By Christopher Harris

ESPN.com

(Archive)

Week 17

Jacksonville Jaguars

(8-7)

Houston Texans

(5-10)

Analysis: In Week 17, the Jaguars will: basically field a team of skill-position backups, because of injury. Nevertheless, they still win the AFC South if they beat the dreadful Texans here, and the Colts somehow lose to the Titans. Because both of those games are 4:15 p.m. ET starts, certainly the Jags and Colts will both go all out. In Week 17, the Texans will: fight to save Gary Kubiak's job (he questioned sarcastically)? Amazingly, reporters in Houston are now saying Kubiak is going to remain in Houston, despite the Texans falling from 9-7 in 2009 to either 5-11 or 6-10 in '10. Yes, I know Kubiak is the de facto offensive coordinator and Houston's real problem is defense. But Kubiak did hire the defensive coordinator, right? And he has seen his offensive players flop in huge situations all year, yes? I'm sure Kubiak is a very nice man, and I'm sure he'd get a coordinator's job within a week if the Texans let him go. But they should let him go.

Fantasy Up: Arian Foster will go all out in this one to win the rushing title: He's 56 yards ahead of Jamaal Charles (albeit with 80 more carries), and this is really about the only thing the Texans can take pride in this season. Expect Foster to have a mammoth day, and expect him to take down the title. … Will Andre Johnson play? The Texans reportedly will decide on Friday, so there won't be as much weekend drama as there was for the Broncos game last week, where AJ was a Sunday morning scratch. At issue is an injured ankle that's bugged him all season, and Kubiak has told reporters that he'll let Johnson be the one to decide if he can play. Personally, I hate this: If Johnson doesn't go, it makes him look like a wimp. There's really no reason why big No. 80 should even consider playing here; all Houston needs is another injury to their best player. When push comes to shove, I'm thinking the Texans will do the right thing and tell AJ to sit. Jacoby Jones produced in a big way versus Denver last week, and would be startable as a low No. 2 fantasy receiver or a high No. 3 if Johnson can't play. Matt Schaub is a good option regardless; with at least 14 fantasy points in seven consecutive games (and an average of 17.9 in that span), he's been rock solid no matter who his targets are. … Owen Daniels gets targets taken away by Joel Dreessen, but he still grabbed eight for 73 and a score versus the Broncos last Sunday. His value, too, only goes up if AJ can't go.

Fantasy Down: It sounds very unlikely that Maurice Jones-Drew will play Sunday, as now we're hearing that his knee requires surgery. Oh, great. In addition, David Garrard is out after surgery on a finger on his throwing hand, and Mike Sims-Walker's ankle probably won't let him play a full accompaniment of snaps Sunday (he played in Week 16, but came off the bench and got exactly one target). Their respective replacements in the Jaguars lineup Sunday will be Rashad Jennings, Trent Edwards and Jason Hill. Hey, I know the Texans defense is execrable. But starting Edwards and Hill is out of the question (heck, using Mike Thomas probably isn't a great idea, though I'd give him and Marcedes Lewis the best chance of anyone to post good receiving days), so the real question is whether you trust Jennings. It's pretty difficult, especially after last week: 19 touches for 61 yards and a 2.1 per-carry average. Still, that kind of workload is tasty, and with so many uncertain options at the running back position for Week 17, I begrudgingly put Jennings (barely) inside my top 20. He's not for the faint of heart, but as a desperation option, he's still viable.


Christopher Harris is a fantasy analyst for ESPN.com. He is a six-time Fantasy Sports Writers Association award winner. You can ask him questions at www.facebook.com/writerboy and follow him at www.twitter.com/writerboyESPN.

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