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   The Guru Report:  Aug. 24, 2000
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The Guru Report
By John Hansen
The Guru's Fantasy Football Report

 

Doug Chapman
Hansen on Doug Chapman: "Chapman looks like a great fit for the Viking offense, and he could be a super producer in the second half if Smith went down."
Digging Deep: They Could Be Huge
I've long subscribed to the theory that draft picks in the late rounds are better used on players who play right behind a starter and have a chance to emerge and prosper as first stringers, as opposed to complementary players who are typically drafted in the later rounds. I've done this exact same article in each of the last four years and every year players included make a big fantasy impact. Last year's examples were Jeff George, Patrick Jeffers, Germaine Crowell and others.

The following players not only have a legitimate chance to start sometime this year, but they're also capable of emerging as solid fantasy performers.

Quarterbacks
Jeff George (Was) - Although I get the feeling George won't play much this year, it would be insane not to list him at the top of the QB list.

Trent Green (Stl) - This one's also stating the obvious. If you draft Kurt Warner, you'd be loopy on the junk if you didn't grab Green late.

Jim Miller (Chi) - By some expert's estimations, Miller has beaten Cade McNown out this summer. And while McNown is set as the starter, don't forget the Bears have already shown they're not willing to take their lumps with McNown if he struggles, and if Miller gives them a better chance to win now, they may give him the ball.

Neil O'Donnell (Ten) - Here's a guy who many may forget about. In his five starts last year, O'Donnell was very effective, and now the Titans have a better receiving corps. If Steve McNair were knocked out for the year in Week One, O'Donnell would probably be a top-15 fantasy QB.

Ray Lucas (NYJ) - Coming off an impressive second half last year, and this year Lucas looks like he's picked up right where he left off. He knows he's not the future in NY, so if he sees time, he'll be auditioning for a possible starting job elsewhere down the road.

Ryan Leaf (SD) - It looks like he'll be starting sooner rather than later. If he can keep his head on straight, he should be decent. That's a big if, of course.

Randall Cunningham (Dal) - Cunningham is a terrible fit for this offense, and he'll likely be slow in picking it up, but if Troy Aikman went down, he could still be a solid fantasy producer.

Gus Frerotte (Den) - While the chances of Frerotte seeing some time at some point are fairly good, the chances are equally good that, barring an injury, Brian Griese would reclaim the job, considering how often in his career Frerotte has hit a wall after playing well for a 4-5 games. Still, this is a QB-friendly offense, so he may keep it going if he gets in there and does well.

Matt Hasselbeck (GB) - Like Mark Brunell before him, Hasselbeck is looking like a Packer backup QB who is capable of starting elsewhere. But if starter Brett Favre continues to have arm troubles, he may be starting in Green Bay. Certainly, if you draft Favre, the pick should be protected with Hasselbeck. Otherwise, keep an eye on him and Favre's health.

Bobby Hoying (Oak) - Believe it or not, this guy could be decent if Rich Gannon went down. He knows Jon Gruden's system, which is why he's in silver and black in the first place. Hoying's entire NFL highlight reel came under Gruden in Philadelphia.

Trent Dilfer (Bal) - Although he certainly won't be huge, Dilfer has a legitimate chance to play at some point this year, and who knows? He may actually produce decent totals with a good offensive mind on his side, something he never came close to having in Tampa Bay.

Bubby Brister (Min) - He'd surely be desirable if Daunte Culpepper went down, but we doubt he's worthy of drafting as protection for Culpepper unless you can easily spare the roster spot.

Running Backs
Olandis Gary (Den) - It's safe to say this guy would be huge if given another opportunity.

Shaun Alexander (Sea) - He's probably the most obvious choice on the list other than Gary. He'll get carries from day one, and he may eventually capture the starting job. If you get Watters, you absolutely have to get Alexander.

Thomas Jones (Ari) - Jones may not be a backup for long. Considering starter Michael Pittman's history of injury, and his recent ankle problem, Jones is clearly an attractive pickup.

Stacey Mack (Jac) - Obviously, if this guy is already slated to start Week One and maybe Week Two, he's a guy who could get more opportunities.

Adrian Murrell (Was) - Murrell is a great example of a back that needs a great supporting cast to excel. He has that in Washington, so he would obviously be a great guy to have if Stephen Davis went down.

Shawn Bryson (Buf) - Starter Antowain Smith is already hurt, and Jonathan Linton won't get the job done, so Bryson could see time in a hurry this year. Based on his excellent play this preseason, he may be impossible to keep off the field.

Travis Prentice (Cle) - Prentice is a promising youngster playing on a young team with an average veteran starting, so he's definitely in a good situation. Assuming the team is out of the playoff run mid-season, the team will want to get a long look at Prentice to determine whether or not they need to address the position early in the draft next year, so he will likely get the ball at some point. He may also have some value as a change-of-pace to Errict Rhett.

Chris Warren (Dal) - Warren is still the No. 2 guy in Dallas behind Emmitt Smith, so if Emmitt went down, there would be a mad scurry to pick him up in any league in which he was available. He's having a good preseason.

J.R. Redmond (NE) - Although he's a rookie and hasn't shown much, he may have the most upside of all the Patriot RBs.

Richard Huntley (Pit) - Assuming he's healthy soon, he's still a good bet to out-produce Jerome Bettis.

Trung Canidate (Stl) - Although he's a small back and could be susceptible to injury, he's been electrifying and could be a super producer if Marshall Faulk went down.

Terry Jackson (SF) - Here's a nice deep sleeper. Assuming the team doesn't sign anyone else, Jackson will likely be Charlie Garner's backup, and he may emerge as the goal line back.

Natrone Means (Car) - Means isn't very attractive on his own merit, but as the No. 2 guy behind an injury-prone starter, it's easy to speculate that he may be the featured guy at some point. In addition, he still should collect the bulk of the goal line carries. He has to get healthy, though.

Frank Moreau (KC) - The planets would have to be perfectly aligned for him to get 15-plus carries, but he's looked good, and stranger things have happened.

Doug Chapman (Min) - I could be wrong here, but I think Chapman would be the guy if Robert Smith went down. Moe Williams is only okay, and he's almost as injury-prone as Smith is. Chapman looks like a great fit for the Viking offense, and he could be a super producer in the second half if Smith went down.

James Allen (Chi) - Playing behind the enigmatic Curtis Enis, Allen may get a shot at some point this year, but don't rule out rookie Frank Murphy.

Brandon Bennett (Cin) - Bennett doesn't have much upside, but he's probably going to be Corey Dillon's backup for the better part of the season.

Rabih Abdullah (TB) - He may be a reach, but the Bucs are very interested in seeing what this guy can do. It's even possible that he may steal some carries for Warrick Dunn. If Dunn went down, he'd likely carry the ball 10-12 times a game.

Wide Receivers
Note:
With teams' depth charts at WR still being sorted out, and with many teams using three WR sets, I dug real deep for this section and didn't list a lot of No., 3 WRs who are expected to challenge for a starting job or get a lot of playing time in 3 WR sets.

Marty Booker (Chi) - Booker is definitely a factor in the Bear offense. If Marcus Robinson went down, he could become a fantasy force.

Ron Dugans (Cin) - Dugans is a member of a committee that currently comprises the Bengal No. 2 WR position. But if he proves himself capable and reliable, he could emerge as the clear No. 2 WR. His good size would be a nice complement to Peter Warrick's big play ability.

Dennis Northcutt (Cle) - Northcutt is a guy who could easily take over the No. 2 WR job in Cleveland and do something with it. Big production has littered his college past.

Matthew Hatchette (Min) - Hatchette could be huge if either Randy Moss or Cris Carter went down. Hatchette has good size, decent speed, good hands and he knows the system well.

Jerry Porter (Oak) - It looks like Porter will be open the season as the No. 4 WR now that the has signed Andre Rison. Still, he's impressed this summer and has good size and tons of ability, so he's someone to keep an eye one.

Todd Pinkston (Phi) - Pinkston has had an up-and-down rookie season, but if he shows continuing improvement, he could be in the starting lineup by October, and he could be a nice threat in the red zone.

Trevor Gaylor (SD) - Gaylor has impressed this preseason and looks like a keeper. With two ancient WRs starting for San Diego, Gaylor could be starting sooner than later. If the preseason games are any indication, it looks like the Chargers want to get him the ball.

Tai Streets (SF) - Streets is a guy the 49ers are very high on, and he's been pushing J.J. Stokes for the No. 3 WR job. If a starter went down to injury, he could be counted on.

Darrell Jackson (Sea) - Jackson is currently No. 3 or No. 4 on the depth chart, but he could pass Sean Dawkins, and he'll certainly be someone to watch if a starter went down.

Irving Fryar (Was) - Fryar has been impressing this summer, and he now knows the offense (he didn't last year) and is in better shape than he was last year. If a starter went down, he could surprise with big fantasy numbers.

Joe Jurevicious (NYG) - Jurevicious is set as the No. 3 WR, and it looks like he's ready to make an impact if called upon to be a starter.

Laveranues Coles (NYJ) - Coles is raw and currently fourth or fifth on the depth chart. But if he picks up the offense, he could be factor later in the season.

Tight Ends
Ben Coates (Bal) - Obviously, if Shannon Sharpe went down, Coates would be someone to grab in leagues that make you start TEs.

Desmond Clark (Den) - Clark continues to push starter Duane Carswell, and he continues to hold off Byron Chamberlain. He's someone to watch because he could take over the pass-catching TE role in this TE-friendly offense.

Bobby Collins (Buf) - Collins could be productive stepping in for Jay Riemersma if Riemersma went down, which is very possible.

Alonzo Mayes (Chi) - Mayes may actually start this year, but there's a definite logjam at the position in Chicago. The Bears don't use the TE much, but Mayes was a high pick, so he has talent, and he's an unrestricted free agent after the season.

Damon Jones (Jac) - Jones appears on this list every year, but he's yet to do much. But playing behind unimpressive starter Kyle Brady and in a contract year, Jones may step it up.

Ernie Conwell (Stl) - Although he probably wouldn't be the red zone threat that Roland Williams is because he lacks Williams' height, Conwell could be decent if he reclaims the starting job.

Erron Kinney (Ten) - Here's a super reach. This rookie is looking like he could be a factor at the goal. Problem is, the Titans have so many other options there.

Also See
• The Guru Report (8/07)

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