronounced names, Chris Davis and Khris Davis. That's testament to Khris' sleeper power potential, and while his 11 home runs in limited play were fueled by an unsustainable 28.2 home run/fly ball percentage, bear in mind that he has averaged 28 home runs per 162 games played as a pro. The Milwaukee Brewers recognized this and cleared left field for him, trading Norichika Aoki and moving Ryan Braun to right, and a big spring might vault his draft stock from NL-only starter to viable mixed-league late-rounder. But understand the risks: Davis has many of the traits of the three-true-outcomes slugger (walks, K's and homers), and such players can be streaky or quickly exposed in the majors for the holes in their swings.
20. Adam Eaton, CWS LF, CFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPSPTS
2013 Statistics2504032217445.252.314.360.674161
2014 Projections544898415710823.267.350.382.732391
2014 Outlook: Eaton hasn't had much luck in the injury department during his young career: His 2012 ended prematurely due to a broken hand, and he suffered an elbow injury during spring training that cost him the first 61 regular-season games of 2013. Last year, he never seemed to be his usual self in terms of power and speed, but he'll get a fresh start this year with the Chicago White Sox, presumably taking over as their regular center fielder. It's a cluttered outfield picture, somewhat threatening Eaton's at-bats, and he needs to improve his walk rate to the 11.5 percent mark in his minor league career or 13.6 percent in his brief 2012 stint, but there's a very real chance he could quickly develop into a 10/30 performer who hits atop the lineup. With a strong spring, he'll surely soar up draft boards.
21. Alejandro De Aza, CWS CF, LFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPSPTS
2013 Statistics6078417625014720.264.323.405.728406.5
2014 Projections4796812464111420.273.336.418.753334
2014 Outlook: De Aza's first full season as a starter rates a success on the heels of a career-high 17 homers, but closer inspection reveals an across-the-board drop in his slash line spurred by a big jump in strikeout rate. This is even more relevant since De Aza may not have the luxury of full-time at-bats to pump up the counting stats. His present role is in a platoon, as Adam Eaton is slated to take over full-time duties in center field. This renders De Aza an intriguing player in AL-only formats, since a trade or an injury to an outfielder will propel him back to regular status. Just don't assume he'll maintain last season's career-best power pace; some give-back should be expected.
22. Michael Brantley, Cle LFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPSPTS
2013 Statistics556661073406717.284.332.396.728399.5
2014 Projections53567868436314.280.334.387.721379.5
2014 Outlook: If you're looking for reliability and durability, Brantley fits the bill. His skill set is steady but unspectacular. A low fly ball rate depresses any potential power breakout, but a solid line drive rate in tandem with an excellent contact rate offer some upside in average that could result in more steals, especially if he can maintain the improved success rate displayed last season.
23. Evan Gattis, Atl C, LFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPSPTS
2013 Statistics35444216521810.243.291.480.771263.5
2014 Projections40547227026910.259.311.491.803301.5
2014 Outlook: After pacing the Venezuelan Winter League in home runs (16) and slugging percentage (.595) during the 2012-13 offseason, Gattis parlayed a strong spring performance (6 home runs, ninth-most, and a .368 batting average) into an Opening Day roster spot as a part-timer while Brian McCann recovered from shoulder surgery. "El Oso Blanco" (Spanish for "The White Bear") extended the magic through the subsequent six months; from the seventh inning on in games with the score within one run, he hit seven homers (second-most), slugged .864 (first) and had a .513 wOBA (first). Those "clutch" statistics have a low likelihood of being repeated, but the performance did grant Gattis a future advantage: It made him the favorite to start behind the plate now that McCann is in New York. Gattis' defense might put a cap on his at-bats, and he's more feast-or-famine slugger than balanced hitter, but few catchers possess his power potential. He's a handy No. 2 option in mixed leagues, and a clear starter in NL-only.
24. Nick Castellanos, Det LF, 3BYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPSPTS
2013 Statistics18100010.278.278.278.5565.5
2014 Projections457501144381074.239.299.365.664254.5
2014 Outlook: After a year experimenting in left field, Castellanos is expected to return to third base this season, where he'll be a candidate to start after Prince Fielder was traded and Miguel Cabrera shifted to first base. The Detroit Tigers' top hitting prospect, Castellanos batted .276/.343/.450 with 18 home runs in 134 games for Triple-A Toledo in 2013, supporting scouts' claims that he should hit for both average and power in the bigs. He'll presumably need time to adapt to the tougher level of competition, but numbers within range of his 2013 are possible should he make the team, making him an AL-only asset worth a look in deeper mixed leagues.
25. Eric Young Jr., NYM LF, RFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPSPTS
2013 Statistics539702324610046.249.310.336.645362
2014 Projections45061227428738.251.319.338.656310.5
2014 Outlook: Stolen bases represent one of what we frequently call "counting numbers," and regular playing time following his June trade to the New York Mets is the easiest explanation for Young's 2013 breakthrough. He attempted and succeeded on his steals at roughly the same rate he did for his entire Colorado Rockies career, and he offered little in the way of hitting help, his career highs in games (148) and plate appearances (598) almost entirely the product of the Mets' dearth of outfield talent. Investing in Young is a gamble upon his retaining his starting left-field role and staying at the top of the order, and the Mets have more candidates this year than last. Be careful not to overpay -- especially not in points-based leagues, where he has steep downside -- as he's a one-category performer with more appeal in NL-only rotisserie formats.
26. Kelly Johnson, NYY LF, 1B, 2BYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPSPTS
2013 Statistics36641165235997.235.305.410.715241.5
2014 Projections4235420574812311.243.324.430.755302.5
2014 Outlook: Signed by the New York Yankees as a stopgap solution at either second or third base -- remember that they lost Robinson Cano to free agency and Alex Rodriguez to a season-long suspension -- Johnson is a hitter who fits the confines of Yankee Stadium. He's a left-handed pull hitter who had a 46.3 percent fly-ball rate in 2013, making him quite the attractive daily-league target. Although Johnson lacks the obvious platoon split that would lock him into such a role, the Yankees will more than likely pick and choose his games, most of them against right-handers, so understand that his fantasy potential is probably capped as AL-only or deep-mixed material.
27. Chris Carter, Hou 1B, LF, DHYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPSPTS
2013 Statistics506642982702122.223.320.451.770346
2014 Projections504692885712012.228.325.454.779361.5
2014 Outlook: Feel that cool breeze: In 2013, Carter set an all-time record with his 36.2 percent strikeout rate. Take that to heart before you simply apply the label "three true outcomes" slugger, because unlike typical "TTO" feast-or-famine types, Carter's downside is greater. He's susceptible to slumps and, as a member of a bad Houston Astros lineup, suffers in terms of runs and RBI potential. AL-only owners will find value in his homers and walks, and he could be a handy stop-gap option even in shallow mixed leagues, but understand that he has at least one concern for every one of his positives.
28. Melky Cabrera, Tor LFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPSPTS
2013 Statistics3443933023472.279.322.360.682194.5
2014 Projections5648096036789.284.323.399.722376
2014 Outlook: Cabrera's critics will point to the 50-game PED suspension that prematurely concluded his 2012 and argue that his 2011-12 statistics were artificially inflated, and the numbers say they have a point: His .267/.328/.379 hitting rates from 2005-10 looked suspiciously similar to his .279/.322/.360 numbers of 2013. But that ignores the fact that a knee injury had Cabrera on the DL for 72 Toronto Blue Jays games, rarely affording him the opportunity to play at full strength. He's expected to be healthy this spring and should get another chance as the team's left fielder and No. 2 hitter, the latter critical to driving his counting numbers (specifically runs scored). Should Cabrera shine in camp, he might be a hidden value even in mixed formats, as the perception of his value probably doesn't do justice to his true stock.
29. Matt Joyce, TB LF, RF, DHYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPSPTS
2013 Statistics41361184759877.235.328.419.747309.5
2014 Projections464701962641036.263.353.446.799364.5
2014 Outlook: If Joyce's skills each of the past three seasons were table legs, you could put a baseball on the table and it wouldn't roll off; they're remarkably stable. However, his batting average on balls in play is in free fall despite his consistent hit distribution since 2010. The reason is likely, somewhat ironically, the same defensive shift the Rays have deployed with great frequency. As a means to combat this, Joyce claims he has packed on 20 pounds of muscle so he can cease trying to hit through the shift but instead hit over it. Regardless, since more muscle won't mean Joyce can suddenly hit lefties, he's best utilized in daily formats where you can leverage his career .835 OPS versus righties into favorable matchups.
30. Michael Saunders, Sea CF, LF, RFYEARABRHRRBIBBKSBAVGOBPSLGOPSPTS
2013 Statistics4065912465411813.236.323.397.720283
2014 Projections4466915535613017.244.328.413.741328
2014 Outlook: After being on the cusp of a 20/20 campaign in 2012, Saunders frequented many sleeper and breakout lists this time last season. But even though he totaled double-digit steals and homers, 2013 was a major disappointment. Saunders enters 2014 as part of a very crowded outfield, though he has the advantage of wielding a superior glove while his mates are mostly there for their thump. By the numbers, while Saunders possesses a nice mix of power and speed, he fans too much to render it useful in mixed formats, especially with the playing time question. However, he makes for an interesting play in AL-only leagues, where his average won't inflict as much damage.