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Bracket trends to consider

By Keith Lipscomb and Chris Fallica
Special to ESPN.com

Alex Loeb and Dan Dakich discuss Kentucky's chances of repeating and the most impressive players in the tournament.

For many sports fans, nothing beats the excitement and unpredictability of the NCAA tournament. Now that the bracket has been unveiled, millions of you will be filling it out for bragging rights, whether it's just within your family, a group of friends or loads of strangers worldwide in ESPN.com's Tournament Challenge.

There's no right way to fill out a bracket, so we thought we'd do our part to give you enough information to make your head spin as you work your way through it. For those of you who like to pick each game individually throughout the tournament, College Hoops Pick 'em offers a different way to show off your prognostication skills, where you're rewarded for picking upsets.

Some of the trends below are more complex than others, but why not start off with one historical absolute that's not worth questioning:

108-0!
That's the record of No. 1 seeds against 16-seeds, and only 11 times have they won by single digits (with the last time being in 1997). Needless to say, 16s don't seem to be getting any closer to that elusive first victory.

In the past five years, not only have all but one of the 20 meetings been decided by 16 points or more, but the average margin of victory for the No. 1s has been 29.6 points.

And while you're at it …
You might as well put the No. 2s through to the third round (Round of 32) as well. In 27 years, only four times has a 15-seed knocked off a 2-seed, although it hasn't always been a cakewalk.

While it's been 11 years since the last time a No. 15 won (Hampton over Iowa State), in 18 of the previous 27 years of the 64/65/68-team field, at least one No. 2 seed has been played to within single digits or lost. However, in the past three tourneys, No. 15s haven't provided much of a challenge, with the only exception being Robert Morris' tough overtime loss to Villanova in 2010. ... MORE

Need more help in filling out your bracket, here are some other tools at your disposal:
Mass: Upsets to target in your bracket
Keating/Brenner: 10 early upsets
Lunardi: Tournament tips
Bracket predictor

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