Complete 2014 Projections

Position: All | Batters | Pitchers | C | 1B | 2B | 3B | SS | IF | LF | CF | RF | OF | SP | RP
2013 Statistics4897420844610010.331.389.530.919439.6
2014 Projections5347123794910910.277.338.485.823405.2
2014 Outlook: Whoa! Michael Cuddyer, 2013 NL batting champion? Believe it. Now believe this: His .382 BABIP, third-highest among batting-title qualifiers, was 54 points higher than he had previously performed in his career, and 70 points higher than his career numbers in the category (.312). Yes, there's plenty of reason to call his .331 batting average fluky, though in Cuddyer's defense, Coors Field continues to prop up his numbers, and it has historically been one of the best venues in baseball for BABIP. Cuddyer looks much more the part of a .290 hitter, and his penchant for injuries over the years further builds the case for him being overrated entering 2014. Tread carefully.
2013 Statistics477821561257521.294.351.451.801359.9
2014 Projections538821458377824.270.332.429.761372.2
2014 Outlook: Don't worry about a thing, 'cause every little thing gonna be all right. Who knew how prescient Victorino's change in walk-up music would be for the soon-to-be playoff hero. But that was then, 2014 is now and the concern with Victorino is health, as he is coming off surgery to relieve pressure in his right thumb and wrist, as well as dealing with other assorted ailments, including back woes that troubled him in the playoffs. On the field, Victorino's numbers improved markedly from 2012, which is even more impressive considering the aforementioned right-hand issues forced him to eschew hitting from the left side. Even without the injury concerns, Victorino's numbers are bound to slide a bit, but if the injury discount is sufficient, he's still a solid source of steals without sacrificing too much power. Stephania Bell: Victorino dealt with recurrent hamstring and back issues throughout 2013, but he also had a nerve-related thumb problem that lingered into the offseason. December surgery addressed the issue and the team expects him for Opening Day.
2013 Statistics576732179471584.250.307.432.739364
2014 Projections578792596491576.261.319.458.777400.8
2014 Outlook: Hamilton's 2012 and 2013 stat lines show an astonishing level of contrast: He belted 43 home runs and finished in the top five in the MVP race in the former, but his homer total declined by more than half (to 21) and his slugging percentage plummeted 145 points in the latter. Which version will we get in 2014? Somewhere in between is your best bet, although the .304-hitting version of Hamilton we saw during the first six seasons of his big league career isn't especially likely. He's a much more strikeout-prone player these days, and he's declining in terms of plate discipline, whiffing a major league-high 209 times on pitches outside the strike zone over the past two seasons. Hamilton might be more comfortable in his new digs in Year No. 2, and after playing last year at a lower weight than usual, he's back to his traditional 230 pounds entering 2014. There's bounce-back potential here, but it's probably not to his former MVP-candidate form, but to possible top-20 outfielder form.
Stephania Bell: Hamilton wasted no time sustaining his first injury, a calf strain in late February which forced him onto crutches for several days. He's returned to running and could play in games the third week of March. If all goes well he can still be ready by Opening Day but this is a reminder of what the risks are with Hamilton.
2013 Statistics4816422532911822.268.312.484.796344
2014 Projections5688415594113225.257.311.421.731354.9
2014 Outlook: Venable has had his fans in deeper fantasy leagues over the years, most of those being his NL-only owners or those with the luxury of mixing and matching him against right-handers in leagues with daily transactions. In 2013, however, he became a more complete hitter, batting .276/.309/.524 against left-handers, a substantial improvement upon the .216/.295/.287 rates he had against that side in his first five campaigns. Those earned him one key advantage as he enters 2014: The San Diego Padres are sure to treat Venable as a regular this time around, meaning more at-bats to fuel his runs/RBIs totals. He's not quite the power source his numbers hinted -- he hit 15 of his 22 homers at Petco Park, an unsustainable rate despite the team having moved the right-field fences in before last year -- but he's plenty capable of double-digit homers, 20-plus steals and runs/RBIs that will help his rotisserie owners. His low walk rate, however, keeps him in more of the mix-and-match bin in on-base percentage leagues.
2013 Statistics446733087501404.256.337.522.859370.6
2014 Projections519773085591655.250.333.486.819398.4
2014 Outlook: After a late-2012 power surge, Moss truly broke through granted quasi-regular playing time in 2013, maintaining practically identical power rates -- adjusting for natural regression to the mean, that is -- and quietly reaching the 30-homer plateau. His was a stunning effort, considering his power-suppressing home ballpark and his wide lefty/righty platoon split (68 points better in batting average and 164 points better in slugging percentage versus right-handers). Moss returns to a similar role in 2014, presumably pairing with Nate Freiman or Alberto Callaspo at first base, but in exchange for the lost counting numbers (runs, RBIs), his ratios should stabilize as a result. That also means that he's particularly attractive in a daily league, where you can mix and match his lefty/righty matchups. Moss made enough strides making contact -- he whiffed just 23.1 percent of the time in the second half, down from 30.8 percent in the first half -- and has enough of a power-oriented approach -- he led the majors in fly-ball rate -- to make a compelling case for a repeat.
2013 Statistics58184341013615618.255.302.489.791407.5
2014 Projections5016227863113710.246.294.463.758324.4
2014 Outlook: Guess who's hit the ninth-most homers in the majors over the past three seasons? At an age where his skills should be declining, Soriano's are remarkably stable. Conventional wisdom suggests it is easy to pick up cheap speed later in drafts, but Soriano is a great source of cheap power. As batting average is dropping across the league, the fact that Soriano's is consistent means it isn't as detrimental as in past seasons. However, a repeat of 18 steals is unlikely, especially considering he swiped a total of just 22 the previous four seasons combined.
2013 Statistics457668492810436.260.313.385.698277.8
2014 Projections466698523210030.264.319.403.722289.7
2014 Outlook: Upside, thy name is Leonys Martin. Let's first look at things straight. If you overload on home runs early, Martin is an ideal complement to balance your stats, since he'll run quite a bit while not inflicting lasting damage to your average or power. Now let's have some fun. Presently, Martin carries a fly ball rate of less than 30 percent. If he can increase that to even the mid-30s without any collateral damage and make better contact, a homers total in the teens is possible. Speaking of contact, Martin's minor league numbers suggest he can lower his 21 percent strikeout rate, which should not only increase his batting average but afford more stolen base opportunities. And finally, if Martin can accomplish any of the above while also taking a few more walks, he's a candidate for the cushy 2-hole in the Texas lineup, which would get him more chances along with ramping up his production. This is not a prediction this all will happen; it's simply a suggestion it could plausibly happen.
2013 Statistics2143171527698.229.317.407.723138
2014 Projections5498724737017914.233.323.426.749374.7
2014 Outlook: Don't race to affix the "injury-prone" label to Granderson; recognize that his 101 missed games last season were largely the result of two unfortunate hit-by-pitch incidents, one during his very first at-bat of spring training, the other 31 plate appearances following his return from the DL. Those effectively ruined his year, but not his winter payday, as he hopped aboard the seven train to Flushing to join the New York Mets. It's the ballpark change, not Granderson's health, that warrants greater concern, as he has historically been a feast-or-famine, yank-flies-to-right slugger; that is a style perfect for Yankee Stadium's short porch, but less so with all the right-field nooks and crannies at Citi Field. His power numbers might suffer, his low batting average is a liability in Rotisserie leagues and his high strikeout rate a problem in leagues than penalize for them, but the mere prospect of a 30- even if not 40-homer campaign makes him a modest bounce-back candidate.
2013 Statistics413492776351095.266.327.506.833322.3
2014 Projections479612678381247.261.318.480.798344
2014 Outlook: A free agent until the Baltimore Orioles scooped him up shortly after camps opened, Cruz is a player surrounded by many questions. Draft-pick compensation was one of the initial obstacles standing in his way of a deal, but the 50-game suspension that cost him most of last season's final two months was a more compelling one, as his critics asked how much of his power -- 135 homers the past five years combined -- might have been aided. Cruz's draft stock might be deflated due to the the performance-enhancing drug question, but that could make him a value rather than a bust candidate entering 2014. He remains a powerful hitter, one who will call another hitter-friendly park his home, so mixed leaguers shouldn't let him slip too deep into the later rounds before taking a chance.
2013 Statistics606901784261133.304.334.465.800420.8
2014 Projections589881679331215.278.321.424.745365.5
2014 Outlook: As expected, Hunter's 2012 .389 batting average on balls in play regressed, but since he shaved more than 5 percent off his strikeout rate, he topped .300 for the second straight year. Hunter's power slipped last season, but he is 38, so cut him a break. So long as he remains in the plush two-hole in the Tigers' attack, Hunter is going to produce bountiful runs and RBIs. He's not sexy, but Hunter can stabilize an outfield on the cheap.
2013 Statistics38554125646869.226.307.379.686225.4
2014 Projections4857322695511110.254.328.452.779347.5
2014 Outlook: After a breakthrough 2012, Reddick's 2013, by comparison, was a major disappointment. His power numbers tumbled as his isolated power declined 68 points, his ground ball rate swelled by nearly six percentage points and he made hard contact at a considerably lesser rate. That said, it was revealed after the season that Reddick had played through a sprained right wrist that he suffered back in April; he required October surgery for it. He's expected to make a full recovery by spring training, but Reddick would earn more fantasy owners' faith with a month of power hitting in the Cactus League. He has rebound potential, but as a result of his spacious home ballpark, he belongs in the latter rounds of mixed leagues and the middle rounds of AL-only. Stephania Bell: A nagging wrist problem affected Reddick's power at the plate last year. Arthroscopic surgery in October has him pain-free and swinging freely this spring, hoping for a bounce-back season.
2013 Statistics59780837554020.286.356.370.726365.9
2014 Projections56875739484424.280.347.371.718347
2014 Outlook: Aoki's arrival in Kansas City was one of the more unexpected developments of the winter, and those who align his value with whom he was traded for (Will Smith) shouldn't take it as any knock on his fantasy stock. In two seasons in the States, the Japanese speedster has shown a remarkable level of consistency, his half-season numbers in terms of batting average, on-base percentage and walk rate scarcely showing any variance. Aoki is amazing at putting the bat on the ball; in 2013, he had the majors' lowest strikeout rate (5.9 percent) and second-lowest miss rate on swings (8.1 percent). That results in minimal downside, reliability in terms of his hitting ratios and enough opportunity to drive his steals and runs categories. This is the kind of value selection a mixed-league owner should seek to round out an outfield, especially those in points-based leagues.
2013 Statistics------------------------
2014 Projections502732163421295.269.334.462.796358.7
2014 Outlook: After missing the entire 2013 campaign with knee woes, Hart landed in the Pacific Northwest, where he should be in the mix for playing time at first base, designated hitter and, health permitting, corner outfield. Seattle is being cautious early on with Hart, waiting until the spring to see how his knee can handle the rigors of chasing flies. Not only is his playing time a question, but so is his on-field performance, considering the likely rust after missing a full season and the fact he is a free swinger. One thing, however, is certain: Even with the new dimensions, Safeco Park is not as hitter-friendly as Miller Park, so a decline in power is likely, regardless of the other factors. Dual eligibility at first and outfield helps make Hart an intriguing utility, or perhaps reserve until we get a better feel for his playing time and production.
2013 Statistics549742263771381.246.341.423.763380.2
2014 Projections572792380811452.255.349.434.783413.6
2014 Outlook: A season-long battle with a sore left shoulder may be the reason the switch-hitting Swisher saw his numbers versus left-handed pitching plummet last season. But even so, his final line was almost the exact same as the two previous seasons, save for a drop in batting average. Swisher is reporting that he no longer feels any pain in the area, so there is reason to hope he tacks on a few more dingers to last season's total, and is again a solid three-category contributor (HR, RBI, runs). The best part is that you won't have to pay for it, as Swisher is largely ignored in favor of younger players with more upside. His dual first base and outfield eligibility also helps insure maximum output at a couple of spots where the available players are stronger than other positions.
2013 Statistics46256216829946.251.301.470.770309.7
2014 Projections533612170371078.255.308.452.760348.9
2014 Outlook: After he spent years as a reserve/occasional starter, the Cubs handed Schierholtz the strong side of a platoon and he expressed his appreciation by topping 20 homers, and in general being one of the few bright spots in a dim offense. Back for a second stint in Wrigley Field, Schierholtz should again have a productive campaign, especially if you play in a format with daily changes. Last season, Schierholtz's OPS versus right-handers was .799 as opposed to .553 versus southpaws, albeit in limited chances.