By Christopher Harris

ESPN.com

(Archive)

Week 17

Indianapolis Colts

(14-1)

Buffalo Bills

(5-10)

Analysis: Please note that the final two weeks of the season are shortened because of the holidays, so I won't have time to watch every game; my thoughts here are more general and based on what I've seen all season. Ain't that a kick in the head? Let's face facts: the possibility of the Indianapolis Colts sitting their players is probably something we have to figure into their offensive stars' fantasy value come Draft Day 2010. The regulars aren't going to be much use to you Sunday; sit 'em all.

Fantasy Up: Fred Jackson has spoken openly about what it would mean to him and his offensive line if he were to reach 1,000 yards rushing, and right now he's at 850. I think that means you can expect a healthy dose of Jackson on Sunday against a bunch of Colts second-teamers, and that probably means he's a decent start. … Could the Buffalo Bills defense make a sneaky-good play Sunday? It's possible. Curtis Painter looked awful against the New York Jets, and while the Bills continue to just be a terrible team defending the run, at least we can expect them to load up in the box and focus on whichever reserve back the Colts try. I'm not going so far as to say this is a must-start situation, because there's a chance these guys make Mike Hart and/or Chad Simpson look like Jim Brown. But I tend to think this will be an ugly, low-scoring game. … Austin Collie is my highest-rated Colts receiver because it seems likely the rookie will get some looks with everyone else sitting. But don't get carried away with Painter flinging it to him.

Fantasy Down: Peyton Manning, Joseph Addai, Reggie Wayne, Dallas Clark, Pierre Garcon: They all ride pine after maybe a quarter (and Garcon is out entirely). What a waste of a trip to sunny Buffalo. … There also seems to be a chance that Donald Brown could sit. He's missed practice time this week because of an "undisclosed illness," and you have to wonder whether such an illness would qualify as an "injury" that would cause the Colts to rest him. If so, it does seem as though Hart would be the lead guy. … Brian Brohm apparently didn't look horrible in his first NFL start. He just looked like everyone else who has played quarterback for the Bills this year: noodle-armed and gun-shy. The Bills' O-line is the league's most injured, and wasn't all that good to begin with, and the most the Bills can do is dink and dunk. Terrell Owens and Lee Evans should probably sit as a result. … The scrub Colts defense couldn't stop Shonn Greene or Thomas Jones in the second half last week, and would make too risky a play against the run-motivated Bills here.


Christopher Harris is a fantasy analyst for ESPN.com. He is a six-time Fantasy Sports Writing Association award winner. You can ask him questions at www.facebook.com/writerboy.

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