 | | Teamed with super soph Scott Gomez, New Jersey's Alexander Mogilny looks poised for a comeback season. | |
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So far, this NHL season has been mostly about offense. For the most part,
goaltending numbers are atrocious. It is a good sign for those of us who
remember the years when players actually had room to skate.
The surprising thing about some of the offensive output is who is not
helping. In Los Angeles, Ziggy Palffy and Luc Robitaille each have nine
points, but their normal center (Jozef Stumpel) isn't even in the United
States. Rookie Eric Belanger stepped up in game one with three points on
the top line, but he hasn't scored since. Most of Robitaille's and Palffy's
points have come on the power play, where Bryan Smolinski is in the mix.
Stumpel could still have a 60-point season if he rejoins the top unit
sometime by the end of October.
Another team with great offensive production is New Jersey. It kicked off
the season with eight goals despite missing top line center Jason Arnott and
defenseman Scott Niedermayer
. But the Devils are so deep it is almost
unfair. Petr Sykora and Patrik Elias will play alongside Sergei Nemchinov,
while last season's Rookie of the Year, Scott Gomez, could lead Alexander
Mogilny to one of his best seasons ever. Sergei Brylin, John Madden and
Bobby Holik will put up 50-60 points as well this season, while Brian Rafalski
picks up the slack on the blue line.
The major surprise of the season, thus far, is Boston. Most prognosticators
selected the Bruins to finish in the cellar of the Northeast Division.
However, Jason Allison, Joe Thornton and Brian Rolston are unstoppable,
combining for 26 points in four games. The Bruins are still missing one of
their top contributors, Anson Carter. His return could push Rolston off the
top power play. Of all the team's highlighted in this column, Boston is
least likely to continue it's onslaught on opponents' netminders. Allison
and Thornton should put up 70 points this season, but Boston's lack of depth
will prevent them from more.
OVER/UNDER
Each week, we'll analyze those players who have performed over and under
their expectations recently.
FORWARDS
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Young
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Over
Scott Young, St. Louis
After just four games, Young is already a
fifth of the way to matching his previous season high for goals (30). Young
put together a strong three-point effort in a 4-4 tie with Los Angeles on
Wednesday to push his league-leading goal total to six. He is taking a huge
number of shots while playing next to Pierre Turgeon, who has seven points
this season. If they continue to get support from the other lines, Young and
Turgeon could put up some of their best numbers ever.
Under
Valeri Bure, Calgary
Granted, he has only played two games, but Bure
does not have any points after notching a career-high 75 last season.
If Calgary is to challenge for a playoff berth, Bure will need to return to
last season's level of production. Some good news for him is that center
Marc Savard will be with the team soon, which should help the Flames'
offense.
DEFENSEMEN
Over
Mathieu Schneider, Los Angeles
Schneider is keeping pace with the
Kings top blue-liner (Rob Blake), scoring two goals and two assists in four
games. It helps when Luc Robitaille and Ziggy Palffy are playing at an
insane level in front of you. While Blake is still the No. 1 weapon
from up top, look for Schneider to pair with him on the power-play unit.
This should mean Schneider will chase his fifth 40-point season.
 |
Chelios
|
Under
Chris Chelios, Detroit. Last season's plus/minus machine is heading
in the wrong direction to start the year. Through three games, Chelios has
zero points and a -2 plus/minus. If not for his nine penalty minutes,
Chelios would be nothing but pain for fantasy owners. He'll pick up his
game, especially when Steve Yzerman returns.
GOALIES
Over
Sean Burke, Phoenix
Burke is a big reason that Phoenix looks like a
top contender so far. He made 32 saves to shut down St. Louis in the season
opener and earned a 4-1 victory. He followed that game with another 4-1 win,
this time over expansion Minnesota. Through two contests, Burke has earned a
1.02 GAA and .964 SV%. Unless Nikolai Khabibulin makes a surprise return,
Burke will get a ton of starts in the desert for a very solid team, making
him a good second or third goalie for most fantasy teams.
Under
Jocelyn Thibault, Chicago
Thibault's season has started as expected.
His GAA and save percentage are poor, but he still managed to win one game.
This should be the story of his entire season. Thibault will likely start
over 70 games for Chicago. Unfortunately, the Blackhawks aren't good enough
to help him keep his GAA (3.50) and SV% (.863) down. However, he will still
put up 25 wins or more, which means he does have fantasy value.
FANTASY STARS OF THE WEEK (For the week of Oct. 4 - 11)
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Allison
|
1) Jason Allison, Boston
Allison leads a trio of Bruins near the top of the
scoring leader board. In his first four games, Allison racked up 10 points
(two goals, eight assists). His week featured a four-assist effort in a 5-1
win over Philadelphia. He also assisted on every goal in Boston's 3-2
victory over the Ducks on Wednesday to make him the top scorer in the NHL so
far.
2) Luc Robitaille, Los Angeles
The Kings and Bruins are the top offensive
clubs so far this season. Robitaille is one of the men driving his team to
the top. In his first four contests, he has amassed five goals and four
assists. He has put up multiple points in each game, including a
three-point effort in a win over Washington to start the season. Robitaille
also has a
helpful +4 rating in those games.
3) Ziggy Palffy
, Los Angeles
Like his linemate Robitaille, Palffy also has
nine points so far. He has scored three goals and six assists, with four of
those points coming in a 7-1 drubbing of Columbus. Palffy also chipped in
with a +4 plus/minus and all three of his goals have come on the power play.
(Andy Heimerman is the hockey writer for Fantasy Sports Magazine.)